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Kempsey (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Kempsey (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 6 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 6 NovKempsey (NSW)Change

Race 4 — Crystalite Linemarking Showcase Super Mdn Hcp 1450m · jumps

Race notes

  • Maiden,SUPER MDN,SUPER MDN HCP
  • HEAVY10
  • Fine
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Insain Chaos (5)

1.65

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 13Gee Pee Jay Aye

Midfield

  • 6King Kalakaua

Offpace

  • 5Insain Chaos
  • 4Casino Sharky
  • 8Armoury

Onpace

  • 16Taverna

Leader

  • 12Xfiltration
  • 7Must Diamond
  • 11Sleuth
  • Casino Sharky · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 55%

  • Insain Chaos · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

  • King Kalakaua · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races

  • Must Diamond · Positive

    Trainer ROI

    Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Hey KalumbaScratched7––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 6%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -38% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Solid performer. Issued decent challenge in choppy conditions Mdn Plate at Lismore. Not out of it.

ILB

Attacked the line when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last time at Lismore and on an upward trajectory in recent races.

RSIS

Came on strongly when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last start at Lismore and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races.

2SarmatScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed100%

Insights

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 30%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Finished within striking distance Mdn Plate at Port Macquarie. Warrants attention.

ILB

On a quick back up. Was $3.20 and uncompetitive when 5th last start at Coffs Harbour.

RSIS

On a short back up. Started at 11/5 and not competitive when 5th last run at Coffs Harbour.

3TrackhawkScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 8Gold Coast1000m8 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.4L
  2. 2Beaudesert1050m27 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.3L
  3. 6Beaudesert900m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)7.4L
  4. 6Gold Coast850m27 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)18.9L

Insights

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (5:0-2-0). $130k purchase. Full brother to G2 winner Kristilli. Nice gate. Follow betting.

ILB

3yo debutant by Hellbent for trainer Jason Reilly. Watch the market moves.

RP

The only newcomer in the field; related to Hot Press (winner from 6f up to 1m); sire can inject some quality; strong contender with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

3yo by Hellbent on debut for Jason Reilly.

4Casino SharkyJ: Madeline Owen·T: P Cheers258kg7 7 5 5 82: 0-0-0$12.00$2.50

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Taree

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Port Macquarie1500m25 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT62.98L
  2. 5Taree1000m16 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT63.56L
  3. 5Port Macquarie1000m10 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)6L
  4. 7Taree1000m30 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)14.7L
  5. 7Taree1000m5 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)26.1L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 55%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ran on late from the back at Port Macquarie at second outing. Looks more a place prospect.

ILB

Odds of $13.00 and came in 8th last run at Port Macquarie but will try to take advantage of the draw. Better to look elsewhere.

RP

Finished eighth last month albeit only beaten 3l in a maiden at Port Macquarie upped to this distance; must be high on list.

RSIS

Started at 12/1 and came in 8th last time at Port Macquarie but will try to take advantage of the stall.

5Insain ChaosJ: Kyle Wilson-Taylor·T: B J Dodson158kg2 2 7 2 47: 0-3-0$1.65$1.05

Career

7: 0-3-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Grafton

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Lismore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1210m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1212m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1305m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Newcastle1350m26 Oct 2026 · MDN · SOFT53.18L
  2. 2Grafton1400m13 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY82.97L
  3. 7Lismore1210m25 Sept 2026 · Maiden · SOFT55.29L
  4. 2Coffs Harbour1212m3 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.6L
  5. 2Port Macquarie1010m22 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)5.5L
  6. 6Coffs Harbour1305m11 Jan 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD47.6L
  7. 2Coffs Harbour1400m1 Aug 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT60.4L
  8. 8Grafton1000m16 July 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD47.6L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Brett Dodson in good form, out performing market 29%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Rarely far away. Settled midfield, ran on fairly without threatening at Beaumont. Profiles well.

ILB

Started at $8.50 and advanced late into 4th last time at Newcastle and drawn well. Should feature prominently.

RP

Not beaten too far when fourth at Beaumont over 6½f (handicap) last month; shown recent signs of improvement.

RSIS

Started at 15/2 and got going late when 4th last run at Newcastle and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw. Attracts support.

6King KalakauaJ: Aaron Bullock·T: Lyndall Olson858kg8 5 11 8 74: 0-0-0$5.50$1.50

Career

4: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1406m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1525m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Taree1400m16 Oct 2026 · Maiden · SOFT65.35L
  2. 8Geelong1525m22 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.3L
  3. 11Ballarat1400m3 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD310L
  4. 5Terang1406m17 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT66.2L
  5. 8Donald850m18 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial8.4L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 27%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

Comments

AAP

Well back and never a factor in choppy conditions at Taree for new stable. Strips in better shape. Among the dangers.

ILB

Odds of $10.00 and came in 7th last run at Taree. Has the potential to improve sharply. Added confidence jockey with Aaron Bullock doing the steering. Should go close.

RP

Could not manage better than seventh in a maiden (Taree, had Xfiltration and Nikody's Casper behind) on first run for current trainer three weeks ago; this now his fifth attempt to get off the mark; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.

RSIS

At 9/1 came in 7th last start at Taree. Looking past the last run. Gains the services of jockey Aaron Bullock. Solid prospects.

7Must DiamondJ: Grady Spokes·T: Sally Taylor656.5kg4 7 92: 0-0-0$18.00$3.20

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Taree

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Newcastle1150m26 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT55.37L
  2. 7Taree1000m16 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT63.83L
  3. 4Grafton940m21 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.9L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Sent out $20 when never got into the race at Beaumont at her second race start. Place preferred option.

ILB

Started at $20.00 and faded to finish 9th last time at Newcastle. Facing a difficult task.

RP

Could not manage better than ninth in a maiden (Beaumont, just behind Bobbin Back) last week; she can make a bold bid.

RSIS

Was 19/1 and tailed off to finish 9th last time at Newcastle.

8ArmouryJ: Grant Buckley·T: Colt Prosser356kg7 6 5 4 910: 0-0-0$31.00$3.90

Career

10: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Coffs Harbour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tamworth

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1720m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 9Port Macquarie1500m25 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT63.52L
  2. 4Grafton1700m13 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY83.93L
  3. 5Grafton1720m21 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.42L
  4. 6Coffs Harbour1412m3 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD48.2L
  5. 7Taree1000m14 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45L
  6. 2Port Macquarie1006m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)0.5L
  7. 8Tamworth1400m7 Aug 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT711.4L
  8. 7Scone1400m14 July 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD410.9L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Limited

    Negative

    Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Limited

    Negative

    Yet to break through after 10 starts

Comments

AAP

Has struggled to make an impression. Battled home okay in soft going at Port Macquarie. First time around Kempsey. Others with more appeal.

ILB

Jumped at $101.00 and struggled when 9th last start at Port Macquarie. Rough chance.

RP

Finished ninth of 12 at Port Macquarie last month in a maiden; yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at ten; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Started at 100/1 and struggled when 9th last run at Port Macquarie.

9Bobbin BackScratched10––––

Career

11: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Casterton

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1004m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Newcastle1150m26 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT53.36L
  2. 4Port Macquarie1000m9 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD46.61L
  3. 9Port Macquarie1004m27 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.28L
  4. 10Port Macquarie1500m26 Apr 2026 · MDN · SOFT716.2L
  5. 9Taree1250m9 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT65.3L
  6. 7Mount Gambier1400m22 Mar 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD42.1L
  7. 6Warrnambool1400m9 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD46.9L
  8. 9Terang1406m20 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD413.8L

Insights

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 59% in L100 rides

Comments

AAP

Got back and wasn't totally disgraced at Beaumont. Looks more a place prospect.

ILB

Finished 6th last start at Newcastle. Won't be far away during the run.

RP

Not beaten that far last month at Beaumont in a maiden; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 11 and recent form is unremarkable; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Finished 6th last run at Newcastle. Has shown early pace in races to date.

10Follow That DreamScratched6––––

Career

8: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tuncurry

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1720m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Grafton1700m13 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY84.27L
  2. 2Grafton1720m21 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD41.87L
  3. 5Queanbeyan1600m8 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT55.3L
  4. 6Tuncurry1600m24 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT78L
  5. 4Goulburn1500m3 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD45.2L
  6. 6Hawkesbury1000m27 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7.2L
  7. 6Bathurst1400m16 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY99.9L
  8. 6Warwick Farm740m25 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC6.4L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 41% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Jenny Duggan 48% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Jenny Duggan winning at 29% POT in last 100 rides

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Close enough but couldn't capitalize at Grafton. Coming back in distance. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Odds of $15.00 and struggled with the pace when 5th last time at Grafton.

RP

Has found improvement of late but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at eight; finished last of five when close behind Armoury in a maiden at Grafton three weeks ago; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Odds of 14/1 and weakened under pressure when 5th last time at Grafton.

11SleuthJ: Paige Fergusson-Smith·T: P Cheers956kg5 8 8 6 322: 0-3-3$4.40$1.34

Career

22: 0-3-3

Rating · IRD

96

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-2

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Warwick Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Coffs Harbour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1004m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1305m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    8: 0-2-2

Last starts

  1. 3Port Macquarie1500m25 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT60.86L
  2. 6Port Macquarie1500m10 Oct 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD43.88L
  3. 8Port Macquarie1004m27 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.89L
  4. 8Coffs Harbour1305m11 Jan 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD410.4L
  5. 5Kembla Grange1600m27 Sept 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD34.7L
  6. 6Kembla Grange1400m13 Sept 2025 · 4yo+ · HEAVY83.2L
  7. 4Newcastle1500m26 Aug 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · SOFT72.4L
  8. 6Warwick Farm1600m30 July 2025 · 2-3yo · SOFT74.8L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Form Revival

    Positive

    Turning form around with last couple

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Prominent, showed plenty of ticker in soft going to just go under at Port Macquarie. Looks more a place prospect.

ILB

Couldn't maintain the momentum throughout when 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Port Macquarie. Large claim helps. Good tough competitor that can be supported.

RP

Had three of these behind in a maiden at Port Macquarie when beaten less than a length 12 days ago; has shown some recent improvement but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 22.

RSIS

Applied plenty of pressure when 3rd last start at Port Macquarie. Paige Fergusson Smith provides some weight relief. Winning potential.

12XfiltrationJ: Daniel Smith·T: A P Ball456kg6 9 9 9 113: 0-0-0$71.00$6.00

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Taree

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1008m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Muswellbrook1280m1 Nov 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT613.51L
  2. 9Taree1400m16 Oct 2026 · Maiden · SOFT68.61L
  3. 9Taree1008m22 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT611.32L
  4. 9Rosehill1030m24 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)9.7L
  5. 6Rosehill900m10 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)12.5L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Big prices and modest returns in early runs. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Started at $101.00 and below par performance when 11th last start at Muswellbrook. Interesting gear change of winkers off first time. Remote chance at best.

RP

Still searching for first win after three tries; last of 11 over 6½f at Muswellbrook (maiden) at the weekend; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Started at 100/1 and average performance when 11th last run at Muswellbrook. Cheekpieces go off for the first time. Has early pace and positions nicely.

13Gee Pee Jay AyeJ: Luke Rolls·T: Scott Aspery557kg3 81: 0-0-0$61.00$5.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Muswellbrook1280m5 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD413.55L
  2. 3Newcastle800m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.4L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 30% better than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Luke Rolls 43% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 59%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 17% POT in L100 Runners

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Gap In Runs

    Negative

    Not raced for 32 days

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. A long way off them at Muswellbrook on debut as an outsider. Needs to find a few lengths.

ILB

Odds of $91.00 and average at best when 8th last time at Muswellbrook but having second career run. Winkers go on for the first time. Appears tested in this event.

RP

Didn't offer much on her debut at Muswellbrook at 80-1 four weeks ago; improvement certainly not ruled out; entitled to have come on for that run; runs for only the second time in a handicap.

RSIS

Started at 90/1 and fairly underwhelming when 8th last start at Muswellbrook but fitter for debut run. Interesting to see the cheekpieces go on for the first time.

14Torpedo TubeScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

20

Comments

AAP

Solid run Mdn Plate at Port Macquarie 10 Oct. Well back and never a factor at Scone. More ground a plus. Among the dangers.

ILB

Finished 7th last time at Scone.

RSIS

Finished 7th last run at Scone.

15Nikody's CasperScratched16––––

Career

19: 0-0-3

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Armidale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Taree

    10: 0-0-1

  • Track Tuncurry

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1262m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1007m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    10: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    7: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 12Port Macquarie1500m25 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT614.1L
  2. 10Taree1400m16 Oct 2026 · Maiden · SOFT610.09L
  3. 4Taree1008m22 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT64.38L
  4. 5Taree1400m23 June 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY84.2L
  5. 6Port Macquarie1210m14 June 2026 · 3Y MDN · SOFT75.7L
  6. 5Taree1250m5 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY85.4L
  7. 3Port Macquarie1200m27 May 2026 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY93.8L
  8. 6Taree1262m12 May 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY88.3L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 27%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Was a long way from the action in 1500m Mdn Plate at Port Macquarie. First time around Kempsey. Regular under achiever.

ILB

Folded up in the straight when 12th last start at Port Macquarie.

RP

Behind several of these at Port Macquarie last month when last of 12 in a maiden; also engaged in race 3 at Kempsey.

RSIS

Faded away to finish 12th last time at Port Macquarie.

16TavernaJ: Violet Soulsby·T: H R Dew756kg3 5 6 11 1116: 0-0-1$51.00$5.00

Career

16: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Taree

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Grafton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wagga

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1450m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    11: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Port Macquarie1000m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN HCP · SOFT69.74L
  2. 11Port Macquarie1500m10 Oct 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD47.02L
  3. 6Taree1615m22 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT63.02L
  4. 5Coffs Harbour1618m13 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.2L
  5. 3Kempsey1450m5 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD42.9L
  6. 7Tuncurry1200m24 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT74.3L
  7. 8Taree1000m14 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45.4L
  8. 10Port Macquarie1006m16 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD410.4L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Hilary Dew striking at just 1%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -67% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 62%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 67% Profit on Turnover

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Never sighted at Port Macquarie. Looks up against it.

ILB

Started $101.00 and below expectations when 11th last run at Port Macquarie but returning to a longer distance. Still a maiden after 16 runs. Looks hopeful.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 14 over 5f at Port Macquarie (handicap) 12 days ago; also engaged in race 3 at Kempsey.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and moderate showing when 11th last time at Port Macquarie but back to a longer distance. A 16 start maiden and rises in weight.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races