Shortest win price
Bold Suitor (3)
2.10
Welcome to Darwin for the Pointsbet Pull 'Em Hcp (C2) over the 1100m scamper on a good track under fine skies, set to go at 5:25 pm AEDT. The win market lines up with Bold Suitor sitting at the very top of the betting order, closely followed by Cavern, Chewing Gum, and Rising Water rounding out the leading quartet in the early discussions.
Taking a closer look at the form for these market fancies, Bold Suitor comes in for new trainer G Clarke after leading from pillar to near the post to finish second over this course and distance in benchmark 54 grade. Cavern returns from a thirteen-week spell for D Leech, carrying the top weight of 62.5kg after scoring a win over this exact 1100m trip at Fannie Bay previously. Chewing Gum resumes from a twenty-three-week break after coming out of Victorian stables, drawing nicely in barrier two. Rising Water recorded a game win from just off the pace at this venue last start and holds strong claims again.
Further down the runners list, Bold Suitor maps as the lone leader in the speed groups and should look to dictate terms out in front. Rising Water brings the fastest overall finishing sectionals from the previous outing and meets suitable conditions here. Punters looking for a value angle in a competitive class two affair have plenty of interesting form lines to weigh up before jumping into the market.
Shortest win price
Bold Suitor (3)
2.10
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Cavern · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Bold Suitor · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Chewing Gum · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Blitzwater · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Career
7: 2-0-1
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Fannie Bay
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 2-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
AAP
Resuming (13-weeks).
ILB
First run back from a break. Gave them all something to chase when winning by a margin of 3/4L last start at this track. Shows good early pace. Capable type.
RP
Narrow winner of a handicap in August on debut for this trainer; can have a big say.
RSIS
Resumes after a break. Was much too pacey in front when winning by 3/4L last time at this venue but hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Strong prospects.
Career
6: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 2-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-1-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1225m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 1-1-1
Going Good
3: 1-1-0
Going Soft
3: 1-0-1
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
Gave good sight filling the minors this course when second-up.
ILB
Managed to run 2nd beaten by close to 2 1/2L last time here and has drawn to do little work.
RP
Finished a decent second of seven over 5f here (handicap) with Blitzwater and Good Onya Darl behind last month; has won here; poses a threat.
RSIS
Produced an eye catching run when 2nd last time at this track and gets the perfect stall. Have to respect the recent stable form.
Career
11: 1-3-1
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-1-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
10: 1-2-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-2-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First run for new trainer led from pillar to near the post in the (Bm54) this venue. Can lead or take a sit.
ILB
Just missed last run at this track. Should race on the speed. Jarrod Todd and Gary Clarke form a proven partnership. Tough competitor.
RP
Behind Rising Water two weeks ago when going down narrowly on debut for this trainer; is not ruled out as recent performance was encouraging.
RSIS
Was agonizingly close last start at this track. Will be positive in the run early. Jockey Jarrod Todd and trainer Gary Clarke work well together. Attracts support.
Career
13: 1-4-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Sandown
3: 0-0-2
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1140m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-2-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
9: 1-2-2
Going Soft
4: 0-2-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (23-weeks). Ex Ben, Will & Jd Hayes in Victoria.
ILB
First up after a break. Started at $4.40 and finished 7th last start at Geelong. Giving another go here and has a good draw. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
RP
Out of the frame when seventh (Geelong) in May; only once has she got into the winners' enclosure; first run for trainer; returns from a break today; makes limited appeal as this could be a hot race.
RSIS
Fresh from a break. Started at 10/3 and finished 7th last run at Geelong. Should bounce back and gets a favourable stall. Billy Cray is in form for this stable. Will attract plenty of interest.
Career
12: 1-2-5
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast Poly Track
1: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
2: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
4: 0-0-3
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1110m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-2-1
Going Soft
6: 1-0-3
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
AAP
Handy but couldn't deliver this track for new trainer.
ILB
Was $4.60 and ran 4th last time at the track. Has some claims.
RP
Fourth beaten 6l over 5f here (handicap) on her debut for this trainer last month; finished ahead of Good Onya Darl but was behind Tears Are Flowing; has hit the frame in several recent runs; subpar record of 1-12; others more persuasive as this is a fairly competitive event.
RSIS
Started at 7/2 and ran 4th last time at this venue. Not at all out of this race.
Career
16: 2-5-2
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
1: 0-1-0
Track Fannie Bay
12: 2-3-2
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1009m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
8: 1-3-1
Going Good
12: 2-3-2
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
2nd Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when second up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent out $10 when unable to threaten this venue over this trip.
ILB
Odds of $10.00 and was well beaten when 7th last start here. Could feature here.
RP
Despite a poor last run, he had been running well previously; has winning C&D form to his name; found life tough when 7l back in seventh last month; hard enough to fancy given many of his rivals are in good form.
RSIS
Started 9/1 and struggled with the pace when 7th last time at this venue.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Chris Nash in good form, out performing market 32%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Sent out $8 when unable to threaten this course over this trip.
ILB
Was $8.00 and faded to finish 7th last start at this venue.
RSIS
Started 7/1 and folded up in the straight when 7th last time at this track.
Career
14: 2-4-1
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Fannie Bay
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Thangool
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
6: 1-2-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
3: 1-1-0
Going Good
7: 1-3-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Stan Tsaikos 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 39 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
5 weeks since last run. Unable to threaten in the small field this track.
ILB
Started $9.00 and weakened to finish 7th last time here. Should come to hand quickly. Needs significant improvement.
RP
Behind Sassy Abbey over 5f here (handicap) when last of seven on his debut for this trainer five weeks ago; a few rivals look in good form so one to tread carefully with.
RSIS
Started at 8/1 and looked outclassed when 7th last run around here. Has early pace and positions nicely.
Career
6: 1-1-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Fannie Bay
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
6: 1-1-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 49%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 50% Profit on Turnover
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Freshened since resuming. Felt pinch late but held on for the minors this venue for new stable.
ILB
Gave a strong sight when 2nd beaten by just over 3L last time at the track. The large claim from Angel Brennan helps. A demanding task.
RP
Displayed a fair level of form when just over 3l runner-up on her debut for this trainer last month in a conditions race; must be high on list.
RSIS
Applied plenty of pressure when 2nd beaten by just over 3L last run at the track. The large claim from Angel Brennan helps.
Career
23: 2-3-4
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Tatura
1: 1-0-0
Track Fannie Bay
11: 1-3-3
Track CurrentTrack
11: 1-3-3
Distance 1406m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
19: 2-3-2
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 28% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -20%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Paul Shiers in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 26%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Game win from just off the pace this venue off spell.
ILB
Finished with purpose when winning last time at this venue and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Expected to settle towards the tail. Some hope in this event.
RP
A surprise scorer at 18-1 when accounting for two of these two weeks ago; others have more pressing claims despite that win last time.
RSIS
Finished well when winning last run at this track and showing improvement in recent outings. Likely to get back in the run.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Unable to make an impression this course.
ILB
Below standard effort when 7th last run around here.
RSIS
Disappointing display when 7th last time here.
Career
15: 1-2-1
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1217m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
6: 1-1-1
Going Good
12: 1-1-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Ordinary performance in small field this track first up.
ILB
Started at $26.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last run at this track. Would rather look at others.
RP
Could not manage better than sixth over 5f here (handicap) two weeks ago; likes this combination of C&D; generally modest form since maiden success at Fannie Bay six months ago; this looks a fair heat so she can be taken on.
RSIS
Odds of 25/1 and lost ground in the run home when 6th last run here.
Career
18: 1-3-4
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-2
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Fannie Bay
11: 1-1-3
Track CurrentTrack
11: 1-1-3
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
8: 1-1-1
Distance 1100m
9: 0-1-3
Going Firm
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
11: 1-0-3
Going Soft
6: 0-2-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 19% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 49%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 50% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 39% in L100 rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 39 days
AAP
5 weeks since last run. Unable to make an impression this track.
ILB
Started at $11.00 and folded up in the straight when 6th last run at this track. Facing a difficult task.
RP
This is her level; has winning track form; beaten 9l over 5f here (handicap) five weeks ago.
RSIS
At 10/1 tailed off to finish 6th last run at this venue.
Career
15: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
2: 0-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
14: 2-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Jason Manning striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 38%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Form At Track
Positive
2 time winner here at Darwin
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (15-weeks). Ex Ms H Lehmann in SA.
ILB
Fresh from a break. Started at $8.00 and didn't threaten when 6th last start at Port Augusta. Coming to a new trainer. Long shot.
RP
Not disgraced in sixth (Port Augusta) in July; a winner over C&D; first start for current yard.
RSIS
Back from a break. Odds of 7/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last time at Port Augusta. Change in trainer.