Shortest win price
Autumn Glow (8)
1.18
Welcome to Flemington for the Vrc Champions Mile, a cracking Group 1 test over 1600m on a Good4 surface with showers about. Punters eyeing off the win market have found Autumn Glow sitting at the head of affairs, closely followed in the betting order by Tom Kitten, Buckaroo, and Lindermann making up the primary fancies. It is a ripper field assembled for this weight-for-age clash.
Autumn Glow brings a flawless form line to the table for trainer C J Waller and jockey James Mc Donald, having scored a strong victory in the King Charles Group 1 at Randwick over 1600m prior to this. Tom Kitten for A & S Freedman lines up here with Mark Zahra in the saddle from barrier 5, coming off a solid effort when finishing second in the Craven Plate at Randwick over 1800m and boasting the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start. Meanwhile, stablemate Lindermann is drawn in barrier 3 and maps as the leader, looking to repeat the toughness shown when winning in dominant fashion at Randwick last time out.
For those hunting value further down the line, Buckaroo is locked away in barrier 6 for Ben Melham and C J Waller, coming off a close-up second in the Crystal Mile over this exact track and distance. With speed maps showing Lindermann taking up the running early and runners like Tom Kitten and Buckaroo settling off the midfield, this 1600m affair sets up as an intriguing tactical yarn for the punters.
Shortest win price
Autumn Glow (8)
1.18
Most career wins
Autumn Glow
14-0-1 from 15 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Tom Kitten · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Lindermann · Positive
Hot Trainer
Chris Waller in good form, out performing market 22%
Buckaroo · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Sepals · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Career
36: 8-4-6
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
8: 3-1-0
Second-up
7: 2-0-1
Third-up
7: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
6: 0-2-1
Track Warwick Farm
1: 1-0-0
Track Randwick
16: 2-3-3
Track Caulfield
4: 1-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
9: 2-1-1
Distance 1600m
12: 3-1-2
Going Good
25: 6-4-4
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-1
Going Soft
8: 1-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 19% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Mark Zahra 24% above market expected in L100 Rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Solid performance in defeat in the Craven Plate at Randwick last start. Races well here. Each way claims.
ILB
Finished with intent when 2nd last run at Randwick but racing in stronger company. Has very good closing speed. Can't leave out of your calculations.
RP
A winner over C&D; has maintained his consistent level of form; not beaten far last month at Randwick behind Lindermann in a Group 2; has to be considered.
RSIS
Produced an eye catching run when 2nd last time at Randwick but up against a more competitive field. Shows very good finishing pace. Watch the betting.
Career
44: 10-10-4
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Leader
First-up
10: 0-2-1
Second-up
9: 4-1-2
Third-up
9: 1-3-1
Fourth-up
8: 2-4-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-1-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
10: 4-3-1
Distance 1600m
11: 2-2-2
Distance 1800m
8: 3-1-0
Distance 1900m
2: 1-1-0
Going Good
25: 8-6-3
Going Heavy
6: 0-0-0
Going Soft
13: 2-4-1
Hot Trainer
Positive
Chris Waller in good form, out performing market 22%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 18%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Won in dominant fashion at Randwick last time out when fought on bravely from the front. A few runs under his belt this campaign, can make his presence felt again.
ILB
Took charge of the race when winning by 1L last time at Randwick but taking on stronger opponents. Shows good early pace. Going well this campaign. Could be in the mix.
RP
Career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 10-44); scored by a slim margin in a Group 2 at Randwick last month.
RSIS
Controlled the pace to win by 1L last start at Randwick but stepping up to a higher level. Will be positive in the run early.
Career
37: 5-8-5
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
9: 1-2-2
Second-up
8: 2-1-1
Third-up
7: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 0-3-0
Track CurrentTrack
6: 0-2-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1609m
5: 2-1-0
Distance 1800m
5: 1-1-0
Going Good
24: 3-6-3
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-2-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 22%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kept coming and just fell short in the G2 Crystal Mile here over this trip. Include in your wider exotic plays.
ILB
Finished amongst the placegetters when 2nd last run around here but up in grade. Likely to get back in the run. Needs to improve.
RP
Close up runner-up when dropped to this trip with Another Wil just behind last month in a Group 2.
RSIS
Did well to run into 2nd beaten by 1/2L last start at the track but taking on stronger competition. Expected to settle towards the tail.
Career
15: 5-3-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Rosehill
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 1-0-0
Track Randwick
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
8: 5-2-0
Going Good
9: 3-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
5: 2-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Key Rider
Positive
Ethan Brown 41% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 39%
Key Jockey
Positive
Ethan Brown winning at 24% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Well back and never sighted at Rosehill second-up. Room for improvement here. Could get into the placings.
ILB
Started $4.20 and not up to scratch when 15th last start at Rosehill and stepping up to a higher level. Watching with interest.
RP
Last of 15 when favourite over 7f at Rosehill (Group 3) last month; has won here before; form has been a bit mixed lately; easy enough to take on as has a lot on his plate here.
RSIS
At 10/3 was ordinary when 15th last time at Rosehill and matched against a stronger field.
Career
70: 8-15-8
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
8: 0-2-1
Second-up
7: 1-0-0
Third-up
7: 2-2-1
Fourth-up
6: 0-2-2
Track Caulfield
15: 0-2-3
Track Moonee Valley
9: 2-0-1
Track Bairnsdale
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
4: 0-2-0
Distance 2400m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1200m
6: 0-1-1
Going Good
49: 6-8-8
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
17: 1-6-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 56% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -22%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 55%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 61% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 65% in L100 rides
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
AAP
Snagged back and last at 400m before letting down late to just miss the minors at Caulfield over a longer test. Much stiffer opposition here.
ILB
Started $11.00 and outpaced some runners late when 4th last start at Caulfield and will appreciate a good draw. Might have to make up considerable ground. Prefer others.
RP
Fourth at Caulfield but only beaten less than a length in a Group 3 last month upped to 1m2f; has done all his winning at a lower level and quite a while since he tasted success; a lot on his plate here and hard to recommend.
RSIS
Started at 10/1 and passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last start at Caulfield and drawn beautifully. Will be giving the leaders a big start.
Career
25: 9-2-3
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 3-1-0
Second-up
5: 2-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 2-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 1-0-0
Track Randwick
2: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
10: 4-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
11: 5-2-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
15: 7-1-2
Going Heavy
4: 1-1-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Ready To Strike
Positive
Can be rewarded for recent consistent form
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Gallant display for third behind Surfin Bird here last time. Harder set-up here but can run into the exotics.
ILB
Placed 3rd last time at this venue but challenged by more formidable competitors.
RP
A winner over this C&D; good effort when 1½l third (just behind Buckaroo) last month in a Group 2; likely to go well if replicating most recent run.
RSIS
Did well when 3rd last time at this track but matched against tougher rivals.
Career
28: 6-4-5
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
7: 0-2-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Flemington
11: 2-1-3
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1620m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
17: 5-3-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 1-1-2
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 43%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Settled back and didn't figure off spell in Bm84 at Geelong. Facing an uphill task.
ILB
Started at $71.00 and struggled when 8th last start at Geelong but returns to more ground. Likely to get back in the field. Challenged by a tougher grade. Struggle to recommend.
RP
Finished eighth but wasn't beaten too far (just under 5l) at Geelong last month in a handicap; a while since his last success and wins have come at a lower level; this looks a fair heat so there are better alternatives here.
RSIS
Started at 70/1 and looked flat when 8th last start at Geelong but returns to more ground. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Up in grade.
Career
15: 14-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 5-0-0
Second-up
3: 3-0-0
Third-up
3: 3-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Rosehill
5: 5-0-0
Track Randwick
10: 9-0-1
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 6-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 7-0-0
Hot Trainer
Positive
Chris Waller in good form, out performing market 22%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 9% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 6%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
In Form
Positive
Racing in top form recently
AAP
Simply flawless. Responded strongly to score in the King Charles G1 at Randwick last start. She is right in zone and the one to beat again.
ILB
Finished well when winning last time at Randwick and can find a nice position from the draw. Has hit top form this preparation with 3 wins from 3 runs. Major chance.
RP
Is a top-level performer and a good record at this level; gained a success in the King Charles III Stakes (Randwick) last month; respected.
RSIS
Finished hard to win last time at Randwick and has a good draw. Has hit top form in recent runs with 3 wins from 3 runs. Good chance to take this out.
Career
20: 3-5-2
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
4: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Eagle Farm
3: 0-1-1
Track Flemington
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 2-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-1-1
Going Good
12: 3-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-2-0
Going Soft
6: 0-1-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 73%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
Backing up quickly. Last win was 1 Mar 2025. Started $31 when safely held in Golden Eagle at Randwick second-up. Prefer others.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. At $31.00 was well beaten when 14th last time at Randwick. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Slim chance.
RP
Out of the money and beaten 6l in the Golden Eagle at Randwick a week ago; wins have come at a lower level and form is hit and miss; a lot on her plate here and may have to settle for supporting role at best.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Started 30/1 and gave away some ground when 14th last time at Randwick. Likely to get back.