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Muswellbrook (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Muswellbrook (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovMuswellbrook (NSW)Change

Race 4 — Hunter Valley Premium Meats Bowman Sprint 900m · jumps

Race preview

Muswellbrook hosts the Hunter Valley Premium Meats Bowman Sprint over 900 metres on a SOFT6 track under fine conditions at 3:55 pm AEDT. The win market has Lighthouse Lass shortest, with Shihab and Speck next, followed by Arctic Legend. This is a cracking little race where the early tempo could make or break plenty. Who Goes There, Super Sioux and No Statement are all mapped as Leaders, which means we could see genuine pressure from the jump. Shihab sits as the Backmarker in this shape, while Speck is Onpace and the rest are Offpace runners hoping to pick up the pieces if things get messy.

Lighthouse Lass won fresh at Rosehill over 1100 metres just before her let-up, and that form line is exactly what catches the eye. Andrew Gibbons is riding at 25 per cent better POT than his career average right now, and the Rosehill effort came on SOFT6 going — the same conditions she'll face today. The filly trialled competitively and Freedman's team has done the homework. Shihab is resuming for Glen Milligan after 35 weeks away; the word from the trial at Port Macquarie is that he's come up super, and he's a genuine first-up winner on the record. Milligan's strike rate reads modest, but his jockey combo with Christian Reith is outperforming the market by 49 per cent. Speck shapes as the key player if the race doesn't get away from the speed. He won at Moree two back over 950 metres and only found one close at this track and trip another time. The Taree run two weeks back was modest in soft going, but the form's solid enough to suggest he has a winning chance at the right odds.

Arctic Legend has only just returned to action after 59 days off, and while he trimmed late at Eagle Farm, this shorter 900 metres with a wet track could suit his profile well. The Cody Morgan stable has him marked at Rating 86, and he's a first-up winner on the books. Who Goes There maps perfectly for his running style and the jockey combo is overperforming by 55 per cent, but he'll have Super Sioux and No Statement right there testing his early position. The leaders shape to give this contest genuine shape, so pace punters might find an angle with a runner ready to pounce late if the speed-battlers tyre each other out.

Race notes

  • BOWMANSPRT,Open
  • HEAVY8
  • Fine
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Lighthouse Lass (6)

3.00

Most career wins

No Statement

14-9-16 from 100 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 1Shihab

Offmidfield

  • 6Lighthouse Lass

Midfield

  • 5Arctic Legend

Offpace

  • 2Saratoga Power
  • 4Speck
  • 8Super Sioux

Onpace

  • 3Who Goes There

Leader

  • 9No Statement
  • Shihab · Negative

    Trainer Recent

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Saratoga Power · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Who Goes There · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 55%

  • Speck · Negative

    Jockey Booking

    Less suitable jockey engaged

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1ShihabJ: Christian Reith·T: Glen Milligan163.5kg9 8 8 9 1138: 7-7-3$4.80$1.65

Career

38: 7-7-3

Rating · IRD

72

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Scone

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Grafton

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Newcastle

    4: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1550m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    19: 1-4-3

  • Going Heavy

    5: 3-1-0

  • Going Soft

    14: 3-2-0

Last starts

  1. 11Eagle Farm1200m28 Feb 2026 · BM78 · SOFT65.1L
  2. 9Eagle Farm1400m14 Feb 2026 · HCP · SOFT714.8L
  3. 8Eagle Farm1200m31 Jan 2026 · BM78 · GOOD43.5L
  4. 8Wyong1350m10 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45L
  5. 9Rosehill1300m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP CG&E BM78 HCP · GOOD46.6L
  6. 4Newcastle1300m15 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM94 HCP · GOOD41.5L
  7. 4Port Macquarie1200m10 Oct 2025 · Open · GOOD43.6L
  8. 2Taree1007m23 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial3.3L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 42% Profit on Turnover

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Struggling

    Negative

    Doesn’t look to be going well

Comments

AAP

Resuming (35-weeks). Trialed up super at Port Macquarie 25 Oct and is a first-up winner. Can make a positive start for new trainer off long lay-off.

ILB

Back from a 35 week break. At $81.00 couldn't maintain the pace when 11th last run at Eagle Farm but drawn the rails. First race for a new trainer. Not likely to be troubling the more fancied runners today.

RP

Finished last of 11 over 6f at Eagle Farm (handicap) in February; shown only moderate recent form; first start for new stable; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Back from a break of 35 weeks. Started 80/1 and gave away some ground when 11th last run at Eagle Farm but has a nice advantage with a good stall.

2Saratoga PowerJ: Nick Palmer·T: Brett & Georgie Cavanough360.5kg4 3 10 1 823: 8-1-5$8.00$2.35

Career

23: 8-1-5

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gold Coast Poly

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Doomben

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mudgee

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    3: 2-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    13: 4-1-5

  • Distance 1010m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    13: 6-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-0-3

Last starts

  1. 8Port Macquarie1010m14 June 2026 · HCP · SOFT79.1L
  2. 1Muswellbrook1000m20 Apr 2026 · Benchmark 82 · GOOD4-0.6
  3. 10Wellington1100m12 Apr 2026 · OPEN HCP · SOFT56.8L
  4. 3Muswellbrook1000m27 Mar 2026 · BM92 HCP · SOFT50.8L
  5. 4Muswellbrook900m8 Mar 2026 · BM 82 HCP · GOOD43.4L
  6. 4Scone900m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3L
  7. 3Eagle Farm1000m20 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM78 HCP · GOOD34.3L
  8. 1Mudgee1200m5 Dec 2025 · MUDGEE SPRINT · GOOD3-0.2

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 46%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    5 time winner here at Muswellbrook

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (20-weeks). Raced well last time in. Can pull out a run fresh and proven here while having an easy trial in readiness. Among the dangers.

ILB

Fresh today after a break. Was $13.00 and weakened under pressure when 8th last run at Port Macquarie. Is capable of a resurgence. Great chance.

RP

Beaten a fair way when eighth over 5f at Port Macquarie (handicap) five months ago; has winning form over this course and distance on the CV; enters calculations given he won a handicap two runs back.

RSIS

Back from a break. Started at 12/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 8th last run at Port Macquarie. Expected to rebound. Genuine claims.

3Who Goes ThereJ: Grant Buckley·T: M K Mason760kg4 6 2 7 1022: 7-1-1$11.00$2.80

Career

22: 7-1-1

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 3-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-0

  • Track Tamworth

    6: 5-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    6: 1-1-0

  • Distance 950m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    11: 5-0-1

  • Going Good

    13: 4-1-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 10Scone1100m23 Oct 2026 · Benchmark 82 · SOFT55.06L
  2. 7Newcastle900m18 Sept 2026 · BM72 HCP · GOOD35.36L
  3. 2Newcastle900m22 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.4L
  4. 6Newcastle900m1 Aug 2026 · BM64 · SOFT53.5L
  5. 4Newcastle900m11 July 2026 · BM64 · SOFT62.6L
  6. 9Gunnedah1000m24 May 2026 · HCP · SOFT54.5L
  7. 2Tamworth1000m10 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.8L
  8. 7Muswellbrook900m4 Nov 2025 · BM85 HCP · GOOD44.3L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 55%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Sent forward but flat-footed when things got serious at Scone. On pacer. Drops to shorter trip. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Odds of $15.00 and lost ground in the run home when 10th last time at Scone and will be facing a significant drop in distance. Rough chance today.

RP

Career record shows his ability to win (wins-runs record of 7-21); finished tenth of 12 at Scone over 5½f (handicap) 11 days ago; is passed over.

RSIS

Started 14/1 and faded away to finish 10th last run at Scone and dropping back to a shorter trip. Grant Buckley is a plus. Should muster plenty of early toe.

4SpeckJ: Anna Weatherlake·T: R P Northam559kg2 2 9 1 422: 6-4-2$5.00$1.70

Career

22: 6-4-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 2-1-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    3: 0-2-0

  • Track Dubbo

    4: 1-0-1

  • Track Scone

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 950m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    14: 5-3-2

  • Going Good

    7: 2-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    12: 4-2-0

Last starts

  1. 4Taree1000m16 Oct 2026 · BM81 HCP · SOFT62.59L
  2. 1Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD4-1.6
  3. 9Randwick Kensington1000m29 July 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · SOFT59L
  4. 2Tamworth1000m17 July 2026 · BM82 · GOOD41.1L
  5. 2Tamworth1000m3 July 2026 · BM74 · SOFT70.1L
  6. 5Scone1000m10 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(6)3.8L
  7. 2Muswellbrook900m4 Nov 2025 · BM85 HCP · GOOD41.4L
  8. 4Scone1000m13 Oct 2025 · BM82 · GOOD41.5L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Moree winner two back. Modest performance in rain affected going at Taree when in the market. Went close only other go this course and trip. Key player.

ILB

Started $3.90 and lacked competitiveness when 4th last time at Taree. Should bounce back. In the placings multiple times this campaign. Large claim helps. Tough competitor.

RP

Record shows she knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 6-22); fair effort over 5f at Taree (handicap) 18 days ago; the Rodney Northam operation is running hot currently; big player.

RSIS

At 3/1 basic showing when 4th last run at Taree. Giving another chance here. Running with confidence since returning from a break. Large claim helps. Winning chance.

5Arctic LegendJ: Liberty Smyth·T: Cody Morgan455.5kg4 5 5 8 421: 4-1-3$5.50$1.85

Career

21: 4-1-3

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 1-1-2

  • Second-up

    6: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Gosford

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Tamworth

    6: 4-1-0

  • Track Armidale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    9: 3-1-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 3-1-0

  • Going Good

    12: 1-0-3

Last starts

  1. 4Eagle Farm1500m5 Sept 2026 · BM70 · SOFT55.3L
  2. 8Doomben1350m22 Aug 2026 · BM72 · GOOD43.5L
  3. 5Eagle Farm1200m8 Aug 2026 · BM72 · GOOD42.6L
  4. 5Grafton956m24 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(3)3.8L
  5. 4Deagon1050m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.3L
  6. 8Coffs Harbour1400m15 Feb 2026 · CL5 SW · HEAVY812.6L
  7. 3Murwillumbah1200m1 Feb 2026 · CL4 PREV · GOOD32.1L
  8. 4Gold Coast1200m17 Jan 2026 · MM CNTY CUP QH · GOOD41L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 34% lower than Career Avg.

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 8% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 33% in L100 rides

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Blinkers Off

    Positive

    Blinkers coming off this start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (59-days). Trimmed margin late at Eagle Farm over longer assignment. Can make a positive start for new trainer.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Moved ahead of some to finish 4th last start at Eagle Farm but coming back in distance. First appearance for a new trainer. Serious contender.

RP

Held in fourth at Eagle Farm over 7½f (handicap) two months ago; first run for stable; is passed over.

RSIS

Freshened up. Ran on into 4th last run at Eagle Farm but will be down in distance. First start for a new trainer and gets some weight relief. Should go close.

6Lighthouse LassJ: Andrew Gibbons·T: Richard & Will Freedman855.5kg3 3 4 9 116: 2-6-1$3.00$1.30

Career

16: 2-6-1

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Hawkesbury

    2: 0-2-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-4-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 1Rosehill1100m27 June 2026 · 3Y BM72 · SOFT6-0.1
  2. 9Randwick1300m20 June 2026 · 3Y BM72 · SOFT54.1L
  3. 4Newcastle1200m6 June 2026 · CL1 · SOFT52.6L
  4. 3Scone1300m15 May 2026 · CL2 · GOOD41.1L
  5. 3Muswellbrook800m6 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.1L
  6. 8Randwick Kensington1300m27 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.1L
  7. 2Hawkesbury1100m8 Apr 2026 · 3Y BM64 · GOOD41.2L
  8. 2Randwick Kensington1150m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT71.2L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 9%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Andrew Gibbons 32% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Andrew Gibbons winning at 11% POT in last 100 rides

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). Effective fresh and registered a number of career-best efforts last campaign. Warrants attention.

ILB

First up from a break. Picked up nicely to win last start at Rosehill but will be dropping in distance. Has to carry more weight this time. Not at all out of this race.

RP

Landed a narrow success in a handicap at Rosehill in June, ending losing run; has to be taken seriously.

RSIS

Back after a break. Ran over the top of them when winning last time at Rosehill but down in trip. Has to cope with a weight increase. Can't leave out of your calculations.

7RunranirunScratched2––––

Career

10: 3-2-1

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 2-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Canberra

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Newcastle

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    8: 2-1-1

  • Distance 900m

    2: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 1Rosehill900m19 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.7
  2. 4Warwick Farm795m28 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.2L
  3. 7Warwick Farm1000m7 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM72 HCP · GOOD41.9L
  4. 1Hawkesbury1000m14 Dec 2025 · BM64 · SOFT5-2.4
  5. 1Canberra1000m23 Nov 2025 · CL2-SW · SOFT6-3.6
  6. 3Warwick Farm801m13 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial0.8L
  7. 1Warwick Farm821m31 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial-1.7
  8. 6Kembla Grange1000m31 May 2025 · BM64 HCP · HEAVY81.8L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Ben Looker 33% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 62%

  • Key Jockey

    Positive

    Ben Looker winning at 14% POT in last 100 rides

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • 1st Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 2 from 3 when resuming

Comments

AAP

Resuming (42-weeks). Strikes form quickly while brought on by a comfortable trial win. Natural leader, gun draw. Set to play a leading role fresh.

ILB

First up after 42 weeks and made all to win by a margin of just over 3 1/2L first up last preparation at Canberra. Gets a favourable barrier.

RP

A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 3-10 and consistent lately; a disappointing result (went off favourite) when beaten 2l over 5f at Warwick Farm (handicap) in January; she has won after a similar break previously and should not be ruled out; also engaged in race 9 at Randwick.

RSIS

Resuming and controlled the pace to win by a margin of just over 3 1/2L resuming last preparation at Canberra. Has a good draw.

8Super SiouxJ: Jack Baker·T: Melissa Dennett655kg3 3 10 3 621: 5-3-4$23.00$3.80

Career

21: 5-3-4

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Moree

    5: 1-0-2

  • Track Walcha

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Narromine

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 800m

    3: 2-1-0

  • Distance 900m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 950m

    5: 1-0-2

  • Going Good

    10: 2-0-3

  • Going Soft

    11: 3-3-1

Last starts

  1. 6Moree950m6 Sept 2026 · HCP · GOOD43.4L
  2. 3Newcastle900m22 Aug 2026 · BM64 · GOOD41.4L
  3. 10Newcastle900m1 Aug 2026 · BM64 · SOFT55.5L
  4. 3Tamworth1000m17 July 2026 · BM82 · GOOD41.8L
  5. 3Moree950m2 June 2026 · BM58 · SOFT70.6L
  6. 8Walcha1000m6 Feb 2026 · LIGHTNINGHCP 82 · GOOD310.6L
  7. 2Kempsey1000m15 Dec 2025 · BM74 · SOFT51L
  8. 4Gosford1000m22 Nov 2025 · BM64 · SOFT52.7L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (58-days). Sound but non-threatening effort at Moree. First time around Muswellbrook. Others with stronger claims.

ILB

Back from a let up. Was $10.00 and ran 6th last start at Moree. Has early speed and positions nicely. Exhibiting good form this campaign. Do not dismiss.

RP

Proven that she knows how to get her head in front (seeking a sixth career win) but hit and miss profile recently; not disgraced when sixth at Moree, finishing well behind reopposing Speck two months ago; others more appealing.

RSIS

Back from a let up. At 9/1 came in 6th last run at Moree. Will be positive in the run early. Producing consistent results in recent runs.

9No StatementJ: Jake Pracey-Holmes·T: M F Van Gestel255kg3 10 9 9 3100: 14-9-16$11.00$2.80

Career

100: 14-9-16

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Randwick

    15: 1-0-0

  • Track Gosford

    9: 0-1-4

  • Track Kembla Grange

    5: 2-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    28: 6-5-3

  • Distance 1000m

    53: 5-4-7

  • Distance 1100m

    16: 3-0-4

  • Going Good

    47: 8-4-8

  • Going Heavy

    13: 2-2-1

  • Going Soft

    40: 4-3-7

Last starts

  1. 3Canberra1000m23 Oct 2026 · BM87 HCP · GOOD41.78L
  2. 9Newcastle900m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT512.98L
  3. 9Newcastle900m3 Oct 2026 · 3UP MID BM64 HCP · GOOD412.46L
  4. 10Newcastle900m19 Sept 2026 · Benchmark 64 · GOOD48.84L
  5. 3Muswellbrook1000m8 Sept 2026 · BM66 · GOOD43.6L
  6. 3Gosford1000m6 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 68 · GOOD40.9L
  7. 11Newcastle900m13 June 2026 · BM64 · SOFT68.4L
  8. 4Newcastle900m12 Mar 2026 · BM64 · GOOD42.1L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Made all and just picked off late at Canberra. Has early speed. Harder to warm to here.

ILB

Claimed late when 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last start at Canberra and has a good draw. Should come to hand quickly. Few more classier types in this race.

RP

Was on the premises (finished third of eight) at Canberra over 5f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Honest run on the pace before fading to finish 3rd beaten by 1 3/4L last time at Canberra and has a positive stall. Should race on the pace.

10BradfordScratched5––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Third run now in new stable/region. Having a good preparation. Toughed it out on the pace at Tamworth over longer test at $1.30. Harder now but sure to have supporters.

ILB

Finished hard to win last time at Tamworth but up against a higher level of opposition. Can't knock the form winning 2 in a row but coming back in trip.

RSIS

Dashed home to win last time at Tamworth but challenged by more formidable competitors. Won last 2 in succession but back to a shorter trip.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Mon 19 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Mon 5 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Tue 8 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races