Muswellbrook (NSW) horses tips & previews

8 Nov, 1:04 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Muswellbrook (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Tue 3 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Tue, 3 NovMuswellbrook (NSW)Change

Race 6 — The Chop Shop Butchery Mdn Plate 1000m · jumps Tue 3 Nov, 5:09 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Muswellbrook for the running of The Chop Shop Butchery Mdn Plate over the 1000m dash on a Heavy 8 surface with fine weather overhead. The local punters have been busy sizing up this 4UP maiden contest, and the win market order has Tickelova leading the charge at the head of affairs. Right behind the favourite in the early betting discussions are Sasqua and Kahina, with Toke and God's Winter Rose rounding out the next bracket of runners as we get ready for action.

Taking a closer look at the form lines for those shorter in the market, Tickelova comes in with a tidy profile having run a bold second at Newcastle over 900m before being kept fresh for this assignment. Drawn ideally in barrier two, the Kris Lees-trained runner maps to race on the pace and has every chance to go one better here. Meanwhile, Sasqua returns from a 28-week spell for trainer Jake Hull, bringing honest prior form and a recent Hawkesbury trial placing, while Ben Looker takes the reins. Kahina represents the T S Howlett yard and comes here off some handy trials including a Scone victory, with Liam Riordan sticking for the debut assignment.

Deeper down the speed maps and race book, we find a stack of first-starters joining the fray alongside some seasoned campaigners looking to break through. Clarry's Run and God's Winter Rose add intrigue on debut, while runners like Toke and Dream A Little have plenty of miles on the clock and will be hoping the heavy ground sorts out the stayers from the sprinters. It is shaping up as a fascinating puzzle for punters looking to unravel the yarn.

Race notes

4UP MDN-SW,4Y+ MDN-SW,4yo+,Maiden
HEAVY8
Fine
11 runners

Shortest win price

Tickelova (11)

1.55

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

13Dream A Little

Midfield

18Sto Patoma

Offpace

3Toke

Firststart

15Cosmic Craig
1Clarry's Run
7God's Winter Rose
8Kahina
9Nasa Blueberry

Onpace

11Tickelova

Leader

2Sasqua
17Envisioned

Clarry's Run · Negative
Still Learning
No race experience
Sasqua · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Toke · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
God's Winter Rose · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Clarry's RunJ: Jack Baker·T: T S Howlett1059kg3$23.00$3.70

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

3Muswellbrook800m21 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)5.9L

Insights

Still Learning
Negative
No race experience

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-1-1). Has trialled well enough and trained here but wide gate makes for a tough challenge. Look to market for a further guide.

ILB

Initial appearance 4yo by Saxon Warrior for Todd Howlett. Placed in all barrier trials. Watch early betting.

Already gelded; first start under rules for this four-year-old; has to be taken seriously with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

Initial race appearance 4yo by Saxon Warrior for trainer Todd Howlett. Fitter for placing in multiple trials.

2SasquaJ: Ben Looker·T: Jake Hull559kg2 3 8 4 23: 0-0-1$4.20$1.38

Career

3: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-1
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1250m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

2Hawkesbury800m20 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.2L
4Grafton1400m19 Apr 2026 · Maiden · GOOD32.2L
8Newcastle1250m31 Mar 2026 · MDN HCP · GOOD42.8L
3Port Macquarie1206m16 Mar 2026 · CGE MDN-SW · GOOD40.9L
2Newcastle800m24 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial1.7L
6Wyong845m8 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial9.1L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 23% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Ben Looker 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 48%
Key Jockey
Positive
Ben Looker winning at 14% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (28-weeks). Three runs to date were honest. Placed at Port Macquarie on debut last campaign whilst has looked forward enough in latest trials. Looking for more from this gelding this time in. Consider.

ILB

First up from a break of 28 weeks and did well when 3rd first up last preparation at Port Macquarie. Displays good tactical speed. Dropping in distance. Major chance.

Without a win in three attempts although has finished third; not disgraced when fourth at Grafton over 7f (maiden) in April; returning from a layoff here.

RSIS

Resuming and placed 3rd resuming last preparation at Port Macquarie. Has early pace and positions nicely. Jockey Ben Looker and trainer Jake Hull form a proven partnership. Will be competitive.

3TokeJ: Anna Weatherlake·T: Ms J Bowen959kg11 4 3 3 512: 0-1-3$10.00$2.45

Career

12: 0-1-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-1
Track Tamworth
3: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1262m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-2
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Tamworth1400m26 June 2026 · Maiden · SOFT52.1L
3Dubbo1300m5 June 2026 · Maiden · HEAVY96.4L
3Taree1262m12 May 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY83.4L
4Tamworth1400m24 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
11Muswellbrook1450m6 Apr 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT514.3L
5Taree1400m10 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT65.1L
2Tamworth1200m23 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD43.5L
4Muswellbrook1280m9 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY105.8L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (18-weeks). Stats ordinary this track and trip and expect will need this.

ILB

Resuming after a break. Odds of $13.00 and ran past a few when 5th last start at Tamworth but will be down in distance. Anna Weatherlake provides some weight relief. Appears tested.

Not beaten too far (2l) at Tamworth over 7f (maiden) four months ago; has kicked on in his last couple of races but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 12; returns from an absence here; this looks a fair heat so only limited appeal.

RSIS

Fresh from a break. At 12/1 inched into 5th last time at Tamworth but dropping in distance. Large claim helps.

4Vintage BellScratched11––––

Rating · IRD

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:1-0-1). It's all systems go now for this entire after latest trial win on a soft 5 at Scone. Well worth a look.

ILB

First start at the races 4yo by Ringerdingding for trainer Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough. Market as guide.

RSIS

First time at the races 4yo by Ringerdingding for Brett Cavanough & Georgie Cavanough.

5DoraleeScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed80%

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 32%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up

Comments

AAP

Sparingly raced 5-year-old. Chased in a good effort at Newcastle off long spell. Strips in better shape. High on the shortlist.

ILB

Racing on a quick back up. Competitive effort when 2nd last time at Newcastle. Has run into the money at every start this campaign.

Has displayed improved form on last two starts but still winless and defeats stacking up (11 on the bounce); displayed a fair level of form when 4l runner-up over 4½f at Newcastle (maiden) on Saturday; makes limited appeal as not in the habit of winning recently.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Competitive effort when 2nd last run at Newcastle. Been in the money 2 from 2 attempts of late.

6ElskaScratched15––––

Career

6: 0-2-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Track Newcastle
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0

Last starts

6Newcastle900m19 Sept 2026 · MID MDN-SW · GOOD43.37L
7Newcastle1150m25 Aug 2026 · 4UP MDN HCP · SOFT64.6L
2Muswellbrook1000m9 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.5L
2Port Macquarie1210m14 June 2026 · 3Y MDN · SOFT70.3L
6Newcastle900m6 June 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.5L
5Newcastle900m23 May 2026 · 3UP MDN HCP · HEAVY92.8L
4Newcastle1000m4 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.1L
2Wyong845m24 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.2L

Insights

Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 31%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Drawn Poorly
Negative
Unfavourable barrier draw
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Let-up (45-days). Weakened in run home at Newcastle. Has a tricky draw. Only for exotics.

ILB

Back from a freshen up. Odds of $7.50 and didn't threaten when 6th last run at Newcastle.

Out of the frame (beaten 3½l in sixth) over 4½f at Newcastle (maiden) 45 days ago; without a win in six attempts although has finished second but form is hit and miss; this is competitive and makes little appeal.

RSIS

Let up. Started at 13/2 and looked outclassed when 6th last time at Newcastle.

7God's Winter RoseJ: Andrew Gibbons·T: Damien Smith1157kg3$21.00$3.70

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

3Newcastle800m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.8L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Andrew Gibbons 32% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 69%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 74% Profit on Turnover
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-1). Dam unraced. Solid performance when placed in only Beaumont trial. However, stern debut test awaits and would need market confidence.

ILB

5yo first starter by Danerich for trainer Damien Smith. Interesting to see the tongue tie go on for the first time. Betting as a guide.

Related to Holly's Star (winner from 1m2f up to 1m4f); this daughter of Danerich is running for the first time; capable of making an impact as some good aspects to her profile.

RSIS

Career debut 5yo by Danerich for Damien Smith. Interesting gear change of tongue strap on first time. Placed 3rd in a trial at Beaumont Newcastle on Oct 12th.

8KahinaJ: Liam Riordan·T: T S Howlett757kg6 1 3$9.00$2.40

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

3Muswellbrook1000m21 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.5L
1Scone800m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)-0.5
6Scone900m1 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial2.9L

Insights

Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:1-0-2). Dam won twice and has produced Muswellbrook mdn winner Canada Bay. Was an earlier trial winner on the Scone track. Liam Riordan sticks for debut. Betting may provide a clearer picture.

ILB

Todd Howlett 4yo by Tassort having first race start. Success in a barrier trial at Scone on Mar 11th. Keep your eye on the market.

This daughter of Tassort is having her first start under rules; holds leading claims with signs of encouragement in profile.

RSIS

4yo first starter by Tassort for Todd Howlett. Won a trial at Scone on Mar 11th.

9Nasa BlueberryJ: Liberty Smyth·T: Carlos Antonio157kg6$41.00$4.80

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed50%
Rating40%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

6Scone800m1 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(8)8.7L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Liberty Smyth current POT is 34% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 33% in L100 rides
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in

Comments

AAP

Trials (1:0-0-0). Dam a maiden winner. Will clearly need to improve on lone trial offering at Scone. Nice gate. Prefer to see at this point.

ILB

Carlos Antonio trained 4yo by Admire Mars having first start and has drawn to do little work. Finished 6th in a trial at Scone on July 1st. Respect the betting.

First rules outing for this four-year-old daughter of Admire Mars; a likely player as some good aspects to her profile.

RSIS

4yo debutant sired by Admire Mars for trainer Carlos Antonio and drawn well. Finished 6th in a trial at Scone on July 1st.

10Navy RoseScratched13––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

On Debut
Positive
First race start
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-1). $20k purchase. Out of a half-sister to G3 winner Rosa's Spur. Unplaced latest trial but her earlier trial work was fair. Can make an immediate impact.

ILB

4yo first starter sired by Merchant Navy for David Pfieffer. Betting is the best guide.

RSIS

David Pfieffer 4yo by Merchant Navy having first race start.

11TickelovaJ: Christian Reith·T: K A Lees257kg4 14 1 5 22: 0-1-0$1.55$1.07

Career

2: 0-1-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-1-0

Last starts

2Newcastle900m6 Oct 2026 · 4UP MDN HCP · GOOD40.51L
5Gosford1000m31 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)4.9L
1Muswellbrook800m19 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.1
14Scone1100m15 May 2026 · 2&3Y MDN · GOOD411.9L
4Wyong1000m24 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.6L
3Gosford800m13 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.2L
6Gosford1000m25 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial1.6L
4Wyong845m10 Nov 2025 · Barrier Trial2.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Kept fresh since resuming. Pressed on early and stuck on well at Newcastle. Drawn to get a soft run. Top chance to go one better.

ILB

Was competitive when 2nd last start at Newcastle and gets a favourable gate. Likely to be well placed early. Jockey Christian Reith is a strong choice aboard. Strong claims.

Cracking effort in defeat when close runner-up at Newcastle last month in a handicap.

RSIS

Nice run when 2nd last start at Newcastle and will try to take advantage of the stall. Has shown early pace in races to date. Christian Reith is a bonus. Good potential.

12YasenaScratched10––––

Career

8: 0-3-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Gunnedah
1: 0-1-0
Track Tamworth
1: 0-0-0
Track Wellington
2: 0-1-0
Distance 900m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-3-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Wellington900m10 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD41.5L
5Tamworth1200m22 Dec 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45.6L
2Scone1200m11 Dec 2025 · CTRY MDN · GOOD40.4L
2Gunnedah1000m6 Dec 2025 · MDN · GOOD40.8L
2Wellington900m16 Nov 2025 · MDN · GOOD40.7L
7Scone900m26 Sept 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD45.7L
7Kilmore1100m5 Apr 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD34.4L
6Geelong1212m24 Apr 2024 · Maiden · SOFT54.65L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -55% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 10%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (29-weeks). Went close in Maiden company at Wellington first-up last campaign. Leads, handy. Can make her presence felt fresh in this line-up.

ILB

Racing fresh after a break of 29 weeks. Started at $6.50 and finished 5th last run at Wellington.

Winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at eight; far from disgraced (beaten 1½l) over 4½f at Wellington (handicap) in April; returns from a layoff; this line-up contains some strong opposition so others more appealing.

RSIS

Back after break of 29 weeks. Started at 11/2 and finished 5th last run at Wellington.

13Dream A LittleJ: Nick Palmer·T: Jay Hopkins857kg2 5 10 4 710: 0-2-1$61.00$6.00

Career

10: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Tuncurry
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
6: 0-2-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 0-2-0
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1

Last starts

7Newcastle900m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT55.82L
4Newcastle1000m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.7L
10Taree1008m22 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT622.75L
5Tuncurry1000m24 Aug 2026 · Maiden · SOFT72.5L
2Gunnedah1000m20 July 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.5L
3Scone900m29 June 2026 · MDN · SOFT75.8L
5Kempsey1000m15 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT510.1L
2Kempsey1000m29 Nov 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.6L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Never a threat after showing no early speed from the barriers at Newcastle. Others with greater appeal.

ILB

Odds of $71.00 and performed below standard when 7th last time at Newcastle. Interesting gear change of ear muffs on first time. Yet to break maiden status after 10 runs. Needs to find a lot more.

Finished behind Doralee at Newcastle over 4½f (maiden) when beaten 6l last month; proving a little expensive to follow.

RSIS

Started 70/1 and mediocre display when 7th last run at Newcastle. Interesting to see the hood go on for the first time. Yet to break through after 10 starts.

14BobbyScratched18––––

Rating · IRD

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo50%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Insights

Up In Weight
Negative
Goes up 4kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Led them up but melted under pressure at Beaumont over longer assignment. Leads, handy. Coming back in distance. Keener on others.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Started at $20.00 and was found wanting late when 5th last start at Newcastle but will be facing a significant drop in distance.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Started 19/1 and got tired late when 5th last start at Newcastle but dropping back to a shorter trip.

15Cosmic CraigJ: Izzy Neale·T: Damien Smith459kg7 4 31: 0-0-1$91.00$8.00

Career

1: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating80%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Wauchope
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1

Last starts

3Wauchope1000m17 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY91.02L
4Newcastle800m12 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.5L
7Wyong845m17 June 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)11.7L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 69%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 74% Profit on Turnover
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Wasn't all that far from the action on debut at Wauchope. Strikes a harder race.

ILB

Finished 3rd last time at Wauchope and having second career run. Blinkers go on for the first time. Has a good chance.

Solid debut run over this distance at Wauchope at 9-2 last month; should be better for that run.

RSIS

Tidy effort when 3rd last time at Wauchope and fitter for debut run. Blinkers go on for the first time. Must be considered here.

16Songbird YessireeScratched6––––

Career

4: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Taree
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1313m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1

Last starts

6Muswellbrook1280m5 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD47.45L
11Taree1313m22 Sept 2026 · MDN · SOFT623.22L
9Tuncurry1000m24 Aug 2026 · Maiden · SOFT77.2L
3Taree1000m3 Mar 2026 · MDN · SOFT62.1L
4Beaumont1000m12 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial2.9L
4Wyong845m28 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial5.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Form spaced and boasts just a 3rd from a handful of runs. Failed to threaten this track at cricket score odds. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Folded up in the straight when 6th last time at the track and coming back in distance.

No impression when sixth of nine in a handicap last month; four-race maiden though does have a third place to her name.

RSIS

Faded to finish 6th last time around here and will be dropping in distance.

17EnvisionedJ: Jake Pracey-Holmes·T: S J Gleeson359kg5 3 6 6 107: 0-0-1$91.00$8.00

Career

7: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Quirindi
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Track Gunnedah
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1280m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

10Tuncurry1605m9 May 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY87.5L
6Quirindi1200m28 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD410.5L
6Newcastle1350m23 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT66.4L
3Gunnedah1300m7 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD32L
5Tamworth1200m23 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD49.4L
8Muswellbrook1280m9 Feb 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · HEAVY1010.7L
7Gunnedah1000m19 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD34.9L
5Tamworth950m8 Jan 2026 · Barrier Trial3.4L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 37%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (25-weeks). Lone placing was at Gunnedah. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. At $71.00 lost ground in the run home when 10th last run at Tuncurry and down in trip. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Struggle to recommend.

Not yet off the mark in seven attempts although has finished third; finished tenth of 12 at Tuncurry over 1m (maiden) six months ago; layoff to overcome.

RSIS

Back from a break. Started at 70/1 and weakened under pressure when 10th last time at Tuncurry and back to a shorter trip. Has plenty of early pace.

18Sto PatomaJ: Grant Buckley·T: Nikki Pollock657kg4 10 9 3 32: 0-0-0$26.00$3.90

Career

2: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Gosford
1: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1080m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Tamworth1000m23 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.5L
3Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)3.5L
9Canberra1080m22 May 2026 · MDN · GOOD311.2L
10Rosehill900m11 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)3.9L
4Rosehill900m17 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)7L
6Gosford1000m18 Dec 2025 · MDN · GOOD45.4L
1Canterbury890m2 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial-0.2
3Rosehill900m23 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial2.9L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Nikki Pollock striking at just 8%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 27%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Ex G Ryan & S Alexiou in NSW. Two runs to date have been lacklustre but will have matured further and primed with a Tamworth trial win. Watch betting.

ILB

First run back from a break. Was $4.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 9th last start at Canberra. Can make a comeback. First appearance for a new trainer. One of the punters top hopes.

Finished ninth, beaten a fair way at Canberra Acton in May in a handicap; returns from a break today; first run for stable.

RSIS

Fresh after a break. Was 3/1 and folded up in the straight when 9th last start at Canberra. Expecting improvement. Racing for a new trainer. Has strong claims.

Odds correct as at Tue 3 Nov, 5:00 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Sun 1 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Mon 19 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Mon 5 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 7 races
Tue 8 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races