Darwin (NT) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:03 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Darwin (NT), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovDarwin (NT)Change

Race 3 — Top End Roofing Mdn Plate 1200m · jumps Tue 3 Nov, 4:45 pm AEDT

Race notes

MDN-SW,Maiden
GOOD
Fine
8 runners

Shortest win price

Be Brief (2)

2.10

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

7Western Miner

Offpace

5Pierre Le Quill
1Ask Your Mother
3Macaverty

Onpace

8Milk Foam
4Opulent Oscar

Leader

6Prince Of Sparta
2Be Brief

Ask Your Mother · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races
Be Brief · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 98%
Macaverty · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Opulent Oscar · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Ask Your MotherJ: Dakota-Lee Gillett·T: Ms T Halter159kg3 3 2 4 611: 0-2-2$4.20$1.32

Career

11: 0-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Distance 2050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1325m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-2-2

Last starts

6Pakenham Synthetic1400m29 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3.6L
4Pakenham Synthetic1400m15 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC6.2L
2Bendigo1600m27 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.4L
3Pakenham1400m12 Mar 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD46.5L
3Sale1206m11 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42L
8Moe2050m24 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT618.4L
5Sandown1600m6 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.6L
5Pakenham Synthetic1600m14 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). Ex G Eurell in Victoria. In the minors at Sale first-up last campaign. Keeping safe at first run for new stable.

ILB

First up today. Started at $4.40 and finished 6th last run at Pakenham Synthetic. Should improve here and has a nice advantage with a good draw. Expected to be competitive.

Still searching for his first win after 11 attempts; not disgraced when sixth over 7f at Pakenham (maiden) in June; returning from a layoff here; first start for yard; others more persuasive.

RSIS

First run back from a break. At 10/3 came in 6th last start at Pakenham Synthetic. Should improve and drawn nicely. First start for a new trainer. Will go close today.

2Be BriefJ: Richard Bensley·T: Chris Nash259kg8 5 72: 0-0-0$2.10$1.09

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Balaklava1200m14 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT75L
5Morphettville1050m30 May 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT72.2L
8Morphettville1050m3 July 2025 · Barrier Trial10.2L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 98%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Chris Nash in good form, out performing market 32%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Second campaign (20-weeks). Ex R & C Jolly in SA. Big watch under new trainer.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Jumped at $2.90 and ran 7th last start at Balaklava. Expecting improvement and drawn nicely. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Will run close.

Not had much racing - third outing here; favourite but unable to make the frame when seventh (Balaklava) five months ago; first start for new stable; has had some time off; new headgear needs to have a positive effect and not one to rely on.

RSIS

First run back. At 15/8 ran 7th last time at Balaklava. Happy to forgive that run and will try to take advantage of the stall. Will run close.

3MacavertyJ: Angel Brennan·T: Rhonda Cole459kg7 5 7 2 414: 0-1-0$16.00$3.10

Career

14: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Fannie Bay
5: 0-1-0
Track Katherine
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
10: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

4Fannie Bay1300m24 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD31.73L
2Fannie Bay1100m25 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD30.77L
7Fannie Bay1000m5 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD38.3L
5Katherine1000m15 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT12.9L
7Fannie Bay1200m1 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD36.5L
4Fannie Bay1100m25 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD1.7L
6Kilmore1207m31 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT67.6L
8Swan Hill1600m15 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.9L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 71%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Ran on late from the back this track. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Jumped at $8.00 and advanced late into 4th last run at this venue. Angel Brennan takes a large claim. Prefer to watch.

Has raised his game the last twice but has run 14 times without getting off the mark; not disgraced when fourth over 6½f here (maiden) splitting Prince Of Sparta, Milk Foam and Opulent Oscar ten days ago; is passed over.

RSIS

Was 7/1 and making up some late ground when 4th last start at this track. The large claim from Angel Brennan should help.

4Opulent OscarJ: Paul Shiers·T: Paul Shiers759kg7 7 4 6 711: 0-0-2$31.00$3.90

Career

11: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
2: 0-0-1
Track Stony Creek
1: 0-0-0
Track Fannie Bay
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

7Fannie Bay1300m24 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD33.88L
6Fannie Bay1000m5 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD36L
4Katherine1000m15 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT12.3L
7Fannie Bay1100m25 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD2.9L
7Fannie Bay1200m11 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD37L
3Kyneton1208m28 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT52.7L
5Stony Creek1100m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT63.4L
8Moe1200m22 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD49.21L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Paul Shiers in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 26%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track

Comments

AAP

Battled home okay this venue. Has a tricky draw. Underperformer.

ILB

Jumped at $9.00 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last run here. Best to watch only.

Behind three of these rivals over 6½f here (maiden) beaten just under 4l ten days ago; he should go close as has bits and pieces of decent form.

RSIS

Started 8/1 and tailed off to finish 7th last start at the track.

5Pierre Le QuillJ: Jarrod Todd·T: Paul Shiers559kg4 7 6 2 312: 0-2-2$5.00$1.45

Career

12: 0-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
2: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-2
Going Soft
4: 0-2-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Echuca1312m19 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.75L
2Mildura1408m5 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.3L
6Mildura1100m8 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD48L
7Pakenham Synthetic1400m29 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC4.4L
4Swan Hill1200m5 June 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT63.5L
4Echuca1109m23 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT72.4L
5Caulfield Heath800m30 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.7L
6Tatura1600m14 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD33.7L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (45-days). Ex Patrick Payne in Victoria. Continues to hold form with another solid finish last time. Off pace, home okay into the placings at Echuca 19 Sep.

ILB

Let up. Finished amongst the placegetters when 3rd last run at Echuca. First start for a new trainer. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

Solid effort when beaten just under 3l to finish third at Echuca over 6½f (maiden) 45 days ago; has found improvement of late but defeats piling up (0-12); starts out for new trainer; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

Back from a freshen up. Finished with intent when 3rd last time at Echuca. First appearance for a new trainer. Has strong claims.

6Prince Of SpartaJ: Billy Cray·T: Chloe Baxter859kg9 5 5 5 26: 0-1-0$5.00$1.45

Career

6: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Fannie Bay
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Fannie Bay1300m24 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD30.56L
5Fannie Bay1000m17 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD6.5L
5Fannie Bay1100m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD5.08L
5Ballarat Synthetic1200m14 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.5L
9Ballarat Synthetic1400m2 July 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC6L
6Sale1200m10 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY85.2L

Insights

Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start

Comments

AAP

Good signs last start. Couldn't quite peg back winner this venue. Fit from racing, can make his presence felt with even luck.

ILB

Kept chasing when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last run at the track. Should muster plenty of early speed. Billy Cray and Chloe Baxter are usually a competitive duo. Capable of winning this.

Best form so far in last two starts; finished ahead of three of these ten days ago when just denied upped to 6½f; he's an attractive contender if backing up last run.

RSIS

Claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last run at this venue. Billy Cray and Chloe Baxter work well together. Likely to be well placed early. Solid chance.

7Western MinerJ: Danielle Hirini·T: Chris Pollard359kg4 7 5 83: 0-0-0$91.00$7.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Fannie Bay
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Fannie Bay1300m27 June 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD13.5L
5Fannie Bay1100m9 May 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD10.1L
7Sandown1200m25 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT514.3L
4Kilmore1000m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.8L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 52%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (18-weeks). Steps out for third run new stable/region. Yet to show much in three outings. Needs to show more.

ILB

Fresh today. Jumped at $51.00 and mediocre performance when 8th last time around here. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Cannot have under these circumstances.

Beaten 14l into eighth here over 6½f (maiden) in June; not had much racing - fourth outing here; back from an absence here; holds leading claims.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Started 50/1 and below standard effort when 8th last time at the track. Does take a while to get into stride.

8Milk FoamJ: Wayne Davis·T: Philip Cole657kg5 5 6 4 617: 0-1-3$101.00$8.00

Career

17: 0-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-2
Track Canterbury
2: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
2: 0-1-0
Track Orange
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-0-3
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
10: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Fannie Bay1300m24 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD32.81L
4Fannie Bay1100m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD3.57L
6Fannie Bay1100m25 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD35.86L
5Fannie Bay1200m19 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD6.75L
5Fannie Bay1000m5 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD34.9L
3Katherine1000m15 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT11.8L
6Fannie Bay1200m1 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD35.1L
6Fannie Bay1100m25 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD2.8L

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 19% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 49%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 39% in L100 rides
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced this course. Looks up against it.

ILB

Jumped at $31.00 and gave away some ground when 6th last run at the track. Won't be far away during the run. Trying to win after 17 runs. Facing a difficult task.

Useful in this grade; respectable effort to finish sixth, beaten just under 3l over 6½f here (maiden) splitting Prince Of Sparta, Macaverty and Opulent Oscar last month.

RSIS

Started at 30/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last start at this venue. Displays good tactical pace. Still a maiden after 17 runs.

Odds correct as at Tue 3 Nov, 4:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 5 races
Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 5 races
Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 4 races
Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races