Shortest win price
Plucky Enuff (5)
2.65
Welcome to Warrnambool for the Pearsons Nursery Mdn Plate over the 1400m journey on a Good4 surface under overcast skies. Pundits eyeing off the early win market will find Plucky Enuff heading the line-up, closely followed by Symphony Sista, Sophia's Legacy, and Vanara Princess in the early betting order as punters search for a breakthrough maiden winner on the program.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter quotes, Plucky Enuff jumps from barrier 2 for trainer R D Griffiths with Dean Yendall taking the reins. This runner comes in on a quick back-up after showing plenty of ticker in a couple of solid maidens to date, making for an interesting form line. Meanwhile, Symphony Sista represents local stable Symon Wilde from barrier 1 with Jack Hill booked. This runner left a decent impression on debut at this venue when heavily supported in betting back on 15 October, bringing strong claims to this assignment. Sophia's Legacy also showed up well on debut at this track over the same trip and takes natural improvement into the race from barrier 4.
Further down the order, Vanara Princess draws barrier 5 for L Smith and is worth noting after running on soundly from midfield at Swan Hill behind a smart one, while Habondia, Sophia's Legacy, and Vanara Princess are expected to roll forward from their respective gates to dictate terms in the early speed group. It shapes as a fascinating tactical battle for the punters looking to land a winner early in the day.
Shortest win price
Plucky Enuff (5)
2.65
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Onpace
Leader
Catch A Princess · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Habondia · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Moab · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 35% lower than Career Avg.
No Need For Tears · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Great Western
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (40-weeks). Led from barrier to box in recent Mortlake jumpout. Well backed on debut and must be respected here.
ILB
Resumes from a break of 40 weeks. Odds of $2.50 and closed off nicely when 4th last start Great Western and fitter for debut run. Serious contender.
RP
Finished fourth and beaten 7l first time out at Great Western at 6-4 in January; back from an absence here; could improve from first run although a leap forward required to win this.
RSIS
Fresh after a break of 40 weeks. Started 6/4 and improved when 4th last time Great Western and having second career run. Good enough chance at a very tempting price.
Career
6: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Morphettville
1: 0-0-0
Track Murray Bridge
1: 0-0-0
Track Mount Gambier
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1210m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 44% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Stationed midfield and never landed a blow at Balaklava 14 Oct. Only for exotics.
ILB
At $18.00 looked outclassed when 8th last time at Balaklava. Has shown early pace in races to date. Watch the betting.
RP
Has taken a step forward the last twice; finished eighth, beaten 9l, at Balaklava over 6½f (maiden) last month; passed over.
RSIS
Was 17/1 and folded up in the straight when 8th last run at Balaklava. Should muster plenty of early toe. Could feature here.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
78
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Horsham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 35% lower than Career Avg.
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 77%
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 78%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 63% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 53% in L100 rides
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Had a low-key debut at Horsham on Cup day. Benefits from the experience. Place preferred option.
ILB
Started at $11.00 and came in 6th last run at Horsham but having second career run. Not dismissing.
RP
Finished sixth and beaten 8l first time out at Horsham at 10-1 19 days ago; can make her presence felt now that she knows a little more.
RSIS
At 10/1 finished 6th last run at Horsham but was a debutant last start.
Career
5: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 26% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Holly Durnan 23% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 24% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 17%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Resuming (34-weeks). Third in a recent Warrnambool jumpout. Looking to others.
ILB
Back after a 34 week spell. Jumped at $201.00 and didn't threaten when 12th last time around here and down in trip. Cannot have.
RP
Tailed off over 1m3½f here (maiden) in March; attempting to get off the mark at the sixth time of asking (eighth her best finish so far); layoff to overcome; others are preferred.
RSIS
Resuming after a break of 34 weeks. At 200/1 weakened under pressure when 12th last time here and dropping back to a shorter trip.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 31% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Dean Yendall 34% above market expected in L100 Rides
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 27%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
AAP
On a quick back-up. Run well in two strong maidens to date. Yendall a key booking. Right in the mix.
ILB
On a quick turnaround. Started $13.00 and crept into 5th last start at Pakenham and has a good draw. Possesses very good finishing speed. Strong prospects.
RP
Out of the frame (beaten just over 3l in fifth) at Pakenham last week; entitled to be a bit more streetwise this time and should not be ruled out.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Was 12/1 and moved ahead of some to finish 5th last start at Pakenham and has a good draw. Expected to be flashing home. Genuine claims.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 18% in Last 100 Rides
Key Rider
Positive
Alana Kelly 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Returns for second campaign (20-weeks). Resumes here without a trial or jumpout. Prefer to see.
ILB
Fresh today. Jumped at $31.00 and disappointing display when 10th last run at Bendigo but having second race start. Not threatening these.
RP
Held tenth of 12 but was making her first appearance over 7½f at Bendigo at 28-1 five months ago; returns from a layoff here; will need to progress to get off the mark.
RSIS
First run back after a break. Started at 30/1 and below standard effort when 10th last time at Bendigo but fitter for debut run.
Career
1: 0-1-0
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jack Hill 22% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 38% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 27%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
AAP
Left a decent impression on debut this venue when smashed in the betting 15 Oct. Rates highly.
ILB
Came on strongly to finish 2nd when beaten by 2L last start at the track and having second career run. Has the ideal barrier. Should go very close.
RP
Wasn't disgraced on her debut when runner-up of 13 (6½f, here) at 7-1 last month; must make above-average progress to figure.
RSIS
Caught the eye when 2nd last run at this track and was on debut last time. Gets the perfect draw. Worth a lot of thought in this race.
Career
6: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-1
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1950m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 2439m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
4: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back for second campaign (25-weeks). Not pushed out Colac trial 22 Oct. Others with stronger claims.
ILB
Resuming. Jumped at $14.00 and average at best when 7th last run at Moe and will be down in distance. Others are better.
RP
Six-race maiden though does have a third place to her name; beaten a long way over 1m4f at Moe (maiden) six months ago; returns from a layoff; others more appealing.
RSIS
Back from a break. Started 13/1 and fairly underwhelming when 7th last time at Moe and back in trip.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
84
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 30% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Key Jockey
Positive
Melissa Julius winning at 21% POT in last 100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Wasn't all that far from the action on debut this track at longer odds 29 Oct. Took valuable lessons. Worth a look.
ILB
On a quick back up. Made ground when closing off to finish 4th last start at this track and having second race start. Won't be far away during the run. Solid prospects.
RP
Not disgraced (beaten 2½l) on her debut last week over C&D; must make above-average progress to figure.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Crept into 4th last run at this track and fitter for debut run. Has plenty of early pace. Good potential.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1207m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Ran on soundly from midfield at Swan Hill behind a smart one. A repeat would have her right in calculations.
ILB
Odds of $21.00 and chased well when 4th last time at Swan Hill. Should be going forward early. Hard to see this being good enough.
RP
Finished fourth beaten just under 3l over 6f at Swan Hill (maiden) last Tuesday; must go on the shortlist.
RSIS
Started at 20/1 and made ground when closing off to finish 4th last run at Swan Hill. Should jump out and bowl along.
Career
2: 0-2-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-1-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-1-0
Going Good
1: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Winkers On
Positive
Important gear change of winkers on
AAP
Rallied hard in straight to place at Ballarat at second start. Progressive type and not out of it.
ILB
Flashed home late into 2nd last time at Ballarat. Expecting to settle positively. Has run into the money at every start this preparation. Zac Moore provides some weight relief.
RP
Finished second of 11 (Ballarat) last month; fitted with first-time cheekpieces; she has a shout if giving a more streetwise showing.
RSIS
Solid run when finishing 2nd last start at Ballarat. Should race on the pace. Has not missed the placings lately in 2 attempts. Large claim helps.
Career
8: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Wodonga
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1590m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Limited
Negative
Hasn’t featured at all in all career runs
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Had Chances
Negative
Still in maiden grade after several runs
AAP
Resuming (26-weeks). Fifth in recent Bendigo jumpout. Form to date uninspiring and lacks appeal here.
ILB
Fresh after a break of 26 weeks. Started at $31.00 and ran 6th last run at Donald. Yet to make an impression in 8 starts. Likely to get back. Cannot have in this race.
RP
Out of the frame when sixth at Donald over 1m (maiden) in May; returns from a layoff.
RSIS
Back from a 26 week break. At 30/1 came in 6th last start at Donald. Yet to place in 8 starts. Will be giving the leaders a big start.