Shortest win price
Geegees Avalanche (3)
2.45
Welcome punters to Launceston for the Cyril Simpson Mdn Plate over 1200m on a good4 track under fine skies. The race is set to jump at 7:00 pm AEDT, bringing together a mixed field of maidens ready for battle. Looking at the early win market order, Geegees Avalanche is currently holding the mantle as the shortest-priced runner, closely followed by Kion's Kingdom, Miss Strat, and King Candy rounding out the initial fancies in the betting yarn.
Delving into the form line for some of these market leaders, Geegees Avalanche comes in following a patient let-up after going down narrowly in a 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Hobart when set alight late. Kion's Kingdom lines up here after heading home tamely at this track off an extended spell, though fitness should be building for a trainer combination where rider Sam Kennedy is outperforming market expectations. Meanwhile, Miss Strat returns after a reasonable effort over this course and distance without threatening, yet shapes as capable of making an impact in this company.
For those hunting further value down the order, King Candy brings some intrigue second campaign after a promising debut placing and a recent Longford barrier trial to ready for the fray. Keep an eye on the early speed map where runners like Global Miracle and Champagne Rocket look to push forward from their respective barriers. It shapes as a fascinating contest where punters will need to weigh up fresh legs against race fitness.
Shortest win price
Geegees Avalanche (3)
2.45
Most career wins
Tricky Boy
2-3-4 from 26 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Alpine Alfie · Negative
Trainer SR
Adrian Duggan striking at just 4%
Geegees Avalanche · Negative
Trainer SR
Stuart Gandy striking at just 11%
Kion's Kingdom · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Mr Tod · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Adrian Duggan striking at just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First run for new trainer reasonable effort without seriously threatening this venue. Fitter second-up. Latest suggested improvement.
ILB
Odds of $41.00 and got tired late when 5th last run around here. Does take a while to get into stride. Cannot have in this race.
RP
Split a number of these rivals three weeks ago posting a respectable display to finish fifth on debut for this trainer.
RSIS
At 40/1 peaked on the run when 5th last time around here. Might have to make up considerable ground.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
2: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 1%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 74%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 79% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let-up (65-days). Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Devonport Synthetic. Since trialled at Longford 20 Oct. Hope for exotics only.
ILB
First up after a break. Couldn't stay in touch when 7th last time at Devonport Synthetic.
RP
Not disgraced when seventh of eight over 6½f at Devonport (maiden) in August; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break. Faded to finish 7th last run at Devonport Synthetic.
Career
4: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
95
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Hobart
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Stuart Gandy striking at just 11%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Let-up (72-days). Showing some early promise. Patiently handled, set alight and went down narrowly in the 3yo+ Mdn Plate at Hobart 19 Aug. Worth a look fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Racing fresh today after a break. Right up there last run at Hobart and demonstrating upward trajectory in recent races. One of the punters top hopes.
RP
Went down by a neck over 7f at Hobart (maiden) in August.
RSIS
Fresh today. Threw down a serious challenge last run at Hobart and form has been improving over recent runs. Very capable of taking this out.
Career
4: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
92
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-1
Track Launceston
3: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Sam Kennedy 48% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Sam Kennedy in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 48%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Went home tamely this track off extended spell at $6. Building fitness. Place preferred option.
ILB
Started $6.00 and came in 6th last time around here. Is capable of a resurgence. Has plenty of early speed. Good potential.
RP
Four-race maiden but has managed to finish second; finished sixth but wasn't beaten too far (4l) splitting Miss Strat, Alpine Alfie and Conscious Bias three weeks ago; others appeal more.
RSIS
Started at 5/1 and ran 6th last start around here. Expecting improvement. Has early pace and positions nicely. Should go very close.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
3: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -43% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Better for last start
Positive
Improved with last few runs
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
AAP
Returns for second campaign (29-weeks). Readied with two soft trials and he is a placegetter this t/d. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Racing fresh after a 29 week break. Odds of $7.00 and tailed off to finish 4th last time at this track but gets the perfect barrier. Rough chance today.
RP
Without a win in three attempts although has finished third; not disgraced when fourth of six in April; back from an absence here; hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
First run back from a break of 29 weeks. Odds of 6/1 and didn't find the line when 4th last run around here but drawn well.
Career
26: 2-3-4
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Firststart
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
6: 1-0-1
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
10: 0-2-3
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
5: 1-1-0
Going Soft
6: 1-2-2
Going Unknown
4: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
AAP
Trials (4:0-0-3). Well prepared for debut and latest trial placing at Longford suggests a forward showing is on the cards. T Baker on from trials. Look to market for a further guide.
ILB
4yo by Ambidexter racing as a debutant for trainer Sigrid Carr. Watch the market.
RP
Already a gelding; first start under rules for this four-year-old; should prove competitive as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
4yo first starter by Ambidexter for Sigrid Carr.
Career
4: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1620m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Graeme McCulloch in good form, out performing market 42%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (28-weeks). Form to date uninspiring. Readied with two soft trials. Was a long way off being competitive in her first campaign and they've taken time bringing her back.
ILB
Back from a 28 week spell. Started $26.00 and looked outclassed when 9th last start at this track and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Can't back with any confidence.
RP
Still looking to open her account after four runs; finished ninth, beaten 17l, six months ago upped to 1m; returns from a layoff; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Resuming after a 28 week break. Was 25/1 and didn't attack the line when 9th last run around here and back to a shorter trip.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
2: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
3: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 37% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Barry Baker striking at just 1%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 69%
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Lightly raced 4 who is still learning her craft. Started $61 when safely held in Maiden company this venue off long break. Others carry more punch.
ILB
Started at $61.00 and faded away to finish 8th last time at this track. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Cannot be tipped.
RP
Attempting to get off the mark at the sixth time of asking (fifth her best finish so far); behind several of these when beaten 5l (eighth of 11) three weeks ago; easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Started 60/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last run at this track. Gets back and needs luck.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 301 day break (> 300 days)
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Back for second campaign (43-weeks). Prepared for return with 3 trials. Finished down the track in both runs. Prefer to see.
ILB
First run back from a break of 43 weeks. Was $101.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last run at Hobart. Would not recommend.
RP
Came home tenth, beaten 17l, at Hobart in January; returns from an absence here; prospects.
RSIS
Back from a 43 week break. Odds of 100/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 10th last run at Hobart. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall.
Career
5: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
2: 0-1-0
Track Launceston
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-1-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 66%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Latest attempt this journey when reasonable effort without seriously threatening this course. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Started at $4.40 and ran 6th last time here. Looking past the last run. Major chance.
RP
Not beaten too far (2l) 14 days ago; not yet off the mark in five attempts although has finished second.
RSIS
Started at 10/3 and finished 6th last start around here. Should improve. Strong chance to be considered.
Career
4: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
3: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
3: 0-1-0
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot Trainer
Positive
Graeme McCulloch in good form, out performing market 42%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Second campaign (36-weeks). Maturity upside. Placed on debut last campaign while brought back with a Longford trial. Can challenge fresh in this company.
ILB
First up and came on strongly to finish 2nd when beaten by 2L first up last preparation at this venue. Expected to settle towards the tail. Will be a difficult test.
RP
Winless in four starts but has shown promise with second his top showing; finished fifth, beaten a fair way in February in a Listed race; has had some time off; this is a step down in class but hard to recommend.
RSIS
Resuming and claimed a spot in the placings when 2nd resuming last preparation at this track. Likely to settle back in the field. Competing in a less challenging grade.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back for second campaign (38-weeks). Given time to mature. A long way off them at Hobart on debut at double-figure odds. Took benefit from that. Prepared for return with 4 trials. Open to improvement.
ILB
Racing fresh after a break of 38 weeks. Odds of $31.00 and didn't find the line when 5th last time at Hobart but was on debut last time. This will pose a challenge.
RP
Finished fifth and beaten 12l first time out at Hobart at 28-1 in February; returns from a break here; form of the trainer is a plus; is of interest.
RSIS
Resuming after a break of 38 weeks. Started 30/1 and looked outclassed when 5th last time at Hobart but having second career run. Has plenty of early pace.
Rating · IRD
99
Speed map
Firststart
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-1). Stepping out for first time after a Longford trial placing 20 Oct. Drawn well. Bears close watching.
ILB
Racing as a debutant 3yo by Peltzer for trainer Glenn Stevenson. Market as guide.
RP
This daughter of Peltzer makes debut under rules; a leading contender with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
3yo by Peltzer having initial appearance for trainer Glenn Stevenson. Watch the market moves.