Shortest win price
Veomas (7)
2.15
Welcome to Doomben for the Moreton Hire Mdn Plate over 1350m on a good4 track under overcast skies, set to jump at 3:42 pm AEDT. Looking at how the win market is shaping up in this maiden affair, Veomas currently sits at the head of affairs as the shortest runner in the market. Right behind at the top end of betting we find Xami, Boots, and Motivating rounding out the early fancies for punters trying to unravel this puzzle.
Veomas arrives with plenty of exposed form, coming off a solid second at Ipswich over 1350m on good4 where the ears were scrubbed off early to cross and lead before keeping on bravely for the minors. Trainer T J Gollan has this runner well drawn from gate 2, mapping to get a sweet run with Angela Jones in the saddle. Another key player near the front of the market is Xami for trainer C J Waller, a hefty 410k purchase out of a stakes-winning mare who comes to hand via a few useful trials including a Gold Coast win and a recent Beaudesert placing with Andrew Mallyon booked from barrier 3.
Further down the line, we can piece together the rest of the puzzle using the speed maps and stable angles. Hard Knox is marked as the leader from barrier 7, while runners like Mr Hilton, Veomas, and D'Vincee settle off the pace. Boots, trained by Stuart and Bayley Kendrick, comes in from the inside barrier 1 under Jag Guthmann-Chester, looking to build on a late-rally fourth at this course over 1200m four weeks back. Meanwhile, Motivating resumes for Chris Anderson from barrier 8 after a Doomben barrier trial placing, though others may carry more punch based on historical data.
Shortest win price
Veomas (7)
2.15
Back left · leaders right
Firststart
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Deals · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hard Knox · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 11% in Last 100 Rides
Mr Hilton · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Veomas · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1660m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 39%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 25% POT in L100 Runners
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Taken back and safely held in shallow field this venue at second appearance. Coming back in distance. Among the dangers.
ILB
Was $4.60 and not up to standard when 6th last time here and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Does take a while to get into stride. Keep safe.
RP
Last of six over 1m here (maiden) last month; enters calculations.
RSIS
Started at 7/2 and below par when 6th last time at this track and will be down in distance. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Watch betting.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offmidfield
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Two runs to date have been lacklustre. Needs a substantial turnaround.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Ran well when 3rd last run at Gold Coast and will try to take advantage of the alley.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Finished 3rd last time at Gold Coast and has a good draw.
Career
5: 0-2-2
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
2: 0-2-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 11% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (21-weeks). Produced some fair results last prep without winning. Just collared in Maiden company at Sunshine Coast Poly first-up last campaign while brought back with a Sunshine Coast Inner trial. Has claims.
ILB
Fresh after a break. Ran out of steam towards the end when 3rd last start at Sunshine Coast and putting a tidy record together. Dropping weight. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Finished third of 13 in a handicap at Sunshine Coast five months ago upped to 1m; stepped up on his last two starts; returns from a layoff here.
RSIS
Resuming. Was outmatched at the end of the race when 3rd last run at Sunshine Coast and good career start. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Has some claims.
Career
6: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
2: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Gatton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -37% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Has struggled to make an impression. Ran an honest race and not beaten far at Ipswich second-up at cricket score odds. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
Backing up quickly. Underwhelming when 8th last run at Gold Coast.
RP
Respectable display to finish eighth, beaten 2½l in a handicap at Gold Coast on Saturday; attempting to get off the mark at the seventh time of asking (sixth his best finish so far); not been able to get his head in front lately so has some questions to answer.
RSIS
On a short back up. Underwhelming when 8th last run at Gold Coast.
Career
6: 0-2-2
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-1
Track Sunshine Coast
1: 0-1-0
Track Gatton
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
4: 0-2-1
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Been in the thick of it. Kept coming and just fell short at Ipswich. Can challenge again.
ILB
Was agonizingly close last start at Ipswich. Has been a model of consistency since coming back from a spell. Watch betting.
RP
Has arguably shown improved form the last twice; not beaten far over 6f at Ipswich (handicap) 19 days ago; not been able to get his head in front lately so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
RSIS
Right in contention last run at Ipswich. Looking sharp on the track in recent runs. Could be in the mix.
Career
15: 0-0-4
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1435m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Kristie Clark-Peoples striking at just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -35% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
First-up (17-weeks). Ex Denis Pagan in Victoria. Tuned up with a couple of trials. Place preferred option fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Fresh after a break. Produced an eye catching run when 3rd beaten by 3 3/4L last start at Moe but will be dropping in distance.
RP
Could not land a telling blow when third despite odds of 2-9 at Moe over 1m4f (maiden) four months ago; seems to be improving based on last two runs but yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at 15; runs for a new yard here; layoff to overcome; probably unlikely to trouble the principals; also engaged in race 1 at Sunshine Coast.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Claimed a spot in the placings when 3rd beaten by 3 3/4L last start at Moe but back to a shorter trip.
Career
11: 0-3-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-1-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1110m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1225m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
11: 0-3-1
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ears scrubbed off early to cross and lead but kept on bravely for the minors over this distance. Maps to get a sweet run. Wet-weather credentials the big query. High on the shortlist.
ILB
Close up last run at Ipswich and can find a nice position from the draw. Expect a bold effort.
RP
Found one too strong when beaten a neck (Ipswich) 26 days ago; shown recent signs of improvement but yet to open his account after 11 starts.
RSIS
Was agonizingly close last time at Ipswich and drawn nicely. The testing material.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Sunshine Coast
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 75%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 29 days
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Made late rally from the back this course for new trainer. Only for exotics.
ILB
Kept chasing when 4th last time at this venue and can save some energy from the barrier. Watch the betting.
RP
Far from disgraced (beaten just over 2l) over 6f here (maiden) on first run for his current trainer last month.
RSIS
Made up ground when 4th last run around here and drawn the rails. Betting is the best guide.
Career
5: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 9%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 20%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Second campaign (22-weeks). Just the one Sunshine Coast placing to his credit. Close in Open company at Doomben first-up last campaign. Others carry more punch.
ILB
First up today. Odds of $5.00 and finished 5th last run at Sunshine Coast Poly Track. Rough chance.
RP
Five-race maiden but has managed to finish third; beaten fifth of eight at Sunshine Coast five months ago; returns from a break today; others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Fresh after a break. Was 4/1 and finished 5th last run at Sunshine Coast Poly Track.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
AAP
Trials (5:0-0-0). Out of an unraced full sister to Listed winner Northwest Passage. Will take benefit from his 5 barrier trials. Look to market for a further guide.
ILB
On a short back up. Started $12.00 and average effort when 9th last run at Gold Coast but having second career run.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Odds of 11/1 and tailed off when 9th last start at Gold Coast but having second career run.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Lismore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Brandon Lerena current POT is 29% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 99%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 41% in L100 rides
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Now 5 weeks between runs. Not too far off them at Lismore on debut 25 Sep. Benefits from the experience. Only for exotics here..
ILB
Started at $12.00 and chased well when 5th last start at Lismore and having second race start. Considerable improvement needed.
RP
Beaten just over 3l to finish fifth on debut over 6f at Lismore at 11-1 five weeks ago; capable of making an impact.
RSIS
Started at 11/1 and ran on into 5th last time at Lismore and fitter for debut run.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Jett Newman 36% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 400%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Jett Newman winning at 23% POT in last 100 rides
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (21-weeks). Offered little to catch the eye on debut this venue as an outsider 3 Jun. Wasn't extended in latest Gold Coast trial 6 Oct. Must show more.
ILB
First up after a break. Didn't attack the line when 6th last start at this venue but fitter for debut run. Jett Newman provides some weight relief.
RP
Held on her debut here at 66-1 five months ago; layoff to overcome; will need to progress to get off the mark.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Gave away some ground when 6th last start at the track but was on debut last time. Jett Newman takes a large claim.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Beaudesert
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 27%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
AAP
Freshened. Went home tamely this course at second outing. at $101. Hard to make a case.
ILB
At $101.00 ran 6th last run at this track. Needs significant improvement.
RP
Held in sixth over 6f here (maiden) last month; warrants respect.
RSIS
At 100/1 came in 6th last time at this venue.
Career
2: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Daniel Moor 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Second campaign (20-weeks). In the minors at Doomben on debut last campaign while trialling 3 times ahead of return. Fair debut, but failed to build on it next time out. Hope for exotics only.
ILB
First up after 20 weeks and ran on strongly when 2nd first up last preparation at this track on a heavy surface. Definite winning chance.
RP
Finished last of ten at Gold Coast five months ago; returning from a layoff here; she can be taken on.
RSIS
Resuming and came on strongly to finish 2nd when beaten by 3/4L resuming last preparation around here. Capable of winning this.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
Gap In Runs
Negative
Not raced for 41 days
AAP
Kept fresh since resuming. Ex Michael Freedman in NSW. Finished well held at Warwick Farm off spell. Big watch under new trainer.
ILB
Started at $7.50 and hit the line well when 5th last start at Warwick Farm. First appearance for a new trainer.
RSIS
At 13/2 made some ground when 5th last run at Warwick Farm. Change in trainer.
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 28% POT in L100 Runners
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (6:1-3-1). $410k purchase. Out of a stakes-winning mare. Was an earlier trial winner on the Gold Coast track. Benefit of decent alley. Betting may provide a clearer picture.
ILB
3yo by Noverre racing as a debutant for trainer Christian Frederick Waller. Keep your eye on the market.
RP
Related to Grade 1 winner Skew Wiff; yard can ready one first time out; the only newcomer in the field; New Zealander bred; plenty of appeal with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Racing as a debutant 3yo by Noverre for Christian Frederick Waller.