Shortest win price
Fiorenot (2)
2.60
Welcome to Flemington for the Ronald Mcdonald House Vic/Tas Mile, a sharp Benchmark 84 test over the 1600m journey on a good four surface with some showers about. Looking at the early win market order, punters have zeroed in on Fiorenot holding sway at the head of affairs, closely followed by Superfabulistic next in line, with He'll Rip, Roulette King and Test Of Love not too far away in the betting. It is a competitive 4UP affair where the tempo promises to be interesting with speed scattered right across the field.
Delving into the form behind those shorter prices, Fiorenot comes here after picking up strongly from the back half at Caulfield over 1400m when finishing runner-up following a market drift, suggesting the extra furlong will suit nicely with Jordan Childs in the saddle for trainer Tom Dabernig from barrier four. Another drawing plenty of respect is Superfabulistic from the Waterhouse and Bott yard, who ran a honest third over this mile trip at Warwick Farm last time out, showing plenty of purpose and appealing strongly with Rachel King retaining the ride from gate two.
Further down the line, keep an eye on the backmarkers and speed influences, with Roulette King dropping back from Listed grade after failing to threaten at Randwick over a shorter trip when resuming as an outsider for trainer T Rogers, though boasting an unbeaten second-up record and Jamie Mott taking the reins. Meanwhile, He'll Rip is back on the quick back-up for trainers L and T Corstens and W Larkin after a fair effort over 1400m at this venue, and with Blake Shinn aboard from barrier eight, this hard fit galloper could easily make some noise in a open contest.
Shortest win price
Fiorenot (2)
2.60
Most career wins
Nation's Call
7-6-5 from 35 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Roulette King · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Fiorenot · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Nation's Call · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are under performing market expectations by -23%
He'll Rip · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -51% POT in their L100 Races
Career
6: 4-0-0
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1140m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 4-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now
AAP
Failed to threaten at Randwick off long break as an outsider. Unbeaten second-up. Back from Listed level. Not out of this.
ILB
Struggled with the pace when 12th last run at Randwick but up against a less challenging field. Rises in weight. Could feature prominently.
RP
Well beaten in the Silver Eagle (dropped back to 6½f) at Randwick three weeks ago; has made an impressive start to his career with four wins from six starts; can have a big say if replicating his best form and was successful two starts back.
RSIS
Weakened under pressure when 12th last run at Randwick but competing at a lower level of competition. Has a great burst of pace late. Can win.
Career
13: 5-5-1
Rating · IRD
96
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 1-2-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Bendigo
3: 1-2-0
Track Caulfield
3: 1-1-1
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2040m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
12: 5-5-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
AAP
Picked up strongly from back half at Caulfield following market easing. Stripping fitter, will take stopping in this company.
ILB
Good run when finishing 2nd last start at Caulfield. Has a great burst of speed late. Been in the placegetters each start this preparation. Definite winning chance.
RP
Has winning track form; close up runner-up over 7f at Caulfield (handicap) finished just ahead of He'll Rip three weeks ago; stable is ticking along nicely; must be respected.
RSIS
Claimed a spot in the top three when 2nd last start at Caulfield. Has good finishing pace. Has run into the money 2 from 2 attempts lately. Capable type.
Career
35: 7-6-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 1-2-0
Second-up
5: 1-0-2
Third-up
5: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-2-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-1-0
Track Sandown
5: 1-0-1
Track Navan
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1609m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 2039m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 3-2-3
Going Heavy
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
15: 3-3-2
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -23%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 18%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Off midfield when flew home to score at Cranbourne over today's trip. Looks up against it here.
ILB
Finished well when winning last start at Cranbourne but competing in a higher grade. Displaying improvement over the past few runs. Would rather look at others.
RP
Got the job done in a handicap by three-quarters of a length at Cranbourne 15 days ago; C&D has proven suitable before; others more appealing despite that win at Cranbourne.
RSIS
Strong effort to the line to win last run at Cranbourne but facing a stronger group of contenders. Form has been improving over recent runs.
Career
42: 5-9-5
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 1-0-0
Second-up
5: 1-3-0
Third-up
5: 0-3-0
Fourth-up
5: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1440m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
26: 2-7-3
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
13: 3-1-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -51% POT in their L100 Races
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Long Prep
Negative
Yet to find the winners stall this prep
AAP
On a quick back-up. Fair effort without threatening this venue. Hard fit, capable of making an impact.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Jumped at $16.00 and finished 6th last time at the track. Could feature here.
RP
Has won previously at this course; not disgraced when sixth over 7f here (handicap) on Tuesday; this looks a decent race so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Started at 15/1 and ran 6th last time at the track. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
18: 5-1-1
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 1-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1207m
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1408m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1415m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
11: 3-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 35%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Won Open Hcp Warrnambool 7 May. Led, gave away final stages at Randwick second-up. Leads, handy. All the better, has some claims.
ILB
Odds of $26.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 4th last start at Randwick. Has the speed to overcome the wide draw. Slim chance.
RP
Admirable career strike-rate (five from eight to date); creditable effort (went off 25-1) to finish fourth over 7f at Randwick (handicap) three weeks ago; others more persuasive as meeting a number of horses who are in good form.
RSIS
Started 25/1 and faded late when 4th last start at Randwick. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw.
Career
12: 4-1-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
7: 3-0-1
Track Murray Bridge
2: 1-0-0
Track Gawler
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 3-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-0-1
Going Good
9: 3-1-2
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 29% lower than Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -35% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 28% in L100 rides
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Brave effort in busy finish at Gawler. Not out of this.
ILB
Odds of $16.00 and ran 4th last time at Gawler and goes up in weight. Has a nice turn of foot. Should run a competitive race.
RP
Career record shows her ability to win (wins-runs record of 4-12); solid run when fourth over 7½f at Gawler (handicap) last month; others are preferred in what appears to be a competitive contest.
RSIS
At 15/1 came in 4th last time at Gawler and going up in weight. Can go through the gears. Strong contender.
Career
10: 3-0-1
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 1-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 2040m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2180m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 1-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
T & C McEvoy striking at just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 44%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 52% Profit on Turnover
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
AAP
Resuming (23-weeks). Struggled through last campaign. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
First up from a spell. Started at $41.00 and tailed off to finish 15th last run at Eagle Farm but stepping down to a lower level. Back in trip. Appears tested.
RP
Possesses winning form at this track; out of the money and beaten 16l in the Queensland Derby in May at Eagle Farm upped to 1m4f; returns from a break today; is respected now dropping in class.
RSIS
Back from a break. Odds of 40/1 and gave away some ground when 15th last run at Eagle Farm but taking on easier opposition. Lining up as a gelding.
Career
9: 3-1-1
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1590m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
7: 3-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 44%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 52% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
AAP
Resuming (22-weeks). Hasn't raced since QLD Oaks. 3rd & 4th at recent jump-outs. Keep safe.
ILB
First up and found another gear when winning by a margin of 3 1/4L first up last preparation at Wangaratta. Dropping in grade. Coming back in trip. Place hope.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 18 back down to 1m3f (Eagle Farm) five months ago in a Group 1; has won previously at this course; returns from a layoff; could be in the mix based on the pick of her form and she was a winner three starts ago.
RSIS
Resuming and was a comprehensive winner by 3 1/4L resuming last preparation at Wangaratta. Challenged by weaker competitors. Will be down in distance.
Career
11: 2-2-3
Rating · IRD
90
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-1
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1610m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 2200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-1-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Rider found a forward spot at Caulfield but she put in a very lacklustre finish second-up. Easier race off Group 2 assignment. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Odds of $61.00 and came in 6th last start at Caulfield but competing in a less challenging grade. Has some claims.
RP
Has lacked consistency of late; was sixth of 11, beaten 6l, at Caulfield over 7f (Group 2) last month; easy enough to take on despite dropping in class.
RSIS
Odds of 60/1 and finished 6th last start at Caulfield but facing less formidable opponents. Betting is the best guide.
Career
19: 3-5-0
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-1-0
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
8: 0-2-0
Distance 1700m
2: 0-1-0
Going Good
14: 1-5-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 2-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -70% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Failed to threaten at Bendigo second-up. Stripping fitter, outside place prospect at best.
ILB
Was $13.00 and faded away to finish 12th last start at Bendigo but drawn well. Goes down in weight. Should go very close.
RP
Finished towards the rear of 14 over 7f at Bendigo (handicap) last Wednesday; form has been a bit mixed lately and a while since he's been in the winners' enclosure (last win two years ago); others more persuasive given the strong opposition here.
RSIS
Odds of 12/1 and didn't threaten when 12th last run at Bendigo but drawn by the rails. Gets some weight taken off. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.
Career
9: 4-1-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 1-0-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
6: 3-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
William Pike 42% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 75%
Hot Jockey
Positive
William Pike in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 42%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 5kg from LS run
AAP
Unable to make an impression at Cranbourne. Fitter second-up. W Pike key booking. Can play a role.
ILB
Pushed past some when 4th last time at Cranbourne but competing at a higher class. William Pike adds value and will benefit with the weight drop. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
Not disgraced when fourth of six over 7f at Cranbourne (handicap) on debut for new trainer last month; easy enough to take on as this is a fairly competitive event.
RSIS
Made up ground when 4th last run at Cranbourne but challenged by more formidable competitors. Will be motoring home late. William Pike adds value and suited by the weight drop. Watch the betting.
Career
20: 4-1-6
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-0-3
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
3: 1-0-2
Track Caulfield
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
8: 2-0-3
Distance 1400m
7: 1-1-1
Distance 1410m
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-1
Going Good
13: 3-1-4
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -46% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Not disgraced at Cranbourne over this distance last time out. One for your wider exotics.
ILB
Started at $9.50 and didn't attack the line when 7th last start at Cranbourne and facing stiffer opposition.
RP
Fair effort when 2½l seventh to Nation's Call (Cranbourne) last month; has won here before; meeting some horses in good form and hard to recommend.
RSIS
Was 17/2 and struggled with the pace when 7th last start at Cranbourne and rising in class.
Career
9: 3-3-2
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 1-1-1
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
2: 1-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Canterbury
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 2-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 29% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -30%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 18%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
Down In Weight
Positive
Drops 6.5kg from LS run
AAP
Handy, knuckled down with purpose at Warwick Farm. Makes strong appeal.
ILB
Ran home into 3rd last time at Warwick Farm and gets a favourable draw. Should race on the speed. Has run into the money all attempts this campaign. Strong claims in this.
RP
Been running well in defeat of late; beaten less than a length when third at Warwick Farm 17 days ago; also engaged in race 5 at Flemington.
RSIS
Claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd beaten by 1L last start at Warwick Farm and has a good draw. Won't be far away during the run. One of the punters top hopes.