Shortest win price
Sounds Of Peace (7)
1.40
Welcome to Launceston for the Trent Wells Mdn Plate over the 1400m trip. The track is rated a good 4 under fine skies, and punters are getting stuck into the form ahead of this 3UP Maiden Plate set to jump at 5:25 pm AEDT. Looking at the early win market order, Sounds Of Peace heads the betting lines, followed closely by Nine Choirs, Joejoe, Wounded Eagle, Sh'Bourne Rising, Sh'Bourne Top Gun, Effrontery, Stratovision, and Cheeky Tilly rounding out the tail of the field. Let's unpack the yarn behind this race and find where the value might hide on the quick back-up.
The market leader Sounds Of Peace is drawn in barrier 3 for trainer G J Stevenson and jockey Daniel Ganderton. This runner comes here on the back of strong performances at Launceston over 1420m and 1400m where it ran close-up second placings, letting down impressively late. The data notes a strong SP profile and a suitable map position where leaders tend to give a good account. Another runner attracting attention in the market is Joejoe from barrier 9, prepared by Jessie Bazan with David Pires in the saddle. This contender returns for a second campaign following a 33-week break, having previously shown promise close up in Maiden company first-up last campaign alongside recent Longford barrier trials. Wounded Eagle also holds a place in the market from barrier 2 for trainer J L Keys and rider Sam Kennedy, looking to improve on a recent Launceston outing over 1200m that should have blown the cobwebs away.
Digging deeper into the form, Nine Choirs sits right up near the top of the market from barrier 1 for trainer S Gandy and jockey Chloe Wells, showing plenty of promise with a couple of solid placings over shorter trips here at Launceston and looking likely to appreciate the step up in distance today. The speed map points to an interesting tactical battle early on, with Joejoe, Effrontery, and Sounds Of Peace all listed in the leader speed group, meaning there should be genuine pace on from the outset. While racing is never a foregone conclusion, Sounds Of Peace boasts compelling recent course and distance form that suggests another bold showing is on the cards for punters hunting the winner.
Shortest win price
Sounds Of Peace (7)
1.40
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Joejoe · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Wounded Eagle · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Cheeky Tilly · Negative
Jockey Booking
Hayley Mc Carthy current POT is 53% below Career Avg.
Effrontery · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Career
4: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Track Hobart
2: 0-1-0
Track Launceston
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 10%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Second campaign (33-weeks). Close in Maiden company first-up last campaign. Makes strong appeal fresh in this affair.
ILB
Back after a 33 week break. Ran home into 3rd last start at this venue. Has shown early pace in races to date. Prefer in an easier race.
RP
Some promise; closest he has come to winning after four starts was a second; comfortably beaten finishing third (11l) over 1m here (maiden) in March; returns from a layoff here; should be thereabouts as recent form is thin on the ground in this contest.
RSIS
Resuming after a 33 week break. Flashed home late into 3rd beaten by just over 11L last time here. Will be pushing for a forward position early.
Career
4: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Hobart
3: 0-1-1
Track Launceston
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1380m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Sam Kennedy 48% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%
Key Jockey
Positive
Sam Kennedy winning at 30% POT in last 100 rides
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Started $13 when safely held in Maiden company this venue first run back. Better for the outing. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
Started at $13.00 and below standard effort when 9th last time here but has a good draw. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Ninth of 11 beaten 7l over 6f here (maiden) 21 days ago; four-race maiden though does have a second place to his name; first-time blinkers.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and lacklustre showing when 9th last time at this track but has a positive draw. Not at all out of this race.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Hayley Mc Carthy current POT is 53% below Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 30%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
AAP
Started $91 when safely held in Maiden company this course off long spell. Has a tricky draw. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Odds of $91.00 and gave away some ground when 8th last run at this track. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Unlikely to feature.
RP
Yet to get off the mark in five attempts (fourth her best finish); held in eighth three weeks ago, behind Sounds Of Peace; unlikely to achieve more than just a supporting role.
RSIS
Started 90/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last start at this venue. Does take a while to get into stride.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1120m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Backing up quickly. Battled to make a major impact. Midfield, no rally and went to line tamely this track. Can't enthuse.
ILB
On a short back up. Started $21.00 and didn't threaten when 8th last start at this track. Should race on the speed. Very slim hope.
RP
Beaten 6l in eighth over 5½f here (maiden) last Friday; yet to finish better than sixth in her four races; tried in headgear but not one to rely on.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. At 20/1 gave away some ground when 8th last time at the track. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned.
Career
2: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
2: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-1
Trainer SR
Negative
Stuart Gandy striking at just 11%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 33% Profit on Turnover
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
AAP
Showing some promise. Okay at latest when settled back. Should appreciate stepping up in distance. Among the dangers.
ILB
At $17.00 hit the line well when 4th last run at the track and has minimal work to do from the draw. Place hope.
RP
Creditable fourth over 6f here (maiden) two weeks ago; has shown glimpses of ability recently and has a chance.
RSIS
Started 16/1 and inched into 4th last time around here and has a nice advantage with a good stall.
Career
9: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hobart
4: 0-0-1
Track Launceston
4: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1420m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Form Trainer
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectation by 33%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 33%
AAP
Sent out $9 when unable to threaten this track. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Was $9.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last start at the track. Anthony Darmanin and Shaun Nichols are a proven combination. Place claims at best.
RP
Behind Nine Choirs over 6f here (maiden) when not beaten that far two weeks ago; form has been a bit up and down of late and yet to get off the mark and losing run stands at nine; passed over.
RSIS
Odds of 8/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time at the track. Anthony Darmanin and Shaun Nichols are usually competitive when they team up.
Career
2: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Launceston
2: 0-2-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1420m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
2: 0-2-0
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
Backing up quickly. Strong SP profile. Midfield, let down impressively to just miss this track. All the better, highly fancied to go one better.
ILB
On a quick back up. Competed in a tight contest last time around here. Has early speed and positions nicely. Has not missed the money this preparation in 2 attempts. Confident bet.
RP
Near miss at 4-6 last Friday.
RSIS
Backing up quickly. Was agonizingly close last start around here. Should come to hand quickly. Been in the top three each start recently. Clear on ratings and will take beating.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 1678%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (23-weeks). Since trialled at Longford. Hard to make a case beyond the minors fresh in this affair.
ILB
Back from a break. At $11.00 ran on into 5th last run at Devonport Synthetic. Large claim helps. Others preferred.
RP
Remains a maiden but improved form in May when fifth beaten 2½l at Devonport; this now her sixth attempt to get off the mark; has had some time off.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Odds of 10/1 and was making up some late ground when 5th last time at Devonport Synthetic. Large claim helps.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 37% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%
Key Rider
Positive
Kelvin Sanderson 40% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 33% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Got back and wasn't totally disgraced this track at second start. Added journey should assist. Building experience. Can improve.
ILB
Average effort when 6th last run around here. Place claims.
RP
Not beaten too far when sixth of eight over 5½f here (maiden) two weeks ago; big chance.
RSIS
Tailed off when 6th last run at this track.