Warrnambool (VIC) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 2:00 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Warrnambool (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 6 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 6 NovWarrnambool (VIC)Change

Race 4 — Northpoint Liquor Bottle-O Mdn Plate 1000m · jumps Fri 6 Nov, 3:30 pm AEDT

Race preview

Warrnambool throws up a genuine puzzle in race 4, a 1000-metre maiden plate for three-year-olds and upwards on Good4 going under overcast skies at 3:30 pm AEDT. The market has Madame Petite and Pee Plater as the two shortest-priced runners, with Mamzelle Raine and Danseur Noble next in line. It's a race screaming redemption yarn—maiden racing can be unforgiving, but there's form here worth excavating beyond the opening quote.

Madame Petite sits in the sweetest draw at barrier 1, which suits her back-marker profile nicely. The story: she was hard in the market on debut at Yarra Valley but everything went pear-shaped that day. However, the form book tells a different tale. Before that seventh-place run at 1009 metres, she trialled impressively at Caulfield Heath over 800 metres—the gaffer L Smith seems to be readying her for just this kind of assignment, and punters who backed her debut have reason to believe the barrier draw plays to her strengths this time. Pee Plater resumes off a 25-week freshen-up for V L Malady, fourth in recent jumpouts and coming back to a suitable 1100-metre assignment. Brad Rawiller takes the ride from barrier 6, and whilst both jockey and trainer carry poor strike rates, second-campaign runners often find their feet when given time to settle.

Mamzelle Raine carries genuine appeal despite the outside barrier at 8. Trainer M J Mckenzie's recent form is respectable, and the jockey–trainer combo is outperforming market expectations by 61 per cent. The comment flags gate speed and suggests she could take some catching with those qualities in a 1000-metre dash. Danseur Noble, full brother to a two-time Clare winner, has shown speed to win two recent Murray Bridge jumpouts for J F Macmillan—a stable that's out-performing market expectations by 60 per cent—though this is debut proper and barrier 2 is modest. The field lacks sparkling credentials, which is always the maiden plate way, but Madame Petite's redemption run and Mamzelle Raine's profile shape as the angles worth exploring.

Race notes

3UP MDN-SW,3yo+,MDN-SW,Maiden
GOOD4
Overcast
8 runners

Shortest win price

Pee Plater (2)

2.15

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Offmidfield

4Last Piece
2Pee Plater
6Miss Lil

Firststart

1Danseur Noble
3Gunnatippatinnie

Backmarker

8Madame Petite

Midfield

7Royal Vega

Leader

5Mamzelle Raine

Danseur Noble · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Pee Plater · Negative
Trainer SR
Vincent Malady striking at just 7%
Gunnatippatinnie · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Last Piece · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1Danseur NobleJ: Linda Meech·T: J F Macmillan259.5kg6 7 8$11.00$2.30

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

8Morphettville1000m28 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)30.7L
7Murray Bridge1000m7 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)17L
6Balaklava1000m4 Dec 2025 · Barrier Trial27.2L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 60%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 44% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
First Starter
Positive
Not raced previously

Comments

AAP

Trials (4:0-0-0). Full brother to a two time Clare winner. Has shown speed to win two recent Murray Bridge jumpouts. May give a sight on debut.

Sibling of Knight Dancer (6f winner); first public outing; strong contender with signs of encouragement in profile.

2Pee PlaterJ: Brad Rawiller·T: V L Malady659.5kg7 62: 0-0-0$2.15$1.07

Career

2: 0-0-0

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ararat
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1225m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

6Ararat1100m9 May 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT73.9L
7Kyneton1225m23 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.6L

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Vincent Malady striking at just 7%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -33% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 34%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (25-weeks). Fourth and third in two recent jumpouts. Better for experience and this is a suitable assignment for resumption.

Lightly raced (this just his third race); not disgraced when sixth of 13 over 5½f at Ararat (maiden) in May; returns from a break here; others are preferred.

3GunnatippatinnieJ: Neil Farley·T: Chris Calthorpe558kg5 7$21.00$3.20

Speed map

Firststart

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed50%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Last starts

7Colac800m22 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.5L
5Caulfield Heath800m14 May 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)2.5L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -58% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 55%

Comments

AAP

Trials (2:0-0-0). First foal out of a two time winning mare. Second in a recent Geelong jumpout. Others profiling stronger.

Gelded already; makes first racecourse appearance; sire's progeny generally enjoy some ease in the ground; one to be interested in with signs of encouragement in profile.

4Last PieceJ: Samantha Noble·T: S G Noble457.5kg10 9 4 10 328: 0-1-3$41.00$3.90

Career

28: 0-1-3

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Moe
2: 0-0-0
Track Swan Hill
1: 0-0-0
Track Wangaratta
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
21: 0-1-3
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
20: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
5: 0-0-0

Last starts

3Balranald1000m24 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD42.93L
10Cranbourne1000m16 Oct 2026 · 4yo+ · GOOD311.11L
4Bendigo1000m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37.2L
9Warracknabeal1000m15 Aug 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT66L
10Wangaratta1000m31 July 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY97.2L
8Corowa1000m11 May 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.1L
6Seymour1000m26 Apr 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT55.6L
6Pakenham1000m2 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD46.2L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 3%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are under performing market expectations by -25%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 26%
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Honest performance without menacing winner at Balranald over today's trip. Prefer at the picnics.

Respectable effort (Balranald) last month; attempts to score at the 29th time of asking.

5Mamzelle RaineJ: Tom Madden·T: M J Mckenzie857.5kg–$10.00$2.20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Insights

Trainer SR
Negative
Mervyn McKenzie striking at just 5%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 61%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 22%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Tom Madden in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 5%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw

Comments

AAP

Has been specced in betting at all runs this campaign. Outer barrier but has good gate speed. Could take some catching.

Found life tough when 8l back in fifth last week; others are preferred.

6Miss LilJ: Dean Yendall·T: F Stockdale757.5kg4 12 6 12 1118: 0-0-3$10.00$2.20

Career

18: 0-0-3

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed50%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Traralgon
1: 0-0-1
Track Moe
2: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
5: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
8: 0-0-3
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-2
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

11Stony Creek1100m15 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD47.4L
12Pakenham1400m5 Feb 2026 · 3-5yo · GOOD48.8L
6Pakenham1100m23 Jan 2026 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD34.1L
12Yarra Valley1000m13 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD416.4L
4Stony Creek1100m30 Dec 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD45.1L
3Stony Creek1100m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY107.8L
3Traralgon1100m30 Nov 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · HEAVY90.4L
8Moe1100m16 Nov 2025 · 4UP MDN-SW · GOOD44L

Insights

Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 2%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -75% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 69%
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Resuming (37-weeks). Resumes without a trial or jumpout. Would need a significant market move.

Yet to win after 18 starts; finished 11th of 12 over 5½f at Stony Creek (maiden) in February; returning from a layoff here; others more appealing.

7Royal VegaJ: Kate Walters·T: S R Fisher357.5kg1 21: 0-0-0$101.00$6.00

Career

1: 0-0-0

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

12Donald1000m20 June 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY923.5L

Insights

Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 100% Profit on Turnover
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Returns for second campaign (19-weeks). A long way off them at Donald on debut at huge odds. Firmer track may spark improvement but does have to lift.

Comfortably beaten into last on her debut at Donald at 150-1 in June; potential to step up; returning from a layoff here.

8Madame PetiteJ: Fred W Kersley·T: L Smith156kg5 71: 0-0-0$2.45$1.12

Career

1: 0-0-0

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey40%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed20%
Rating50%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1009m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

7Yarra Valley1009m24 Oct 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · SOFT58.85L
5Caulfield Heath800m1 Oct 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.5L

Insights

Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Everything went wrong on debut when hard in the market. Trialled up impressively prior and looks hard to beat.

Seemed to find life tough on her debut 13 days ago at Yarra Glen; now knows what is expected of her; has claims.

Odds correct as at Fri 6 Nov, 3:30 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Thu 29 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Thu 15 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Thu 1 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Mon 21 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Thu 3 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races