Darwin (NT) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:03 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Darwin (NT), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovDarwin (NT)Change

Race 5 — Electrical Supply Solutions Hcp (70) 1100m · jumps Tue 3 Nov, 6:03 pm AEDT

Race notes

0 - 70,0 - 70 HCP,Restricted 70
GOOD
Fine
9 runners

Shortest win price

Steamy Mist (8)

3.60

Most career wins

Patriotic King

10-5-7 from 43 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

9Kalimna Views

Offpace

2Littlebourkestreet
8Steamy Mist
1Rivkin
4King Akeed
6Alaa Plenty

Leader

3Patriotic King
5Texture
7Jumping Power Two

Rivkin · Negative
Jockey Booking
Wayne Davis current POT is 19% below Career Avg.
Littlebourkestreet · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Patriotic King · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 941%
King Akeed · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1RivkinJ: Wayne Davis·T: Peter Stennett760kg6 1 8 4 442: 6-10-7$21.00$3.80

Career

42: 6-10-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-2
Second-up
4: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Dubbo
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-1-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
13: 3-2-2
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
21: 2-4-4
Going Heavy
10: 3-4-1
Going Soft
11: 1-2-2

Last starts

4Fannie Bay1300m3 Oct 2026 · 0 - 70 · GOOD4.53L
4Fannie Bay1200m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 70 · GOOD35.31L
8Fannie Bay1000m29 Aug 2026 · BM76 · GOOD8.9L
1Fannie Bay1200m3 Aug 2026 · 0 - 70 · GOOD-0.5
6Fannie Bay1100m18 July 2026 · 0 - 70 · GOOD7.5L
2Dubbo1100m3 May 2026 · BM82 · GOOD40.5L
5Wellington1100m12 Apr 2026 · OPEN HCP · SOFT53.6L
5Muswellbrook1280m27 Mar 2026 · HCP · SOFT51.9L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Wayne Davis current POT is 19% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 29%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 39% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 31 days

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Sent back to last and safely held in the small field this track. Could add some value to exotics.

ILB

Started at $12.00 and picked up some ground to run 4th last time at this track. Needs a lot of luck in this race.

Not disgraced in fourth over 6½f here (handicap) last month; a few rivals look in good form so others are preferred.

RSIS

Started at 11/1 and made up ground when 4th last run at the track.

2LittlebourkestreetJ: Paul Shiers·T: Paul Shiers959kg1 2 2 1 220: 3-9-2$4.40$1.60

Career

20: 3-9-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-2-0
Track Morphettville
4: 0-0-2
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Track Balaklava
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
5: 1-2-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
5: 1-1-0
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
11: 2-6-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Fannie Bay1100m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 76 · GOOD0.92L
1Fannie Bay1200m25 Sept 2026 · 0 - 70 · GOOD3-3.7
2Fannie Bay1100m5 Sept 2026 · 0 - 70 · GOOD30.6L
2Fannie Bay1100m3 Aug 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD0.8L
1Fannie Bay1100m29 July 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD-5.8
2Fannie Bay1100m8 July 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD31.3L
14Murray Bridge1200m10 Apr 2026 · 0-62 · SOFT513.7L
2Oakbank1100m18 Mar 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY80.06L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Paul Shiers in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 26%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Racing Strongly
Positive
Racing in great shape

Comments

AAP

Racing with some conviction. Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up this course over this journey. Course suits. Can have a major say if she gets the breaks.

ILB

Improved to place when 2nd last start at this venue but rising in weight. Been in the placegetters each start this preparation. Gets a solid chance here.

Normally pretty consistent; on the premises when second of seven two weeks ago.

RSIS

Finished strongly when 2nd last time at the track but will have to carry extra weight. Has run into the placings at every start lately. Major chance.

3Patriotic KingJ: Dakota-Lee Gillett·T: G Clarke259kg1 4 7 9 143: 10-5-7$16.00$3.50

Career

43: 10-5-7

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 2-1-1
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-1-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
11: 3-2-2
Distance 1100m
20: 5-3-2
Distance 1115m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 1-1-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
34: 9-4-5

Last starts

1Fannie Bay1100m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD-2
9Fannie Bay1100m3 Aug 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD8.4L
7Fannie Bay1200m31 Jan 2026 · 0 - 70 · SOFT5.3L
4Fannie Bay1100m9 Jan 2026 · BM76 · GOOD3.1L
1Fannie Bay1200m28 Nov 2025 · 0 - 64 · GOOD-2.4
1Fannie Bay1200m15 Nov 2025 · BM54 · GOOD-0.8
3Fannie Bay1100m18 Oct 2025 · BM54 · GOOD3.2L
1Fannie Bay1000m26 Sept 2025 · 0 - 58 · GOOD-2.4

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 941%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (66-days). All honours in the small field this course when second-up. All the better, can make his presence felt again fresh in this affair.

ILB

Fresh today. Led from start to finish when winning by a margin of 2L last time at the track and has a positive alley. Has early speed and positions nicely. Facing a difficult task.

Has won five times over C&D following 2l success here in August; despite that Fannie Bay success, may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Fresh from a break. Went to the front and never looked back when winning by a margin of 2L last run at this venue and has a positive stall.

4King AkeedJ: Danielle Hirini·T: Tommy Logan358.5kg3 3 7 10 123: 4-3-6$7.00$2.30

Career

23: 4-3-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
5: 1-1-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-2
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-1
Track Pinjarra
1: 0-0-1
Track Geraldton
1: 1-0-0
Track Fannie Bay
10: 2-1-3
Distance 1100m
3: 2-1-0
Distance 1108m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
9: 1-2-1
Going Good
17: 3-1-5
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-1

Last starts

1Fannie Bay1300m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD-0.7
10Fannie Bay2050m3 Aug 2026 · 0 - 70 · GOOD15.4L
7Fannie Bay2050m18 July 2026 · HCP · GOOD5.8L
3Fannie Bay1600m8 July 2026 · 0 - 76 · GOOD33.1L
3Fannie Bay1300m20 June 2026 · BM76 · GOOD2.2L
1Fannie Bay1200m6 June 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD-0.3
2Fannie Bay1200m31 Jan 2026 · BM54 · SOFT0.6L
8Fannie Bay1300m17 Jan 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD6.3L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Just got there in the Hcp (64) this venue. Coming back in distance. Meets stronger company here but at least in good order.

ILB

Picked up nicely to win last time around here. Place claims.

Gained narrow success in a handicap dropped down to 6½f last month; despite that Fannie Bay success, not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Finished well when winning last start at the track.

5TextureJ: Stan Tsaikos·T: D Leech158.5kg2 1 1 1 610: 3-2-0$7.00$2.30

Career

10: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 2-1-0
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 3-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Kununurra1200m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 62+ HCP · GOOD37.7L
1Fannie Bay1200m3 Aug 2026 · 0 - 58 HCP · GOOD-0.2
1Fannie Bay1300m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD3-1.1
1Fannie Bay1200m25 July 2026 · 3Y BM68 · GOOD-0.5
2Swan Hill1200m5 June 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT61.8L
7Bendigo1300m13 May 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.3L
8Sandown1400m8 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.4L
2Echuca1400m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD30.8L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Stan Tsaikos 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Form At Track
Positive
3 time winner here at Darwin

Comments

AAP

Let-up (66-days). Solid 62kg winner at Fannie Bay 3 Aug. Had chance but didn't go on with it at Kununurra. Has scope to lift.

ILB

Back from a break. Started $4.40 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last run at Kununurra but gets the perfect draw. Will be positive in the run early. Can win.

Last of six over 6f at Kununurra (handicap) in August; unbeaten at this course after three runs; leading claims as would have leading chance if back in the same form he showed when winning two starts ago.

RSIS

Back from a break. Started 10/3 and faded to finish 6th last run at Kununurra but drawn by the rails. Should come to hand quickly. One of the punters top hopes.

6Alaa PlentyJ: Jarrod Todd·T: G Clarke858kg6 7 1 8 817: 3-2-2$5.00$1.80

Career

17: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
6: 0-2-0
Second-up
4: 2-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-2
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
7: 0-2-1
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
8: 3-0-1
Going Good
13: 3-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

8Murray Bridge1100m26 Sept 2026 · 0-64 · GOOD44.9L
8Morphettville1100m12 Sept 2026 · BM68 · GOOD42.4L
1Halidon1000m27 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)-0.6
7Morphettville1050m2 May 2026 · Benchmark 64 · SOFT74.4L
6Morphettville1100m11 Apr 2026 · BM70 · SOFT63.6L
3Morphettville1100m28 Mar 2026 · 4UP BM70 · GOOD41L
1Morphettville1100m9 Mar 2026 · CL2 · GOOD4-0.1
1Werribee1100m17 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD4-0.2

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 38 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Fresh. Ex Phillip & Tommy Stokes in SA. Sent out $6 when unable to threaten at Murray Bridge Gh when second-up. Keeping safe at first run for new stable.

ILB

Odds of $6.00 and didn't find the line when 8th last start at Murray Bridge. Giving another chance here and stepping down to a lower level. Very capable of taking this out.

All three wins around this trip and has proven competitive in a race of this nature; not beaten that far in eighth (5l, Murray Bridge Gh) five weeks ago; now running for a new trainer; shown he can win fairly recently and likely to be involved.

RSIS

Started at 5/1 and didn't find the line when 8th last run at Murray Bridge. Can make a comeback and drops back to a suitable class. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.

7Jumping Power TwoJ: Richard Bensley·T: Tommy Logan558kg3 1 5 8 238: 8-4-6$9.00$2.60

Career

38: 8-4-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
8: 2-0-0
Second-up
7: 1-1-2
Third-up
5: 4-0-1
Fourth-up
5: 1-1-1
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Buchan
1: 0-0-1
Distance 800m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 808m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 888m
1: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Firm
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
27: 8-4-4

Last starts

2Fannie Bay1200m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD31.13L
8Fannie Bay1100m3 Oct 2026 · BMNT 73 · GOOD5.96L
5Fannie Bay1100m3 Aug 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD5L
1Fannie Bay1000m25 July 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD-2.5
3Fannie Bay1000m27 June 2026 · 0 - 76 · GOOD6.6L
5Fannie Bay1100m13 June 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD3.7L
1Fannie Bay1100m27 Dec 2025 · 0 - 64 · GOOD-2.2
1Fannie Bay1000m5 Dec 2025 · 0 - 58 · GOOD-1.8

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Form At Track
Positive
5 time winner here at Darwin
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Form 3rd Up
Positive
Has won 4 from 5 when third up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Pushed forward and fought on solidly Hcp (64). Leads, handy. Deep into his campaign, one for exotics.

ILB

Applied plenty of pressure when 2nd beaten by 1L last run around here. Has shown early pace in races to date. Looking elsewhere.

Multiple course winner; ran encouragingly when 1l runner-up here over 6f (handicap) last month; is not ruled out.

RSIS

Displayed a strong effort throughout the race when 2nd last time here. Will be pushing for a forward position early.

8Steamy MistJ: Billy Cray·T: Tommy Logan657.5kg1 8 3 11 113: 3-1-2$3.60$1.40

Career

13: 3-1-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
2: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1012m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
10: 2-1-2
Going Good
7: 3-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0

Last starts

1Fannie Bay1000m17 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD-2.47
11Bendigo1100m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY99.3L
3Wangaratta1000m14 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY100.5L
8Caulfield Heath1000m20 May 2026 · BM66 · SOFT66L
1Werribee1012m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD4-1
4Warracknabeal1000m4 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.5L
3Ballarat1000m20 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD31.5L
6Pakenham1000m26 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD42.3L

Insights

Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 129%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Led, responded strongly to score in small field this course for new trainer. Usually prominent. Stronger challenge here but stays under notice.

ILB

Controlled the pace when winning by almost 2 1/2L last run at the track. Jockey Billy Cray and trainer Tommy Logan are a strong combination. Can't leave out of your calculations.

Admirable career strike-rate (three from 13 to date); won a handicap by 2½l on her debut for this trainer 17 days ago; likely player.

RSIS

Controlled the pace to win by a margin of just short of 2 1/2L last start around here. Jockey Billy Cray and trainer Tommy Logan work well together. Respect the betting.

9Kalimna ViewsJ: Angel Brennan·T: Philip Cole455kg4 8 4 1 719: 3-2-0$34.00$4.80

Career

19: 3-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
6: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
4: 2-0-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
15: 3-1-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0

Last starts

7Fannie Bay1200m24 Oct 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD310.46L
1Fannie Bay1300m18 July 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD-0.4
4Fannie Bay1300m8 July 2026 · F&M 0 - 70 · GOOD35.3L
8Fannie Bay1200m27 June 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD9.4L
4Fannie Bay1100m13 June 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD3.7L
6Fannie Bay1200m23 May 2026 · CL2 · GOOD8.9L
2Fannie Bay1100m9 May 2026 · 0 - 64 · GOOD3.4L
8Geelong1130m12 Dec 2025 · BM66 · GOOD34.8L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Philip Cole striking at just 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -42% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 49%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 50% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Never in the call this venue first run back. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Started $21.00 and disappointing display when 7th last start here. Will be giving the leaders a big start. The large claim from Angel Brennan should help. Can't back with any confidence.

Beaten 11l in seventh over 6f here (handicap, behind Jumping Power Two) ten days ago; others more appealing as this looks a fair heat.

RSIS

Started at 20/1 and below par performance when 7th last start at the track. Does take a while to get into stride. Large claim helps.

Odds correct as at Tue 3 Nov, 6:10 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 5 races
Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 6 races
Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 5 races
Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Sat 19 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 4 races
Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races