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Kempsey (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Kempsey (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 6 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 6 NovKempsey (NSW)Change

Race 5 — O’Donnell And Hanlon Showcase (Bm58) 1250m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Kempsey for the O’Donnell And Hanlon Showcase (Bm58) over 1250m on a Heavy 10 surface under fine weather conditions. As punters dissect the form line for this race, the win market order sees Fancy Shoulder heading the betting boards, closely followed by Under Twenty Two, Cool Az Aletta, and Jeunetos. It is shaping up as a fascinating tactical contest on a testing track where getting the trip right is everything.

Taking a closer look at the market leaders, Fancy Shoulder comes into this with strong claims prepared by Sally Taylor and steered by Courtney Bellamy from barrier 3, boasting a rating of 100 and a hot jockey-trainer combination. The form shows a handy second at Port Macquarie followed by a solid run at Newcastle. Meanwhile, Under Twenty Two for trainer R N Godbolt and jockey Daniel Smith sits right on the second line of betting from barrier 5, coming off a gritty placing at Port Macquarie where he trailed the speed and kept coming bravely.

For those hunting for a runner further down the market, Cool Az Aletta from the A P Ball stable jumps from barrier 8 with Grant Buckley in the saddle, and brings a past placing at this track plus a encouraging late effort at Newcastle. With early speed expected from runners like Fancy Shoulder leading the pack, this heavy going race should provide plenty of storytelling action for punters on course and at home.

Race notes

  • BM58,BM58 HCP,Benchmark 58
  • HEAVY10
  • Fine
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Fancy Shoulder (3)

2.70

Most career wins

Xtra Approval and Just One Look

8 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 9Cool Az Aletta

Midfield

  • 7Just One Look

Offpace

  • 2Under Twenty Two
  • 1Xtra Approval
  • 10Pongola

Onpace

  • 8Argerich
  • 6Jeunetos

Leader

  • 3Fancy Shoulder
  • Xtra Approval · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Under Twenty Two · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 9%

  • Fancy Shoulder · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 65%

  • Jeunetos · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Xtra ApprovalJ: Paige Fergusson-Smith·T: A P Ball463.5kg4 9 6 6 1085: 8-5-5$12.00$2.65

Career

85: 8-5-5

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    7: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    7: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    7: 1-2-0

  • Track Scone

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Kempsey

    4: 1-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1262m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1425m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1257m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    28: 2-0-3

  • Going Heavy

    24: 3-2-1

  • Going Soft

    32: 3-3-1

Last starts

  1. 10Taree1300m16 Oct 2026 · BM86 HCP · SOFT68.38L
  2. 6Port Macquarie1204m27 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD42.26L
  3. 6Bowraville1370m19 Sept 2026 · BOWRAVILLE CUP · GOOD33.09L
  4. 9Tuncurry1500m24 Aug 2026 · CUP PREL BM85 · SOFT74.8L
  5. 4Taree1400m14 Aug 2026 · HOPKNLIVER BM85 · GOOD40.48L
  6. 2Port Macquarie1206m31 July 2026 · BM58 CL2+ · SOFT62.8L
  7. 8Muswellbrook1280m7 July 2026 · BM66 · SOFT73.2L
  8. 6Newcastle1200m27 June 2026 · BM64 · SOFT77.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Long Prep

    Negative

    Yet to find the winners stall this prep

Comments

AAP

Stationed midfield and never landed a blow at Taree 16 Oct. Looks up against it.

ILB

Was well beaten when 10th last start at Taree but competing in a less challenging grade. Paige Fergusson Smith takes a large claim. Can take this out.

RP

Finished last of ten at Taree last month; has won at this track; clear chance as shown promise on occasion.

RSIS

Didn't find the line when 10th last start at Taree but will appreciate the drop in class. Paige Fergusson Smith provides some weight relief. Represents value in this race.

2Under Twenty TwoJ: Daniel Smith·T: R N Godbolt561kg10 11 1 3 234: 4-5-3$3.70$1.32

Career

34: 4-5-3

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballina

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Doomben

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murwillumbah

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1205m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1412m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    14: 2-2-3

  • Going Heavy

    7: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 2-2-0

Last starts

  1. 2Port Macquarie1500m25 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT60.58L
  2. 3Port Macquarie1200m10 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD40.19L
  3. 1Port Macquarie1204m27 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD4-0.15
  4. 11Grafton1435m6 June 2026 · BM58 HCP · SOFT67.6L
  5. 10Port Macquarie1509m18 May 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY109.7L
  6. 4Coffs Harbour1205m8 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY107L
  7. 6Grafton1400m19 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 66 · GOOD33.98L
  8. 10Taree1400m10 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT611.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 9%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 23%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 7%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Racing well in recent weeks. Trailed speed, kept coming but winner too strong at Port Macquarie. Drops to shorter trip. Makes strong appeal.

ILB

Displayed good finishing speed when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last start at Port Macquarie. Has plenty of early speed. Been in the money 3 from 3 attempts this campaign. Should put in a decent effort.

RP

Been running well of late; good effort when close up over 7½f at Port Macquarie (handicap) two weeks ago; has possibilities; also engaged in race 7 at Kempsey.

RSIS

Came on strongly to finish 2nd when beaten by 1/2L last run at Port Macquarie. Won't be far away during the run. Should go close.

3Fancy ShoulderJ: Courtney Bellamy·T: Sally Taylor360kg1 9 2 2 425: 3-5-2$2.70$1.22

Career

25: 3-5-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Murray Bridge

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gawler

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Balaklava

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1204m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1206m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 2-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 1-3-2

Last starts

  1. 4Newcastle1200m26 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT52.13L
  2. 2Port Macquarie1200m10 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD40.31L
  3. 2Port Macquarie1204m27 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.04L
  4. 9Coffs Harbour1318m13 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD44.6L
  5. 1Port Macquarie1206m31 July 2026 · BM58 CL2+ · SOFT6-2.8
  6. 3Grafton1100m19 July 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT51.3L
  7. 1Inverell1050m19 June 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD4-2.5
  8. 1Coffs Harbour812m3 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(10)-0.2

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 65%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

Comments

AAP

Form useful. Just missed at Port Macquarie 10 Oct. Ran on with some conviction from back half at Beaumont after a market ease. Makes a strong case in this company.

ILB

Odds of $7.00 and moved through the field into 4th last start at Newcastle. Has early speed and positions nicely. Producing consistent results this preparation. Will be in the finish.

RP

Finished fourth but only beaten just over 2l (Beaumont) last week; has run well in defeat a number of times; not been able to get her head in front lately so others more likely; also engaged in race 8 at Kempsey.

RSIS

At 6/1 inched into 4th last start at Newcastle. Has early pace and positions nicely. In good form since resuming from a break. Should give plenty of sight.

4ClenchScratched3––––

Career

14: 1-1-3

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Toowoomba

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Lismore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1415m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1610m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-2

  • Going Soft

    5: 1-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    4: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Ipswich1950m24 July 2026 · MDN · SOFT5-1
  2. 3Sunshine Coast2200m12 July 2026 · MDN · SOFT51.2L
  3. 6Doomben2070m24 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT59.2L
  4. 3Toowoomba1890m6 June 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.87L
  5. 4Sunshine Coast Poly Track1400m17 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3L
  6. 5Sunshine Coast Poly Track1400m1 May 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC1.6L
  7. 6Lismore1526m19 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.1L
  8. 6Sunshine Coast1600m7 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.66L

Insights

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 21%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (15-weeks). Ex Billy Healey in QLD. Consistently around the mark last prep. Close in Maiden company at Sunshine Coast Poly first-up last campaign.

ILB

Racing fresh today after a break. Did a good job when winning by 1L last start at Ipswich and form has been improving over recent runs.

RP

Has found improvement of late; shed maiden tag over 1m1½f at Ipswich (handicap) when successful by 1l in July; first run for stable; despite that Ipswich success, may be vulnerable; also engaged in race 7 at Kempsey.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Solid effort when winning by 1L last start at Ipswich and form has been improving over recent runs. First appearance for a new trainer.

5Frankely SublimeScratched6––––

Career

15: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-2-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Eagle Farm

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 0-0-2

  • Track Murwillumbah

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1615m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-2-1

Last starts

  1. 6Muswellbrook800m21 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.5L
  2. 9Kembla Grange1200m29 Aug 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD413.3L
  3. 9Newcastle1200m1 Aug 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT58.3L
  4. 6Scone1300m10 July 2026 · CL1 · SOFT75.7L
  5. 1Gosford1200m18 June 2026 · Maiden · HEAVY8-2.3
  6. 4Newcastle1000m3 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.1L
  7. 6Gosford800m18 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)5.1L
  8. 11Eagle Farm1400m4 Feb 2026 · MDN · GOOD412.1L

Insights

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

Comments

AAP

Let-up (69-days). Finished out the back at Kembla Grange as an outsider. Since trialled at Muswellbrook 21 Oct. Can make her presence felt fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up and was eating up the ground late when winning first up last preparation at Gosford. Displays good tactical speed. Great to see jockey Aaron Bullock taking the ride.

RP

Last of nine at Kembla Grange in August; grade looks suitable; should be on the premises with a bit more luck as excuses last time (crowded) and shown she can get her head in front.

RSIS

Resuming and charged home to win resuming last preparation at Gosford. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Jockey Aaron Bullock is a plus.

6JeunetosJ: Ben Looker·T: G Prosser258kg3 6 1 1 723: 2-1-1$12.00$2.70

Career

23: 2-1-1

Rating · IRD

84

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Tuncurry

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Bowraville

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1262m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 7Taree1413m22 Sept 2026 · BM58 · SOFT64.85L
  2. 1Kempsey1450m5 Sept 2026 · BM50 · GOOD4-1.1
  3. 1Tuncurry1200m24 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT7-1.7
  4. 6Taree1000m14 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD44.1L
  5. 3Port Macquarie1006m31 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.5L
  6. 3Kempsey1450m7 Nov 2025 · Maiden · GOOD35.8L
  7. 12Port Macquarie1500m11 Oct 2025 · CTRY MDN · GOOD410.6L
  8. 4Bowraville1370m20 Sept 2025 · MDN-SW · HEAVY95.6L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (45-days). Won a 1450m Benchmark 50 at Kempsey two back. Rider found a forward spot at Taree but he put in a very lacklustre finish this level. Prefers firm going.

ILB

Back from a let up. Lost ground in the run home when 7th last run at Taree but has a good draw. Sound chance.

RP

Not disgraced when seventh over 7f at Taree (handicap) 45 days ago; has won here; this looks a decent race so others more persuasive.

RSIS

Freshened up. Lost ground in the run home when 7th last run at Taree but gets a favourable stall. Has won 2 from 4 attempts recently.

7Just One LookJ: Peter Graham·T: J D Cooper757.5kg3 1 4 9 158: 8-4-8$9.00$2.35

Career

58: 8-4-8

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    6: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    5: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    5: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 1-2-0

  • Track Bathurst

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    6: 1-0-2

  • Track Muswellbrook

    6: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1205m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    5: 2-1-0

  • Going Good

    21: 3-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    16: 3-0-4

  • Going Soft

    19: 1-2-3

Last starts

  1. 1Mudgee1400m24 Oct 2026 · BM50 · GOOD4-1.76
  2. 9Queanbeyan1460m11 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD47.79L
  3. 4Tamworth1400m1 Oct 2026 · BM50 · GOOD43.71L
  4. 1Kempsey1250m5 Sept 2026 · BM50 · GOOD4-2.4
  5. 3Port Macquarie1210m22 Aug 2026 · BM50 · HEAVY82.3L
  6. 6Gunnedah1250m20 July 2026 · BM58 · GOOD45.13L
  7. 3Port Macquarie1204m4 July 2026 · BM50 · SOFT75.1L
  8. 3Tamworth1200m6 June 2026 · BM50 · HEAVY91.4L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 27%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Experienced campaigner. Won in decisive fashion at Mudgee. Effective wet. A few runs under his belt this campaign but back up in class. Place.

ILB

Showed promise when winning by 1 3/4L last time at Mudgee. Should jump out and bowl along. Others are more appealing.

RP

Successful by just under 2l at Mudgee over 7f (handicap) two weeks ago; a winner over C&D; needs to be respected.

RSIS

Bold effort to win by 1 3/4L last run at Mudgee. Should muster plenty of early toe.

8ArgerichJ: Jenny Duggan·T: P Cheers656kg3 7 1 7 1133: 3-1-5$18.00$3.40

Career

33: 3-1-5

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Coffs Harbour

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Eagle Farm

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1609m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1614m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    15: 1-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    7: 2-0-2

  • Going Soft

    11: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 11Taree2000m14 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.7L
  2. 7Port Macquarie1509m31 July 2026 · BM58 · SOFT65.21L
  3. 1Taree1614m21 July 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY8-0.8
  4. 7Taree1614m9 July 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY109.6L
  5. 3Taree2000m30 June 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY92.3L
  6. 10Taree1600m5 June 2026 · Open · HEAVY87.5L
  7. 1Port Macquarie1500m27 May 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY9-1
  8. 3Port Macquarie1509m18 May 2026 · BM58 · HEAVY102.3L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 41% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Jenny Duggan 48% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 23%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 6% POT in L100 Runners

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Jenny Duggan winning at 29% POT in last 100 rides

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 13%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

Comments

AAP

First-up (12-weeks). Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this company.

ILB

First up from a break. Was $21.00 and didn't attack the line when 11th last run at Taree and dropping in distance. Will be positive in the run early. Facing a difficult task.

RP

11th of 12 at Taree three months ago upped to 1m2f; record when fresh is not entirely persuasive and may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Resuming. Started 20/1 and weakened under pressure when 11th last run at Taree and dropping back to a shorter trip. Should muster plenty of early pace.

9Cool Az AlettaJ: Grant Buckley·T: A P Ball855.5kg2 2 6 7 418: 1-2-2$4.00$1.36

Career

18: 1-2-2

Rating · IRD

90

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Taree

    5: 0-1-1

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1010m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    9: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    7: 0-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Newcastle1350m26 Oct 2026 · CL1 · SOFT55.06L
  2. 7Taree1250m16 Oct 2026 · CTRY CL2-SW · SOFT63.53L
  3. 6Port Macquarie1200m10 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 58 · GOOD42.16L
  4. 2Taree1263m22 Sept 2026 · CL3 BM66 · SOFT62.97L
  5. 2Kempsey1250m5 Sept 2026 · BM50 · GOOD42.4L
  6. 6Port Macquarie1010m22 Aug 2026 · BM50 · HEAVY84L
  7. 13Scone1600m15 May 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD410.4L
  8. 6Newcastle1300m2 May 2026 · CL1 · GOOD42.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 21%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Trimmed margin late at Beaumont. Placed only other time here. A few runs under his belt this campaign, could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Chased well when 4th last run at Newcastle. Will be trying to topple them late. Genuine claims.

RP

Form lately has been a mixed bag; held when fourth of ten at Beaumont over 6½f (handicap) last week; this looks a fair heat so others more persuasive; also engaged in race 8 at Kempsey.

RSIS

Made some ground when 4th last run at Newcastle. Can go through the gears. Chance and can measure up.

10PongolaJ: Violet Soulsby·T: H R Dew155kg12 7 10 7 1044: 1-1-0$101.00$8.00

Career

44: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Track Kempsey

    7: 0-0-0

  • Track Bowraville

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    7: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    11: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    16: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    11: 1-1-0

  • Going Soft

    15: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Port Macquarie1200m25 Oct 2026 · CL2 · SOFT611.65L
  2. 7Wauchope1240m17 Oct 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY99.1L
  3. 10Port Macquarie1004m27 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL1 · GOOD48.29L
  4. 7Bowraville1000m19 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD36.25L
  5. 12Kempsey1250m5 Sept 2026 · BM50 · GOOD411.2L
  6. 9Tuncurry1000m24 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SOFT713.5L
  7. 10Tuncurry1400m21 Feb 2026 · BM50 · GOOD414.3L
  8. 10Coffs Harbour1000m15 Feb 2026 · Benchmark 58 · HEAVY89.8L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Violet Soulsby current POT is 39% below Career Avg.

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 1%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 62%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 67% Profit on Turnover

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 61% in L100 rides

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 17%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

Found it tough since shaking his maiden and remains unplaced from 6 starts here. Regular under achiever.

ILB

Was $201.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 10th last time at Port Macquarie but has drawn to do little work. Has struggled so far this preparation. Most likely not today.

RP

Was held in tenth at Port Macquarie last month; he has struggled to find his best form recently; this looks a decent race so others more likely; also engaged in race 8 at Kempsey.

RSIS

Started at 200/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last run at Port Macquarie but can save some energy from the stall. Has struggled so far of late.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sat 5 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 6 races