Shortest win price
Action Point (1)
2.40
Welcome to Cranbourne for the third event on the card, the Rsl Poppy Appeal Mdn Plate over the 1400m journey. The track is rated a Good 4 under overcast skies, setting up a proper test for this three-year-old maiden field. Taking a look at the early win market order, punters have pointed to Action Point as the one to beat, closely followed by Civic Square, Wollemi, Blue And Gold, Teen Torque, Swift Action, and Around The Marx rounding out the list.
The market leader Action Point, prepared by G M Begg and steered by Michael Dee from barrier 5, comes here wiser for his debut run at Seymour over 1200m where he found the assignment beyond him on a soft track. He is bred to appreciate getting out to 1400m second-up and has room for improvement. Civic Square, trained by G Eurell and ridden by Daniel Stackhouse from barrier 6, battled late in soft going at Geelong last time out but comes in off a Cranbourne jump-out win on 26/10 which suggests a serious player here. Meanwhile, debutant Wollemi for M Price & M Kent Jnr jumps from the inside alley with Celine Gaudray after showing promise with first and second placings at recent jump-outs.
Further down the line, Blue And Gold draws barrier 3 for Ms C Alderson and brings early speed to the contest, though the stable's runner was never sighted when second-up at Seymour. Teen Torque lines up from barrier 8 for P G Moody and Katherine Coleman as the most experienced runner in the field, seeking to improve on a recent third placing. With a mix of seasoned improvers and intriguing newcomers like Wollemi starting from barrier 1, punters should find plenty of interesting form lines to dissect in this 1400m battle.
Shortest win price
Action Point (1)
2.40
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Offpace
Firststart
Leader
Action Point · Positive
Map Suits
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Around The Marx · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Blue And Gold · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 30% POT in L100 Runners
Civic Square · Negative
Trainer Career
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 1%
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
AAP
Found the debut assignment beyond him at Seymour after easing in betting 11 Oct. Took benefit from that. Looks suited going to 1400m. Room to improve.
ILB
Jumped at $11.00 and ran 8th last start at Seymour but was a debutant last start. Has good finishing speed. Could feature here.
RP
Never posed a significant threat on his debut at Seymour over 6f at 10-1 26 days ago; definite chance if giving a more streetwise showing.
RSIS
Started at 10/1 and ran 8th last start at Seymour but having second career run. Shows good finishing pace.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1415m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
Fresh
Positive
Freshened up. Had a break of 42-60 days
AAP
Let-up (54-days). Ex T Busuttin & N Young in Victoria. Dropped out to last and never sighted at Sale at his second race start. Prefer to see.
ILB
Let up. Folded up in the straight when 10th last time at Sale. First start for a new trainer.
RP
Finished last of ten at Sale two months ago; first start for new stable; others have more pressing claims.
RSIS
Back from a let up. Lost ground in the run home when 10th last start at Sale. Change in trainer.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -28% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 6% POT in L100 Runners
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 1%
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened after returning. Never in the call at Tatura off long spell. Jump-out win since. Looks a safer place proposition.
ILB
Odds of $21.00 and advanced late into 5th last run at Tatura. Will find this tough.
RP
Beaten 9l in fifth over 5½f at Tatura (maiden) five weeks ago; some promise; closest he has come to winning after four starts was a third; stepping up in trip and he can be taken on.
RSIS
Odds of 20/1 and inched into 5th last run at Tatura.
Career
3: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 30% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
Never sighted at Seymour when second-up. Others with more appeal.
ILB
Ran 9th last time at Seymour. Has the potential to improve sharply. Always seems to find the line well. Winning chance.
RP
Some promise; closest he has come to winning after three starts was a third; finished ninth, beaten a fair way at Seymour over 6f (maiden, not far behind Action Point) last month; easy enough to take on.
RSIS
Ran 9th last time at Seymour. Giving another chance here. Can go through the gears. Should give this a shake.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1247m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 7%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -56% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kept tabs on leaders but only battled late in soft going at Geelong. Cranbourne jump-out winner 26/10. Looks a serious player.
ILB
Started at $4.00 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last start at Geelong. May see an upturn in form. Will be positive in the run early. Expect support.
RP
Not disgraced when sixth over 6f at Geelong (maiden) last month.
RSIS
Odds of 3/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 6th last start at Geelong. Has the ability to turn things around. Has plenty of early pace. Should go well.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
Blinkers On
Positive
Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note
AAP
$150k purchase. Out of a stakes-placed mare who won three races. 6th & 2nd and latest jump-outs. Educated here. Odds may prove best guide here.
ILB
First race appearance 3yo by Xtravagant for Trent Busuttin And Natalie Young. Betting as a guide.
RP
Yard can ready a debutant; makes first racecourse appearance; clear chance with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Trent Busuttin And Natalie Young 3yo by Xtravagant having first start.
Rating · IRD
80
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 16% in Last 100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races
Hot Jockey
Positive
Celine Gaudray in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 18%
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Debutant
Positive
First race day appearance
AAP
Newcomer by Maurice and out of the Redoute's Choice mare Lake Marion. 1st & 2nd at latest jump-outs. Nice gate. Looks a nice race to kick off in.
ILB
Debutant 3yo by Maurice for trainer Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) and drawn well. Jockey Celine Gaudray rates highly. Respect the betting.
RP
Stable gets plenty of debutant winners; already gelded; hard to dismiss.
RSIS
Maurice 3yo on debut for trainer Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) and has minimal work to do from the draw. Jockey Celine Gaudray is in form.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Firststart
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 10%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Damien Thornton in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 20%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). 3yo filly making debut. Out of a Redoute's Choice mare Lake Marion. 5th & 2nd at her latest jump-outs. Draw could be an issue but market watch advised.
ILB
Initial race appearance 3yo by Noverre for trainer Danny O'brien. Watch betting.
RSIS
3yo by Noverre racing as a debutant for trainer Danny O'brien.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1203m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Hot Trainer
Positive
Ben, Will & Jd Hayes in good form, out performing market 41%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 2
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
4 weeks since last run. Fair performance without threatening at Kyneton at second appearance at $81. Better for those runs under the belt and open to improvement.
ILB
Was $81.00 and came in 6th last run at Kyneton but has a good draw. Likely to get back in the run. Few more classier types in this race.
RP
Fair effort when beaten 3½l, finishing sixth of 12 over 6f at Kyneton (maiden) last month; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Was 80/1 and came in 6th last time at Kyneton but drawn nicely. Might have to make up considerable ground.
Career
5: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
75
Speed map
Leader
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Donald
1: 0-0-0
Track Bendigo
1: 0-0-0
Track Kyneton
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1479m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Luke Nolen current POT is 50% below Career Avg.
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -36% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 55%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 61% Profit on Turnover
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 56% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
AAP
At the helm, outpointed late but slogged away for the minor spoils 3yo Mdn Plate at Kyneton. Leads, handy. Right in this.
ILB
Honest run on the speed before fading to finish 3rd last start at Kyneton. Should muster plenty of early toe. Facing a difficult task.
RP
Improved form the last twice; a respectable third of eight over 7½f at Kyneton (maiden) last month; Luke Nolen a good booking.
RSIS
Showed strength on the pace initially before fading at the end 3rd last start at Kyneton. Shows good early pace.