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Darwin (NT) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Darwin (NT), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovDarwin (NT)Change

Race 2 — Chris Williams Jewellers Hcp 1300m · jumps

Race notes

  • HCP,Open
  • GOOD
  • Fine
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Struck Gold (2) and Bon's Pride (3)

3.30

Most career wins

Field Of Flutes

11-8-4 from 38 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 3Bon's Pride

Midfield

  • 5Gravina

Offpace

  • 4Stormfront
  • 7Hamlet Von Snitzel

Onpace

  • 1Field Of Flutes
  • 6Hennessy Lad

Leader

  • 2Struck Gold
  • Field Of Flutes · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -25%

  • Struck Gold · Positive

    Form Trainer

    In form stable, out performing market expectation by 17%

  • Bon's Pride · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Stormfront · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Field Of FlutesJ: Jarrod Todd·T: G Clarke361kg6 2 2 1 138: 11-8-4$4.00$2.00

Career

38: 11-8-4

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 3-0-2

  • Second-up

    6: 3-1-0

  • Third-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Alice Springs

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    17: 5-3-3

  • Distance 1002m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    14: 4-2-1

  • Going Good

    28: 7-7-3

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    6: 2-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Fannie Bay1200m24 Oct 2026 · BM76 · GOOD3-0.44
  2. 1Fannie Bay1100m3 Oct 2026 · BMNT 73 · GOOD-0.28
  3. 2Fannie Bay1000m19 Sept 2026 · BM76 · GOOD4.69L
  4. 2Fannie Bay1200m5 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD30.5L
  5. 6Fannie Bay1200m1 Aug 2026 · HCP · GOOD38.8L
  6. 5Fannie Bay1100m25 July 2026 · HCP · GOOD5.8L
  7. 2Fannie Bay1100m8 July 2026 · BMNT · GOOD33.3L
  8. 1Fannie Bay1000m20 June 2026 · HCP · GOOD-2.3

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are under performing market expectations by -25%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Honest

    Positive

    Finishing in the money lately

Comments

AAP

Racing in fine order. Solid 61.5kg winner at Fannie Bay 3 Oct. Posted a hard fought win this course. Stays under strong notice for this.

ILB

Game effort to win narrowly last run at this venue but competing at a higher level of competition. Made it 2 wins in a row. Has plenty of early speed. Has a very strong case to be winning.

RP

On a hat-trick after last win and a seven-time course winner; landed a narrow success in a handicap last month; he has a shout.

RSIS

Brave effort to win narrowly last run here but racing in stronger company. Made it 2 wins in succession. Displays good tactical pace. Jarrod Todd has multiple wins aboard. Strong winning hope.

2Struck GoldJ: Richard Bensley·T: Ella Clarke256.5kg1 2 3 4 129: 7-7-7$3.30$1.70

Career

29: 7-7-7

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 1-1-2

  • Second-up

    5: 0-2-1

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Wyong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    9: 1-4-2

  • Distance 1347m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 2-1-1

  • Going Soft

    9: 1-3-2

  • Going Firm

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Fannie Bay1100m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 76 · GOOD-0.92
  2. 4Fannie Bay1100m3 Oct 2026 · BMNT 73 · GOOD2.35L
  3. 3Fannie Bay1300m5 Sept 2026 · BM76 · GOOD32.7L
  4. 2Fannie Bay1300m1 Aug 2026 · BM76 · GOOD31.4L
  5. 1Fannie Bay1100m27 Mar 2026 · BM76 · FIRM-1.8
  6. 1Fannie Bay1100m28 Feb 2026 · 0 - 70 · GOOD-1.8
  7. 3Fannie Bay1300m31 Jan 2026 · BMNT 69 · SOFT1.2L
  8. 1Fannie Bay1200m17 Jan 2026 · 0 - 70 · GOOD-2.7

Insights

  • Form Trainer

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectation by 17%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Responded strongly to score in small field this venue. Good gate helps. Solid efforts here. Poised to deliver another big performance.

ILB

Flew home to win last run around here and drawn nicely. Shows good early pace. Ella Clarke stable are in good form of late but up against stronger rivals. Place chance.

RP

Multiple course winner; successful by 1l over 5½f here (handicap) last month; despite that Fannie Bay success, others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Flew home to win last run around here and will try to take advantage of the stall. Expecting to settle positively. Stable is in form but facing formidable rivals.

3Bon's PrideJ: Paul Shiers·T: Jason Manning154.5kg2 3 8 6 337: 9-10-4$3.30$1.75

Career

37: 9-10-4

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-4-0

  • Second-up

    6: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    6: 3-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    6: 2-1-1

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Swan Hill

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    7: 0-4-0

  • Distance 1200m

    15: 5-4-2

  • Going Good

    24: 6-7-3

  • Going Heavy

    8: 3-2-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Fannie Bay1200m24 Oct 2026 · BM76 · GOOD32.2L
  2. 6Fannie Bay1200m5 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD35.4L
  3. 8Fannie Bay1200m1 Aug 2026 · HCP · GOOD312.2L
  4. 3Fannie Bay1200m18 July 2026 · BM76 · GOOD5L
  5. 2Fannie Bay1100m4 July 2026 · HCP · GOOD0.4L
  6. 3Fannie Bay1300m14 Mar 2026 · BMNT 72 · FAST2.8L
  7. 1Fannie Bay1200m28 Feb 2026 · HCP · GOOD-2.5
  8. 5Fannie Bay1300m31 Jan 2026 · BMNT 69 · SOFT2.1L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Paul Shiers 26% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -32% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 44% Profit on Turnover

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Paul Shiers in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 26%

Comments

AAP

Gave good sight filling the minors this venue. Right at home this track and distance. Well into preparation now, can run top three.

ILB

Produced an eye catching run when 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L last start at this venue and can save some energy from the alley. Expected to be flashing home. Worth a lot of thought in this race.

RP

A prolific C&D winner; fair effort when just over 2l third to Field Of Flutes here over 6f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Ran on strongly when 3rd beaten by 2 1/4L last start here and drawn by the rails. Has been a model of consistency since returning from a break. Dropping weight. Must be considered here.

4StormfrontJ: Billy Cray·T: G Clarke654kg9 5 8 6 220: 6-3-3$7.50$3.20

Career

20: 6-3-3

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    4: 2-0-2

  • Track Sandown

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Fannie Bay

    11: 3-3-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    8: 3-1-2

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    18: 5-3-3

Last starts

  1. 2Fannie Bay1600m25 Sept 2026 · BM76 · GOOD30.37L
  2. 6Fannie Bay1300m5 Sept 2026 · BM76 · GOOD36.4L
  3. 8Fannie Bay1600m3 Aug 2026 · BMNT 73 · GOOD6.6L
  4. 5Fannie Bay1600m25 July 2026 · HCP · GOOD2.7L
  5. 9Fannie Bay1300m27 June 2026 · HCP · GOOD10.1L
  6. 1Fannie Bay1600m14 Mar 2026 · 0 - 76 · FAST-0.3
  7. 2Fannie Bay1100m14 Feb 2026 · HCP · GOOD38.3L
  8. 1Fannie Bay1300m30 July 2025 · 0 - 76 · GOOD-2.2

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Narrowly beaten in the small field this course over longer test. Useful form this track. Can challenge again.

ILB

Narrowly denied victory last run at the track but dropping in distance. Gary Clarke stable are having a great run of late but rising in grade. Can win.

RP

Three wins from 11 here; ran well when beaten a neck five weeks ago upped to 1m; has to be feared.

RSIS

Close to a win last time here but back in trip. Gary Clarke stable are on a hot streak but competing at a higher level of competition. Definitely worth considering.

5GravinaJ: Danielle Hirini·T: Chris Pollard754kg12 11 3 7 457: 5-8-12$20.00$5.00

Career

57: 5-8-12

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    11: 1-1-4

  • Second-up

    10: 1-2-3

  • Third-up

    9: 1-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    8: 1-1-0

  • Track Ipswich

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Rosehill

    8: 0-1-2

  • Track Canterbury

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    25: 5-2-4

  • Distance 1300m

    14: 0-4-5

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    32: 0-7-9

  • Going Heavy

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    20: 4-1-2

Last starts

  1. 4Fannie Bay1600m25 Sept 2026 · BM76 · GOOD38.3L
  2. 7Fannie Bay1200m5 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD38.1L
  3. 3Fannie Bay1300m1 Aug 2026 · BM76 · GOOD32.4L
  4. 11Flemington1400m6 June 2026 · BM84 · HEAVY811.2L
  5. 12Wagga1200m30 Apr 2026 · Open · GOOD46L
  6. 7Albury1175m19 Mar 2026 · CITY HCP BM94 · SOFT72.7L
  7. 6Kembla Grange1200m13 Mar 2026 · BM94 HCP · SOFT64.4L
  8. 5Rosehill1400m21 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM100 HCP · GOOD42.9L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 52%

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Long Prep

    Negative

    Yet to find the winners stall this prep

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Unable to threaten in the small field this track. Could get into the placings.

ILB

At $20.00 picked up some late ground when 4th last time at this venue but back in trip. Challenged by a tougher grade. Gets some weight relief. Prefer in a much weaker race.

RP

Behind Hennessy Lad when finishing fourth five weeks ago upped to 1m; ought to be competitive as shown some ability on occasion.

RSIS

Odds of 19/1 and crept into 4th last run at the track but facing a stronger group of contenders. Coming back in trip. Will benefit with the weight drop.

6Hennessy LadJ: Angel Brennan·T: G Clarke554kg2 5 2 4 136: 6-5-3$5.50$2.50

Career

36: 6-5-3

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    6: 0-3-0

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Track Flemington

    4: 0-2-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1203m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    29: 5-5-2

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Fannie Bay1600m25 Sept 2026 · BM76 · GOOD3-6.3
  2. 4Fannie Bay1300m5 Sept 2026 · BM76 · GOOD34.6L
  3. 2Fannie Bay1600m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD30.7L
  4. 5Fannie Bay1600m4 July 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD3.9L
  5. 2Fannie Bay1300m13 June 2026 · 0 - 70 · GOOD0.4L
  6. 5Fannie Bay1200m9 May 2026 · 0 - 70 · GOOD1.7L
  7. 4Fannie Bay1600m25 Oct 2025 · 0 - 70 · GOOD6.6L
  8. 1Fannie Bay1600m26 Sept 2025 · BM76 · GOOD-0.3

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Back in Dist

    Negative

    Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Now 5 weeks between runs. Dominated small field this course over longer test. On pacer. Will take stopping in this company.

ILB

Led and controlled the pace to win by just over 6L last time at the track but will be dropping in distance. Should be going forward early. Prefer in something a lot easier.

RP

Had plenty to spare at the line when winning five weeks ago upped to 1m.

RSIS

Dictated terms in front when winning by a margin of more than 6L last start here but facing a stronger class. Has shown early pace in races to date.

7Hamlet Von SnitzelJ: Wayne Davis·T: Chris Pollard454kg5 11 12 11 738: 6-2-6$71.00$15.00

Career

38: 6-2-6

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-0-2

  • Second-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Track Rockhampton

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sunshine Coast

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Toowoomba

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    4: 0-0-2

  • Going Good

    30: 5-2-3

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-0-3

Last starts

  1. 7Fannie Bay1100m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 76 · GOOD14.82L
  2. 11Fannie Bay1600m3 Aug 2026 · BMNT 73 · GOOD11.7L
  3. 12Fannie Bay1300m29 July 2026 · 0 - 76 · GOOD26L
  4. 11Fannie Bay1200m18 July 2026 · Open · GOOD29.2L
  5. 5Katherine1700m17 Aug 2024 · BMNT 75 · GOOD14.1L
  6. 1Fannie Bay1600m5 Aug 2024 · BMNT 71 HCP · GOOD-0.8
  7. 1Fannie Bay1600m27 July 2024 · 0 - 70 · GOOD-1.8
  8. 2Fannie Bay1600m17 July 2024 · Prize money contribution of 1% will be directed to equine welfare prior to distribution · GOOD7.3L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Wayne Davis current POT is 19% below Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -45% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 39% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Needs To Imp

    Negative

    Finished towards the tail last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Sent back to last and safely held in the small field this venue. Needs a major turnaround.

ILB

At $101.00 was well beaten when 7th last time around here and facing a stronger group of contenders. Will benefit with the weight drop. Very difficult to back.

RP

Was behind Struck Gold here two weeks ago when dropped back to 5½f; this is competitive and others more persuasive.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 7th last run around here and challenged by more formidable competitors. Goes down in weight.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 5 races
  • Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
  • Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 5 races
  • Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
  • Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 4 races
  • Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races