Cranbourne (VIC) horses tips & previews

9 Nov, 9:06 am AEDT

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Cranbourne (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 6 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 6 NovCranbourne (VIC)Change

Race 5 — Charter Keck Cramer Hcp (66) 1200m · jumps Fri 6 Nov, 8:15 pm AEDT

Race preview

Welcome to Cranbourne for the Charter Keck Cramer Hcp (66) over the 1200m trip, where punters are lining up under overcast skies on a good four surface with an 8:15 pm AEDT jump time. The win market has Marsept sitting right at the top of the order, closely followed by Layla, Brutal World, and Mykindakandy in that exact sequence as the runners prepare to do battle in this restricted contest.

Taking a look at the form for the shorter-priced contenders, market leader Marsept resumes after a 24-week spell for trainers M, W & J Hawkes with Luke Currie booked in the saddle from barrier five, boasting a tidy first-up record and some encouraging tick-over jump-outs. Right alongside in the market is Layla from barrier six for trainers Ben, Will & Jd Hayes with Michael Dee steering, kicking off a second campaign after a strong Cranbourne maiden win last preparation and a recent Flemington jump-out win.

Further down the win market order, Brutal World jumps from barrier one with Luke Cartwright aboard for trainer Simon Zahra, bringing strong winning form from Kyneton and Donald into this race as a noted distance specialist who stays firmly on the radar. With speed maps showing Layla ready to take up the running out in front and others like Marsept settling off the pace, it sets up a fascinating tactical yarn for punters to unpack.

Race notes

0 - 66,3UP 0 - 66 HCP,3yo+,Restricted 66
GOOD4
Overcast
6 runners

Shortest win price

Marsept (2)

1.65

Most career wins

Claymore Mine

4-3-2 from 26 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

4Claymore Mine

Offmidfield

9O'Mosa

Midfield

3Mykindakandy

Offpace

2Marsept
7Brutal World

Leader

6Layla

Marsept · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Mykindakandy · Positive
Fast Finisher
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Claymore Mine · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Layla · Negative
Current SR
Rider’s recent POT is returning 28% lower than Career Avg.

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace

1ReddersScratched1––––

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating50%
Closing Speed20%

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 18% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 11%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Nice Barrier
Positive
Well drawn from gate 1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (20-weeks). Generally competitive fresh. Put together some solid performances last preparation. 2nd & 4th at latest jump-outs. Right in the mix fresh in this affair.

ILB

First up after 20 weeks and displayed a good turn of foot when winning first up last preparation at Geelong. Has drawn to do little work.

RSIS

Resuming and bold effort when winning resuming last preparation at Geelong. Drawn nicely.

2MarseptJ: Luke Currie·T: M, W & J Hawkes558kg4 5 2 1 26: 1-2-1$1.65$1.07

Career

6: 1-2-1

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating100%
Closing Speed60%

Record

First-up
3: 0-1-1
Second-up
2: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-1-0
Track Flemington
2: 0-1-1
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1125m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-2-0
Going Good
5: 1-2-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

2Flemington1200m16 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD42L
1Geelong1125m22 Apr 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD4-3.3
2Caulfield1200m4 Apr 2026 · 3Y FILLIES HCP · GOOD31L
5Warwick Farm1200m24 Sept 2025 · 3UP F&M MDN-SW · GOOD44L
4Canterbury1200m10 Sept 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · HEAVY92.1L
3Rosehill900m28 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial1.7L
2Canterbury905m18 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial0.5L
3Flemington1000m1 Mar 2025 · Set Weights plus Penalties · GOOD42L

Insights

Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 88%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 16% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Consistent
Positive
Showing up at the business end

Comments

AAP

Resuming (24-weeks). Placed at Caulfield first-up last campaign and form was first class. Tick over jump-outs of late. Looks the one to beat first-up.

ILB

First up. Came in 2nd last time at Flemington and competing in an easier class. Will have to carry extra weight. Looks set to run a big race.

Has shown some recent improvement; beaten into runner-up when 100-30 at Flemington in May; returning from a layoff here; can give it a good shot.

RSIS

First run back after a break. Tidy run when 2nd last start at Flemington and competing in an easier class. Carrying more weight than last time. Smart type.

3MykindakandyJ: Jye Mcneil·T: C I Brown357.5kg3 5 5 8 18: 1-0-2$19.00$4.00

Career

8: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey80%
Trainer40%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed80%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
1: 1-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-1
Going Good
5: 0-0-2
Going Soft
3: 1-0-0

Last starts

1Mornington1200m4 Sept 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT5-0.8
8Caulfield1400m11 Apr 2026 · CL3-SW · SOFT72.8L
5Cranbourne1600m27 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT62.6L
5Ballarat1400m20 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD32L
3Pakenham1400m5 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD44L
3Caulfield Heath1000m25 Feb 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)0.6L
4Sandown1200m10 Dec 2025 · MDN-SW · GOOD46.3L
3Wodonga1200m28 Nov 2025 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD30.5L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 5%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 40%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Let-up (63-days). Gave solid kick from handy position to triumph at Mornington first up. Can make his presence felt again fresh in this line-up.

ILB

First up from a spell. Was eating up the ground late to win last run at Mornington but facing a stronger group of contenders. Place best.

Has raised his game the last twice; scored narrowly in a maiden in September at Mornington, getting off the mark at the eighth attempt; others more persuasive despite that win last time.

RSIS

Racing fresh today after a break. Ran on hard when winning last run at Mornington but competing at a higher class.

4Claymore MineJ: Patrick Moloney·T: Pat Carey & Harris Walker457kg10 12 8 11 526: 4-3-2$17.00$3.80

Career

26: 4-3-2

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer20%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed100%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
5: 1-2-1
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 1-0-0
Track Bendigo
3: 0-0-0
Track Wagga
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
6: 1-1-1
Distance 1400m
9: 2-0-0
Distance 1406m
1: 0-0-1
Going Good
17: 2-3-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
5: 0-0-1

Last starts

5Cranbourne1200m16 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.67L
11Flemington1410m1 Aug 2026 · 4UP MARES BM78 HCP · GOOD38.14L
8Pakenham Synthetic1400m20 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SYNTHETIC5.8L
12Sandown1200m8 July 2026 · Benchmark 74 · HEAVY811.22L
10Caulfield1100m27 June 2026 · Benchmark 84 · SOFT77L
5Flemington1400m16 May 2026 · 3UP F&M BM78 HCP · GOOD40.9L
5Bendigo1400m2 May 2026 · 4UP MARES SWP · GOOD31.4L
8Mornington1200m18 Apr 2026 · 3UP F&M BM70 HCP · GOOD44L

Insights

Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 3%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 62%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 64% Profit on Turnover
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue

Comments

AAP

Long winless run. Snagged back and last at 400m before letting down late to just miss the minors this track over today's trip. Hard to warm to here.

ILB

Passed some rivals in the late stages when 5th last time at this track. Displays good closing speed. Betting is the best guide.

Respectable display to finish fifth, beaten half a length when back to this trip last month; useful at this level; holds major claims if building on most recent effort.

RSIS

Made up ground when 5th last time at the track. Possesses good closing pace.

5IlluminanceScratched7––––

Career

28: 2-11-4

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey50%
Trainer60%
Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
Early Speed80%
Rating60%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
5: 1-2-0
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-2
Fourth-up
4: 0-2-1
Track Cranbourne
12: 1-7-2
Track Bendigo
2: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1143m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
7: 2-2-2
Going Good
14: 1-8-1
Going Heavy
1: 0-1-0
Going Soft
13: 1-2-3

Last starts

9Pakenham1200m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT53.47L
2Cranbourne1300m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD32L
7Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.3L
3Sale1200m21 Aug 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT60.8L
3Seymour1200m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT72.4L
2Cranbourne1200m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY90.1L
5Cranbourne1400m21 June 2026 · BM62 · SOFT72.8L
2Cranbourne1300m10 Jan 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD41.3L

Insights

Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -34% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 24%
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 2%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Last win was 1 Aug 2025. Performance just fair at Pakenham over today's trip at $10. Remote place hope at best.

ILB

On a quick turnaround. Jumped at $10.00 and didn't attack the line when 9th last run at Pakenham.

Ninth of 12 at Pakenham last week; a winner over C&D; not a frequent winner; hard enough to fancy as this is a fairly competitive event.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Started at 9/1 and didn't find the line when 9th last time at Pakenham.

6LaylaJ: Michael Dee·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes656.5kg1 3 1 143: 1-0-1$2.50$1.24

Career

3: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
Early Speed100%
Rating80%
Closing Speed20%

Record

First-up
1: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 1-0-1
Going Good
3: 1-0-1

Last starts

14Flemington1200m28 Feb 2026 · 3Y SWP · GOOD47.2L
1Cranbourne1200m3 Jan 2026 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD3-5
3Sandown1200m10 Dec 2025 · 3YF MDN-SW · GOOD41.3L
1Warwick Farm818m26 May 2025 · Barrier Trial-2.2

Insights

Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 28% lower than Career Avg.
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 41% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Lightly Raced
Positive
Limited race experience but shown potential
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
1st Up
Negative
May need this run

Comments

AAP

Kicks off second campaign (35-weeks). Placed at Sandown-Lakeside on debut last campaign. Recent Flemington jump-out winner. Can have a major say first-up in this affair.

ILB

First up after 35 weeks and couldn't maintain the momentum throughout when 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L first up last preparation at Sandown. Likely to be well placed early. Has the ratings to win this.

Brings winning C&D form to the table; lightly raced (this just her fourth race); towards the rear of 15 at Flemington in February in a conditions race; back from an absence here; successful in a maiden in January and should not be far away.

RSIS

Resuming and was strong on the pace before fading to finish 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L resuming last preparation at Sandown. Should jump out and bowl along. Expected to be competitive.

7Brutal WorldJ: Luke Cartwright·T: Simon Zahra155.5kg9 11 8 1 116: 3-4-3$15.00$3.70

Career

16: 3-4-3

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

Jockey100%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
Early Speed100%
Rating60%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
2: 0-0-1
Third-up
2: 2-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 0-1-0
Track Donald
1: 1-0-0
Track Kyneton
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1203m
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 0-1-2
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Kyneton1203m8 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · SOFT5-1
1Donald1200m12 Sept 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-1.8
8Wodonga1100m26 July 2026 · 0 - 56 · HEAVY95.6L
11Bairnsdale1000m13 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT76.2L
9Kyneton1203m31 Jan 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD34.3L
4Mornington1200m1 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD41.6L
2Mornington1200m5 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.1L
5Mornington1200m10 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT53L

Insights

Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 52% better than Career Avg.
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 46%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 27% POT in L100 Runners
Hot Jockey
Positive
Luke Cartwright in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 44%
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Consecutive Wins
Positive
Has strung together a few races in a row
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Won nicely at the finish after settling midfield at Kyneton. A distance specialist. Tougher ask here but stays on the radar.

ILB

Charged home to win last start at Kyneton and drawn well. Won last 2 on the bounce but up against a more competitive field. Definite claims for punters.

Going for a hat-trick; successful by 1l at Kyneton last month; despite that Kyneton success, can be taken on.

RSIS

Rounded them up when winning last start at Kyneton and drawn the rails. Made it 2 wins in succession but facing formidable opponents. One of the punters top hopes.

8SayaleroScratched8––––

Career

4: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer80%
Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
Early Speed20%
Rating40%
Closing Speed100%

Record

First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Echuca
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1225m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 1-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0

Last starts

1Echuca1200m19 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.5
5Pakenham1400m15 May 2026 · F MDN-SW · SOFT53.6L
4Geelong1225m22 Apr 2026 · 2Y MDN-SW · GOOD42.4L
5Caulfield Heath1100m20 Dec 2025 · 2yo · GOOD45L

Insights

Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -30% POT in their L100 Races
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Rearward in transit then rattled home late to prevail final stages at Echuca off extended spell. Has claims for a repeat.

ILB

Rocketed home when winning last start at Echuca but competing in a higher grade.

Scored by a slim margin in a maiden (Echuca) when getting off the mark at the fourth time of asking two weeks ago; needs considering.

RSIS

Picked up late to win last run at Echuca but racing in stronger company.

9O'MosaJ: Sheridan Clarke·T: D C Harrison255kg7 4 6 7 1110: 1-0-1$81.00$13.00

Career

10: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

Jockey20%
Trainer100%
Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
Early Speed80%
Rating20%
Closing Speed40%

Record

First-up
3: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
2: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
2: 0-0-0
Track Sale
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1013m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
5: 1-0-0
Going Good
7: 0-0-1
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 1-0-0

Last starts

11Sale1013m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY96.1L
7Geelong1135m22 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD46.4L
6Pakenham1100m12 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD43.3L
4Stony Creek1100m15 Feb 2026 · BM56 · GOOD43.01L
7Pakenham1100m5 Feb 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.6L
1Stony Creek1100m18 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT5-2
10Cranbourne1300m19 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · GOOD410.1L
9Stony Creek1100m7 Dec 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · HEAVY1021.9L

Insights

Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 56%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 5% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Resuming (17-weeks). Usually gets back. Looks vulnerable fresh.

ILB

First up after a break. Was $91.00 and weakened to finish 11th last time at Sale but has a positive draw. Might be ridden for luck. Leaving right out.

Finished 11th of 12 over 5f at Sale (handicap) four months ago; largely disappointing since successful in a maiden at Stony Creek in January; has had some time off; meeting some horses in good form and others more likely.

RSIS

Resumes after a break. Started 90/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 11th last time at Sale but will try to take advantage of the stall.

Odds correct as at Fri 6 Nov, 8:20 pm AEDT. Odds can change.

Past meetings

Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
Fri 2 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races