Traralgon (VIC) horses tips & previews

5 Nov, 1:49 pm AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Traralgon (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 31 OctTraralgon (VIC)Change

Race 6 — TRFM Hcp (56) 1430m · jumps Sat 31 Oct, 4:37 pm AEDT

Race notes

3yo+,F&M 0 - 56,F&M 0 - 56 HCP,Restricted 56
SOFT7
Showers
9 runners

Shortest win price

Trinity's D'Oro (3) and Alpinova (9)

4.20

Most career wins

Ocean's Jen and Lulu Darling

7 each

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

9Alpinova

Midfield

6Regal Visions
4Ocean's Jen
10Aria Electra
1Kaddari

Offpace

5Lulu Darling
8She Nailed It

Onpace

3Trinity's D'Oro

Leader

2So You Excel

Kaddari · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
So You Excel · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 45% better than Career Avg.
Trinity's D'Oro · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Ocean's Jen · Negative
Trainer SR
Andrew Perdon striking at just 6%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1KaddariJ: Joe Bowditch·T: Ms B Dunn160kg6 3 9 1 426: 1-4-4$11.00$3.00

Career

26: 1-4-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Doomben
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
4: 0-0-2
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1628m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1660m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1744m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 0-4-3
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
8: 1-0-0

Last starts

4Echuca1612m23 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT72L
1Moe1623m12 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · SOFT7-1.5
9Pakenham1600m1 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · GOOD46.9L
3Cranbourne1600m24 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD42.8L
6Pakenham1400m9 Apr 2026 · F&M MDN-SW · SOFT55.3L
7Pakenham1600m19 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.1L
5Stony Creek1600m8 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT66.2L
3Werribee1600m17 Feb 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.3L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 800%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 33%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (23-weeks). Not typically effective fresh but comes off two trials. Held form fairly well throughout last prep. Can play a role fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up after a break. Started at $18.00 and made some ground when 4th last start at Echuca and has a nice advantage with a good alley. Big improvement required to threaten these.

Creditable effort (went off 16-1) to finish fourth over 1m at Echuca (handicap) five months ago; runs for only the second time in a handicap; returns from a layoff.

RSIS

Fresh today. Started 17/1 and made ground when closing off to finish 4th last start at Echuca and will appreciate a good draw. Likely to get back in the run.

2So You ExcelJ: Valentin Le Boeuf·T: Tim Hughes1060kg1 12 10 3 99: 1-1-1$10.00$2.75

Career

9: 1-1-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Sale
5: 1-1-0
Track Moe
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1208m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1419m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
6: 1-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

9Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · GOOD413.52L
3Pakenham Synthetic1400m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC3.56L
10Sale1206m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47L
12Sale1419m17 May 2026 · 0-62 · GOOD415.4L
1Sale1400m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD3-0.3
4Moe1200m25 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD48.5L
2Sale1206m8 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN SW · GOOD30.8L
4Sale1100m29 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT65.3L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 45% better than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Valentin Le Boeuf winning at 21% POT in last 100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

No threat as a $26 chance in 3yo+ F&M (Bm56) at Kilmore. Breaks from an outside gate. Best on top of the ground. Capable of making an impact with even luck.

ILB

Started at $26.00 and was well beaten when 9th last time at Kilmore. Should come to hand quickly. Can't leave out of your calculations.

She can be competitive at this level; easy to see her making an impression with so many of these having something to prove and has proved she knows how to win.

RSIS

Started 25/1 and was well beaten when 9th last run at Kilmore. Likely to be well placed early. Could be in the mix.

3Trinity's D'OroJ: Nathan Punch·T: Brian Mcgrath360kg6 5 12 7 734: 3-5-2$4.20$1.60

Career

34: 3-5-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-1
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-1-0
Track Colac
1: 0-0-0
Track Moonee Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1203m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
8: 0-0-0
Distance 1430m
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
9: 1-1-1
Going Synthetic
5: 0-0-0
Going Good
17: 2-3-1

Last starts

7Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · GOOD47.52L
7Geelong1547m28 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT715L
12Sandown1400m19 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT76.2L
5Pakenham Synthetic1100m3 Aug 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC1.5L
6Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD44.6L
5Kyneton1887m10 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD44.2L
1Hanging Rock1600m26 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-1.5
2Yarra Valley1500m13 Jan 2026 · BM56 · GOOD40.75L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 81%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 9%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled midfield and never a serious challenger at Kilmore. Game second only other time over this track and distance. Among the dangers.

ILB

Jumped at $16.00 and looked outclassed when 7th last run at Kilmore. Will be positive in the run early. Has some claims.

Finished seventh, beaten 8l, at Kilmore two weeks ago; slumped a bit since winning a handicap at Hanging Rock in January; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Odds of 15/1 and didn't threaten when 7th last run at Kilmore. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. Not at all out of this race.

4Ocean's JenJ: Aaron Sweeney·T: Andrew Perdon259.5kg2 4 1 2 740: 7-5-1$7.50$2.40

Career

40: 7-5-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed20%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
6: 2-0-0
Second-up
5: 1-1-0
Third-up
3: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Kununurra
2: 1-1-0
Track Pakenham
3: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1415m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1435m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
8: 0-1-0
Going Unknown
2: 1-0-1

Last starts

7Moe1200m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD35.15L
2Kununurra1350m29 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 56+ HCP · GOOD30.5L
1Kununurra1350m22 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-2.4
4Broome1435m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG50+ HCP · GOOD4.3L
2Broome1300m11 Aug 2026 · 3UP RTG 58+ F&M HCP · GOOD3.4L
9Fannie Bay1300m1 Aug 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD312.5L
4Fannie Bay1100m18 July 2026 · 0 - 58 · GOOD1.6L
8Fannie Bay1300m8 July 2026 · F&M 0 - 70 · GOOD39.6L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Andrew Perdon striking at just 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 29%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Went close at Kununurra 29 Aug. Settled back and didn't figure in the 3yo+ Hcp (56) at Moe. Well into preparation now, worth a look.

ILB

Started $18.00 and finished 7th last time at Moe but drawn nicely. Will be motoring home late. Represents value at a price.

Beaten just over 5l into seventh over 6f at Moe (handicap) 13 days ago; grade looks suitable; clear chance given recent reappearance at Moe will have blown away the cobwebs and shown she can get her head in front.

RSIS

Started 17/1 and came in 7th last time at Moe but drawn nicely. Has a great burst of pace late. Solid chance.

5Lulu DarlingJ: Adam Mc Cabe·T: Michael Huglin959kg5 2 7 9 1148: 7-10-2$4.60$1.70

Career

48: 7-10-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating100%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
7: 2-1-1
Second-up
6: 1-1-0
Third-up
6: 1-2-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
5: 0-1-1
Track Mornington
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1420m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1623m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
10: 0-2-1
Going Synthetic
13: 3-2-0
Going Good
24: 4-5-1

Last starts

11Bendigo1400m17 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD38.08L
9Moe1200m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD45.62L
7Corowa1200m31 Aug 2026 · Benchmark 58 · SOFT53.1L
2Pakenham Synthetic1400m24 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC0.4L
5Pakenham Synthetic1400m10 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.6L
5Pakenham Synthetic1400m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC2.4L
10Pakenham Synthetic1200m6 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC4.7L
8Pakenham Synthetic1200m15 June 2026 · BM62 · SYNTHETIC4.2L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Michael Huglin striking at just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 64%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 71% Profit on Turnover
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start

Comments

AAP

On pace but soon under pressure and she knocked up badly at Bendigo. On pacer. A few runs under her belt this campaign, can play a role if things pan out.

ILB

Was $8.50 and didn't threaten when 11th last time at Bendigo. Looking for an improved run. Shows good closing speed. Will run close.

11th of 12 at Bendigo two weeks ago; capable of making an impact as shown some ability on occasion.

RSIS

Was 15/2 and faded to finish 11th last run at Bendigo. Can make a comeback. Will be motoring home late. Should give plenty of sight.

6Regal VisionsJ: Jason Maskiell·T: T Kilgower859kg1 6 5 9 118: 1-0-0$34.00$4.80

Career

8: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
4: 1-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Benalla
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

11Cranbourne1300m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD315.1L
9Ballarat1500m18 Sept 2026 · 3UP F&M BM62 HCP · GOOD413.06L
5Kilmore1450m4 May 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY96.4L
6Echuca1600m16 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD38.8L
1Kilmore1457m31 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT6-2.3
6Wodonga1400m18 Oct 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD38L
6Benalla1206m26 Sept 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD39.6L
6Pakenham1400m8 May 2025 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD43.2L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Troy Kilgower striking at just 7%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Ex Ben, Will & Jd Hayes in Victoria. Finished out the back at Cranbourne second-up at huge odds. Prefer to see.

ILB

Started at $101.00 and weakened under pressure when 11th last time at Cranbourne but dropping in grade. First start for a new trainer but will have to carry more weight. Could feature here.

Last of 11 over 6½f at Cranbourne (handicap) three weeks ago; been generally quiet since successful in a maiden at Kilmore in March; first run for yard; others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Started 100/1 and faded away to finish 11th last time at Cranbourne but competing at a lower level of competition. Change in trainer but will have to carry extra weight. Betting is the best guide.

7TarakashScratched5––––

Career

20: 2-2-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Corowa
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1457m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1512m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
7: 1-0-1
Going Good
17: 2-2-2
Going Soft
3: 0-0-0

Last starts

5Kilmore1457m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · GOOD44.75L
4Swan Hill1600m12 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD34.5L
3Echuca1618m21 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD40.7L
8Wangaratta2000m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37L
3Albury1600m5 Feb 2026 · BM58 · GOOD41.4L
12Geelong1512m14 Jan 2026 · BM62 · GOOD37.9L
8Morphettville1600m9 Aug 2025 · CL2 HCP · SOFT68.3L
10Corowa1400m24 July 2025 · BM58 HCP · SOFT711.8L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Had all before her at turn and went home tamely at Kilmore for new trainer. Strips fitter and generally improves second-up. One for multiples.

ILB

Odds of $18.00 and outpaced some runners late when 5th last start at Kilmore.

Finished ahead of two of these rivals (Kilmore) on her first start for this trainer when not beaten far two weeks ago; not won for some time now and has lacked consistency of late; may have to settle for supporting role.

RSIS

Was 17/1 and kept chasing when 5th last start at Kilmore.

8She Nailed ItJ: Hayley Spitse·T: Tim Hughes758kg4 10 8 12 317: 1-0-2$5.00$1.85

Career

17: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1208m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1411m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-0-0
Going Good
8: 0-0-2
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Kilmore1207m13 Oct 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 · GOOD43.5L
12Moe1614m18 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY916.1L
8Sale1717m10 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY88.6L
10Moe1600m28 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · HEAVY1013.1L
4Sale1400m3 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD35.4L
2Traralgon950m9 Apr 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.5L
14Moe1600m16 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD419L
9Sale1411m14 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.1L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 30%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

No threat to winner but ran on for the minors at Kilmore off spell. Fitter second-up and takes a 3kg claim. Right in the mix again.

ILB

Solid effort to run into 3rd last time at Kilmore. Should race on the speed. Hayley Spitse provides some weight relief. Respect the betting.

Was on the premises (finished third of ten) over 6f at Kilmore (handicap) 18 days ago; only once has she got into the winners' enclosure.

RSIS

Finished with intent when 3rd last run at Kilmore. Should jump out and bowl along. Hayley Spitse provides some weight relief. Can't leave out of your calculations.

9AlpinovaJ: Melea Castle·T: Brooke Verwey-Mitchell657.5kg9 4 9 2 260: 5-12-8$4.20$1.60

Career

60: 5-12-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
6: 0-1-0
Second-up
5: 0-0-1
Third-up
5: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
5: 1-2-1
Track Sapphire Coast
1: 0-0-1
Track Colac
1: 0-1-0
Track Wangaratta
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1114m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1170m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
28: 2-5-3
Going Heavy
8: 1-1-0
Going Soft
24: 2-6-5

Last starts

2Wangaratta1100m26 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD42.25L
2Moe1200m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD30.35L
9Halidon1380m11 Oct 2026 · 0-52 · GOOD36.43L
4Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.35L
9Kilmore1100m13 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.4L
2Geelong1247m28 Aug 2026 · 0-56 · SOFT71L
8Warracknabeal1200m15 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT64.9L
3Casterton1200m9 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT711.3L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 52% lower than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Brooke Verwey-Mitchell striking at just 6%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 80% in L100 rides
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Great run at Moe 18 Oct. Reserved at back and gave late chase into second at Wangaratta. Will take stopping in this company.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Managed to run 2nd last run at Wangaratta and returning to more ground. Has a nice turn of foot. Competitive type.

Finishing second was a good effort on Monday over 5½f (handicap) at Wangaratta; easy to oppose as regularly been coming up a bit short lately.

RSIS

On a quick back up. Did well to place 2nd beaten by 2 1/4L last time at Wangaratta and returning to a longer distance. Capable of winning this.

10Aria ElectraJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: Ms S Trolove457kg6 7 12 12 645: 5-6-4$34.00$5.00

Career

45: 5-6-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
7: 1-1-0
Second-up
5: 2-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-2-2
Fourth-up
3: 0-1-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
4: 1-1-1
Track Cranbourne
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-0-0
Distance 1454m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1606m
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
5: 0-0-1
Going Good
29: 5-4-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Bairnsdale1200m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT712L
12Mornington1500m10 May 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT610.8L
12Moe1600m25 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD415.9L
7Werribee1600m11 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT56.3L
6Sale1717m29 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT66L
4Bairnsdale1600m22 Mar 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD42.6L
4Moe1600m22 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD43.1L
8Yarra Valley1950m7 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD49.7L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 44%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Unable to make an impression in choppy conditions at Bairnsdale. First time around Traralgon. Leaning towards others here.

ILB

Jumped at $51.00 and well beaten when 6th last start at Bairnsdale. Can run into the placings.

Beaten 12l in sixth over 6f at Bairnsdale (handicap) 19 days ago; could be dangerous if replicating best previous efforts and should be sharper for her recent return to action.

RSIS

Started 50/1 and underperformed when 6th last time at Bairnsdale.

11Nicking GracieScratched4––––

Career

29: 2-2-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating80%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 0-0-1
Second-up
6: 1-0-0
Third-up
5: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Mornington
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track Stony Creek
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1117m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
15: 1-0-2
Distance 1208m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
13: 0-1-1
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-1
Going Soft
11: 1-1-1

Last starts

7Avoca1200m17 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD36.25L
5Bairnsdale1200m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD31.41L
5Warracknabeal1200m29 Aug 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD44.6L
3Edenhope1450m7 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD43.3L
11Yarra Valley1500m7 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD418.8L
2Camperdown1400m17 Jan 2026 · 0-56 · GOOD30.8L
4Burrumbeet1350m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.5L
5Stony Creek1100m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP F&M 0 - 56 HCP · HEAVY107L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 28% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Tori Madigan striking at just 3%
Key Rider
Positive
Teodore Nugent 43% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 42%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Teodore Nugent in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 43%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Avoca. Drawn to receive every chance. Can play a role.

ILB

Jumped at $4.80 and couldn't maintain the pace when 7th last time at Avoca.

Useful at this level; first-time blinkers no help at Avoca over 6f (handicap) when beaten 6l 14 days ago on debut for this trainer.

RSIS

At 4/1 couldn't stay in touch when 7th last start at Avoca.

12KulinaScratched5––––

Career

55: 9-8-6

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey60%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating20%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Kilmore
2: 0-0-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-1-0
Track Kyneton
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1207m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1209m
2: 0-0-2
Distance 1218m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
28: 7-2-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
14: 0-3-3

Last starts

4Kyneton1218m20 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.35L
5Jerilderie1200m26 Sept 2026 · BM453.53L
4Griffith1200m12 Sept 2026 · BM50 · GOOD31.4L
6Ballarat Synthetic1200m25 Aug 2026 · 3UP F&M BM56 HCP · SYNTHETIC5.6L
1Leeton1150m9 May 2026 · Benchmark 50-1.4
3Cootamundra1200m25 Apr 2026 · 3yo+3L
6Yarra Valley1200m24 Mar 2026 · Benchmark 56 · SOFT53.6L
7Alexandra1300m14 Mar 2026 · Open6.3L

Insights

Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start

Comments

AAP

Seasoned performer. Sound but non-threatening effort at Kyneton. Could get into the placings.

ILB

Showed some merit late when 4th last time at Kyneton.

She meets the required standard ability wise; out of the frame (beaten 3½l in fourth) at Kyneton over 6f (handicap) last week.

RSIS

Made up ground when 4th last start at Kyneton.

13Satin ImageScratched12––––

Career

39: 2-1-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
6: 0-0-0
Second-up
5: 1-0-1
Third-up
5: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
5: 1-0-1
Track Sale
14: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1740m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2088m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2200m
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
18: 0-0-3
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-1
Going Soft
15: 1-1-0

Last starts

10Sale1415m13 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD49.6L
6Bairnsdale1600m4 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.6L
9Bairnsdale1200m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT79.1L
10Moe1208m18 June 2026 · Benchmark 62 · HEAVY914.2L
6Jerilderie1400m27 Sept 2025 · BM504L
4Bairnsdale1600m7 Sept 2025 · 0 - 56 · GOOD33.7L
6Moe1600m24 Aug 2025 · BM64 HCP · SOFT67.4L
2Bairnsdale1600m12 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.1L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 21% better than Career Avg.
Trainer SR
Negative
Heather Stephens striking at just 3%
Jockey Booking
Positive
Liana Wood 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 45%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days

Comments

AAP

Let-up (48-days). Failed to threaten at Sale at cricket score odds. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Let up. Struggled with the pace when 10th last run at Sale but matched against less formidable competition. Large claim helps.

Has won previously at this course; grade looks suitable; finished last of ten at Sale last month.

RSIS

Freshened for this. Tailed off to finish 10th last time at Sale but facing weaker opposition. The large claim from Liana Wood helps.

14Night EruptionScratched10––––

Career

49: 2-0-8

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating40%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
7: 0-0-1
Second-up
6: 0-0-2
Third-up
5: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Stony Creek
4: 0-0-3
Track Hanging Rock
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
7: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
12: 1-0-2
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
32: 1-0-4
Going Heavy
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 1-0-1

Last starts

11Moe1200m18 Oct 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD37.55L
7Bairnsdale1000m20 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD34.58L
10Bairnsdale1600m12 June 2026 · BM52 · HEAVY87.3L
7Pakenham1200m22 May 2026 · Benchmark 62 · SOFT64.1L
13Geelong1715m14 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD416L
4Stony Creek1600m15 Feb 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD45.5L
4Moe1600m25 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.2L
6Pakenham1400m9 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.8L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 28%
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 46%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Imprv Needed
Negative
Would need to lift here to feature

Comments

AAP

Failed to threaten at Moe second-up at longer odds. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Couldn't stay in touch when 11th last start at Moe.

Last of 11 over 6f at Moe (handicap) two weeks ago; useful at this level.

RSIS

Looked outclassed when 11th last run at Moe.

Odds correct as at Sat 31 Oct, 3:50 pm AEDT. Odds can change.