Doomben (QLD) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:03 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Doomben (QLD), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovDoomben (QLD)Change

Race 2 — Ladbrokes Hosted Pots (Bm68) 1640m · jumps Tue 3 Nov, 12:33 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Doomben for the Ladbrokes Hosted Pots (Bm68) over 1640m. The track is rated a good4 under overcast skies, setting up a proper test for this 3&4yo benchmark field. Looking at the win market order, punters have zeroed in on Swanfels as the early elect, closely followed by Cryption's Desire, Sorrenti, and Dragon Magic rounding out the leading fancies in the betting yarn.

Swanfels commands plenty of respect at the top of the market after posting a hard-fought win in a similar 3&4yo event over 1666m at Ipswich last time out. Desleigh Forster's runner handles dry ground nicely and looks a serious player here from barrier eight with Daniel Moor in the saddle. Cryption's Desire sits right beside the market leader in the early betting and arrives following a honest runner-up finish behind Swanfels at Ipswich, where Brandon Lerena's mount kept on well for the minor spoils and maps to push forward from barrier four. Sorrenti is another holding strong market interest, coming off a solid third at the Gold Coast over 1400m where a long run from the back caught the eye, suggesting this step up in trip will suit the backmarker down to the ground.

Further down the line, Dragon Magic brings an interesting form line for punters chasing value, having put in a fair shift at Eagle Farm before this assignment, backed up by a win at this exact track and distance in previous racing. With Webinar showing speed maps as the leader from barrier one and the likes of Ancestral and Mahmoa pressing forward on the pace, this 1640m test shapes as an intriguing puzzle where the on-pace runners will try to pinch a break on the backmarkers.

Race notes

3&4Y BM68,3&4Y BM68 HCP,3-4yo,Benchmark 68
GOOD4
Overcast
8 runners

Shortest win price

Cryption's Desire (1)

4.20

Most career wins

Paciera

3-1-1 from 13 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

6Ancestral

Midfield

3Sorrenti
5Swanfels
2Paciera

Offpace

4Dragon Magic
7Mahmoa

Onpace

1Cryption's Desire

Leader

8Webinar

Cryption's Desire · Negative
Jockey Booking
Brandon Lerena current POT is 29% below Career Avg.
Paciera · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Sorrenti · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.
Dragon Magic · Positive
Hot Trainer
Shaun Dwyer in good form, out performing market 36%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Cryption's DesireJ: Brandon Lerena·T: M A Kropp460kg3 2 1 5 28: 1-3-1$4.20$1.50

Career

8: 1-3-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Toowoomba
3: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-1-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1950m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1050m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-3-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Ipswich1666m8 Oct 2026 · 3&4Y BM65 · GOOD40.62L
5Doomben1350m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.5L
1Toowoomba1890m23 May 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-2.64
2Ipswich1950m9 May 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD41.1L
3Ipswich1700m23 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · SOFT52.8L
2Eagle Farm1400m8 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · GOOD41.6L
6Toowoomba1200m14 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN · GOOD46.6L
6Toowoomba1050m14 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY109.8L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Brandon Lerena current POT is 29% below Career Avg.
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 41% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Ipswich second-up. Leads, handy. Seems to prefer it dry. Can challenge again.

ILB

Ran on when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last start at Ipswich. Best to watch and see.

Missed out by half a length (Ipswich) upped to this distance behind Swanfels last month.

RSIS

Came on strongly when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last time at Ipswich.

2PacieraJ: Olivia Kendal·T: Kristie Clark-Peoples359.5kg6 3 5 1 113: 3-1-1$10.00$2.65

Career

13: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Sunshine Coast
4: 1-1-0
Track Toowoomba
3: 1-0-1
Track Kilcoy
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 0-1-1
Distance 1300m
2: 2-0-0
Going Good
6: 1-0-1
Going Soft
7: 2-1-0

Last starts

1Gold Coast1400m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 60 · SOFT70L
1Sunshine Coast1300m2 Oct 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD4-1.21
5Sunshine Coast1200m20 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD42.47L
3Sunshine Coast850m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)0.8L
6Kilcoy1200m22 May 2026 · BM60 · SOFT63.9L
1Toowoomba1300m2 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT5-3.1
8Gold Coast1200m18 Apr 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · SOFT58.1L
2Sunshine Coast Poly Track850m31 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)1.5L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 11% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 68%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 35% Profit on Turnover
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 4%
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row

Comments

AAP

Aiming for hat-trick. Shared top prize at at Gold Coast. Should appreciate stepping up in distance. Well placed for repeat.

ILB

Charged home to win last run at Gold Coast. Undefeated last 2 attempts. Good winning chance.

Proven that she knows how to get her head in front (seeking a fourth career win) and attempts to land a hat-trick; dead-heat with Canadian Fling at Gold Coast over 7f (handicap) two weeks ago; entitled to respect.

RSIS

Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last time at Gold Coast. Unbeaten last 2 starts. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.

3SorrentiJ: Jett Newman·T: M J Dunn559.5kg2 3 1 8 37: 1-2-3$4.60$1.60

Career

7: 1-2-3

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
2: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballina
1: 0-0-1
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1125m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 1-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Gold Coast1400m10 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.72L
8Eagle Farm1400m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.11L
1Coffs Harbour1412m3 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.8
3Ballina1250m11 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY101.4L
2Grafton1125m24 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD32.4L
4Murwillumbah900m1 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial5.3L
3Murwillumbah1200m28 Aug 2025 · Maiden · SOFT70.8L
2Ipswich1200m14 Aug 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.6L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 13%
Key Rider
Positive
Jett Newman 36% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 33%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Put in a long run from the back at Gold Coast. Suited by the longer assignment now. Warrants attention.

ILB

Rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last time at Gold Coast. Racing consistently since returning from a break. Jett Newman takes a large claim. Should go very close.

Finished a decent third of eight over 7f at Gold Coast (handicap) three weeks ago; unexposed in handicaps with this his second start in this company; easy to oppose with stamina to prove over this new distance.

RSIS

Made some ground late when 3rd last start at Gold Coast. In fine form since returning from a break. Large claim helps. Strong chance.

4Dragon MagicJ: Michael Rodd·T: S A Dwyer659kg7 1 6 7 75: 1-0-0$6.50$2.05

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Eagle Farm1300m10 Oct 2026 · 3Y HCP · SOFT53.64L
7Sunshine Coast Poly Track850m15 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.3L
6Eagle Farm1400m29 Aug 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD44.5L
1Doomben1350m5 Aug 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.1
7Eagle Farm1000m15 July 2026 · 2YC&G MDN-SW · GOOD43.9L
7Sunshine Coast850m23 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)12.2L
5Gold Coast1100m10 Jan 2026 · 2Y C&G-SWP · GOOD47.3L

Insights

Hot Trainer
Positive
Shaun Dwyer in good form, out performing market 36%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 15% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Got back, never a serious danger but not disgraced at Eagle Farm. Winner at only other start at Doomben. Can challenge.

ILB

Was $71.00 and not in contention when 7th last run at Eagle Farm but facing a weaker grade. Sharp improvement needed.

Not disgraced when seventh over 6½f at Eagle Farm (handicap) three weeks ago; has won here; his best form stacks up so must be respected.

RSIS

Started at 70/1 and mediocre attempt when 7th last time at Eagle Farm but will find this grade easier.

5SwanfelsJ: Daniel Moor·T: Desleigh Forster859kg2 3 3 6 19: 2-1-3$5.00$1.75

Career

9: 2-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ipswich
4: 1-0-3
Track Gatton
1: 0-1-0
Track Warwick
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1350m
4: 1-0-3
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1666m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-1-2
Going Soft
2: 1-0-1

Last starts

1Ipswich1666m8 Oct 2026 · 3&4Y BM65 · GOOD4-0.62
6Eagle Farm1400m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.62L
3Ipswich1350m2 Sept 2026 · Class 2 · SOFT51.5L
3Ipswich1350m19 Aug 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD43.2L
2Doomben1000m11 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.1L
2Doomben1000m28 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)5.3L
3Ipswich1350m6 Apr 2026 · F&M 0 - 58 · GOOD42.2L
9Eagle Farm1200m25 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 65 · GOOD43.6L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 24% better than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 71%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Posted a hard fought win in the 3&4yo (Bm65) at Ipswich. Handles soft, untested heavy. Looks a serious player.

ILB

Strong effort to the line to win last start at Ipswich but rising in weight. In top racing shape since coming back from a spell. Worth a lot of thought in this race.

Got the job done in a handicap by half a length at Ipswich four weeks ago upped to this trip; should go well.

RSIS

Flew home to win last run at Ipswich but has to cope with a weight increase. In good racing form since returning from a break. Seriously worth strong consideration.

6AncestralJ: Ben E Thompson·T: C J Waller258.5kg6 2 4 1 115: 1-1-0$5.00$1.75

Career

5: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Track Illawarra Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1830m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 1-1-0

Last starts

11Eagle Farm1830m21 Oct 2026 · BM68 · SOFT77.51L
1Doomben1660m5 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-0.51
4Illawarra Grange1450m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L
2Hawkesbury1400m5 Sept 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · GOOD43.9L
6Kembla Grange1200m15 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD45.4L
8Warwick Farm789m4 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.7L
6Rosehill900m30 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)4.4L
6Rosehill900m19 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.4L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 4%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Knocked up after showing speed in rain affected going at Eagle Farm. Drops to shorter trip. Look for an improved effort here.

ILB

Started $41.00 and weakened to finish 11th last time at Eagle Farm but gets a favourable barrier. Does take a while to get into stride. Going up in weight. Can't suggest backing.

Finished 11th of 12 at Eagle Farm over 1m1f (handicap) two weeks ago; a previous winner here; shown recent signs of improvement; winner of a maiden two starts ago so too soon to write her off; warrants plenty of respect.

RSIS

Started 40/1 and faded to finish 11th last time at Eagle Farm but has a positive stall. Might have to make up considerable ground.

7MahmoaJ: Taylor Marshall·T: Jesse Townsend758kg4 2 5 6 19: 1-2-1$23.00$3.90

Career

9: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-2-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-1
Track Casino
1: 0-1-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1526m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-2-1

Last starts

1Gatton1600m1 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-3.76
6Beaudesert1650m17 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD38.63L
5Gold Coast1400m5 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD45.2L
2Toowoomba1300m22 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD41.7L
4Ipswich800m7 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6.9L
3Lismore1526m19 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.7L
4Murwillumbah1550m12 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.4L
4Grafton1400m21 Nov 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT72.5L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 33 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Imposing win from midfield in the Mdn Plate at Gatton. Just out of his maiden and facing tougher challenge here.

ILB

Blitzed its rivals when winning by 3 3/4L last start at Gatton but up in class. Tough race will need luck.

Has found improvement of late; shed maiden status at the ninth time of asking when winning with a bit to spare at Gatton in a maiden 33 days ago; others have more pressing claims despite the last time out success.

RSIS

Kicked clear when winning by 3 3/4L last run at Gatton but competing in a higher grade.

8WebinarJ: Aidan Keeley·T: Stephen Mclean157.5kg6 6 11 13: 1-0-0$11.00$2.90

Career

3: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Warwick
1: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Warwick1500m10 Oct 2026 · MDN · SOFT5-3.36
11Eagle Farm1200m19 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD46.79L
6Grafton1206m29 Aug 2026 · MDN · SOFT52.4L
6Gold Coast800m2 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial3.6L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 415%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Aidan Keeley in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 61%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Margin LS
Positive
Won by a big margin last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Led and in control from go to whoa at Warwick last start. Warrants attention.

ILB

Led from start to finish to win by a margin of almost 3 1/2L last run at Warwick and has drawn the rails. Has plenty of early speed. Simply cannot have in this.

Was well on top at the line over 7½f at Warwick (handicap) when registering his first success at the third time of asking 24 days ago; despite that Warwick success, only limited appeal.

RSIS

Took charge of the race to win by a margin of just short of 3 1/2L last start at Warwick and will appreciate a good stall. Racing in stronger company.

Odds correct as at Tue 3 Nov, 12:40 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 10 races
Mon 5 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Wed 30 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races
Sat 12 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races