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Cranbourne (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Cranbourne (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 6 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 6 NovCranbourne (VIC)Change

Race 6 — Ladbrokes 55 Second Challenge (Bm70) 955m · jumps

Race preview

Cranbourne serves up a Benchmark 70 sprint at 955 metres on a Good 4 track under overcast skies at 8:45 pm AEDT. The win market has Mainmankash as the shortest price, with Magnabelle Royale next, followed by Speir and Pano's Pride. It's a race that sits nicely for a runner ready to bounce back or make a statement in this grade.

Mainmankash holds favouritism off a 62-day let-up, and the form line reads solid — a winner at Sale 21 August in a 1000-metre 3yo+ race, though the horse punctured badly when leading at Sandown-Hillside last start in a Benchmark 88. Jason Maskiell gets the ride from barrier 2. The jump-and-run profile suits the track, yet the jockey's recent strike rate is running 48 per cent lower than career average, which tempers the appeal. Speir, meanwhile, is second-up and drawn wider in barrier 6 under Sam Kennedy. The pair make up the leader group, though Speir's last start at this track two runs back showed promise when second in a 3yo+ race at Good 3 going. Kennedy's riding 29 per cent above career average returns, and the Kennedy–Nathan McPherson combination is firing 64 per cent better than market expectations. The AAP report flags Speir ready to peak at third-up, and that narrative carries weight.

Magnabelle Royale, rated 100 on the IRD scale but shortest on the win board, threw in a forgettable run last time at this track over 955 metres, settling back and finishing out of the placings in a Benchmark 78 race. Bailey Kinninmont takes the reins from barrier 1, though the trainer's stable is running at just 20 per cent POT across the last 100 runners — a stark warning. For value, Pano's Pride resuming off 35 weeks with Caitlin Hollowood from barrier 4 has the Dean Binaisse stable performing 76 per cent above market and the jockey–trainer combo out performing by 182 per cent. Binaisse's third-up record reads 2-0-0 from two attempts, and the horse can go forward fresh in this company. That's the narrative we'd follow.

Race notes

  • 3UP BM70 HCP,3yo+,BM70,Benchmark 70
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 8 runners

Shortest win price

Mainmankash (1)

2.25

Most career wins

Pano's Pride

6-3-1 from 22 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 7Monix
  • 9Highland Harley

Offpace

  • 4Pano's Pride

Onpace

  • 6Magnabelle Royale

Leader

  • 1Mainmankash
  • 2Speir
  • 5Weapon Clear
  • 8Room For Bingo
  • Mainmankash · Negative

    Current SR

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 48% lower than Career Avg.

  • Speir · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides

  • Pano's Pride · Positive

    Hot J/T Combo

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 182%

  • Weapon Clear · Negative

    Rider

    Negative rider change today

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1MainmankashJ: Jason Maskiell·T: K F Milham262kg7 1 3 1 69: 4-2-1$2.25$1.12

Career

9: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-2-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    5: 3-2-0

  • Track Bairnsdale

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    5: 3-0-0

  • Distance 1006m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1012m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-1-1

  • Going Good

    3: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 6Sandown1000m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM88 HCP · SOFT74.1L
  2. 1Sale1000m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-5.5
  3. 3Caulfield Heath1100m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT63.4L
  4. 1Sale1000m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT6-3.8
  5. 7Caulfield Heath1000m29 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44L
  6. 1Sale1006m8 Apr 2026 · BM66 · GOOD3-0.8
  7. 1Bairnsdale1000m22 Mar 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD4-6.5
  8. 2Sale1012m1 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT61.3L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 48% lower than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 60%

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 63% in L100 rides

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Let-up (62-days). Jump-and-run flyer. Solid 62kg winner at Sale 21 Aug. Punctured badly after leading in the 1000m 3yo+ (Bm88) at Sandown-Hillside. Can bounce back here.

ILB

First up and gave them all something to chase to win by a margin of 3 3/4L first up last preparation at Sale. Stepping down to a lower level. Capable type.

RP

Grade looks suitable; not disgraced when sixth at Sandown in September; he knows the task at hand and looks a likely player.

RSIS

Resuming and took charge of the race to win by a margin of 3 3/4L resuming last preparation at Sale. Should come to hand quickly. Jason Maskiell rates highly. Competitive type.

2SpeirJ: Sam Kennedy·T: Nathan Mcpherson661kg1 6 10 5 211: 4-2-1$8.00$2.05

Career

11: 4-2-1

Rating · IRD

97

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 1-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 888m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 955m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    9: 4-2-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Cranbourne955m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33L
  2. 5Pakenham Synthetic1000m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SYNTHETIC2.15L
  3. 10Sandown1000m26 Dec 2025 · BM70 · GOOD49L
  4. 6Warrnambool1000m30 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · SOFT67.8L
  5. 1Moe1000m16 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD4-2.3
  6. 5Sandown1000m18 June 2025 · BM70 HCP · GOOD44.8L
  7. 1Ballarat1000m23 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD3-0.5
  8. 3Moonee Valley888m7 Feb 2025 · BenchMark 64 · GOOD40.81L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 64%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 36% POT in L100 Runners

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 57%

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    1 time winner here at Cranbourne

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Increase

    Negative

    Rises 6.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Alertly away to lead, stuck on solidly 3yo+ (Bm78) this track when second-up. Ready to peak third-up. Worth a look.

ILB

Outgunned at the finish when 2nd beaten by 3L last time at this venue but hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Should come to hand quickly. Will show up at the business end.

RP

Ran well to finish runner-up (beaten 3l) when ahead of Magnabelle Royale last month; has won here; has maintained his consistent level of form; must be respected.

RSIS

Peaked on the run when 2nd last start around here but going up in weight. Will be positive in the run early. Worth a lot of thought in this race.

3Mr TicklesScratched7––––

Career

48: 8-12-5

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 1-2-1

  • Second-up

    4: 2-1-0

  • Third-up

    4: 1-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Track Ballarat

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sale

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    4: 2-1-1

  • Distance 1017m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1108m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    17: 2-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    10: 2-2-2

  • Going Soft

    14: 3-5-1

Last starts

  1. 1Sale1000m25 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY10-1
  2. 1Bairnsdale1000m12 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT7-0.75
  3. 6Pakenham Synthetic1000m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SYNTHETIC3.65L
  4. 11Caulfield Heath1100m8 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT612.9L
  5. 4Moe1017m21 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY90.6L
  6. 1Cranbourne1000m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY9-1.8
  7. 3Bendigo1000m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY90.6L
  8. 4Wangaratta1000m22 Dec 2025 · BM56 · SOFT51.8L

Insights

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Consecutive Wins

    Positive

    Has strung together a few races in a row

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Strong win from just off the leaders at Sale. Well into preparation now, can fill the minors here.

ILB

Finished hard to win last start at Sale. Unbeaten last 2 starts. Jockey Hayley Spitse is very comfortable steering. The large claim from Hayley Spitse should help.

RP

Bidding for a hat-trick; has won here previously; caused 20-1 upset at Sale last month; despite that Sale success, passed over.

RSIS

Reeled them in to win last time at Sale. Unbeaten last 2 attempts. Hayley Spitse is very comfortable aboard. The large claim from Hayley Spitse helps.

4Pano's PrideJ: Caitlin Hollowood·T: D Binaisse460.5kg6 1 5 5 722: 6-3-1$8.00$2.05

Career

22: 6-3-1

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey60%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 2-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Mornington

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    6: 2-1-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1170m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    6: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    16: 4-2-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Caulfield Heath1100m4 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
  2. 5Caulfield Heath800m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)4.2L
  3. 5Cranbourne1200m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34L
  4. 1Wangaratta1170m18 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD3-0.4
  5. 6Flemington1000m31 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM70 · GOOD35.8L
  6. 6Cranbourne1000m12 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.8L
  7. 10Sandown1000m14 June 2025 · BM84 HCP · SOFT54.8L
  8. 1Sale1000m28 May 2025 · 2UP BM64 HCP · SOFT5-0.8

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 182%

  • Hot Trainer

    Positive

    Dean Binaisse in good form, out performing market 76%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 58% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (35-weeks). Can go forward. Could get into the placings fresh in this company.

ILB

First run back after a 35 week break. Jumped at $9.00 and weakened to finish 7th last run at Caulfield Heath. Caitlin Hollowood and Dean Binaisse are a strong duo. Place claims at best.

RP

Fair effort when beaten just over 2l over 5½f at Caulfield (handicap) in March; has won at this course; returns from an absence here; this looks a decent race so others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Back from a break of 35 weeks. At 8/1 couldn't stay in touch when 7th last run at Caulfield Heath.

5Weapon ClearJ: Sheridan Clarke·T: D Binaisse760.5kg7 1 3 5 113: 4-0-1$21.00$3.50

Career

13: 4-0-1

Rating · IRD

71

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 2-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    6: 3-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    9: 3-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    5: 2-0-1

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Bendigo1000m26 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY8-0.8
  2. 5Sandown1000m29 July 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY103.3L
  3. 3Sandown1000m15 July 2026 · BM70 · HEAVY90.9L
  4. 1Bendigo1000m25 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT6-2
  5. 7Cranbourne1000m17 July 2025 · 0 - 64 · SOFT77.5L
  6. 4Bendigo1000m26 June 2025 · 2yo+ · HEAVY82.7L
  7. 1Cranbourne1000m30 May 2025 · 2yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
  8. 4Warrnambool1000m23 Sept 2024 · BenchMark 64 · SOFT66L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 97%

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 76%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 58% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ideal Map

    Positive

    Map position exceeding market by 1%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

Comments

AAP

Let-up (72-days). Determined effort to secure victory at Bendigo. Can make his presence felt again fresh in this company with even breaks.

ILB

Goes well when fresh. Ran over the top of them when winning last start at Bendigo but has more weight to carry. Will be positive in the run early. Will need to elevate.

RP

Scored narrowly in a handicap at Bendigo in August; has won here; despite that Bendigo success, may have to settle for supporting role at best.

RSIS

Has multiple wins when resuming. Rocketed home when winning last run at Bendigo but hoping that the added weight won't hurt. Will be pushing for a forward position early.

6Magnabelle RoyaleJ: Bailey Kinninmont·T: M M Laurie160kg4 6 1 10 59: 4-0-1$3.20$1.26

Career

9: 4-0-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 3-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Hamilton

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Traralgon

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 955m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    5: 2-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 2-0-1

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Cranbourne955m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD34.36L
  2. 10Hamilton1100m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.14L
  3. 1Cranbourne955m25 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD4-1.25
  4. 6Caulfield Heath1000m20 May 2026 · Benchmark 70 · SOFT63.3L
  5. 4Caulfield Heath1000m29 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.3L
  6. 3Sandown1000m15 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.1L
  7. 1Cranbourne1000m27 Mar 2026 · BM66 · SOFT6-3.3
  8. 1Caulfield Heath800m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)-0.8

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Track Stats

    Positive

    Excels at this track

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure over this trip in the 3yo+ (Bm78) this track. Warrants attention.

ILB

Was $16.00 and chased well when 5th last time at this venue and has drawn the rails. The large claim from Bailey Kinninmont should help. Should put in a decent effort.

RP

Winning form over C&D; finished just behind Speir when fifth last month; plenty of appeal if in the same mood as when achieving most recent success.

RSIS

Started at 15/1 and crept into 5th last start here and gets the perfect draw. Large claim helps. Should give this a shake.

7MonixJ: Sarah Field·T: Nathan Hobson860kg1 4 1 8 622: 5-3-4$34.00$3.90

Career

22: 5-3-4

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 975m

    7: 3-1-1

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 1-1-0

  • Distance 1009m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 2-0-1

  • Going Good

    15: 2-3-3

Last starts

  1. 6Swan Hill975m27 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44L
  2. 8Horsham1200m18 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD39.42L
  3. 1Swan Hill975m22 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1.25
  4. 4Bendigo1000m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY93.5L
  5. 1Swan Hill975m28 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT5-1.5
  6. 2Mildura1000m17 July 2026 · BM70 · GOOD41.5L
  7. 1Bendigo1000m5 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY9-0.5
  8. 4Echuca1000m23 June 2026 · BM56 · HEAVY101.4L

Insights

  • Rider

    Negative

    Negative rider change today

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 49%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 4.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Swan Hill. New to Cranbourne. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Jumped at $6.50 and didn't find the line when 6th last start at Swan Hill and competing at a higher level of competition. Looks hopeful at best.

RP

Not disgraced in sixth at Swan Hill (dropped back to this distance) last Tuesday; a proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 5-22; stable has been going through a quiet spell; this looks a fair heat so may be vulnerable.

RSIS

Was 11/2 and faded to finish 6th last run at Swan Hill and matched against a stronger field. Likely to get back in the field.

8Room For BingoJ: Remi Tremsal·T: Ms R Waymouth359kg1 7 5 4 115: 4-3-1$21.00$3.50

Career

15: 4-3-1

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    3: 2-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    6: 1-2-1

  • Distance 955m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    14: 4-3-1

  • Going Good

    7: 2-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-2-1

Last starts

  1. 1Pakenham Synthetic1000m2 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SYNTHETIC-0.35
  2. 4Cranbourne1000m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY92L
  3. 5Cranbourne1000m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT72.7L
  4. 7Sandown1000m10 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD412.4L
  5. 1Sale1000m17 Aug 2025 · BM64 HCP · GOOD4-1.3
  6. 3Cranbourne1000m1 Aug 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT70.6L
  7. 6Sandown1000m5 Mar 2025 · BenchMark 70 · GOOD310.4L
  8. 6Moonee Valley955m31 Jan 2025 · Benchmark 70 · GOOD45.4L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 21% in Last 100 Rides

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 9% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Poorly

    Negative

    Map position not suited at this track, under performing market expectations by 11%

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • 2nd Up S/R

    Positive

    Has won 2 from 3 when second up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Weight Increase

    Negative

    Rises 4kg now

Comments

AAP

Now 5 weeks between runs. Jump-and-run flyer. Posted a determined win at Pakenham Synthetic. Will take stopping in this company.

ILB

Led and controlled the pace when winning by a margin of a long neck last start at Pakenham Synthetic and form has been improving over recent runs. Modest contender.

RP

Narrow 16-1 winner (Pakenham) when accounting for two of these last month; has won here previously.

RSIS

Led throughout to win by a long neck last time at Pakenham Synthetic and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Should muster plenty of early toe.

9Highland HarleyJ: Carleen Hefel·T: E Jusufovic558.5kg2 12 2 2 934: 5-8-5$10.00$2.40

Career

34: 5-8-5

Rating · IRD

76

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 2-1-1

  • Second-up

    6: 2-0-1

  • Third-up

    6: 1-2-2

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-2-0

  • Track Seymour

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Moonee Valley

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Echuca

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1209m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-1-1

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    25: 4-6-5

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Sandown1200m25 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT56.6L
  2. 2Cranbourne1200m20 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.3L
  3. 2Cranbourne1200m6 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.8L
  4. 12Flemington1200m17 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM84 HCP · GOOD37L
  5. 2Cranbourne1200m27 Dec 2025 · 3UP BM70 HCP · GOOD31.5L
  6. 2Sale1200m17 Aug 2025 · BM64 HCP · GOOD44L
  7. 4Geelong1250m25 July 2025 · 2yo+ · SOFT52.8L
  8. 2Geelong1212m20 June 2025 · BM64 HCP · SOFT64.5L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 8%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 35%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 45% Profit on Turnover

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

Resuming (32-weeks). Won past couple of jump-outs. Generally competitive fresh. Should run well first-up here.

ILB

First up and strong run when placing 2nd beaten by 1 1/2L first up last preparation here. Likely to get back. Down in trip. Some hope in this event.

RP

Held in ninth over 6f at Sandown (handicap) in March; possesses winning form at this track; useful in this grade; returns from a layoff.

RSIS

Resuming and finished with intent when 2nd resuming last preparation at this venue. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Coming back in trip.

10Midnight DevilScratched10––––

Career

28: 4-6-3

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-3-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-1-0

  • Track Sandown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Pakenham Synthetic

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Geelong

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 955m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1012m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1013m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    20: 4-4-1

  • Going Heavy

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-2-0

Last starts

  1. 3Warrnambool1000m15 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.22L
  2. 3Pakenham Synthetic1000m5 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SYNTHETIC1.35L
  3. 2Moe1000m24 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD40.06L
  4. 10Sale1200m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT66.3L
  5. 2Sale1000m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT63.8L
  6. 9Sale1013m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY94.2L
  7. 4Seymour1000m18 Dec 2025 · BM66 · GOOD43.75L
  8. 8Geelong1214m26 Nov 2025 · 3UP BM74 HCP · GOOD39.6L

Insights

  • Racing Solidly

    Positive

    In peak form

Comments

AAP

Racing consistently. Worked on the speed and just missed in the 3yo+ (Bm62) at Warrnambool. Pace influence. Can play a role with even breaks.

ILB

Competed in a tight contest last time at Warrnambool. Performing honestly since resuming from a break.

RP

Has won here previously; series of good efforts to his name; missed out by a head (Warrnambool) last month.

RSIS

Was agonizingly close last time at Warrnambool. In good condition since resuming from a break.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Fri 2 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races