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Cranbourne (VIC) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Cranbourne (VIC), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Fri 6 Nov, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Fri, 6 NovCranbourne (VIC)Change

Race 7 — Chef's Hat (Bm66) 1400m · jumps

Race preview

Welcome to Cranbourne for the Chef's Hat Benchmark 66 over 1400m on a Good 4 track under overcast skies, where punters are lining up to dissect a intriguing field under lights at 9:15 pm AEDT. Looking at the early win market order, Onavuitton leads the way at the top of the betting boards, closely followed by Regal Might, Lyrics 'N' Song, and Discover Lupino rounding out the initial fancies in this competitive 3yo+ assignment.

Regal Might comes into this race with solid credentials, having shared top prize at Bendigo over today's trip two starts back before a freshen-up, and draws nicely in barrier 2 to do no work under Sam Kennedy, whose recent riding stats show plenty of promise. Meanwhile, Onavuitton drops back from Flemington and strips in better shape following a midfield effort here over 1200m off a long spell, while Discover Lupino brings a narrow win at Geelong over 1325m after driving hard late off a let-up.

Further down the line, Lyrics 'N' Song is four weeks between runs and looking to bounce back from a Geelong run where it raced in the back half, though the awkward barrier 8 asks a question. Speed maps suggest Regal Might will try to control things from the front, while others like Onavuitton and Discover Lupino settle midfield, setting up a fascinating yarn for punters trying to find the winner of this Cranbourne feature.

Race notes

  • 3UP BM66 HCP,3yo+,BM66,Benchmark 66
  • GOOD4
  • Overcast
  • 9 runners

Shortest win price

Onavuitton (7)

3.00

Most career wins

She's Pretty Rich

5-7-7 from 47 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 14Bit Of Shoosh

Offmidfield

  • 12She's Pretty Rich

Midfield

  • 7Onavuitton
  • 15Discover Lupino

Offpace

  • 2Couldthisbetheone
  • 10Kastun Star
  • 11Lyrics 'N' Song
  • 9Waco Kid

Leader

  • 3Regal Might
  • Couldthisbetheone · Positive

    Trainer ROI

    Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners

  • Regal Might · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides

  • Onavuitton · Positive

    Profitable Trainer

    Stable runners going at 27% POT in L100 Runners

  • Waco Kid · Negative

    Early Sectionals

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1ZourainScratched8––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 245%

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Won two from last three. Strong win from just off the leaders at Pakenham over this trip. Well into preparation now, can make his presence felt.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. Flew home to win last time at Pakenham. Dylan Dean provides some weight relief.

RP

Record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 6-28); got the job done by 1l with Blue Bandit (fourth) and Jewel Bay (tenth) behind at Pakenham last Friday; could be hard to beat.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last run at Pakenham. Large claim helps.

2CouldthisbetheoneJ: Jake Noonan·T: M M Laurie361.5kg7 1 4 1 910: 3-1-1$19.00$3.70

Career

10: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

81

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Bendigo

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track Yarra Valley

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1415m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    3: 2-0-1

  • Going Good

    6: 3-0-0

  • Going Soft

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Synthetic

    1: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 9Bendigo1600m13 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD42.7L
  2. 1Cranbourne1600m24 Apr 2026 · BM62 · GOOD4-0.2
  3. 4Sale1717m29 Mar 2026 · BM62 · SOFT62.5L
  4. 1Yarra Valley1500m15 Mar 2026 · BM62 · GOOD4-0.4
  5. 7Cranbourne1600m27 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42.4L
  6. 6Sale1415m11 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · GOOD43.6L
  7. 1Bendigo1500m5 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-0.4
  8. 3Mornington1500m5 Sept 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT52.5L

Insights

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    1 time winner here at Cranbourne

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

First-up (25-weeks). 5th & 4th at latest jump-outs. Drawn to effect. Has some claims on past efforts.

ILB

Resuming after a spell. Odds of $5.00 and looked outclassed when 9th last start at Bendigo. Not at all out of this race.

RP

Finished just behind She's Pretty Rich when ninth over 1m at Bendigo (handicap) six months ago; track has proven suitable before; has had some time off; brings winning form to the table and looks like a player.

RSIS

Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Started at 4/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time at Bendigo. Could feature here.

3Regal MightJ: Sam Kennedy·T: John Mcardle261.5kg2 7 8 2 119: 3-7-1$4.00$1.50

Career

19: 3-7-1

Rating · IRD

98

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 2-2-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Third-up

    4: 0-2-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Morphettville

    3: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1440m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1103m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 2-3-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    8: 1-3-1

Last starts

  1. 1Bendigo1400m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM62 HCP · SOFT60L
  2. 2Bendigo1300m6 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT50.3L
  3. 8Morphettville1400m22 Aug 2026 · CG&E 0-68 · SOFT75.1L
  4. 7Sandown1200m29 July 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY107.2L
  5. 2Sandown1200m8 July 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY82L
  6. 2Bendigo1100m13 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD40.8L
  7. 10Seymour1300m13 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD45L
  8. 3Sale1200m26 Oct 2025 · 3yo+ · SOFT72L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy 57% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 80%

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Sam Kennedy in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 57%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Draw Suits

    Positive

    Well drawn inside

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Freshened. Shared top prize at at Bendigo over today's trip. Draws to do no work. Major player again.

ILB

Winner last time at Bendigo and has a positive draw. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Producing consistent results this preparation. Strong chance to be considered.

RP

Dead-heat with Zourain (Bendigo) five weeks ago; despite that Bendigo success, he can be taken on.

RSIS

Got the prize when winning last run at Bendigo and has a good draw. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.

4ShaimeScratched9––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Clifford I Brown striking at just 5%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -50% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 50% Profit on Turnover

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Settled back and didn't figure second-up in the 3yo+ (Bm70) this course. Can't enthuse.

ILB

Performed below standard when 6th last time at the track.

RP

No impression when sixth of nine over 6f here (handicap) two weeks ago; easy to oppose with a number of her rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Not up to scratch when 6th last run here.

5UntappedScratched13––––

Career

21: 3-2-4

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 2-0-1

  • Second-up

    3: 1-1-1

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track Caulfield Heath

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Pakenham

    5: 2-0-0

  • Track Sale

    2: 1-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1013m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 0-1-3

  • Going Good

    13: 2-1-1

Last starts

  1. 6Geelong1500m21 Oct 2026 · BM 78 HCP · GOOD45.11L
  2. 3Bendigo1600m4 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT61.35L
  3. 3Bendigo1400m20 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD32.5L
  4. 5Sandown1300m5 Sept 2026 · 3UP BM74 HCP · SOFT71.8L
  5. 9Caulfield1100m15 Aug 2026 · BM74 · SOFT64.2L
  6. 3Sale1200m26 July 2026 · 2yo+ · SOFT63.8L
  7. 1Sale1013m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY9-0.1
  8. 6Pakenham1200m12 Feb 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD42.61L

Insights

  • Weight Increase

    Negative

    Rises 5.5kg now

Comments

AAP

Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Geelong. Could get into the placings.

ILB

At $13.00 finished 6th last start at Geelong but up against a less competitive field. Bit of extra work to do with more weight.

RP

Held when sixth beaten just over 5l over 7½f at Geelong (handicap) last month; booking of Luke Nolen takes the eye; this line-up contains some strong opposition so hard to recommend.

RSIS

Started 12/1 and ran 6th last time at Geelong but up against weaker rivals. Will have to carry extra weight.

6BuzitupScratched11––––

Career

13: 3-3-0

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed60%
  • Rating50%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 2-1-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    2: 1-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Stawell

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Terang

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Moe

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1200m

    8: 2-1-0

  • Going Good

    5: 2-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-2-0

Last starts

  1. 1Warrnambool1200m15 Oct 2026 · BM62 · GOOD4-0.1
  2. 5Ballarat1200m24 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD44.4L
  3. 6Pakenham1200m15 May 2026 · 2UP BM66 HCP · SOFT52.4L
  4. 1Ballarat1200m30 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-1.5
  5. 2Stawell1300m5 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD31.3L
  6. 1Terang1206m17 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT6-1.8
  7. 8Ballarat1400m6 Dec 2025 · 3-5yo · SOFT64.6L
  8. 2Warrnambool1200m30 Nov 2025 · 3UP MDN-SW · SOFT60.8L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 489%

  • Stable In Form

    Positive

    Stable going well. Out performing market by 104%

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 86% POT in L100 Runners

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Drove hard late to nail a narrow win at Warrnambool first up. Capable of figuring.

ILB

Reeled them in when winning last start at Warrnambool and on an upward trajectory in recent races.

RP

Landed a narrow success in a handicap (Warrnambool) 22 days ago; successful three times from 13 career runs; interesting.

RSIS

Ran home strongly to win last run at Warrnambool and displaying improvement over the past few runs.

7OnavuittonJ: Jye Mcneil·T: Simon Zahra660kg4 8 12 10 48: 1-0-1$3.00$1.32

Career

8: 1-0-1

Rating · IRD

89

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    3: 0-0-1

  • Track Cranbourne

    2: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    2: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    4: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1600m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 4Cranbourne1200m23 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD33.75L
  2. 10Flemington1200m16 May 2026 · 3Y HCP · GOOD47.1L
  3. 12Caulfield2000m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo · GOOD47.8L
  4. 8Flemington1600m28 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD43.6L
  5. 4Caulfield1400m7 Feb 2026 · 3yo · GOOD42.8L
  6. 1Cranbourne1200m10 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD4-2
  7. 3Flemington1400m8 Mar 2025 · Set Weights · GOOD44.25L
  8. 6Sandown1200m5 Feb 2025 · Maiden · GOOD31.77L

Insights

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 27% POT in L100 Runners

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Form At Track

    Positive

    1 time winner here at Cranbourne

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Made minor headway from back half this track off long spell. Strips in better shape. Capable of making an impact.

ILB

Was $9.00 and showed some merit late when 4th last time at this venue. Can win this.

RP

Not beaten that far in fourth (just under 4l) over 6f here (handicap) last month - split Sumo Sandy and Shaime; possesses winning form at this track; subpar since successful in a maiden at Cranbourne in January; meeting some horses in good form and others appeal more.

RSIS

At 8/1 made some ground when 4th last start at this track. Good potential.

8Sumo SandyScratched12––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 9%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Back from wide alley, flew late to grab third 3yo+ (Bm70) off long break. Fitter second-up and the longer trip helps. This looks very achievable.

ILB

Produced an eye catching run when 3rd beaten by 3L last start here.

RP

Had a couple of these behind him when third here over 6f (handicap) last month; trainer has been going through a quiet spell.

RSIS

Caught the eye when 3rd last start here.

9Waco KidJ: Carleen Hefel·T: J R Welsh1160kg1 1 4 6 1013: 3-3-1$16.00$3.60

Career

13: 3-3-1

Rating · IRD

85

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo80%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-1

  • Third-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Werribee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Sandown

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Geelong

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1427m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1590m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    3: 2-0-0

  • Going Good

    8: 3-2-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-1

Last starts

  1. 10Sandown1400m22 July 2026 · BM70 · SOFT610.3L
  2. 6Pakenham Synthetic1000m7 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SYNTHETIC8.8L
  3. 4Sandown1800m28 Jan 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD42.65L
  4. 1Sandown1600m8 Jan 2026 · 0 - 66 · GOOD4-0.4
  5. 1Cranbourne1600m19 Dec 2025 · BM62 · GOOD4-1.8
  6. 1Wangaratta1590m6 Dec 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD4-3.8
  7. 2Ararat1300m25 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · GOOD30.4L
  8. 8Pakenham1200m7 Nov 2025 · 3yo+ · HEAVY86.3L

Insights

  • Early Sectionals

    Negative

    Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    Would have liked a better draw

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

First-up (15-weeks). Locally trained but has a tricky draw for return. Looks up against it.

ILB

First run back from spell. Gave away some ground when 10th last run at Sandown. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.

RP

Finished tenth, beaten a fair way at Sandown dropped back in distance in July; has won at this course; easy to oppose as this looks a fair heat.

RSIS

Fresh today. Didn't threaten when 10th last run at Sandown. Must respect.

10Kastun StarJ: Beau Mertens·T: Jason Warren759.5kg–$11.00$2.80

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -65% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 58% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

Comments

AAP

Reasonable effort without seriously threatening this course. Coming back in distance. Could give some cheek at odds.

ILB

Started $10.00 and improved when 5th last start at the track. Going well this campaign. Betting is the best guide.

RP

Has winning track form; respectable fifth over 1m here (handicap) last month; a few rivals look in good form so he can be taken on.

RSIS

Started at 9/1 and pushed past some when 5th last time here. Has some claims.

11Lyrics 'N' SongJ: Logan Bates·T: M W Walker859.5kg–$4.20$1.55

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Slow Early LS

    Negative

    Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg

  • Awkward Draw

    Negative

    May find this draw awkward

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Now 4 weeks between runs. Seymour winner two back. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Geelong. Look for improvement here.

ILB

Odds of $6.00 and didn't find the line when 9th last time at Geelong. Has the ability to turn things around. Will be fighting out the finish.

RP

A course winner; finished last of nine at Geelong upped to this distance last month; has to be taken seriously with a bit more luck as excuses last time (checked) and she knows how to win.

RSIS

Started at 5/1 and struggled with the pace when 9th last start at Geelong. Can show a better performance this time. Attracts support.

12She's Pretty RichJ: Craig Newitt·T: Matthew Brown558kg5 8 7 9 1047: 5-7-7$21.00$3.80

Career

47: 5-7-7

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    8: 2-1-1

  • Second-up

    6: 1-1-2

  • Third-up

    6: 1-1-1

  • Fourth-up

    5: 0-1-1

  • Track Launceston

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Flemington

    10: 0-1-1

  • Track Sale

    3: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1440m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1525m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    19: 1-4-4

  • Going Good

    22: 3-2-2

  • Going Heavy

    6: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 10Geelong1525m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD37L
  2. 9Seymour1400m7 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · SOFT76.9L
  3. 7Sandown1200m8 July 2026 · BM66 · HEAVY84.9L
  4. 8Bendigo1600m13 May 2026 · 2yo+ · GOOD42L
  5. 5Caulfield1400m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT73.3L
  6. 6Caulfield1400m21 Mar 2026 · BM84 · GOOD45.3L
  7. 5Launceston1400m25 Feb 2026 · GROUP 3 F&M SWFA · GOOD43.2L
  8. 6Hobart1200m8 Feb 2026 · F&M-WFA · SOFT54.6L

Insights

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Craig Newitt current POT is 45% below Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 27% POT in L100 Runners

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 53% in L100 rides

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

Comments

AAP

Let-up (44-days). Sent out $31 when unable to threaten at Geelong. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Let up. At $31.00 not up to scratch when 10th last start at Geelong. Yet to fire this preparation. Likely to get back in the field. Better to look elsewhere.

RP

Finished tenth of 12 over 7½f at Geelong (handicap) six weeks ago; shown only moderate recent form; facing a testing assignment and has some questions to answer.

RSIS

Freshened up. Odds of 30/1 and was ordinary when 10th last time at Geelong. Yet to fire recently with no placings from 8 runs. Might be ridden for luck.

13Blue BanditScratched10––––

Career

17: 3-2-2

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Sale

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Warrnambool

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1217m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    8: 2-1-1

  • Going Soft

    7: 1-1-1

Last starts

  1. 4Pakenham1400m30 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT51.55L
  2. 9Ballarat1200m9 Oct 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · GOOD45L
  3. 13Bendigo1500m12 Aug 2026 · 3UP BM66 HCP · HEAVY950.3L
  4. 2Sandown1400m2 Aug 2026 · BM66 · SOFT70.8L
  5. 7Cranbourne1400m16 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY96.1L
  6. 2Sale1429m9 July 2026 · 2yo+ · HEAVY91.5L
  7. 9Sale1411m28 June 2026 · BM62 · HEAVY84.9L
  8. 12Caulfield Heath1500m17 June 2026 · BM66 · SOFT64.5L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Fitness

    Positive

    At peak fitness backing up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Midfield and worked home solidly at Pakenham over today's trip. Stiffer opposition here.

ILB

On a quick back up. At $11.00 moved through the field into 4th last time at Pakenham.

RP

1½l fourth to Zourain (Pakenham) last Friday; this is his grade.

RSIS

On a short turnaround. At 10/1 passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last time at Pakenham.

14Bit Of ShooshJ: Daniel Stackhouse·T: Ben, Will & Jd Hayes959kg5 2 1 1 313: 3-1-1$23.00$4.00

Career

13: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

74

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Ballarat

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Mornington

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1717m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Distance 1736m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    11: 3-1-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Sale1736m17 May 2026 · 2UP BM62 HCP · GOOD42.6L
  2. 1Sale1717m3 May 2026 · 0 - 62 · GOOD3-0.3
  3. 1Kilmore1600m18 Apr 2026 · 0 - 56 · GOOD4-2.8
  4. 2Mornington1500m5 Apr 2026 · BM56 · GOOD30.8L
  5. 5Kyneton1461m28 Mar 2026 · 0 - 56 · SOFT52.6L
  6. 4Kyneton1459m13 Mar 2026 · 3UP BM56 HCP · GOOD42.2L
  7. 8Ballarat1400m22 Feb 2026 · BM62 · GOOD47.5L
  8. 11Mornington1500m28 Sept 2025 · 0 - 62 · GOOD47.2L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -67% POT in their L100 Races

  • Profitable Trainer

    Positive

    Stable runners going at 31% POT in L100 Runners

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist Drop

    Negative

    Distance decrease from last start

  • Resuming

    Negative

    Poor strike rate when first up

Comments

AAP

First-up (24-weeks). Has an adverse draw for return. One for multiples fresh in this company.

ILB

First run back from a break. Displayed good finishing speed when 3rd last start at Sale but coming back in trip. Does take a while to get into stride. Entitled to be big odds.

RP

A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 3-13; creditable effort to finish third over 1m½f at Sale (handicap) in May; back from an absence here.

RSIS

Resuming after a break. Zipped home into 3rd last run at Sale but will be dropping in distance. Likely to get back.

15Discover LupinoJ: Luke Currie·T: C I Brown158kg3 6 3 14: 1-0-2$7.50$2.40

Career

4: 1-0-2

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed80%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 1-0-1

  • Track Stawell

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Geelong

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Cranbourne

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1325m

    1: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 1-0-1

Last starts

  1. 1Geelong1325m23 Sept 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD3-0.1
  2. 3Stawell1300m18 May 2026 · 2UP MDN-SW · HEAVY97L
  3. 6Seymour1300m13 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · SOFT54.9L
  4. 3Cranbourne1200m20 Mar 2026 · 3Y MDN-SW · GOOD34L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 5%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 196%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 50% Profit on Turnover

  • Early Splits

    Negative

    Out of races with slow early tempos

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

Comments

AAP

Let-up (44-days). Drove hard late to nail a narrow win at Geelong off spell. Others rate stronger.

ILB

Freshened for this. Finished with purpose when winning last run at Geelong and drawn the rails. Getting better in recent performances. Up against a more competitive field. Will be tested.

RP

Scored by a slim margin in a maiden (Geelong) when opening his account at the fourth time of asking six weeks ago.

RSIS

Let up. Finished well when winning last run at Geelong and drawn nicely. Facing a stronger group of contenders. Showing improvement in recent outings.

16Jewel BayScratched4––––

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 110%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Sent out $21 when never got into the race at Pakenham over this journey. Needs a form spike.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Looked flat when 10th last run at Pakenham but gets some weight relief.

RP

Tenth of 12 at Pakenham last week; has scored over C&D.

RSIS

On a quick turnaround. Average effort when 10th last run at Pakenham but gets some weight taken off.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 16 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 8 races
  • Fri 9 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT · 9 races
  • Fri 2 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Fri 25 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races