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Launceston (TAS) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Launceston (TAS), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 30 OctLaunceston (TAS)Change

Race 9 — Ray Bean Plate (C1) 2100m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome punters to Launceston for the Ray Bean Plate, a Class 1 contest over the staying trip of 2100m. The track is rated a good four under fine skies, and the jump is locked in for 9:30 pm AEDT. Looking at how the win market is shaping up, Da Silver Flash finds itself heading the market order, closely followed by Shines Discreetly, Lyco Reco, and Opensea rounding out the shorter fancies in early discussions for this intriguing race yarn.

Digging into the form behind those at the head of calculations, Shines Discreetly brings compelling credentials from the Matthew Brown stable, partnered by Erica Byrne Burke from barrier seven. This runner showed grit and determination to score over 1600m here before a solid third over 1400m, and profiles particularly well arriving in peak order with a top rating of 100. Meanwhile, Da Silver Flash is prepared by J L Keys and jumps from barrier one with Luke P Dempsey in the saddle. This contender comes off a tidy effort working into the placings over 2000m here on a soft track, backed by a hot jockey and trainer combination that routinely outperforms market expectations.

For punters hunting further down the win market order, Lyco Reco holds barrier two for trainer Yassy Nishitani and jockey Daniel Ganderton, dropping back to a slightly easier assignment after failing to threaten over 1620m here and finishing fifth at Hobart over this 2100m journey. On the speed map front, Nicalbi is marked as the lone leader from barrier three, while Shines Discreetly and Lyco Reco settle on-pace to keep things honest as the field sorts out its staying manners.

Race notes

  • Class 1,MDN/CL1-SW
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 7 runners

Shortest win price

Da Silver Flash (5)

2.70

Most career wins

Lyco Reco

2-2-1 from 20 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 2Opensea

Offmidfield

  • 4Ceeya Sunshine

Midfield

  • 8So Vogue

Offpace

  • 5Da Silver Flash

Onpace

  • 3Shines Discreetly
  • 7Lyco Reco

Leader

  • 1Nicalbi

  • Nicalbi · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 1678%

  • Opensea · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 37% better than Career Avg.

  • Shines Discreetly · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 70%

  • Ceeya Sunshine · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1NicalbiJ: Hayley Spitse·T: Bradley Franklin359kg5 6 1 4 916: 1-1-1$11.00$3.90

Career

16: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

92

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Launceston

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Longford

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1380m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    8: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 9Launceston1600m9 Oct 2026 · CL2 · GOOD46.92L
  2. 4Launceston1600m2 Oct 2026 · BM60 · SOFT52.25L
  3. 1Devonport Synthetic1650m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC-0.8
  4. 6Devonport Synthetic1350m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.7L
  5. 5Devonport Synthetic1009m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · SYNTHETIC6.2L
  6. 9Hobart1380m19 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT54.7L
  7. 4Devonport Synthetic1009m12 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC2.2L
  8. 3Hobart1380m7 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT50.5L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 1678%

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 3%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Up In Weight

    Negative

    Goes up 5.5kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Didn't finish it off over 1600m Hcp (C2) this course. Stamina on trial here. Looking for a bounce back here.

ILB

Looked outclassed when 9th last run around here. Capable of bouncing back. Should be going forward early. The large claim from Hayley Spitse helps. One of the punters top hopes.

RP

Finished last of nine in a handicap 21 days ago; he should go close if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

Gave away some ground when 9th last run around here. Giving another go here. Should race on the pace. Hayley Spitse takes a large claim. Must be considered here.

2OpenseaJ: Kelvin Sanderson·T: M S Trinder659kg7 2 6 4 620: 1-4-1$8.50$3.50

Career

20: 1-4-1

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1650m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 2100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    6: 0-2-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    10: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 6Launceston2000m2 Oct 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT510.25L
  2. 4Devonport Synthetic1880m2 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · SYNTHETIC4L
  3. 6Devonport Synthetic1350m26 Aug 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC4.4L
  4. 2Devonport Synthetic1350m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC1.3L
  5. 7Devonport Synthetic1150m26 July 2026 · CL1 · SYNTHETIC5.35L
  6. 4Devonport Synthetic800m14 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC1.5L
  7. 13Launceston1620m30 Jan 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT554.1L
  8. 10Launceston2100m23 Jan 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT57.9L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 37% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Michael Trinder striking at just 9%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 23%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Kelvin Sanderson in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 40%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Unable to make an impression this track. Not out of this.

ILB

Jumped at $16.00 and faded away to finish 6th last start at this venue. Will be motoring home late. Can't leave out of your calculations.

RP

Finished behind Da Silver Flash over 1m2f here (conditions race) when beaten 10l 28 days ago; needs to improve on balance of recent form; hard enough to fancy.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and weakened to finish 6th last time at the track. Has a great burst of pace late.

3Shines DiscreetlyJ: Erica Byrne Burke·T: Matthew Brown759kg6 4 5 3 112: 1-0-1$2.75$1.55

Career

12: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 1-0-1

  • Track Bairnsdale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1420m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    5: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Launceston1600m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
  2. 3Launceston1400m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD41.55L
  3. 5Launceston1420m25 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.8L
  4. 4Devonport Synthetic1650m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.5L
  5. 6Pakenham Synthetic1600m16 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC4.7L
  6. 10Ballarat Synthetic1500m6 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC8.2L
  7. 4Ballarat Synthetic1500m27 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.4L
  8. 10Pakenham Synthetic1400m29 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC6.3L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 70%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 45%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

Comments

AAP

In peak order. Sheer display of grit and determination this venue. E Byrne Burke on again. Profiles well.

ILB

Finished with purpose when winning last start around here and getting better in recent performances. Won't be far away during the run. Expect support.

RP

Lost his maiden tag when winning by half a length two weeks ago in a maiden; has kicked on in his last couple of races; is a player.

RSIS

Bold effort when winning last run around here and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Erica Byrne Burke and Matthew Brown are a combination worth noting. Has to be in the finish.

4Ceeya SunshineJ: Kyle Hocking·T: Ms L Gaffney557kg9 8 5 6 610: 0-0-0$11.00$3.90

Career

10: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    7: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Launceston1600m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.11L
  2. 6Devonport Synthetic1009m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC4.9L
  3. 5Devonport Synthetic1150m9 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC11.5L
  4. 8Devonport Synthetic1350m2 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.2L
  5. 9Hobart1100m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.5L
  6. 2Hobart800m6 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)1.8L
  7. 9Hobart1200m19 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT511.1L
  8. 9Hobart1200m2 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD412.1L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 3%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

Comments

AAP

Not disgraced this venue for new stable. First real test of stamina here. Hard fit, only for the minors here.

ILB

Started $151.00 and ran 6th last time around here. Gets back and needs luck. This looks a tough assignment.

RP

Sixth, beaten just over 2l by Shines Discreetly in a maiden two weeks ago upped to 1m on debut for this trainer; needs to improve on balance of recent form and winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at ten; stepping up in trip and unlikely to do better than a supporting role.

RSIS

Started at 150/1 and came in 6th last start at the track. Might be ridden for luck.

5Da Silver FlashJ: Luke P Dempsey·T: J L Keys157kg1 7 6 6 312: 1-0-1$2.70$1.50

Career

12: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    7: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1880m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Launceston2000m2 Oct 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT53.25L
  2. 6Launceston1600m16 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD43.25L
  3. 6Devonport Synthetic1880m2 Sept 2026 · Class 1 · SYNTHETIC6L
  4. 7Hobart1600m5 Aug 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT72.85L
  5. 1Devonport Synthetic1350m12 July 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC-0.3
  6. 4Hobart1380m7 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT51.3L
  7. 1Hobart800m26 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.5
  8. 7Hobart1390m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44.7L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 353%

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Improver

    Positive

    Poised to improve on recent form here

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Tidy effort working into the placings from last this course. Won't need to improve much to test these.

ILB

Improved to place when 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last run here and has the ideal alley. Slim possibilty.

RP

Not beaten that far over 1m2f here (conditions race) four weeks ago.

RSIS

Managed to finish 3rd last run around here and will be aiming for a soft run from the draw.

6Jedd's JetScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Not disgraced this course. Stamina on trial here. Fit from racing, can play a role.

ILB

Backs up quickly. Finished 7th last start here but going over extra ground.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Ran 7th last start at this venue but going over extra ground.

7Lyco RecoJ: Daniel Ganderton·T: Yassy Nishitani257kg6 2 1 5 620: 2-2-1$7.50$3.20

Career

20: 2-2-1

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Track Hobart

    9: 2-1-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    5: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1350m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1620m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1650m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    12: 1-1-1

  • Going Synthetic

    5: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 6Launceston1620m25 Sept 2026 · CL3 SW · GOOD47.46L
  2. 5Hobart2100m5 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT73.3L
  3. 1Hobart2100m5 July 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT5-0.75
  4. 2Devonport Synthetic1880m14 June 2026 · Class 1 · SYNTHETIC0.4L
  5. 6Hobart2040m10 May 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT54L
  6. 7Devonport Synthetic1650m3 May 2026 · Class 1 · SYNTHETIC6L
  7. 11Hobart2000m12 Apr 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT516L
  8. 9Hobart1600m8 Feb 2026 · Class 1 · SOFT58.7L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 8%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%

  • Map Suits

    Positive

    Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

Comments

AAP

Now 5 weeks between runs. Failed to threaten this track. Easier here. Makes strong appeal.

ILB

Jumped at $15.00 and well beaten when 6th last run here but has a good draw. Going back up in distance. Should not be left out of your thoughts.

RP

Missed the frame (beaten 7l into sixth) over 1m here (conditions race) five weeks ago; difficult to oppose if in the same form she showed when winning three starts back.

RSIS

At 14/1 moderate showing when 6th last start around here but back to a rise in trip. Will try to take advantage of the stall. Can figure in the finish.

8So VogueJ: Kirra-Lee Lane·T: Amy Crossland457kg5 9 6 7 1316: 0-3-0$14.00$4.60

Career

16: 0-3-0

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1420m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1590m

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 13Launceston1600m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD46.82L
  2. 7Launceston1420m25 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.15L
  3. 6Launceston1400m16 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.3L
  4. 9Kilmore1607m1 June 2026 · MDN SW · HEAVY910.8L
  5. 5Wangaratta1590m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY85.3L
  6. 4Wodonga1590m20 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD34L
  7. 7Cranbourne2540m20 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD359.3L
  8. 6Kyneton1862m13 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD41.37L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 28%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Winkers On

    Positive

    Important gear change of winkers on

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Sent out $61 when unable to threaten this venue. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Was well beaten when 13th last start around here. Has the talent to rebound quickly and back over more ground. Represents value.

RP

Finished towards the rear of 14 here over 1m (maiden) two weeks ago; still winless and defeats stacking up (16 on the bounce); easy enough to take on.

RSIS

Was well beaten when 13th last time at the track. Happy to overlook that run and stepping back up in trip. Represents significant value.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 2 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races
  • Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races