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Muswellbrook (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Muswellbrook (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovMuswellbrook (NSW)Change

Race 5 — Two Rivers Wines Country Boosted Mdn Hcp 1280m · jumps

Race preview

Muswellbrook's serving up a cracker of a maiden handicap over 1280 metres on a heavy track under fine skies at 4:40 pm AEDT. The win market is led by Nearest, followed by Bossy Sheila, then Vaguely Red and Thirty Degrees. It's the sort of race where form reads one way on paper and plays out differently on the track — a heavy surface always throws curveballs at maiden fields, and this mob's got enough unexplored territory between them to keep punters guessing. The stable that trains Nearest and Vaguely Red is running hot and outperforming market expectation by ten per cent, a detail worth filing away when form is tight.

Nearest comes with the firmest form credentials, a recent outing at Scone that earned a solid AAP wrap: "Showed some promise. Gave solid chase in a good effort at Scone off long break after a market ease. Strips fitter. Will take stopping." The horse is primed second-up and maps from barrier six in an off-midfield slot, which suits its style. Bossy Sheila claimed second spot in the market after an encouraging debut at Wellington; a three-start resume with one placing already under the belt and a rating of 96 feels like underrated value for a first-up run. The form suggests both animals have genuine credentials, though a heavy track and a 1280 metre trip is a proper test for maidens. Vaguely Red, out of a full sister to the stakes winner Amber Sky, will jump from the inside gate and leads the early assault according to the speed map. The recent barrier trial at Muswellbrook earned praise and the lineage promises natural racing sense.

Thirty Degrees rounds out the shorter-priced quartet at barrier five as the leader, carrying form into this race after recent outings at Newcastle and Armidale. The stable notes suggest the horse is "well into preparation now" and "capable of making an impact" — a green light for third-start improvement. The heavy going favours racehorses with early pace and a tidy racing pattern, so monitoring how the off-midfield brigade (Nearest, Bossy Sheila, and Irish Accolade grouped together) positions itself early will be crucial. The narrative here tilts toward punters hunting value in the Messara and Gavranich stable's form cycle, or backing the finishing sectionals that Bossy Sheila has shown on heavy going.

Race notes

  • CTRY MDN,CTRY MDN HCP,Maiden
  • HEAVY8
  • Fine
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Bossy Sheila (4)

2.25

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 5Samogon
  • 11Sheza's Show

Offmidfield

  • 4Bossy Sheila
  • 7Irish Accolade

Midfield

  • 13Bigbetterbest

Offpace

  • 6Don't Tell Harry

Onpace

  • 9Morpeth

Leader

  • 12Thirty Degrees
  • Bossy Sheila · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Samogon · Positive

    Well Placed

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Don't Tell Harry · Positive

    Rider SR

    Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.

  • Irish Accolade · Positive

    Fast Finisher

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1NearestScratched8––––

Career

3: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1280m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Scone1200m23 Oct 2026 · Maiden · SOFT52.74L
  2. 4Newcastle800m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.7L
  3. 4Muswellbrook1280m1 May 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD42.8L
  4. 6Tamworth1200m10 Apr 2026 · Maiden · GOOD45.5L
  5. 4Scone800m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.2L

Insights

  • Form Trainer

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectation by 10%

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 4%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Shown some promise. Gave solid chase in a good effort at Scone off long break after a market ease. Strips fitter. Will take stopping.

ILB

At $8.00 picked up some late ground when 4th last run at Scone. Good to see jockey Christian Reith is jumping on.

RP

Not disgraced when fourth over 6f at Scone (handicap) last month; this just his fourth race; a likely player.

RSIS

Started at 7/1 and got going late when 4th last time at Scone. Good to see jockey Christian Reith is jumping on.

2Jimmycrack'DcornScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 43%

  • Market Watch

    Negative

    Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). Dam won four races. Two low-key trials in readiness for debut. Others with stronger preparations but check markets.

ILB

On a quick back up. Below par performance when 9th last start at the track but was on debut last time.

RSIS

Backs up quickly. Average at best when 9th last run here but was a debutant last start.

3Vaguely RedScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Last starts

  1. 2Muswellbrook1000m21 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1L
  2. 5Newcastle800m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)1.6L
  3. 6Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)6.1L

Insights

  • Form Trainer

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectation by 10%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Debutant

    Positive

    First race day appearance

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:0-1-0). Out of a full sister to the stakes winner Amber Sky. Encouraging performance in most recent barrier trial. Nice gate. Can make an immediate impact.

ILB

3yo by Maurice having first race appearance for Leah Gavranich & Paul Messara and has drawn the rails. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Trainer has a good record with first-time-out runners here; sole newcomer in the field; related to Villa Castina (winner from 1m up to 1m2f); clear chance as some good aspects to his profile and the current stable form is another tick.

RSIS

Leah Gavranich & Paul Messara 3yo first starter by Maurice and drawn by the rails.

4Bossy SheilaJ: Grant Buckley·T: R P Northam557.5kg3 2 31: 0-0-1$2.25$1.16

Career

1: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

96

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Wellington

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 3Wellington1100m15 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT60.29L
  2. 2Muswellbrook800m19 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.3L
  3. 3Tamworth1000m22 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial4.6L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Fresh

    Positive

    Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

Let-up (49-days). Highly encouraging debut performance at Wellington. Benefits from the experience. Worth a look.

ILB

Back from a let up. Threw down a serious challenge last time at Wellington and having second race start. Has early speed and positions nicely. Attracts support.

RP

Beaten a head on her debut at Wellington at 100-30 49 days ago; the trainer is going well; will need to step up from her racecourse introduction.

RSIS

Freshened up. Just missed last run at Wellington and was on debut last time. Won't be far away during the run. Rising in weight. Very capable of taking this out.

5SamogonJ: Liam Riordan·T: T S Howlett157kg4 1 4 3 61: 0-0-0$4.60$1.40

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Port Macquarie1000m9 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD47.48L
  2. 3Newcastle800m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.1L
  3. 4Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.5L
  4. 1Muswellbrook800m6 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-1.1
  5. 4Scone800m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.7L

Insights

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Debut effort fair in spread-out finish at Port Macquarie at longer odds 9 Oct. Wiser for it. Extra ground should favour. Can make his presence felt.

ILB

Odds of $19.00 and ran 6th last time at Port Macquarie but was a debutant last start. Should race on the speed. Gets a favourable barrier. Suggest watching.

RP

Beaten 7l on his debut at Port Macquarie at 18-1 three weeks ago; should improve with a run under his belt although it was only a modest start.

RSIS

Started at 18/1 and ran 6th last run at Port Macquarie but having second career run. Should race on the pace. Gets a favourable draw.

6Don't Tell HarryJ: Ben Looker·T: Joseph Burges355.5kg4 9 3 5 1316: 0-0-1$8.50$2.25

Career

16: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1615m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 0-0-1

Last starts

  1. 13Port Macquarie1500m10 Oct 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD411.31L
  2. 5Taree1615m22 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT62.49L
  3. 3Tuncurry1400m11 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD31.7L
  4. 9Taree1300m31 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT611.6L
  5. 4Taree1250m14 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.6L
  6. 8Pakenham Synthetic1400m29 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC5.9L
  7. 5Pakenham Synthetic1200m15 June 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SYNTHETIC3.3L
  8. 10Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY1017.2L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Ben Looker 32% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Ben Looker in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 32%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

Comments

AAP

In touch but ran out of petrol quickly and finished a long way down the track at Port Macquarie. Switching to 1280m. Looks more a place prospect.

ILB

Started $6.00 and couldn't maintain the pace when 13th last time at Port Macquarie. Will be positive in the run early. Good potential.

RP

Useful at this level; finished towards the rear of 14 at Port Macquarie over 7½f (handicap) last month.

RSIS

Odds of 5/1 and struggled with the pace when 13th last time at Port Macquarie. Displays good tactical pace. Must be considered here.

7Irish AccoladeJ: Anna Weatherlake·T: J A Sylvester855.5kg10 2 8 4 350: 0-5-4$12.00$2.70

Career

50: 0-5-4

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Grafton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Newcastle

    6: 0-2-0

  • Track Port Macquarie

    5: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    5: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1280m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    7: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    21: 0-2-3

  • Going Good

    22: 0-2-1

Last starts

  1. 3Scone1400m23 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT55.8L
  2. 4Muswellbrook1500m19 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD45.94L
  3. 8Port Macquarie1500m10 Oct 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD45.93L
  4. 2Scone1400m25 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD42.7L
  5. 10Taree1615m22 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT69.75L
  6. 8Coffs Harbour1618m13 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD45L
  7. 6Taree1600m31 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT65L
  8. 2Port Macquarie1512m22 Aug 2026 · MDN · HEAVY81.6L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 2%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 63%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 65% Profit on Turnover

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Track Stats

    Negative

    Tends to struggle at this track

Comments

AAP

Solid change of gears running into the minors at Scone. Usually gets back. Perennial maiden.

ILB

Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by 5 3/4L last start at Scone. Likely to get back in the field. Anna Weatherlake provides some weight relief. Potential to run into a place.

RP

6l third at Scone last month in a maiden; still winless and defeats stacking up (50 on the bounce) and consistency hasn't been his strong suit.

RSIS

Ran home into 3rd beaten by 5 3/4L last start at Scone. Expected to settle towards the tail. The large claim from Anna Weatherlake should help.

8ModernistScratched3––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
  • Early Speed50%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Insights

  • Track Stats

    Negative

    Tends to struggle at this track

  • Improved L/S

    Positive

    Improved again last start

Comments

AAP

Freshened since resuming. Off the speed, picked up soundly and wasn't beaten far this track for new trainer. Drawn to get a conservative run. Makes strong appeal.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Found another gear when winning by 3 1/4L last time around here.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Spaced the field to win by a margin of 3 1/4L last run around here.

9MorpethJ: Liberty Smyth·T: Carlos Antonio655.5kg11 7 5 7 59: 0-0-1$31.00$3.90

Career

9: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Armidale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Muswellbrook900m19 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD44.98L
  2. 7Tamworth1400m28 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD414.54L
  3. 5Armidale1400m20 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD34.01L
  4. 7Scone1300m1 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT56.5L
  5. 11Gunnedah1400m14 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT69.6L
  6. 9Muswellbrook1280m26 July 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD48.7L
  7. 7Scone1000m1 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)12.3L
  8. 4Scone1200m24 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT512.2L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Liberty Smyth current POT is 34% below Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 33% in L100 rides

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Ordinary performance in small field this track for new trainer. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Started at $16.00 and mediocre attempt when 5th last run at the track but returning to an increased distance. Interesting gear change of tongue tie on first time. Peak required to upset this field.

RP

Yet to open his account after nine starts; out of the frame (beaten 5l in fifth) in a handicap last month; others more persuasive; also engaged in race 2 at Tamworth.

RSIS

Started 15/1 and appeared lacklustre when 5th last run around here but back over more ground. Interesting gear change of tongue strap on first time. Has struggled so far recently.

10Second WitnessScratched5––––

Career

7: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Gundagai

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Taree

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1080m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1180m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 11Taree1000m16 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT66.49L
  2. 5Gundagai1180m27 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY92.9L
  3. 7Canberra1080m12 June 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD313.1L
  4. 11Corowa1400m1 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT69.1L
  5. 7Bendigo1300m13 May 2026 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD44.2L
  6. 5Kilmore1100m4 May 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY98.5L
  7. 5Sale1213m19 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD47.5L

Insights

  • Imprv Needed

    Negative

    Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Unplaced in all 7 runs to date. Sent out $41 when unable to threaten in rain affected going at Taree for new trainer. Usually gets back. Looks up against it.

ILB

Weakened under pressure when 11th last time at Taree.

RP

Yet to get off the mark in seven attempts (fifth her best finish); last of 11 at Taree over 5f (maiden) last month on debut for this trainer; probably unlikely to trouble the principals.

RSIS

Weakened under pressure when 11th last start at Taree.

11Sheza's ShowJ: Andrew Gibbons·T: John W Ramsey255.5kg2 9 61: 0-0-0$15.00$3.20

Career

1: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

78

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Muswellbrook1000m21 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.7L
  2. 9Scone1100m1 Sept 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT513.6L
  3. 2Muswellbrook800m19 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.1L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 5%

  • Key Rider

    Positive

    Andrew Gibbons 32% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • 1st Up

    Negative

    May need this run

  • Raceday Experience

    Positive

    Wiser for debut run

Comments

AAP

Let-up (63-days). Well down the track at Scone on debut under sustained support. Since trialled at Muswellbrook 21 Oct. Improvement needed and leaning towards others.

ILB

Fresh today. Jumped at $10.00 and didn't find the line when 9th last start at Scone but was on debut last time. Tongue tie go on for the first time. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

Beaten 14l when last on her debut (5½f, Scone) at 9-1 two months ago; might be better for the experience although not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Back from a break. Started 9/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last run at Scone but having second career run. Tongue strap go on for the first time. Could be in the mix.

12Thirty DegreesJ: Jake Pracey-Holmes·T: Cassandra Stummer455.5kg3 2 4 2 514: 0-2-2$3.80$1.36

Career

14: 0-2-2

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    3: 0-1-1

  • Track Newcastle

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Narromine

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    5: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    8: 0-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Newcastle1150m26 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT53.18L
  2. 2Armidale1300m20 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD34.29L
  3. 4Scone1300m1 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT52.7L
  4. 2Muswellbrook1280m9 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD40.3L
  5. 3Muswellbrook1280m26 July 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD42.5L
  6. 6Gunnedah1250m20 July 2026 · MDN · GOOD42.6L
  7. 8Scone1000m10 July 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT79.4L
  8. 6Narromine1100m22 June 2026 · MDN · HEAVY107.9L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Cassandra Stummer striking at just 4%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 54%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Made limited headway at Beaumont when drifting in the betting. Stats are tidy this course and well into preparation now. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Jumped at $14.00 and came in 5th last start at Newcastle but gets some weight relief. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Gets a chance against these.

RP

Has taken a step forward the last twice and grade looks suitable; not disgraced when fifth of ten over 5½f at Beaumont (maiden) a week ago; likely to be thereabouts.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. Was 13/1 and finished 5th last start at Newcastle but dropping weight. Should muster plenty of early toe. Strong claims.

13BigbetterbestJ: Jack Baker·T: N F Boland755.5kg9 10 8 7 763: 0-1-3$41.00$4.80

Career

63: 0-1-3

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    7: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    6: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    6: 0-1-0

  • Track Mudgee

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Tamworth

    6: 0-0-0

  • Track Armidale

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1610m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1750m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 950m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    7: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    22: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    34: 0-1-3

Last starts

  1. 7Scone1400m23 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT519.4L
  2. 7Muswellbrook1280m5 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD47.93L
  3. 8Scone1400m25 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD411.98L
  4. 10Muswellbrook1280m8 Sept 2026 · MDN · GOOD48L
  5. 9Scone1400m29 Jan 2026 · MDN · GOOD49.7L
  6. 7Muswellbrook1450m13 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT55.2L
  7. 9Taree1400m2 Jan 2026 · MDN SW · SOFT520.3L
  8. 3Scone1200m11 Dec 2025 · CTRY MDN · GOOD40.8L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 2%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 52%

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Track And Dist

    Negative

    Has a poor record at this track and trip

  • Track Stats

    Negative

    Tends to struggle at this track

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Scone at a mammoth price. Long time a maiden and hard to trust.

ILB

Was $101.00 and disappointing run when 7th last run at Scone but gets some weight taken off. Should muster plenty of early speed. Yet to break through after 63 runs. In a lot of trouble.

RP

Behind Irish Accolade when beaten 19l (seventh of eight) at Scone last month in a maiden; he meets the required standard ability wise.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and just average when 7th last time at Scone but gets some weight taken off. Will be pushing for a forward position early.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Mon 19 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Mon 5 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
  • Tue 8 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races