Shortest win price
Satoshi (10)
3.40
Traralgon plays host to a competitive maiden plate over the 1100m trip on a soft five track with showers about, setting up an intriguing betting race for punters. Looking at how the win market is shaping up early, Satoshi leads the charge at the top of the order followed closely by Prestige Hellbent, Zouie, and The Destroyer rounding out the shorter fancies. With speed maps indicating plenty of early pressure with runners like He's Fierce, Prestige Hellbent, Satoshi, Jupiter's Girl, and Inner Thoughts all likely to push forward from their barriers, the race sets up for something tracking just behind the speed.
Delving into the form behind those at the head of calculations reveals some solid foundations for a breakthrough victory. Satoshi comes into this off a sound effort when finishing runner-up at Moe over 1200m before dropping back slightly in trip here, boasting a high rating from recent outings. Prestige Hellbent has shown promise across three career appearances, running second at Bairnsdale before battling on well to make the frame at Hamilton last time out. Meanwhile, Zouie brings consistent place form, having narrowly missed at Moe over 1100m two starts back before fighting hard at Kyneton.
Further down the order, other runners offer plenty of interest for punters chasing value in the yarn. The Destroyer drops back in class after a reasonable effort at Ballarat over 1000m where she wasn't disgraced at her second start. Blue Parrot is another worth keeping an eye on as a backmarker, having clocked the fastest overall finishing sectionals last start and looking poised to improve on previous outings here. It is shaping up as a fascinating contest where the right run in transit will prove all the difference.
Shortest win price
Satoshi (10)
3.40
Most career wins
Opunake
8-9-4 from 62 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
He's Fierce · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Blue Parrot · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Dun Gracefully · Positive
Hot J/T Combo
Combo are winning 33% POT in their L100 Races
Miss Belajo · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.
Career
6: 0-1-3
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-1
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
1: 0-0-1
Track Albury
1: 0-0-1
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1008m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
2: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
3: 0-1-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 64%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (19-weeks). Sound claims fresh in this company.
ILB
Resuming after a break. Good performance to run into 3rd last time at Albury on a heavy track. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. Should go very close.
RP
Shown recent signs of improvement; finishing third was a good effort in June over 4½f (maiden) at Albury; returns from a break today; regularly been coming up a bit short lately so others appeal more.
RSIS
Back from a break. Rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by 2L last time at Albury. Will be positive in the run early. Good chance and definitely has claims.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Trainer SR
Negative
Enver Jusufovic striking at just 8%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 36%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (21-weeks). Highly competitive in debut campaign. Placed at Kilmore on debut last campaign. Warrants attention fresh in this line-up.
ILB
Fresh from a break. Managed to place 2nd last run at Kilmore and good career start.
RSIS
Back from a break. Ran home into 2nd last run at Kilmore on a heavy rated track and promising career start.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Track Bairnsdale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1108m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Winner too strong but ran on for the minors at Kyneton. Comes back in trip a touch. More a minor money chance here.
ILB
Did well to run 3rd last time at Kyneton and showing improvement in recent outings. Likely to settle back in the field. Watch the betting.
RP
Seems to be going the right way; beaten 7l into third (6f) at Kyneton three weeks ago.
RSIS
Made some ground late when 3rd beaten by almost 7L last run at Kyneton and showing improvement in recent outings. Might have to make up considerable ground. Watch for a sign in the market.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
3: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature
AAP
Limited exposure so far for this 4-year-old, who has managed only a 4th from 5 outings. Well back and never sighted at Cranbourne after lengthy absence at huge odds. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
Below par performance when 12th last start at Cranbourne.
RP
Finished last of 12 over 5f at Cranbourne (maiden, behind Dun Gracefully) two weeks ago; best she's managed so far is fourth from five career starts; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
Fairly underwhelming when 12th last start at Cranbourne.
Career
5: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
3: 0-2-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1214m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-2-0
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 33% POT in their L100 Races
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Failed to threaten at Cranbourne off long break as an outsider. Lacks appeal here.
ILB
Started at $71.00 and folded up in the straight when 8th last start at Cranbourne. The wide draw shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early speed. Overlook from a betting angle.
RP
Some promise; closest she has come to winning after five starts was a second; held when eighth beaten 8l over 5f at Cranbourne (maiden) dropped back in distance two weeks ago; others more likely.
RSIS
Started at 70/1 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last start at Cranbourne. Has the pace to overcome the wide draw.
Rating · IRD
71
Speed map
Firststart
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Dam won five races. Bernadette Gafa-trained debutant who won a Moe jump-out 21/10. Alley makes it tough but market may offer more insight.
ILB
Career debut 4yo by Fierce Impact for trainer Bernadette Gafa. Liana Wood provides some weight relief. Betting is the best guide.
RP
From the same family as Kensington Diva, a winner over 5f; sole debutant in the line up; can make her presence felt with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
First appearance at the races 4yo by Fierce Impact for Bernadette Gafa. Liana Wood takes a large claim.
Career
10: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
4: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Bairnsdale
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1008m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-0-1
Going Unknown
1: 0-1-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 50% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 43%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 64% in L100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
AAP
Back from wide alley, flew late to grab third 3yo+ Mdn Plate off long break. New to Traralgon. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Hit the line well when 3rd last start at Bairnsdale. Still in maiden grade after 10 runs. Prefers to settle towards the rear. Simply cannot have today.
RP
Ran well enough to finish third at 18-1 over 5f at Bairnsdale (maiden) finished just ahead of Inner Thoughts dropped back in distance 19 days ago; best form so far in last two starts but still winless and defeats stacking up (ten on the bounce).
RSIS
Good effort to run 3rd beaten by 2L last time at Bairnsdale. Yet to break maiden status after 10 starts. Prefers to settle towards the rear.
Career
9: 0-1-3
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Track Bairnsdale
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-1
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 0-1-1
Going Soft
3: 0-0-2
Trainer SR
Negative
P & T Templeton striking at just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 42%
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Looked likely but had a real fight on her hands and just missed at Moe. Speedy. Not out of it.
ILB
Right up there last start at Moe and getting better in recent performances. Very competitive this preparation. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
Missed out by a neck at Moe two weeks ago; shown recent signs of improvement but winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at nine; others more appealing as not in the habit of winning recently.
RSIS
Narrowly denied a win last run at Moe and form has been improving over recent runs. Showing great form since returning from a break. Betting is the best guide.
Career
3: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Hamilton
1: 0-0-1
Track Bairnsdale
1: 0-1-0
Track Tatura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-1
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Key Rider
Positive
Teodore Nugent 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot Trainer
Positive
Matt Laurie in good form, out performing market 20%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 14% POT in L100 Runners
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Shown some promise across three appearances. Just missed at Bairnsdale 20 Sep. Gave a good sight making the frame at Hamilton last outing after a betting drift. Right in this.
ILB
Despite fading at the finish still placed 3rd last time at Hamilton and honest performer putting a tidy record together. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
RP
Without a win in three attempts although has finished second; respectable effort to finish third at Hamilton over 6f (maiden) three weeks ago; ought to be competitive.
RSIS
Applied plenty of pressure when 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last run at Hamilton and solid career start. Teodore Nugent and Matt Laurie are an appealing combination. Will go close.
Career
5: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Randwick Kensington
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-1-1
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 0-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -27% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 30%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Ready To Fire
Positive
Shown something in last few runs
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Couldn't quite peg back winner at Moe. Comes back in trip a touch. Last run was solid and gives some hope.
ILB
Good effort to run 2nd beaten by 3/4L last time at Moe. Should jump out and bowl along. Genuine claims.
RP
Seems to be going the right way and stepped up on his last two starts; went down by three-quarters of a length over 6f at Moe (maiden) two weeks ago; has to be respected if replicating most recent run.
RSIS
Hit the line well when 2nd beaten by 3/4L last run at Moe. Won't be far away during the run. Has claims.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
$140k purchase. Out of an unraced half-sister to Listed winner Flame of Sydney. Jump-outs only fair to date. Odds may prove best guide here.
ILB
Initial race appearance 3yo by Lucky Vega for Charlotte Littlefield. Betting as a guide.
RSIS
First start at the races 3yo by Lucky Vega for Charlotte Littlefield.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Not disgraced at Ballarat at second outing. Can make her presence felt.
ILB
Jumped at $6.00 and moved ahead of some to finish 4th last start at Ballarat. Shows very good closing speed. One of the punters top hopes.
RP
Finished fourth but only beaten just under 2l over 5f at Ballarat (maiden) 22 days ago.
RSIS
At 5/1 pushed past some when 4th last start at Ballarat. Finishes off strongly. Expecting a solid performance.
Career
9: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
3: 0-0-0
Track Sale
4: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-1-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 30%
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Led, knocked up badly at Cranbourne over longer test. Has early speed. Coming back in distance. Leaning towards others here.
ILB
Started at $101.00 and tailed off to finish 7th last start at Cranbourne and down in distance. Displays good tactical speed. Hasn't broken through maiden grade after 9 starts. Very unlikely to shake these.
RP
This is her level; beaten a fair way when seventh at Cranbourne over 7f (maiden) 22 days ago.
RSIS
Odds of 100/1 and didn't threaten when 7th last run at Cranbourne and will be down in distance. Should come to hand quickly. Still a maiden after 9 runs.
Career
9: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
3: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-1-0
Track Kerang
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1113m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-2-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer SR
Negative
Rachael Cunningham striking at just 4%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
AAP
Battled home okay in rain affected going at Bairnsdale second-up. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
Odds of $12.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last start at Bairnsdale but gets a favourable draw. The large claim from Hayley Spitse should help. Can figure in the finish.
RP
Close up behind Reelness when sixth over 5f at Bairnsdale (maiden) beaten just over 3l three weeks ago.
RSIS
Started 11/1 and weakened under pressure when 6th last time at Bairnsdale but has minimal work to do from the stall. The large claim from Hayley Spitse helps. Looks like solid value.
Career
62: 8-9-4
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-1-0
Second-up
3: 2-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-1-0
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-1-0
Track Kranji
55: 6-6-4
Distance 1000m
23: 5-4-0
Distance 1100m
30: 3-4-4
Distance 1200m
9: 0-1-0
Going Good
31: 3-3-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-2-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 38% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Dylan Dunn 56% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Dylan Dunn in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 56%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (20-weeks). Well down the track at Mornington on debut at healthy odds. Recent winner of a Cranbourne jump-out. Watch closely.
ILB
Back from break. Started at $21.00 and faded away to finish 10th last time at Mornington but up against a less competitive field. Should muster plenty of early speed. May find these too slick.
RP
Held on his debut (Mornington, 6f, wearing blinkers) at 20-1 five months ago; could step up; back from an absence here.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. At 20/1 looked outclassed when 10th last time at Mornington but drops back to a suitable class. Expecting to settle positively.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Set for second campaign (27-weeks). Strengthened up. A long way off them at Pakenham on debut at double-figure odds. Won a Cranbourne jump-out 19/10. Keep safe.
ILB
First run back from a 27 week spell. Didn't attack the line when 12th last time at Pakenham but fitter for debut run. Has drawn the rails.
RP
Held on her debut in Pakenham maiden over 5f at 25-1 in April; improvement possible; returns from a layoff.
RSIS
First run back from a 27 week break. Faded away to finish 12th last run at Pakenham but was on debut last time. Drawn by the rails.