Shortest win price
Jaggers Edge (5)
3.40
Welcome to Launceston for the Trevor Jones Mdn Plate, a 1100m test for the three-year-old maidens on a good four surface under fine skies with a 6:30 pm AEDT jump. Punting keen on sorting out this puzzle see Jaggers Edge leading the win market order, closely followed by Annie's Pride and Deer Power sitting right in the thick of things. Alpinefurther holds down the next line in the betting as punters weigh up a fascinating mix of seasoned local debutants and promising trial performers ready to rumble over the short trip.
Looking at the form behind those shorter prices, Deer Power comes out of a solid fourth over this exact 1100m course here at Launceston, giving a good account in a three-year-old maiden plate when supported. Trained by Yassy Nishitani with Luke P Dempsey in the saddle, Deer Power looks sharper second-up with sound claims. Meanwhile, Annie's Pride returns from a seventy-two-day let-up after leaving a decent impression on debut at Hobart over 1100m on soft ground, with Sam Kennedy taking the steer for trainer J L Keys. That introductory run would have taught this backmarker plenty.
Further down the win market order, Jaggers Edge kicks off a first-start campaign from barrier six for trainer Sigrid Carr and jockey Troy Baker, boasting some eye-catching trial form including a comfortable win at Longford and a Hobart placing, making it one for punters to watch closely alongside the speed map featuring leaders like Zhavrafrost and Deer Power jumping fast early from wide and inside gates respectively.
Shortest win price
Jaggers Edge (5)
3.40
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Alpinefurther · Positive
Nice Barrier
Well drawn from gate 2
Day Nor The Hour · Negative
Jockey Booking
Hayley Mc Carthy current POT is 53% below Career Avg.
Deer Power · Negative
Trainer SR
Yassy Nishitani striking at just 7%
Dream Riot · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Rating · IRD
86
Speed map
Firststart
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously
AAP
Trials (4:1-0-1). Was an earlier trial winner on the Devonport Synthetic track. Drawn well. Looks capable of featuring on debut.
ILB
Glenn Stevenson trained 3yo by Alpine Eagle having first race appearance and has a good draw. Watch betting.
RP
Already a gelding; this son of Alpine Eagle makes debut under rules; one to be interested in as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
Glenn Stevenson 3yo by Alpine Eagle having first race start and has a positive draw. Watch the market moves.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
72
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Hayley Mc Carthy current POT is 53% below Career Avg.
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back for second campaign (38-weeks). More developed now. A long way off them at Hobart on debut at wide odds. Just the solo run for his initial prep. Had 2 trials since. Needs to show more this campaign. Monitor betting.
ILB
First run back from a break of 38 weeks. Odds of $61.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last time at Hobart but having second race start. Would be more keen on the chance of others.
RP
Couldn't land a blow on his debut in Hobart conditions race over 6f at 66-1 in February; returns from a break here; could improve although needs to.
RSIS
Resuming from a break of 38 weeks. Started 60/1 and folded up in the straight when 6th last start at Hobart but fitter for debut run.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Devonport Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Yassy Nishitani striking at just 7%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 335%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Supported in early runs. Gave good account 3yo Mdn Plate this course at second appearance when supported. Sharper now, sound claims.
ILB
Started at $3.40 and kept chasing when 4th last start around here. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.
RP
Respectable effort when fourth two weeks ago with two of these rivals behind.
RSIS
Started at 12/5 and was making up some late ground when 4th last time at this track. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall. Good chance and definitely has claims.
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). With top stable and left a good impression at the trials. Benefit of decent alley. Look to market for a further guide.
ILB
Racing as a debutant 3yo by De Gaulle for trainer John Blacker. Watch the market.
RP
This son of De Gaulle makes first rules appearance; arguably the one to beat with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Racing as a debutant 3yo by De Gaulle for John Blacker.
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Firststart
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (3:1-0-2). Ready to greet the starter after some decent trial work. Follow betting leads.
ILB
Career debut 3yo by Hanseatic for trainer Sigrid Carr. Follow the money.
RP
Already gelded; from the same family as Korolev, a winner over 7½f; makes first racecourse appearance; could have a say.
RSIS
Initial appearance 3yo by Hanseatic for Sigrid Carr.
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (1:1-0-0). Sent a positive signal with a solid trial performance at Longford. Alley makes it tough but market watch advised.
ILB
3yo runner on debut by Wordsmith for John Keys. Betting as a guide.
RP
Having first race; related to 6f winner Geegees Down South; one to consider with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Wordsmith 3yo having first race start for John Keys.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Hobart
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%
Key Jockey
Positive
Sam Kennedy winning at 30% POT in last 100 rides
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Let-up (72-days). Left a decent impression on debut at Hobart 19 Aug. Took valuable lessons. Major player here.
ILB
Resuming after a break. At $11.00 crept into 5th last run at Hobart and having second career run. Expected to settle towards the tail. Has drawn to do little work. Could feature here.
RP
Creditable debut, finishing fifth, beaten 2l at Hobart at 8-1 in August; hard to see her getting off the mark second time up.
RSIS
First run back from a break. Started at 10/1 and got going late when 5th last time at Hobart and having second career run. Gets back and needs luck. Can't leave out of your calculations.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Leader
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
AAP
Shown promise in limited runs. Strode forward off wide gate, fought on bravely to just miss this venue when second-up. Can lead or take a sit. Makes strong appeal.
ILB
Right up there last start around here and good career start.
RSIS
Narrowly beaten last time here and good career start.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Wasn't all that far from the action on debut this venue. Benefits from the experience. Place preferred option.
ILB
Jumped at $3.30 and looked outclassed when 5th last time here. Is capable of a resurgence and fitter for debut run. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Strong chance.
RP
Not disgraced on her debut (9-4) two weeks ago over C&D; will need to progress to get off the mark.
RSIS
Was 9/4 and looked outclassed when 5th last start around here. May see an upturn in form and having second career run. Should muster plenty of early pace. Should feature prominently.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
77
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1120m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Returns for second campaign (34-weeks). A long way off them this venue on debut when drifting in the betting. Since appeared in 2 trials. May need more racing. Hard to enthuse.
ILB
First run back from a 34 week spell. Jumped at $7.00 and faded away to finish 5th last start at the track but having second career run. Will be a difficult test.
RP
Held last of five but was making her first appearance (at Launceston over this trip) at 6-1 in March; the yard has enjoyed plenty of winners of late; returns from a break here; hard to see her getting off the mark second time up.
RSIS
First run back from a 34 week break. Started 6/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 5th last run here but was on debut last time.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Launceston
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Reasonable debut performance when battled to line this course as a despised outsider. Better for race exposure. Not fancied.
ILB
At $151.00 was well beaten when 7th last run at this venue but fitter for debut run. Would not recommend.
RP
Fair debut effort, beaten 3½l after going off at 150-1 over C&D; should benefit for having a run under her belt.
RSIS
Started 150/1 and faded to finish 7th last start at this venue but having second race start.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 42%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Long Break
Negative
Resumes from a 332 day break (> 300 days)
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-0). Two modest trials leading in. Needs to show more on race day. Betting.
ILB
Initial appearance 3yo by Stratosphere for Graeme Mcculloch. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Already a gelding; first competitive racecourse experience; trainer not renowned for sending out winning newcomers; probably best watched for now but it will be interesting to see if there is any market confidence.
RSIS
3yo first starter by Stratosphere for trainer Graeme Mcculloch.
Career
1: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Launceston
1: 0-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1220m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
AAP
Back for second campaign (28-weeks). Acquitted self well with debut placing this venue 17 Apr. Trialled twice since, latest at Longford 20 Oct. Others are packing more punch.
ILB
Resuming after a 28 week break. Zipped home into 3rd last run at this track and having second career run. Facing weaker opposition.
RP
Beaten 14l on his debut (here, 6f) in cheekpieces at 10-1 six months ago; returns from a break today.
RSIS
First run back from a break of 28 weeks. Kept traping on when 3rd beaten by 14L last time around here and having second career run. Facing weaker opposition.