Shortest win price
Geegees Downpour (3) and Fluffy's Girl (9)
4.80
Welcome to Launceston for race seven on the card, where a competitive field of Benchmark 60 gallopers steps out over the 1100m journey. The track is rated a Good 4 under fine skies, and punters are zeroing in on an intriguing win market. Looking at the early order, Fluffy's Girl leads the betting lines, closely followed by Geegees Downpour, Brave Jet, and Material Madam as the early market fancies prepare to lock horns in this evening contest set for 8:30 pm AEDT.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Geegees Downpour brings some eye-catching late sectionals to the table for trainer S Gandy and jockey Anthony Darmanin from barrier eight. This runner let down resolutely from the tail to score over 1200m here two runs back before a synthetic effort, and is capable of figuring again if the race sets up right. Meanwhile, Material Madam jumps from the inside alley with Kelvin Sanderson steering, having picked up a solid third over 1200m here prior to a minor placing run, suggesting another honest minor finish could be on the cards.
Further down the line, speed maps and stable insights offer a few extra clues for the yarn. Fluffy's Girl sits up on the pace and comes off a Launceston placegetter effort over 1100m on soft ground two starts back, marking her out as a major player despite a subsequent battling run. Brave Jet also warrants respect over this distance range, having scored a tight 1100m win here three runs back before finishing down the track over 1200m. With Dennyson tagged as the sole leader from barrier three for the J K Blacker stable, the early tempo should prove fascinating as the field sorts out their positions.
Shortest win price
Geegees Downpour (3) and Fluffy's Girl (9)
4.80
Most career wins
The Wizard King
7-8-7 from 58 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Dennyson · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are out performing market expectations by 92%
Geegees Downpour · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Baybougg · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Popilita · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Career
7: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
1: 1-0-0
Track Launceston
5: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 1-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 2-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 92%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let-up (44-days). Hobart winner two back. Failed to threaten (wide draw) this venue over longer test. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
Back from a freshen up. Started $11.00 and weakened to finish 9th last run here and down in trip. Should muster plenty of early speed. Will need everything to go right.
RP
Finished behind Brave Jet here over 7f (handicap) when last of nine six weeks ago; possesses winning form at this track; winner two starts ago and is respected.
RSIS
Freshened for this. Was 10/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at this venue and will be down in distance. Should muster plenty of early toe.
Rating · IRD
20
AAP
Gave good account this venue second-up. Looks up against it.
ILB
Odds of $4.60 and struggled with the pace when 6th last start at this track and bit of extra work to do with more weight.
RSIS
At 7/2 weakened under pressure when 6th last run at this track and will have to carry more weight.
Career
23: 3-3-2
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Hobart
11: 1-1-0
Track Launceston
8: 2-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
8: 2-2-1
Distance 1200m
13: 3-1-1
Distance 1220m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1350m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
7: 1-0-0
Going Soft
12: 2-3-1
Going Synthetic
4: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer SR
Negative
Stuart Gandy striking at just 11%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -22%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let down resolutely from the tail this venue first run back. Capable of figuring again.
ILB
Ran on hard when winning last time around here. Finishes off strongly. Good tough competitor that can be supported.
RP
Won a handicap by 1l three weeks ago; despite that Launceston success, there are better alternatives here.
RSIS
Finished hard to win last start around here. Always seems to find the line well. Will be fighting out the finish.
Career
28: 4-5-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Longford
1: 1-0-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
8: 0-1-1
Track Hobart
12: 2-2-1
Distance 1100m
5: 1-2-1
Distance 1150m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
9: 3-3-0
Going Synthetic
8: 0-1-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 22%
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (13-weeks). Comes off a good trial. Could give some cheek at odds fresh in this affair.
ILB
Racing fresh today after a break. Odds of $16.00 and appeared lacklustre when 6th last run at Devonport Synthetic but will try to take advantage of the alley. Can't entertain a bet.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten 3½l in sixth) at Devonport in July in a conditions race; has won here; a few throw outs since her success in a handicap at Longford on New Year's Day; easy to oppose.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Started 15/1 and not competitive when 6th last start at Devonport Synthetic but can find a nice position from the draw.
Career
25: 5-4-2
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Hobart
11: 2-1-2
Track Launceston
10: 1-3-0
Track CurrentTrack
10: 1-3-0
Distance 1200m
5: 0-1-0
Distance 1220m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 800m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
13: 4-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened since resuming. Midfield, failed to find another gear but not disgraced this course first run back. Strips fitter and generally improves second-up. Not out of this.
ILB
Started at $26.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last time around here. Large claim helps. Facing a difficult task today.
RP
Fair effort when 2l seventh to Brave Jet 28 days ago; a winner over C&D; this is her level; needs to be respected if confirming promise shown last time.
RSIS
Was 25/1 and lost ground in the run home when 7th last run at this track. Large claim helps.
Career
58: 7-8-7
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Leader
First-up
6: 2-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-0-0
Track Werribee
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1209m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1218m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
14: 0-3-2
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
34: 6-5-3
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened. Third run now in new stable/region. Tough and honest when just behind the minors in the (Bm60) this track second-up. Stripping fitter, has some claims.
ILB
Was $5.50 and couldn't maintain the pace throughout when 4th last time at the track. The wide draw shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Will need to find a new peak.
RP
Fourth, beaten less than a length, when behind the reopposing Brave Jet four weeks ago; not hard to turn elsewhere as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Started 9/2 and faded at the finish when 4th last run around here. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace.
Career
18: 4-3-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 2-0-0
Third-up
3: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-1
Track Hobart
4: 0-2-0
Track Launceston
8: 4-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
8: 4-0-1
Distance 1390m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
6: 3-2-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
6: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 1678%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (15-weeks). Ex Barry Campbell Tasmania. Capable fresh and looked forward in recent trial. Should find this a bit easier.
ILB
First up from a break. Jumped at $26.00 and below standard effort when 8th last time at Devonport Synthetic but hard to fault at the trip. Coming back in trip. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Held when eighth beaten 6l in a conditions race (Devonport) in July; boasts winning form over C&D; first run for trainer; major player as shown some signs of promise.
RSIS
First run back from a break. Started at 25/1 and fairly underwhelming when 8th last start at Devonport Synthetic but have to respect the form at this trip.
Career
24: 3-5-4
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 1-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-1-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
3: 0-1-0
Track Hobart
12: 2-4-1
Track Launceston
9: 1-0-3
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1350m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-0-3
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
11: 1-4-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Stuart Gandy striking at just 11%
Key Rider
Positive
Kelvin Sanderson 40% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up this track. Can fill the minors here.
ILB
Was competitive when 3rd last start at this venue and has drawn the rails. Capable of winning this.
RP
Brings winning C&D form to the table; 1½l third to Geegees Downpour over 6f here (handicap) three weeks ago.
RSIS
Claimed a spot in the top three when 3rd last run here and drawn nicely. One of the punters top hopes at a very generous price.
Career
22: 3-6-2
Rating · IRD
97
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-2-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
7: 2-2-2
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Longford
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1009m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
8: 0-2-2
Distance 1150m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
9: 0-3-1
Going Soft
10: 3-2-1
Going Synthetic
3: 0-1-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Sam Kennedy 48% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 62%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Sam Kennedy in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 48%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
AAP
Launceston (Bm60) placegetter 2 Oct. Off pace, only battled home this venue at longer odds. Solid efforts here. Major player here.
ILB
Was well beaten when 6th last start at this venue. Giving another go here and will find this grade more suitable. Has plenty of early speed. Genuine claims.
RP
Has winning track form; not the most consistent of horses lately; beaten sixth of eight here over 6f (handicap, just behind Brave Jet) 14 days ago; passed over.
RSIS
Couldn't maintain the pace when 6th last start around here. Can make a comeback and stepping down to a lower level. Should jump out and bowl along. Strong claims.
Career
20: 3-5-3
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Hobart
5: 1-1-0
Track Launceston
12: 2-3-2
Track CurrentTrack
12: 2-3-2
Distance 1009m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 2-2-1
Going Synthetic
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
10: 1-2-1
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 16%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened. Put in some good work late this course second-up. Claiming apprentice engaged again. Sharper now, can play a role if things pan out.
ILB
Was $8.50 and picked up some late ground when 5th last time at the track.
RP
1½l behind the winner, Brave Jet, when producing a respectable effort four weeks ago; admirably consistent and she can be competitive at this level.
RSIS
Started 15/2 and ran on into 5th last time here.
Career
19: 3-2-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 1-0-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
4: 1-1-0
Track Gold Coast
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
3: 2-0-0
Distance 1150m
4: 1-1-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 57%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 69%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 50% POT in L100 Runners
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Launceston winner two back. Had all before him at turn and went home tamely this course. Form solid this distance. Very fit, among the dangers.
ILB
Started $11.00 and moved ahead of some to finish 5th last time around here and competing at a lower class. Rises in weight. Could feature here.
RP
Finished fifth, beaten just over 5l, over 6f here (handicap) 14 days ago; brings winning C&D form to the table.
RSIS
Odds of 10/1 and moved ahead of some to finish 5th last start around here and up against weaker rivals. Rising in weight. Keep safe.
Career
22: 2-1-4
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
10: 1-1-2
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1203m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1220m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 1-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
10: 1-1-2
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Sent out $19 when never got into the race this course off spell. Strips fitter. Fringe place hope at best.
ILB
Odds of $19.00 and only fair when 7th last start at the track and has to carry more weight this time. Rough hope.
RP
Useful in this grade; a course winner; seventh beaten 6l three weeks ago; also engaged in race 5 at Launceston.
RSIS
Started 18/1 and not up to scratch when 7th last start at this venue and has to cope with a weight increase.