Shortest win price
Kakia (1)
2.60
Welcome to Launceston for the Ladbrokes Tote Win +10% In October, a Benchmark 60 handicap over the 1400m journey. The track is rated a Good 4 under fine skies, and we are all set for a cracking evening of racing with the jump scheduled for 6:00 pm AEDT. Looking at the win market order, punters have zeroed in on Kakia sitting right at the top of the betting ring, with Snowdonia and Hold The Door next in line, closely followed by Halen as the race begins to take shape.
Taking a closer look at the form line for our market leader Kakia, prepared by Jessie Bazan and piloted by David Pires from barrier 2, this seasoned campaigner has 27 starts under the belt with 5 wins and 11 minor placings. Last start over this very track and trip in similar BM60 grade, Kakia led them up before giving away the final stages to finish fourth. The sectionals suggest a very fit runner who draws to do no early work from barrier 2. Meanwhile, Snowdonia for trainer S Gandy lines up with Troy Baker in the saddle from gate 4, coming off a sixth over 1600m here following a gutsy narrow placing over 1420m, and is expected to bounce back coming back down in distance today.
The early speed map shows Kakia and Hold The Door should look to push forward and share the leader duties, while Snowdonia maps nicely on-pace. Down the market, Halen for G J McCulloch brings an interesting angle as a noted fast finisher, clocking the quickest overall finishing sectionals last start when flashing home for second over this course and distance. With Kelvin Sanderson taking the reins and riding in great touch, Halen could catch the eye late if the leaders go too hard early in the piece.
Shortest win price
Kakia (1)
2.60
Most career wins
Kakia
5-6-5 from 27 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Kakia · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Hold The Door · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Halen · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
I'm Chev · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Career
27: 5-6-5
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-2
Third-up
3: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-3-0
Track Hobart
13: 2-2-3
Track Launceston
9: 2-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
9: 2-2-1
Distance 1350m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1390m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
11: 4-4-0
Going Good
9: 1-3-2
Going Soft
15: 4-2-2
Going Synthetic
3: 0-1-1
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -40%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 34%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 53% in L100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
AAP
Led, gave away final stages this venue over this journey. Draws to do no work. Senior rider takes over. Very fit, not out of this.
ILB
Started $7.50 and lost ground when 4th last start at the track and can find a nice position from the draw. Rises in weight. Definite claims for punters.
RP
Producing consistent form and he can be competitive at this level; fair effort when beaten 3l splitting Halen, I'm Chev and Hold The Door two weeks ago; big player if building on promise shown last time.
RSIS
Started 13/2 and peaked on the run when 4th last run here and drawn nicely. Bit of extra work to do with more weight. Good winning chance.
Career
7: 1-0-0
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Track Rosehill
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Trainer
Positive
Angela Brakey in good form, out performing market 69%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 50% POT in L100 Runners
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 5%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
AAP
Went home tamely this venue for new trainer at $7. Building fitness and takes a 2kg claim. Drawn to effect. Will take a power of beating.
ILB
Started $7.00 and was well beaten when 7th last time at the track. Likely to bounce back and drawn the rails. Likely to be well placed early. Can win this.
RP
Found life tough when 6l back in seventh on his first start for this trainer 14 days ago.
RSIS
Started 6/1 and tailed off to finish 7th last start around here. Likely to bounce back and drawn well. Should muster plenty of early toe. Expecting a solid performance.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
AAP
Won (Bm60) Launceston 2 Oct. Had all before him at turn and went home tamely this venue. Makes strong appeal.
ILB
Was $11.00 and kept chasing when 5th last run at this venue but has more weight to carry.
RSIS
Started at 10/1 and made some ground when 5th last run here but has more weight to carry.
Career
25: 3-4-3
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
4: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Hobart
5: 0-0-1
Track Launceston
16: 3-4-2
Track CurrentTrack
16: 3-4-2
Distance 1400m
4: 1-1-1
Distance 1420m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
4: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 3-4-1
Going Soft
8: 0-0-2
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 37% better than Career Avg.
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Kelvin Sanderson in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 40%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
AAP
Got back, cut loose late to fill the minors this course over this trip. Usually gets back. This looks more demanding.
ILB
Came on strongly when 2nd beaten by 2 1/4L last time here. Good chance and definitely has claims.
RP
Had a number of these behind him when beaten just over 2l into second at 20-1 14 days ago upped to this trip; can boast winning form over this C&D; an infrequent winner.
RSIS
Ran on when 2nd beaten by 2 1/4L last time here. Definite claims.
Career
17: 2-4-2
Rating · IRD
99
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Track Hobart
10: 0-3-1
Track Launceston
6: 1-1-1
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1420m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 1-2-1
Going Soft
9: 0-2-1
Going Synthetic
1: 1-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 11%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 33% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Just missed at Launceston 25 Sep. Rider found a forward spot this course but she put in a very lacklustre finish. Coming back in distance. Among the dangers.
ILB
Started at $8.50 and weakened to finish 6th last run at the track.
RP
Has winning form at this track; grade looks suitable; out of the frame (beaten 4½l in sixth) here over 1m (handicap) three weeks ago; more than capable if on song so has to be respected.
RSIS
At 15/2 faded away to finish 6th last run here.
Career
26: 3-2-2
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
6: 0-1-1
Second-up
5: 2-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
5: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
6: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
6: 0-0-1
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
14: 2-2-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
AAP
Midfield, unable to muster a threatening rally this track over this distance. Can make his presence felt.
ILB
Odds of $14.00 and tailed off to finish 6th last start here. Can figure in the finish.
RP
Not disgraced when sixth of nine 14 days ago; ought to be competitive as shown he can be competitive fairly recently.
RSIS
Started at 13/1 and folded up in the straight when 6th last run at the track. Looks a nice proposition.
Career
37: 2-4-2
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 0-1-0
Third-up
4: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-0-1
Track Launceston
16: 1-3-1
Track CurrentTrack
16: 1-3-1
Track Longford
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1350m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
6: 0-2-0
Going Good
15: 1-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
16: 1-2-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 80%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Long losing streak. Sent out $21 when never got into the race this track. Awkwardly drawn. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Jumped at $21.00 and fairly underwhelming when 7th last start at this track. Gets back and needs luck. Minor claims.
RP
Finished just behind Snowdonia when seventh here over 1m (handicap) 21 days ago; C&D has proven suitable before; an infrequent winner; stable has been going through a quiet spell; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Was 20/1 and average performance when 7th last time at this venue. Gets back and needs luck.
Career
21: 1-1-1
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-0
Track Hobart
5: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
12: 1-1-1
Track CurrentTrack
12: 1-1-1
Distance 1220m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1420m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Soft
11: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
4: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Win Drought
Negative
Not won for a while
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 4kg now
AAP
On a quick back-up. Not disgraced this track at $31. Others rate stronger.
ILB
On a short back up. At $31.00 below par when 11th last time at the track. Might have to make up considerable ground. Large claim helps. Will struggle against these.
RP
Suited by this C&D; towards the rear of 14 seven days ago upped to this distance; is passed over.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Was 30/1 and had difficulty when 11th last run around here. Might be ridden for luck. Indi Bowles provides some weight relief.