Shortest win price
Danzsin (3)
3.30
The Lifetime Trophies is a Benchmark 66 handicap over 1200 metres at Warrnambool on a Good 4 track under overcast skies at 4:30 pm AEDT. The market has Danzsin shortest, with Dantooine next, followed by Azzacool and Thinking Sensation. It's a compact field where several runners arrive with genuine claims, but the form lines and freshness angles tell diverging stories. Danzsin sits atop the market despite a 21-week absence, resuming off a Murtoa jumpout win and backed by a form rating of 100. Dantooine, by contrast, carries a resumption of 18 weeks and arrives here off a narrow defeat in Benchmark 56 company at Ballarat, having cruised through a winning barrier trial at Colac. The speed map suggests early pressure from Ballynacally, Thinking Sensation, and Brazenga, with Dantooine and Dobkins sitting midfield and Danzsin tracking offpace.
Dantooine's case rests on finishing prowess and rider form. Holly Durnan sits nearly 25 per cent better than her career average on recent rides, and the data flags the mare as the fastest finisher over the final sectional last start. Her record second-up is encouraging—one outing, one win—and form comments note she stacks up well fresh after that near-miss at Ballarat. Tom Dabernig trains three in the field, and Dantooine's trial win at Colac, however modest, suggests readiness. Danzsin, also Dabernig's, carries the same trainer but Brad Rawiller's recent form sits 63 per cent down on standard, a red flag despite the maps-well insight and higher rating. Thinking Sensation won at Coleraine last time by a nose and brings early speed, an asset at this circuit, yet maps poorly from barrier 8 and rates 15 per cent below Dantooine.
Azzacool, third in the market, scored at this track last outing off the turnaround and is rated 91, but the C Maher stable is out of form, losing 20 per cent on turnover, and the jockey-trainer combo underperforms by the same margin. Dobkins offers intrigue further out; Jack Hill's recent POT is 22 per cent above market expectation across his last hundred rides, a genuine angle in a sprint where a timely ride can settle matters. The narrative points to Dantooine as the rougher play with fresher legs and a jockey in red-hot form, though Danzsin's layoff and resumption trial cannot be dismissed.
Shortest win price
Danzsin (3)
3.30
Most career wins
Dantooine and Ballynacally
4 each
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Dantooine · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Ballynacally · Negative
Maps Poorly
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 17%
Danzsin · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -63% POT in their L100 Races
Thinking Sensation · Negative
Maps Poorly
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 17%
Career
20: 4-6-3
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 0-2-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-1-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-0
Track Camperdown
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
4: 1-0-1
Distance 1500m
2: 0-2-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
13: 2-4-3
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-0
Going Soft
5: 1-2-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 25% better than Career Avg.
Key Rider
Positive
Holly Durnan 23% above market expected in L100 Rides
Key Jockey
Positive
Holly Durnan winning at 11% POT in last 100 rides
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
AAP
Resuming (18-weeks). Missed by a bee's lip in Benchmark 56 company at Ballarat first-up last time in while cruising through a winning trial at Colac. Stacks up well fresh.
ILB
First up and narrowly denied victory first up last preparation at Ballarat. Won a barrier trial at Bet365 Colac on Oct 22nd and competing in a less challenging grade. Good value.
RP
No impression when sixth of 13 over 7f at Sandown (handicap) four months ago; despite a poor last run, he had been running well previously; has won here; may have to settle for supporting role as this is a fairly competitive event.
RSIS
Resuming and threw down a serious challenge resuming last preparation at Ballarat. Won a trial at Bet365 Colac on Oct 22nd and challenged by less formidable competitors. Should go very close.
Career
10: 4-2-1
Rating · IRD
99
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 1-1-0
Second-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Terang
1: 1-0-0
Track Warracknabeal
1: 0-1-0
Track Geelong
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1125m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
5: 2-1-1
Going Soft
4: 2-1-0
Going Good
6: 2-1-1
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 17%
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Track Stats
Positive
Excels at this track
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Barrier hurts but possesses early toe. Well placed to make an impact here.
ILB
Backs up quickly. Gave a strong sight when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at this track and hard to fault at this distance. Should be going forward early. Strong claims.
RP
Has winning form at this track; not beaten far when third last week; strong contender.
RSIS
Backs up quickly. Was outmuscled when 3rd beaten by 1 1/2L last run at this track and hard to fault at the distance. Has early pace and positions nicely. Good chance in this.
Career
7: 2-0-1
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
4: 1-0-1
Track CurrentTrack
4: 1-0-1
Track Stawell
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
2: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -63% POT in their L100 Races
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up S/R
Positive
Has won 1 from 2 when resuming
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Resuming (21-weeks). Knuckled down to win recent Murtoa jumpout. Capable of making an impact fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First up and reeled them in when winning first up last preparation at Stawell. Can take this out.
RP
Missed the frame (beaten 11l into tenth, Ballarat) in June; has winning track form; brings winning form to the table and has to be taken seriously.
RSIS
Resuming and picked up late to win resuming last preparation at Stawell. Good potential.
Career
15: 3-3-4
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-2-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Terang
2: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
1: 0-0-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1400m
4: 0-0-1
Distance 1429m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1479m
1: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
3: 0-1-1
Going Good
10: 2-2-2
Going Soft
2: 1-0-1
Maps Poorly
Negative
Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 17%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Drawn out but has good gate speed. In the placings only prior run here. Key player with even breaks.
ILB
Faded at the finish when 3rd last start at Bendigo. Should jump out and bowl along. Very competitive this preparation. Marginal chance.
RP
Turned in a solid effort in defeat last month, when third at Bendigo over 6½f (handicap).
RSIS
Put together a strong on-pace performance when 3rd beaten by 2 3/4L last time at Bendigo. Likely to be well placed early.
Career
9: 2-0-1
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Hamilton
1: 1-0-0
Track Terang
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1206m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
4: 1-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 15% lower than Career Avg.
Form Revival
Positive
Turning form around with last couple
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Blinkers Off
Positive
Blinkers coming off this start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (18-weeks). Fair recent tune-up at the trials. Meech is a key booking. Keep safe.
ILB
Racing fresh after a break. Was $16.00 and overrun in the final stages of the race when 6th last run at Sandown on a heavy track. This won't be easy.
RP
Out of the frame when sixth over 1m at Sandown (handicap) in July; a few rivals look in good form so unlikely to do better than a supporting role.
RSIS
First run back. Started at 15/1 and to tire late when 6th last start at Sandown on a heavy surface but back to a shorter trip.
Career
12: 2-3-1
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-1-0
Second-up
1: 0-1-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Warrnambool
5: 0-2-1
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-2-1
Track Donald
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
3: 1-1-0
Distance 1408m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 0-1-0
Going Heavy
4: 1-2-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 8%
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Increased Dist
Positive
Distance rise from last start
Form At Track
Negative
Yet to win here
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
Honest
Positive
Finishing in the money lately
AAP
Resuming (15-weeks). Placed first-up last campaign while brought on by a single Colac trial. One for multiples fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First up from a break. Rattled home nicely into 3rd beaten by 3 1/4L last run at the track. Finished 6th in a trial at Bet365 Colac on Oct 22nd. This will pose a challenge.
RP
Mostly consistent recently; displayed a fair level of form when just over 3l third over 6½f here (handicap) in July.
RSIS
Resumes from a break. Displayed good finishing pace when 3rd last start at the track on a heavy track.
Career
7: 2-0-0
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Track Mildura
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 2-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
6: 2-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 20% Profit on Turnover
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Kept fresh since resuming. Not disgraced at Mildura off long break. Highly rated in this line-up.
ILB
At $3.60 finished 6th last start at Mildura but have to respect the form at the distance. Expected to be flashing home. Could feature here.
RP
Left punters frustrated after going off second favourite when sixth (Mildura) four weeks ago; she knows the task at hand and is respected.
RSIS
Was 13/5 and came in 6th last start at Mildura but ideal trip as proven previously. Will be motoring home late. Could feature here.
Career
13: 2-0-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Leader
First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Murtoa
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1005m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
5: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -20% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 20% Profit on Turnover
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (19-weeks). Resumes without a trial or jumpout. Looks a risk fresh.
ILB
Fresh after a break. Odds of $8.50 and lost ground in the run home when 8th last start Ballarat Synthetic but has a good draw. Coming back in distance. Needs to improve.
RP
No impression when eighth of 12 over 7½f at Ballarat (handicap) four months ago; subpar since successful in a handicap at Geelong in April; this looks a decent race so easy to oppose.
RSIS
Racing fresh today after a break. Was 15/2 and couldn't maintain the pace when 8th last run Ballarat Synthetic but will try to take advantage of the draw.
Career
10: 2-1-1
Rating · IRD
91
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Casterton
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
2: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1425m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 975m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-1-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-1
Going Heavy
3: 0-1-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 22% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Jack Hill 21% above market expected in L100 Rides
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 53%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 34% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Up In Dist
Positive
Racing at a more suitable distance
AAP
First-up (16-weeks). Colac trial was only fair but game second only other time over this track and distance. Best viewed as a rough place hope fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up from a break of 16 weeks and did well when 3rd first up last preparation at Terang. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Beaten 9l in eighth at Sandown over 7f (handicap) four months ago; meeting some horses in good form and hard to recommend.
RSIS
Resuming and looked good when 3rd resuming last preparation at Terang. Finished 8th in a trial at Bet365 Colac on Oct 22nd. Watch for a sign in the market.