Shortest win price
Cosmic Crusader (1)
3.30
Welcome to Flemington for the Tab Champions Stakes, a cracking Group 1 3UP WFA test over 2000m on a Good 4 surface with showers about. The win market lines up with Cosmic Crusader holding sway at the head of affairs, closely followed by Aeliana, Sir Delius, and Birdman rounding out the sharper end of betting. Punters looking at the yarn of the race will notice a strong tactical battle shaping up with speed groups featuring Light Infantry Man and Sir Delius pressing on-pace, while runners like Cosmic Crusader and Aeliana look to stalk from an offpace lane.
The form behind those shorter prices reads like a compelling chapter. Cosmic Crusader comes into this via Andrea Leek with William Pike aboard from barrier 10, having bided time at the back before letting down smartly to win the Cox Plate last start over 2040m on good going. Aeliana is right there in the market from barrier 4 for C J Waller and James McDonald, showing a fine turn of foot to storm home for third in that same Flemington feature. Birdman for C J Waller and Ben Melham gets out from barrier 1 off a fast-finishing second in the Cox Plate, going down narrowly after picking up strongly from the back half. Sir Delius for G Waterhouse & A Bott wears blinkers this time from barrier 7, looking to bounce back after having every chance behind the leader last time out.
Shortest win price
Cosmic Crusader (1)
3.30
Most career wins
Cosmic Crusader
12-3-4 from 24 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Cosmic Crusader · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides
Light Infantry Man · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Sir Delius · Positive
Maps Well
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Attrition · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -54% POT in their L100 Races
Career
24: 12-3-4
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 4-0-0
Second-up
4: 3-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-1
Track Flemington
2: 2-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 2-0-0
Track Caulfield
5: 2-1-1
Distance 1200m
4: 3-0-0
Distance 1400m
8: 4-1-3
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
17: 6-3-3
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
6: 5-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 33% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 110%
Hot Trainer
Positive
Andrea Leek in good form, out performing market 47%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
William Pike in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 42%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
AAP
Bided his time at the back and let down smartly to win the Cox Plate last start. Has been in sparkling form this season. Appears to be a major player again.
ILB
Ran on strongly to win last start around here. Added confidence with William Pike doing the steering. Racing consistently this prep. Great chance.
RP
Got the job done in the Cox Plate by three-quarters of a length dropped back in distance accounting for six of these two weeks ago; yet to taste defeat at this track, winning on two visits and a good record at this level; can make his presence felt.
RSIS
Flew home to win last time here. Jockey William Pike has been successful previously. Definite claims.
Career
39: 7-6-4
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Leader
First-up
7: 1-0-1
Second-up
6: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 0-2-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-1
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-0
Track Yarmouth
1: 1-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1609m
4: 0-0-2
Distance 1800m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
30: 5-3-4
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
6: 2-2-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 19% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Mark Zahra 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track And Dist
Positive
Loves at this track and trip
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Forwardly placed, retreated last time in the Plate. Likely to race forward again but will need to improve from that effort.
ILB
Jumped at $21.00 and faded away to finish 11th last start at the track. Will be positive in the run early. Would need to step up.
RP
Course specialist (three wins from eight); finished 11th in the Cox Plate last month; meeting some horses in good form and hard to recommend.
RSIS
At 20/1 didn't find the line when 11th last start at the track. Should race on the pace.
Career
16: 7-2-3
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 2-1-1
Second-up
3: 1-0-1
Third-up
3: 2-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 1-0-0
Track Flemington
4: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2000m
5: 3-0-1
Distance 2040m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 3-0-3
Going Good
8: 3-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Seemingly had every chance behind Cosmic Crusader in the Cox Plate. High class performer & would be no surprise to see him bounce back to form here.
ILB
Was $5.00 and came in 6th last run at the track. Can make a comeback and will be well suited at the trip. Blinkers go on for the first time. Will go close.
RP
Out of the frame in the Cox Plate here (beaten 5l) when behind Cosmic Crusader last month; has won here; is a top-level performer; has won in classy company before and should not be far away.
RSIS
Started 4/1 and came in 6th last time around here. Happy to overlook that run and strong performer at this distance. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Should go very close.
Career
34: 5-5-5
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
7: 1-1-1
Second-up
6: 1-1-1
Third-up
5: 0-0-2
Fourth-up
5: 3-2-0
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
4: 2-1-0
Distance 1400m
10: 1-1-0
Distance 1412m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
24: 4-4-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
8: 1-1-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -54% POT in their L100 Races
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Latest conquest Hill Stakes at Rosehill 10 Oct. Off pace, only battled home this track as an outsider. Hard to warm to here.
ILB
Started at $71.00 and didn't threaten when 9th last start around here. Looks to be in trouble.
RP
Out of the money and beaten 10l in the Cox Plate last month; makes limited appeal as has a lot on his plate here.
RSIS
Started 70/1 and was well beaten when 9th last run around here.
Career
26: 7-5-2
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
4: 2-1-0
Third-up
4: 2-0-1
Fourth-up
4: 0-2-0
Track Leopardstown
1: 0-0-0
Track Navan
1: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1800m
3: 2-1-0
Going Good
20: 6-3-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end
AAP
Has been racing in fine fashion in recent weeks. Picked up strongly from back half and went down narrowly in the Cox Plate. Looks well suited again.
ILB
Picked up late ground when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time around here and strong form at the trip. Jockey Ben Melham has been successful previously. One of the punters top hopes.
RP
Has been consistent of late and has proved himself a top performer; behind Cosmic Crusader when beaten three-quarters of a length to finish runner-up in the Cox Plate 14 days ago.
RSIS
Finished with intent when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time around here and hard to fault at this distance. Added confidence with Ben Melham doing the steering. Has claims.
Career
31: 4-3-2
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-0-0
Third-up
5: 2-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Randwick
5: 2-0-0
Track Kempton
2: 0-0-0
Track Southwell
1: 0-1-0
Distance 3200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
7: 1-1-0
Going Good
23: 4-3-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
7: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 23% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 50%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Annexed the Might And Power at Caulfield 10 Oct. Prominent but got the staggers and surrendered quickly this track. Looking elsewhere.
ILB
Jumped at $41.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 12th last start at this venue. Should be rolling forward early from the wide barrier. Prefer in an easier race.
RP
Finished last in the Cox Plate when behind Cosmic Crusader last month; took the Might And Power last month; others have more pressing claims as this is a fairly competitive event.
RSIS
Was 40/1 and weakened under pressure when 12th last run at the track. Has the necessary pace to overcome the wide draw.
Career
32: 5-4-3
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
8: 1-1-0
Second-up
7: 2-1-0
Third-up
6: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-1
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
7: 0-0-0
Track Eagle Farm
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-2-0
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
25: 4-3-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-1
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 50% Profit on Turnover
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Had all before him at turn and went home tamely here last time. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Was $15.00 and underperformed when 10th last time here and racing against tougher rivals. Expected to settle towards the tail. Looking elsewhere today.
RP
Has won here before; has gained all his wins at a lower level; held when tenth beaten 6l two weeks ago in a Group 2; probably unlikely to trouble the principals as this is a fairly competitive event.
RSIS
At 14/1 was nothing special when 10th last run at the track and competing in a higher grade. Expected to settle towards the tail.
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
On a short back-up. Knuckled down strongly from back half to salute in the Melbourne Cup Day Plate Open 1800m Tuesday. Stiffer task now but don't undersell.
ILB
On a short back up. Charged home to win last time around here but challenged by more formidable competitors.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Stormed home to win last start at this track but racing against tougher rivals.
Career
14: 2-1-5
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-0-2
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Leopardstown
2: 0-0-0
Track Deauville
1: 0-0-0
Track Navan
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2069m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 2148m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2414m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
10: 2-0-4
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 5kg weight here
AAP
Knuckled down well for third in Geelong Cup behind Point Of Law when firmed from $21 into $15. Form has been well franked. Include in your multis. P
ILB
Was amongst the placegetters when 3rd beaten by 2L last start at Geelong but racing in stronger company. Likely to get back in the run. Has more weight to carry. Can't back with any confidence.
RP
Gave a good account on his debut over 1m4f at Geelong at 14-1 last month; on target two in 13 attempts overseas.
RSIS
Ran on when 3rd beaten by 2L last run at Geelong but taking on stronger competition. Prefers to settle towards the tail. Hoping that the added weight won't hurt.
Career
22: 6-7-3
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 0-2-1
Second-up
4: 0-3-0
Third-up
4: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
4: 2-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-1-2
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
4: 2-1-1
Distance 2400m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
14: 2-5-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-1
Going Soft
6: 4-1-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 13% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Racing Solidly
Positive
In peak form
AAP
She showed a fine turn of foot to storm home for third in the Cox Plate behind Cosmic Crusader last start. Looks extremely well suited here and jockey is in form. Hard to beat.
ILB
Hit the line well when 3rd last time at this venue. In good racing form since returning from a spell. Jockey James Mcdonald has a high strike rate on board. Should progress and will be close.
RP
Made the places in the Cox Plate last month, behind the reopposing Cosmic Crusader; been running well of late and some good wins on the cv; is not ruled out.
RSIS
Finished strongly when 3rd last time at this track. Jockey James Mcdonald has been successful aboard previously. Been in the money frequently recently. Attracts support.
Career
24: 11-5-3
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
6: 2-2-1
Second-up
5: 3-1-0
Third-up
5: 2-2-1
Fourth-up
4: 2-0-1
Track Rosehill
1: 1-0-0
Track Randwick
2: 1-0-1
Track Caulfield
10: 4-2-1
Distance 2040m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2400m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 3-0-0
Going Good
19: 8-5-3
Jockey Booking
Negative
Daniel Stackhouse current POT is 14% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -26% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 18%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Battled home okay in Caulfield Cup last start when got a long way back in the field. Shapes as a rough place prospect.
ILB
Jumped at $26.00 and ran 7th last run at Caulfield but have to respect the form at this distance. Interesting gear change of blinkers on first time. Prefer in something easier.
RP
Specialist here with three wins; not far behind Cosmic Crusader when seventh at Caulfield last month upped to 1m4f; shown signs of promise here and there and entitled to respect.
RSIS
Started 25/1 and ran 7th last run at Caulfield but proven runner at this distance. Blinkers go on for the first time and drawn nicely.