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Launceston (TAS) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Launceston (TAS), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 30 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 30 OctLaunceston (TAS)Change

Race 3 — Trevor Jones Mdn Plate 1100m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Launceston for the Trevor Jones Mdn Plate, a 1100m test for the three-year-old maidens on a good four surface under fine skies with a 6:30 pm AEDT jump. Punting keen on sorting out this puzzle see Jaggers Edge leading the win market order, closely followed by Annie's Pride and Deer Power sitting right in the thick of things. Alpinefurther holds down the next line in the betting as punters weigh up a fascinating mix of seasoned local debutants and promising trial performers ready to rumble over the short trip.

Looking at the form behind those shorter prices, Deer Power comes out of a solid fourth over this exact 1100m course here at Launceston, giving a good account in a three-year-old maiden plate when supported. Trained by Yassy Nishitani with Luke P Dempsey in the saddle, Deer Power looks sharper second-up with sound claims. Meanwhile, Annie's Pride returns from a seventy-two-day let-up after leaving a decent impression on debut at Hobart over 1100m on soft ground, with Sam Kennedy taking the steer for trainer J L Keys. That introductory run would have taught this backmarker plenty.

Further down the win market order, Jaggers Edge kicks off a first-start campaign from barrier six for trainer Sigrid Carr and jockey Troy Baker, boasting some eye-catching trial form including a comfortable win at Longford and a Hobart placing, making it one for punters to watch closely alongside the speed map featuring leaders like Zhavrafrost and Deer Power jumping fast early from wide and inside gates respectively.

Race notes

  • 3Y MDN-SW,3yo,Maiden
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 10 runners

Shortest win price

Jaggers Edge (5)

3.40

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 7Annie's Pride

Offpace

  • 11Concordia Aenean
  • 2Day Nor The Hour

Onpace

  • 3Deer Power

Firststart

  • 1Alpinefurther
  • 4Dream Riot
  • 5Jaggers Edge
  • 6Smith 'N' West

Leader

  • 9Spirit Of Coco
  • 10Zhavrafrost
  • Alpinefurther · Positive

    Nice Barrier

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • Day Nor The Hour · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Hayley Mc Carthy current POT is 53% below Career Avg.

  • Deer Power · Negative

    Trainer SR

    Yassy Nishitani striking at just 7%

  • Dream Riot · Negative

    Cold J/T Combo

    Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1AlpinefurtherJ: Daniel Ganderton·T: G J Stevenson257kg5 4 3$7.00$2.35

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 3Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.1L
  2. 4Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
  3. 5Devonport Synthetic800m3 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC4.2L

Insights

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 2

  • First Starter

    Positive

    Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:1-0-1). Was an earlier trial winner on the Devonport Synthetic track. Drawn well. Looks capable of featuring on debut.

ILB

Glenn Stevenson trained 3yo by Alpine Eagle having first race appearance and has a good draw. Watch betting.

RP

Already a gelding; this son of Alpine Eagle makes debut under rules; one to be interested in as some good aspects to his profile.

RSIS

Glenn Stevenson 3yo by Alpine Eagle having first race start and has a positive draw. Watch the market moves.

2Day Nor The HourJ: Hayley Mc Carthy·T: Dylan Clark457kg3 6 2 31: 0-0-0$21.00$3.90

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
  2. 2Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L
  3. 6Hobart1200m6 Feb 2026 · 2Y-SW · GOOD417.3L
  4. 3Longford800m27 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial1.6L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Hayley Mc Carthy current POT is 53% below Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (38-weeks). More developed now. A long way off them at Hobart on debut at wide odds. Just the solo run for his initial prep. Had 2 trials since. Needs to show more this campaign. Monitor betting.

ILB

First run back from a break of 38 weeks. Odds of $61.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last time at Hobart but having second race start. Would be more keen on the chance of others.

RP

Couldn't land a blow on his debut in Hobart conditions race over 6f at 66-1 in February; returns from a break here; could improve although needs to.

RSIS

Resuming from a break of 38 weeks. Started 60/1 and folded up in the straight when 6th last start at Hobart but fitter for debut run.

3Deer PowerJ: Luke P Dempsey·T: Yassy Nishitani857kg1 1 8 42: 0-0-0$7.50$2.45

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Devonport Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Launceston1100m16 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD41.27L
  2. 8Devonport Synthetic1150m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.7L
  3. 1Devonport Synthetic800m18 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC-0.8
  4. 1Devonport Synthetic800m28 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC-4.5

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Yassy Nishitani striking at just 7%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 335%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Supported in early runs. Gave good account 3yo Mdn Plate this course at second appearance when supported. Sharper now, sound claims.

ILB

Started at $3.40 and kept chasing when 4th last start around here. Has the necessary speed to overcome the wide draw. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

RP

Respectable effort when fourth two weeks ago with two of these rivals behind.

RSIS

Started at 12/5 and was making up some late ground when 4th last time at this track. Has the pace to overcome the wide stall. Good chance and definitely has claims.

4Dream RiotJ: Lauryn Bingley·T: J K Blacker357kg1$8.00$2.50

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 1Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -25% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%

  • Watch Betting

    Negative

    If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:1-0-0). With top stable and left a good impression at the trials. Benefit of decent alley. Look to market for a further guide.

ILB

Racing as a debutant 3yo by De Gaulle for trainer John Blacker. Watch the market.

RP

This son of De Gaulle makes first rules appearance; arguably the one to beat with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Racing as a debutant 3yo by De Gaulle for John Blacker.

5Jaggers EdgeJ: Troy Baker·T: Sigrid Carr657kg3 3 1$3.40$1.40

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 1Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-2.5
  2. 3Hobart800m23 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L
  3. 3Hobart800m10 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial3L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races

  • Market Watch

    Negative

    Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (3:1-0-2). Ready to greet the starter after some decent trial work. Follow betting leads.

ILB

Career debut 3yo by Hanseatic for trainer Sigrid Carr. Follow the money.

RP

Already gelded; from the same family as Korolev, a winner over 7½f; makes first racecourse appearance; could have a say.

RSIS

Initial appearance 3yo by Hanseatic for Sigrid Carr.

6Smith 'N' WestJ: Kyle Hocking·T: J L Keys957kg1$10.00$2.90

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 1Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Watch Betting

    Negative

    If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:1-0-0). Sent a positive signal with a solid trial performance at Longford. Alley makes it tough but market watch advised.

ILB

3yo runner on debut by Wordsmith for John Keys. Betting as a guide.

RP

Having first race; related to 6f winner Geegees Down South; one to consider with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Wordsmith 3yo having first race start for John Keys.

7Annie's PrideJ: Sam Kennedy·T: J L Keys155kg2 51: 0-0-0$4.20$1.65

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hobart

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Hobart1100m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.1L
  2. 2Devonport Synthetic800m28 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC4.5L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 22% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy winning at 30% POT in last 100 rides

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (72-days). Left a decent impression on debut at Hobart 19 Aug. Took valuable lessons. Major player here.

ILB

Resuming after a break. At $11.00 crept into 5th last run at Hobart and having second career run. Expected to settle towards the tail. Has drawn to do little work. Could feature here.

RP

Creditable debut, finishing fifth, beaten 2l at Hobart at 8-1 in August; hard to see her getting off the mark second time up.

RSIS

First run back from a break. Started at 10/1 and got going late when 5th last time at Hobart and having second career run. Gets back and needs luck. Can't leave out of your calculations.

8BewickedScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Insights

  • Lightly Raced

    Positive

    Limited race experience but shown potential

Comments

AAP

Shown promise in limited runs. Strode forward off wide gate, fought on bravely to just miss this venue when second-up. Can lead or take a sit. Makes strong appeal.

ILB

Right up there last start around here and good career start.

RSIS

Narrowly beaten last time here and good career start.

9Spirit Of CocoJ: Codi Jordan·T: Trent Wells755kg1 51: 0-0-0$12.00$3.30

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Launceston1100m16 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD41.77L
  2. 1Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-1

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 14% better than Career Avg.

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Wasn't all that far from the action on debut this venue. Benefits from the experience. Place preferred option.

ILB

Jumped at $3.30 and looked outclassed when 5th last time here. Is capable of a resurgence and fitter for debut run. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Strong chance.

RP

Not disgraced on her debut (9-4) two weeks ago over C&D; will need to progress to get off the mark.

RSIS

Was 9/4 and looked outclassed when 5th last start around here. May see an upturn in form and having second career run. Should muster plenty of early pace. Should feature prominently.

10ZhavrafrostJ: Erica Byrne Burke·T: Adam Trinder555kg2 5 6 41: 0-0-0$11.00$3.10

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1120m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.8L
  2. 6Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.8L
  3. 5Launceston1120m4 Mar 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · SOFT513.3L
  4. 2Longford800m18 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial0.2L

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 11% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (34-weeks). A long way off them this venue on debut when drifting in the betting. Since appeared in 2 trials. May need more racing. Hard to enthuse.

ILB

First run back from a 34 week spell. Jumped at $7.00 and faded away to finish 5th last start at the track but having second career run. Will be a difficult test.

RP

Held last of five but was making her first appearance (at Launceston over this trip) at 6-1 in March; the yard has enjoyed plenty of winners of late; returns from a break here; hard to see her getting off the mark second time up.

RSIS

First run back from a 34 week break. Started 6/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 5th last run here but was on debut last time.

11Concordia AeneanJ: Kirra-Lee Lane·T: Cathy Oliver1055kg4 4 71: 0-0-0$71.00$8.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Launceston

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Launceston1100m16 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.52L
  2. 4Devonport Synthetic800m13 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC16.6L
  3. 4Devonport Synthetic800m29 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC27.4L

Insights

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Reasonable debut performance when battled to line this course as a despised outsider. Better for race exposure. Not fancied.

ILB

At $151.00 was well beaten when 7th last run at this venue but fitter for debut run. Would not recommend.

RP

Fair debut effort, beaten 3½l after going off at 150-1 over C&D; should benefit for having a run under her belt.

RSIS

Started 150/1 and faded to finish 7th last start at this venue but having second race start.

12OnetimesometimeScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 4Longford800m2 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial6.8L
  2. 6Hobart800m25 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial8.1L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 42%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 42%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 24% POT in L100 Runners

  • Long Break

    Negative

    Resumes from a 332 day break (> 300 days)

  • Still Learning

    Negative

    No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). Two modest trials leading in. Needs to show more on race day. Betting.

ILB

Initial appearance 3yo by Stratosphere for Graeme Mcculloch. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Already a gelding; first competitive racecourse experience; trainer not renowned for sending out winning newcomers; probably best watched for now but it will be interesting to see if there is any market confidence.

RSIS

3yo first starter by Stratosphere for trainer Graeme Mcculloch.

13Geegees Last WordScratched8––––

Career

1: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Launceston

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1220m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 2Longford800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4L
  2. 5Longford770m6 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3L
  3. 3Launceston1220m17 Apr 2026 · 2Y-SW · GOOD414L
  4. 1Hobart800m7 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.1

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Winkers Off

    Positive

    Winkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

Back for second campaign (28-weeks). Acquitted self well with debut placing this venue 17 Apr. Trialled twice since, latest at Longford 20 Oct. Others are packing more punch.

ILB

Resuming after a 28 week break. Zipped home into 3rd last run at this track and having second career run. Facing weaker opposition.

RP

Beaten 14l on his debut (here, 6f) in cheekpieces at 10-1 six months ago; returns from a break today.

RSIS

First run back from a break of 28 weeks. Kept traping on when 3rd beaten by 14L last time around here and having second career run. Facing weaker opposition.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 2 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 9 races
  • Wed 16 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races