Shortest win price
Onavuitton (7)
3.00
Welcome to Cranbourne for the Chef's Hat Benchmark 66 over 1400m on a Good 4 track under overcast skies, where punters are lining up to dissect a intriguing field under lights at 9:15 pm AEDT. Looking at the early win market order, Onavuitton leads the way at the top of the betting boards, closely followed by Regal Might, Lyrics 'N' Song, and Discover Lupino rounding out the initial fancies in this competitive 3yo+ assignment.
Regal Might comes into this race with solid credentials, having shared top prize at Bendigo over today's trip two starts back before a freshen-up, and draws nicely in barrier 2 to do no work under Sam Kennedy, whose recent riding stats show plenty of promise. Meanwhile, Onavuitton drops back from Flemington and strips in better shape following a midfield effort here over 1200m off a long spell, while Discover Lupino brings a narrow win at Geelong over 1325m after driving hard late off a let-up.
Further down the line, Lyrics 'N' Song is four weeks between runs and looking to bounce back from a Geelong run where it raced in the back half, though the awkward barrier 8 asks a question. Speed maps suggest Regal Might will try to control things from the front, while others like Onavuitton and Discover Lupino settle midfield, setting up a fascinating yarn for punters trying to find the winner of this Cranbourne feature.
Shortest win price
Onavuitton (7)
3.00
Most career wins
She's Pretty Rich
5-7-7 from 47 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Offpace
Leader
Couldthisbetheone · Positive
Trainer ROI
Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Regal Might · Positive
Jockey ROI
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Onavuitton · Positive
Profitable Trainer
Stable runners going at 27% POT in L100 Runners
Waco Kid · Negative
Early Sectionals
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 245%
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
On a short back-up. Won two from last three. Strong win from just off the leaders at Pakenham over this trip. Well into preparation now, can make his presence felt.
ILB
Backing up quickly for this race. Flew home to win last time at Pakenham. Dylan Dean provides some weight relief.
RP
Record shows he knows where the winning post is (wins-runs career record of 6-28); got the job done by 1l with Blue Bandit (fourth) and Jewel Bay (tenth) behind at Pakenham last Friday; could be hard to beat.
RSIS
Backing up quickly for this race. Displayed a good turn of foot when winning last run at Pakenham. Large claim helps.
Career
10: 3-1-1
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Track Bendigo
2: 1-0-0
Track Yarra Valley
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1415m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1500m
3: 2-0-1
Going Good
6: 3-0-0
Going Soft
3: 0-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-1-0
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 20% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 18%
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Cranbourne
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
First-up (25-weeks). 5th & 4th at latest jump-outs. Drawn to effect. Has some claims on past efforts.
ILB
Resuming after a spell. Odds of $5.00 and looked outclassed when 9th last start at Bendigo. Not at all out of this race.
RP
Finished just behind She's Pretty Rich when ninth over 1m at Bendigo (handicap) six months ago; track has proven suitable before; has had some time off; brings winning form to the table and looks like a player.
RSIS
Had a break from racing and returns to competition. Started at 4/1 and couldn't maintain the pace when 9th last time at Bendigo. Could feature here.
Career
19: 3-7-1
Rating · IRD
98
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 2-2-0
Second-up
4: 0-2-0
Third-up
4: 0-2-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-1-0
Track Morphettville
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1440m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1103m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
9: 2-3-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-1-0
Going Soft
8: 1-3-1
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 29% in Last 100 Rides
Jockey Booking
Positive
Sam Kennedy 57% above market expected in L100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 80%
Hot Jockey
Positive
Sam Kennedy in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 57%
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Freshened. Shared top prize at at Bendigo over today's trip. Draws to do no work. Major player again.
ILB
Winner last time at Bendigo and has a positive draw. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Producing consistent results this preparation. Strong chance to be considered.
RP
Dead-heat with Zourain (Bendigo) five weeks ago; despite that Bendigo success, he can be taken on.
RSIS
Got the prize when winning last run at Bendigo and has a good draw. Has good tactical pace and will be nicely positioned. No surprise to see solid support in the betting.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Offpace
Trainer SR
Negative
Clifford I Brown striking at just 5%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -50% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Trainer ROI
Negative
Trainers runners currently losing 50% Profit on Turnover
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Settled back and didn't figure second-up in the 3yo+ (Bm70) this course. Can't enthuse.
ILB
Performed below standard when 6th last time at the track.
RP
No impression when sixth of nine over 6f here (handicap) two weeks ago; easy to oppose with a number of her rivals in good nick.
RSIS
Not up to scratch when 6th last run here.
Career
21: 3-2-4
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 2-0-1
Second-up
3: 1-1-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-0
Track Caulfield Heath
1: 0-1-0
Track Pakenham
5: 2-0-0
Track Sale
2: 1-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1013m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1100m
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 1-0-0
Going Soft
7: 0-1-3
Going Good
13: 2-1-1
Weight Increase
Negative
Rises 5.5kg now
AAP
Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Geelong. Could get into the placings.
ILB
At $13.00 finished 6th last start at Geelong but up against a less competitive field. Bit of extra work to do with more weight.
RP
Held when sixth beaten just over 5l over 7½f at Geelong (handicap) last month; booking of Luke Nolen takes the eye; this line-up contains some strong opposition so hard to recommend.
RSIS
Started 12/1 and ran 6th last time at Geelong but up against weaker rivals. Will have to carry extra weight.
Career
13: 3-3-0
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 2-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
2: 1-1-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Stawell
1: 0-1-0
Track Terang
1: 1-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
8: 2-1-0
Going Good
5: 2-1-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
7: 1-2-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 26% in Last 100 Rides
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 489%
Stable In Form
Positive
Stable going well. Out performing market by 104%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 86% POT in L100 Runners
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Drove hard late to nail a narrow win at Warrnambool first up. Capable of figuring.
ILB
Reeled them in when winning last start at Warrnambool and on an upward trajectory in recent races.
RP
Landed a narrow success in a handicap (Warrnambool) 22 days ago; successful three times from 13 career runs; interesting.
RSIS
Ran home strongly to win last run at Warrnambool and displaying improvement over the past few runs.
Career
8: 1-0-1
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
3: 0-0-1
Track Cranbourne
2: 1-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
2: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 1-0-0
Distance 1400m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
8: 1-0-1
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 27% POT in L100 Runners
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Form At Track
Positive
1 time winner here at Cranbourne
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Made minor headway from back half this track off long spell. Strips in better shape. Capable of making an impact.
ILB
Was $9.00 and showed some merit late when 4th last time at this venue. Can win this.
RP
Not beaten that far in fourth (just under 4l) over 6f here (handicap) last month - split Sumo Sandy and Shaime; possesses winning form at this track; subpar since successful in a maiden at Cranbourne in January; meeting some horses in good form and others appeal more.
RSIS
At 8/1 made some ground when 4th last start at this track. Good potential.
Rating · IRD
20
Speed map
Onpace
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 26%
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Back from wide alley, flew late to grab third 3yo+ (Bm70) off long break. Fitter second-up and the longer trip helps. This looks very achievable.
ILB
Produced an eye catching run when 3rd beaten by 3L last start here.
RP
Had a couple of these behind him when third here over 6f (handicap) last month; trainer has been going through a quiet spell.
RSIS
Caught the eye when 3rd last start here.
Career
13: 3-3-1
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
2: 0-1-1
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 1-0-0
Track Werribee
1: 0-0-0
Track Sandown
3: 1-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1427m
1: 0-1-0
Distance 1590m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 2-0-0
Going Good
8: 3-2-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
4: 0-1-1
Early Sectionals
Negative
Recent sectional data suggests slow early pace
Well beaten LS
Negative
Not competitive last run
Awkward Draw
Negative
Would have liked a better draw
Track Exp
Positive
Knows this track well
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
First-up (15-weeks). Locally trained but has a tricky draw for return. Looks up against it.
ILB
First run back from spell. Gave away some ground when 10th last run at Sandown. Goes well and could be a value opportunity.
RP
Finished tenth, beaten a fair way at Sandown dropped back in distance in July; has won at this course; easy to oppose as this looks a fair heat.
RSIS
Fresh today. Didn't threaten when 10th last run at Sandown. Must respect.
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Offpace
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -65% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 58% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
AAP
Reasonable effort without seriously threatening this course. Coming back in distance. Could give some cheek at odds.
ILB
Started $10.00 and improved when 5th last start at the track. Going well this campaign. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Has winning track form; respectable fifth over 1m here (handicap) last month; a few rivals look in good form so he can be taken on.
RSIS
Started at 9/1 and pushed past some when 5th last time here. Has some claims.
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Offpace
Slow Early LS
Negative
Speed data from recent runs suggests slower early splits on avg
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Now 4 weeks between runs. Seymour winner two back. Raced in back half and was never in a position to mount a serious challenge at Geelong. Look for improvement here.
ILB
Odds of $6.00 and didn't find the line when 9th last time at Geelong. Has the ability to turn things around. Will be fighting out the finish.
RP
A course winner; finished last of nine at Geelong upped to this distance last month; has to be taken seriously with a bit more luck as excuses last time (checked) and she knows how to win.
RSIS
Started at 5/1 and struggled with the pace when 9th last start at Geelong. Can show a better performance this time. Attracts support.
Career
47: 5-7-7
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
8: 2-1-1
Second-up
6: 1-1-2
Third-up
6: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
5: 0-1-1
Track Launceston
1: 0-0-0
Track Flemington
10: 0-1-1
Track Sale
3: 1-0-0
Distance 1440m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1525m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
19: 1-4-4
Going Good
22: 3-2-2
Going Heavy
6: 1-1-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Craig Newitt current POT is 45% below Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 27% POT in L100 Runners
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 53% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Let-up (44-days). Sent out $31 when unable to threaten at Geelong. Hard to make a case.
ILB
Let up. At $31.00 not up to scratch when 10th last start at Geelong. Yet to fire this preparation. Likely to get back in the field. Better to look elsewhere.
RP
Finished tenth of 12 over 7½f at Geelong (handicap) six weeks ago; shown only moderate recent form; facing a testing assignment and has some questions to answer.
RSIS
Freshened up. Odds of 30/1 and was ordinary when 10th last time at Geelong. Yet to fire recently with no placings from 8 runs. Might be ridden for luck.
Career
17: 3-2-2
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-1
Second-up
1: 1-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Sale
2: 0-1-0
Track Warrnambool
1: 0-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1217m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
8: 2-1-1
Going Soft
7: 1-1-1
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 47%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Wide Draw
Negative
Likely to get caught wide
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Backing up quickly. Midfield and worked home solidly at Pakenham over today's trip. Stiffer opposition here.
ILB
On a quick back up. At $11.00 moved through the field into 4th last time at Pakenham.
RP
1½l fourth to Zourain (Pakenham) last Friday; this is his grade.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. At 10/1 passed some rivals in the late stages when 4th last time at Pakenham.
Career
13: 3-1-1
Rating · IRD
74
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Kilmore
1: 1-0-0
Track Mornington
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1717m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1736m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
11: 3-1-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -67% POT in their L100 Races
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 31% POT in L100 Runners
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 12%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist Drop
Negative
Distance decrease from last start
Resuming
Negative
Poor strike rate when first up
AAP
First-up (24-weeks). Has an adverse draw for return. One for multiples fresh in this company.
ILB
First run back from a break. Displayed good finishing speed when 3rd last start at Sale but coming back in trip. Does take a while to get into stride. Entitled to be big odds.
RP
A proven winner with a career wins-runs record of 3-13; creditable effort to finish third over 1m½f at Sale (handicap) in May; back from an absence here.
RSIS
Resuming after a break. Zipped home into 3rd last run at Sale but will be dropping in distance. Likely to get back.
Career
4: 1-0-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
2: 1-0-1
Track Stawell
1: 0-0-1
Track Geelong
1: 1-0-0
Track Cranbourne
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1300m
2: 0-0-1
Distance 1325m
1: 1-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 1-0-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 5%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 196%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 40%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 50% Profit on Turnover
Early Splits
Negative
Out of races with slow early tempos
Solid Run LS
Positive
Won last start
AAP
Let-up (44-days). Drove hard late to nail a narrow win at Geelong off spell. Others rate stronger.
ILB
Freshened for this. Finished with purpose when winning last run at Geelong and drawn the rails. Getting better in recent performances. Up against a more competitive field. Will be tested.
RP
Scored by a slim margin in a maiden (Geelong) when opening his account at the fourth time of asking six weeks ago.
RSIS
Let up. Finished well when winning last run at Geelong and drawn nicely. Facing a stronger group of contenders. Showing improvement in recent outings.
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Offpace
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 110%
Trainer ROI
Positive
Runners from this stable currently going at 26% POT in L100 Runners
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Backing up quickly. Sent out $21 when never got into the race at Pakenham over this journey. Needs a form spike.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Looked flat when 10th last run at Pakenham but gets some weight relief.
RP
Tenth of 12 at Pakenham last week; has scored over C&D.
RSIS
On a quick turnaround. Average effort when 10th last run at Pakenham but gets some weight taken off.