Shortest win price
D'Oro Choice (4)
3.00
Welcome to Dubbo for the Burgun & Williams Optometrists (Bm66) over the staying trip of 2200m on a Good 4 track under fine skies. Looking at the early win market, D'Oro Choice leads the betting order as the shortest runner, closely followed by Godwits, Tavijewel, and Delrico rounding out the top four in the market. It is shaping up as a fascinating tactical affair over the staying distance, with leaders like Godwits and Minister Garrett expected to handle the early speed while others settle into their respective tracks.
Taking a look at the form for the shorter-priced chances, Godwits comes out of a solid effort where it made the pace and was edged out late to finish second at Bathurst over 2000m, following a close second at Dubbo over 2200m on a heavy track. Trained by Todd Smith and ridden by Jake Pracey-Holmes from barrier 4, this good staying gelding fits well against this opposition. Meanwhile, D'Oro Choice lines up for John Bannister on a quick back-up after letting down late into the placings when finishing third in a benchmark 66 over 2100m at Newcastle, proving it remains a capable stayer that can challenge again here.
Further down the market, Delrico presents an interesting case for punters after backing up quickly from a strong effort where it picked up intently to just miss in a Showcase Handicap at Coonabarabran, and maps well for this track. Tavijewel is another worth keeping an eye on, having placed in a benchmark 66 at Orange before a plain run at Bathurst, though a stronger showing is expected here. With Godwits likely to try and dictate terms from the front alongside Minister Garrett, this staying test should provide plenty of entertainment for the punters on course.
Shortest win price
D'Oro Choice (4)
3.00
Most career wins
Tavijewel
6-3-4 from 40 starts
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Midfield
Onpace
Leader
Godwits · Negative
Cold J/T Combo
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Coto De Caza · Positive
Fast Early
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Delrico · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 9% better than Career Avg.
D'Oro Choice · Negative
Jockey Booking
Liberty Smyth current POT is 29% below Career Avg.
Career
25: 5-3-1
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
3: 1-0-0
Second-up
2: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 1-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
2: 1-1-0
Track Coonabarabran
1: 0-0-0
Track Geelong
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1200m
4: 0-0-0
Going Soft
8: 1-0-1
Going Synthetic
1: 0-0-0
Going Unknown
4: 2-1-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Form
Positive
In form stable, out performing market expectations 32%
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 31% in L100 rides
Map Suits
Positive
Suitable Map, where runners in this position outperform market by 3%
AAP
Good staying gelding. Edged out late after making the pace at Bathurst when firmed from $9 into $7. Fits well against this opposition.
ILB
Started off strong but faded towards the end when 2nd last start at Bathurst. Always seems to find the line well. Capable type.
RP
A C&D winner; has maintained his consistent level of form; good effort when close up at Bathurst over 1m2f (handicap) when ahead of several of these rivals two weeks ago; should not be far away.
RSIS
Solid run on the pace before weakening to finish 2nd beaten by 3/4L last start at Bathurst. Displays very good closing pace. Can measure up against these.
Career
33: 3-6-3
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
5: 0-1-1
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 1-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-1-0
Track Canberra
1: 0-1-0
Track Hawkesbury
3: 0-1-0
Track Kembla Grange
6: 1-2-2
Distance 1400m
3: 0-0-1
Distance 1500m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1800m
5: 0-0-0
Going Good
18: 3-5-2
Going Heavy
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
12: 0-1-0
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Winless Prep
Negative
Expect the drought to continue
AAP
Not disgraced at Bathurst. Fit from racing, can make his presence felt.
ILB
Odds of $8.50 and crept into 4th last time at Bathurst and has drawn to do little work. Should be swooping on the field late. Place at best.
RP
A while since his last success; respectable effort when fourth over 1m2f at Bathurst (handicap) 15 days ago; meeting some horses in good form and others appeal more.
RSIS
Was 15/2 and kept chasing when 4th last time at Bathurst and can save some energy from the stall. Will be hitting the line strongly.
Career
32: 3-4-4
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
4: 0-1-0
Second-up
3: 0-1-0
Third-up
3: 0-1-1
Fourth-up
3: 1-0-0
Track Walgett
1: 1-0-0
Track Doomben
6: 1-0-0
Track Gold Coast
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1800m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 2040m
1: 1-0-0
Going Good
16: 1-3-3
Going Heavy
5: 0-0-0
Going Soft
6: 1-1-1
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 9% better than Career Avg.
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Improver
Positive
Poised to improve on recent form here
Fitness
Positive
At peak fitness backing up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Backing up quickly. Picked up intently to just miss in the Showcase Hcp (C3) at Coonabarabran. Hard fit, can play a role.
ILB
On a quick back up. Produced an eye catching run when 3rd last run at Coonabarabran and racing over extra ground. Attracts support.
RP
Went close when third over 1m at Coonabarabran (handicap) a week ago.
RSIS
On a quick back up. Hit the line well when 3rd beaten by 3/4L last start at Coonabarabran and stepping up in distance. Strong chance today.
Career
41: 4-5-7
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
6: 0-0-1
Second-up
5: 0-1-0
Third-up
5: 1-0-2
Fourth-up
4: 1-0-0
Track Townsville
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
10: 1-2-1
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
9: 1-0-2
Distance 1700m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Going Good
27: 2-3-5
Going Heavy
2: 1-0-1
Going Soft
12: 1-2-1
Jockey Booking
Negative
Liberty Smyth current POT is 29% below Career Avg.
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 8%
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are winning 34% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Ran On Hard LS
Positive
Ran on well last start
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
On a quick back-up. Capable stayer. Let down late into the placings at Beaumont. Can challenge again.
ILB
On a short back up. Ran home into 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last start at Newcastle. In fine form since resuming from a spell. Should get going late. Place claims.
RP
Has won at this track; finished third on Monday albeit only beaten just over 1l at Beaumont upped to 1m2½f.
RSIS
On a short turnaround. Strong run when finishing 3rd beaten by 1 1/4L last time at Newcastle. Going well recently. Expected to be flashing home.
Career
32: 5-4-3
Rating · IRD
73
Speed map
Leader
First-up
5: 2-0-0
Second-up
4: 1-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
3: 0-0-1
Track Muswellbrook
2: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
5: 0-0-1
Track Mudgee
3: 0-1-0
Distance 2200m
7: 1-2-1
Distance 1212m
1: 1-0-0
Distance 1500m
2: 1-0-0
Going Good
20: 4-3-2
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-1
Going Soft
9: 1-1-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 38% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 6%
Key Rider
Positive
Glenn Cahill 36% above market expected in L100 Rides
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 46% Profit on Turnover
Hot Jockey
Positive
Glenn Cahill in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 36%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Awkward Draw
Negative
May find this draw awkward
AAP
Last success was 19 Nov 2024. Didn't finish it off over 2000m 3yo+ (Bm66) at Bathurst. Not fancied.
ILB
Started at $41.00 and was well beaten when 7th last time at Bathurst. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Very slim hope.
RP
Not disgraced when seventh at Bathurst over 1m2f (handicap) two weeks ago; she meets the required standard ability wise; big chance.
RSIS
Was 40/1 and looked outclassed when 7th last run at Bathurst. Will be positive in the run early.
Career
40: 6-3-4
Rating · IRD
94
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-1
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Canberra
2: 1-0-0
Track Goulburn
2: 0-1-0
Track Mudgee
2: 0-0-0
Distance 2140m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1150m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 2100m
3: 1-1-0
Going Unknown
3: 1-1-0
Going Good
17: 3-1-3
Going Heavy
5: 1-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Ideal Map
Positive
Map position exceeding market by 3%
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
AAP
Placed (Bm66) at Orange 8 Oct. On pace but folded up quickly at Bathurst. Expecting a stronger showing.
ILB
Odds of $7.00 and gave away some ground when 6th last time at Bathurst. Overlooking the last run. Should muster plenty of early speed. Should go very close.
RP
This C&D holds no fears; this is his grade; split a number of these rivals at Bathurst over 1m2f (handicap) when beaten just over 4l in sixth 15 days ago; his best form stacks up so looks interesting.
RSIS
Started at 6/1 and weakened to finish 6th last start at Bathurst. May see an upturn in form. Should muster plenty of early toe. Worth a lot of thought in this race.
Career
38: 3-4-3
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Midfield
First-up
5: 1-0-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
3: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-1
Track Tomingley
1: 0-0-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-0-0
Track Rockhampton
8: 1-1-0
Distance 1600m
10: 0-1-0
Distance 1700m
3: 1-1-1
Distance 2000m
3: 0-2-0
Going Good
16: 0-2-1
Going Heavy
2: 1-1-0
Going Soft
15: 1-1-1
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 25% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer Career
Negative
Trainer Career S/R is 4%
Key Rider
Positive
Billy Cray 25% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 31%
Tricky Map
Negative
Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%
Backup
Positive
Racing again inside one week
AAP
On a short back-up. Sound performance in small field at Mudgee. Hard to warm to.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Honest race when 2nd last start at Mudgee. This will pose a challenge.
RP
Much better display a week ago at Mudgee when involved in the finish upped to 1m2f.
RSIS
On a short back up. Placed 2nd last run at Mudgee.
Career
49: 0-6-2
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
5: 0-1-0
Second-up
4: 0-0-0
Third-up
4: 0-1-0
Fourth-up
4: 0-1-0
Track Ipswich
1: 0-1-0
Track Scone
1: 0-0-0
Track Tamworth
2: 0-1-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1412m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1700m
4: 0-0-1
Going Good
18: 0-4-1
Going Heavy
6: 0-1-0
Going Soft
14: 0-1-0
Draw Suits
Positive
Well drawn inside
Primed
Positive
Fitter here racing on a quick back up
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Backing up quickly. Ordinary performance in small field at Mudgee. Looks up against it.
ILB
Racing on a quick back up. At $4.20 lacklustre showing when 5th last start at Mudgee but will try to take advantage of the barrier. Most likely not today.
RP
Yet to open his account after 49 starts and form has an up and down look to it; behind Bold Tyrant at Mudgee over 1m2f (handicap) when beaten 7l last week; this line-up contains some strong opposition so hard enough to fancy.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Started 10/3 and fairly underwhelming when 5th last start at Mudgee but will try to take advantage of the draw.