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Dubbo (NSW) horses tips & previews

One race at a time: field, form guide and win/place odds for Dubbo (NSW), with capture times on every price.

Meeting — Sat 31 Oct, 11:00 am AEDT

Meetings · Sat, 31 OctDubbo (NSW)Change

Race 4 — Sing Out Choir Plate (C1) 1600m · jumps

Race notes

  • CL1-SW,Class 1
  • GOOD4
  • Fine
  • 14 runners

Shortest win price

Smart Scud (2)

3.40

Most career wins

Hot Miss

3-1-1 from 21 starts

Speed map

Back left · leaders right

Backmarker

  • 1Argyle Laird

Offmidfield

  • 4Zinotar
  • 6Hot Miss
  • 7La Chaparron

Midfield

  • 16Pathelia

Offpace

  • 2Smart Scud
  • 5Cobocco
  • 10Aphelion

Onpace

  • 9Tucklan
  • 14Woollen
  • 15Carisbrooke Queen
  • 12Grey Belief

Leader

  • 3Swift Gun
  • 13Meldirer
  • Argyle Laird · Negative

    Trainer Career

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Smart Scud · Positive

    Well Placed

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Swift Gun · Positive

    Jockey ROI

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides

  • Zinotar · Positive

    Trainer Form

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 68%

No.RunnerBarWgtLast 5WinPlace
1Argyle LairdJ: Liberty Smyth·T: Ms A Smith759kg2 12 6 8 411: 1-1-0$17.00$4.00

Career

11: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

82

Speed map

Backmarker

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Parkes

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bathurst

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 1-1-0

  • Going Good

    6: 1-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 4Orange1400m19 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD41.49L
  2. 8Orange1300m8 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD43.6L
  3. 6Wellington1100m15 Sept 2026 · CTRY CL1 · SOFT65.76L
  4. 12Cowra1375m9 Mar 2026 · CL1 · GOOD46.2L
  5. 2Mudgee1200m21 Feb 2026 · CTRY CL1 · SOFT51.8L
  6. 8Orange1400m9 Feb 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY1011.4L
  7. 1Parkes1200m9 Jan 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD3-0.51
  8. 4Orange1000m30 Dec 2025 · MDN HCP · GOOD42.6L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 3%

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 60%

  • Trainer ROI

    Negative

    Trainers runners currently losing 64% Profit on Turnover

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Weight Rise

    Negative

    Carrying 5.5kg more than LS

Comments

AAP

Gave good account Hcp (C1) at Orange as a market drifter. Rise to 1600m a new challenge. Others carry more punch.

ILB

At $12.00 improved late to finish 4th last start at Orange but rising in weight. Will be giving the leaders a big start. Won't find this easy.

RP

Respectable effort (beaten 1½l) at Orange two weeks ago in a handicap; hasn't really fired since his success in a maiden at Parkes in January; makes limited appeal with a number of his rivals in good nick.

RSIS

Started 11/1 and made up ground when 4th last time at Orange but has to cope with a weight increase. Gets back and needs luck.

2Smart ScudJ: Jasmine Urquhart-Warren·T: R P Northam859kg1 7 4 4 75: 1-0-0$3.40$1.60

Career

5: 1-0-0

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Tamworth

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Scone

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gunnedah

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Tamworth1400m12 Oct 2026 · BM58 · SOFT51.86L
  2. 4Narromine1200m21 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD31.55L
  3. 4Scone900m9 Sept 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)2.6L
  4. 7Gunnedah1400m24 May 2026 · CL1 · SOFT54.6L
  5. 1Narromine1300m26 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD4-0.9
  6. 7Scone1100m13 Apr 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD44.2L
  7. 6Scone1000m11 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)8.1L
  8. 2Scone900m1 Oct 2025 · Barrier Trial0.2L

Insights

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Held midfield spot, couldn't summon enough late at Tamworth when second-up. Looking for a mile now. Stripping fitter, commands attention here.

ILB

Jumped at $4.20 and came in 7th last run at Tamworth. Watch for a sign in the market.

RP

A disappointing result (went off second favourite) when beaten just under 2l (Tamworth) three weeks ago in a handicap; his best form stacks up so can't be ruled out.

RSIS

Was 10/3 and ran 7th last start at Tamworth. Respect the betting.

3Swift GunJ: Billy Cray·T: Ms S Jeffries659kg5 4 8 6 219: 1-4-0$4.80$1.95

Career

19: 1-4-0

Rating · IRD

94

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed80%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-3-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Kembla Grange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1350m

    3: 1-0-0

  • Going Good

    14: 1-3-0

  • Going Soft

    5: 0-1-0

Last starts

  1. 2Orange1300m8 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD40.3L
  2. 6Narromine1200m21 Sept 2026 · CL1 · GOOD31.7L
  3. 8Wellington1400m10 Apr 2026 · BM58 · GOOD44.1L
  4. 4Queanbeyan2000m17 Feb 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD44.32L
  5. 5Sapphire Coast1600m31 Jan 2026 · CL2 · GOOD44.4L
  6. 4Wagga1600m11 Jan 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD44.3L
  7. 5Corowa1600m30 Dec 2025 · CL1 & MDN-SW · GOOD33.7L
  8. 2Goulburn1600m19 Dec 2025 · BM58 · GOOD30.4L

Insights

  • Jockey ROI

    Positive

    Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 24% in Last 100 Rides

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Billy Cray 25% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -49% POT in their L100 Races

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

Comments

AAP

Close-up and gave his all to just miss at Orange second-up. Suited by the longer assignment now. Stripping fitter, can play a role.

ILB

Close up last time at Orange. Should come to hand quickly. Should be in the finish.

RP

Went close when runner-up over 6½f at Orange (handicap, had Argyle Laird and Queen Kicker behind) three weeks ago; achieved only a sole win; makes limited appeal.

RSIS

Narrowly beaten last time at Orange. Has early pace and positions nicely. Solid claims.

4ZinotarJ: Juliet Partridge·T: Ms J Galea459kg5 6 14 11 812: 1-3-2$23.00$4.60

Career

12: 1-3-2

Rating · IRD

91

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating80%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Second-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bathurst

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Orange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1350m

    3: 0-1-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    9: 1-2-2

Last starts

  1. 8Bathurst1200m16 Oct 2026 · CG&E CL1 · GOOD48.98L
  2. 11Dubbo1000m2 Oct 2026 · CL1 · HEAVY86.9L
  3. 14Orange1400m22 Mar 2026 · CTRY CL2 · GOOD410.2L
  4. 6Goulburn800m10 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(7)5.2L
  5. 5Ipswich1690m15 Jan 2025 · GOOD44.11L
  6. 1Sunshine Coast1800m29 Dec 2024 · GOOD4-1
  7. 2Sunshine Coast1600m15 Dec 2024 · HEAVY100.8L
  8. 2Ipswich1350m28 Nov 2024 · GOOD41.48L

Insights

  • Trainer Form

    Positive

    In form stable, out performing market expectations 68%

  • Trainer ROI

    Positive

    Runners from this stable currently going at 43% POT in L100 Runners

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Well beaten LS

    Negative

    Not competitive last run

  • Increased Dist

    Positive

    Distance rise from last start

Comments

AAP

Never in the call at Bathurst second-up. Keener on others.

ILB

Folded up in the straight when 8th last run at Bathurst but going back up in distance. Will be hitting the line strongly. Juliet Partridge takes a large claim. Definite claims for punters.

RP

Beaten 9l two weeks ago (Bathurst) in a handicap; he meets the required standard ability wise; in with a big shout as shown he can get his head in front.

RSIS

Weakened to finish 8th last time at Bathurst but back to a longer distance. Might take a while to wind up but should be hitting top gear in the straight. Rates as one of the key chances.

5CoboccoJ: Clayton Gallagher·T: Connie Greig1357kg5 1 8 8 125: 2-1-3$18.00$4.20

Career

25: 2-1-3

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey80%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo40%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Dubbo

    8: 0-1-0

  • Track Orange

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Gunnedah

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2200m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-0-1

  • Going Unknown

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Firm

    1: 1-0-0

Last starts

  1. 1Harden1400m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · FIRM2-0.13
  2. 8Coonamble1600m11 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD36.59L
  3. 8Dubbo2200m27 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD46.85L
  4. 1Wellington1600m15 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT6-0.12
  5. 5Moree1400m6 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD43.5L
  6. 3Mudgee1400m30 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT75L
  7. 4Narromine1300m23 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY81.7L
  8. 7Gunnedah1000m14 Aug 2026 · MDN · SOFT610.9L

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -24% POT in their L100 Races

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Form At Track

    Negative

    Yet to win here

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Down In Weight

    Positive

    Drops 9.5kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

On a quick back-up. Knuckled down really well for a narrow win at Harden. Locally trained but has a tricky draw. This will test.

ILB

On a short turnaround. Brave effort to win narrowly last time at Harden. Needs significant improvement.

RP

Scored narrowly in a handicap (Harden) last Saturday; capable of going well.

RSIS

Racing on a quick back up. Snagged a narrow win last start at Harden.

6Hot MissJ: Nick Palmer·T: Connie Greig1157kg9 1 1 3 221: 3-1-1$26.00$5.00

Career

21: 3-1-1

Rating · IRD

80

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Cobar

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geurie

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Forbes

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    7: 2-0-1

  • Distance 1800m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    5: 3-0-0

  • Going Firm

    2: 0-1-1

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 2Harden1400m24 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · FIRM20.13L
  2. 3Young1600m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · FIRM22.67L
  3. 1Come By Chance1600m26 Sept 2026 · Class B-0.28
  4. 1Geurie1600m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+-0.5
  5. 9Dubbo2200m7 Sept 2026 · BM58 · GOOD418.3L
  6. 9Gulargambone1800m29 Aug 2026 · BM506.9L
  7. 4Cobar1400m22 Aug 2026 · Open2.1L
  8. 1Louth1400m8 Aug 2026 · MDN HCP-0.8

Insights

  • Fast Finisher

    Positive

    Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Drawn Poorly

    Negative

    Unfavourable barrier draw

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Primed

    Positive

    Fitter here racing on a quick back up

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

  • Racing Strongly

    Positive

    Racing in great shape

  • Weight Drop

    Positive

    Drops 10kg from LS run

Comments

AAP

On a short back-up. Went down fighting in the small field at Harden. Sterner task awaits.

ILB

Backing up quickly. Was agonizingly close last run at Harden. Gets back and needs luck. Needs a lot of luck.

RP

String of consistent efforts of late; good effort when close up at Harden over 7f (handicap) behind Cobocco last week.

RSIS

Backing up quickly for this race. Missed by a narrow margin last time at Harden. Likely to get back in the run.

7La ChaparronJ: Glenn Cahill·T: Ms A Smith257kg6 7 5 3 119: 1-0-3$15.00$3.90

Career

19: 1-0-3

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Offmidfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-3

  • Third-up

    3: 1-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Parkes

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wellington

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    4: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1200m

    3: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    11: 1-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 0-0-2

Last starts

  1. 1Orange1400m8 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD4-0.13
  2. 3Bathurst1400m13 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT51.2L
  3. 5Mudgee1100m30 Aug 2026 · Maiden · SOFT76.8L
  4. 7Dubbo1600m6 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD44L
  5. 6Orange1600m14 Feb 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD44.6L
  6. 5Parkes1600m24 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD44.4L
  7. 9Dubbo1618m12 Jan 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD45.1L
  8. 5Orange1600m30 Dec 2025 · CL1 & MDN-SW · GOOD40.6L

Insights

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Alison Smith striking at just 3%

  • Jockey Booking

    Positive

    Glenn Cahill 31% above market expected in L100 Rides

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 60%

  • Trainer Form

    Negative

    Stable out of form, losing 64% Profit on Turnover

  • Hot Jockey

    Positive

    Glenn Cahill in hot recent form, out performing market expectation by 31%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%

  • Solid Run LS

    Positive

    Won last start

Comments

AAP

Responded well from back half to get the prize at Orange. Capable of figuring again.

ILB

Picked up late to win last start at Orange and displaying improvement over the past few runs. Putting up notable efforts this campaign. Likely to get back. Has some claims.

RP

Has shown some recent improvement; narrow success in a handicap (Orange) three weeks ago to break her duck; in with a shout.

RSIS

Flew home to win last run at Orange and getting better in recent performances. In top form since coming back from a break. Might have to make up considerable ground. Not at all out of this race.

8Queen KickerScratched18––––

Career

14: 2-3-1

Rating · IRD

77

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-1-1

  • Second-up

    2: 1-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Boorowa

    1: 1-0-0

  • Track Tomingley

    1: 0-1-0

  • Track Bathurst

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1700m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    7: 2-3-1

  • Going Good

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 8Bathurst1200m16 Oct 2026 · Class 1 · GOOD44.45L
  2. 11Orange1300m8 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD499.9L
  3. 2Grenfell1200m26 Sept 2026 · CL20.74L
  4. 1Boorowa1300m2 May 2026 · 3yo+-0.8
  5. 2Tomingley1500m18 Apr 2026 · 3yo+1L
  6. 5Grenfell1400m11 Apr 2026 · 3yo+3.65L
  7. 2Ardlethan1400m21 Mar 2026 · 3yo+0.1L
  8. 9Orange1280m30 Dec 2025 · CL1 HCP · GOOD410.2L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -21% POT in their L100 Races

  • Wide Draw

    Negative

    Likely to get caught wide

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Had all before her at turn and went home tamely at Bathurst. New to Dubbo. Hard to make a case.

ILB

Tailed off to finish 8th last run at Bathurst but going over extra ground.

RP

Last of eight in a handicap (Bathurst) two weeks ago; meeting some horses in good form and not hard to turn elsewhere.

RSIS

Didn't attack the line when 8th last time at Bathurst but racing over a longer distance.

9TucklanJ: Anna Weatherlake·T: Brett Robb557kg5 10 12 9 110: 1-1-0$31.00$6.50

Career

10: 1-1-0

Rating · IRD

83

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-1-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Wellington

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Dubbo

    3: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 900m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1000m

    3: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    6: 1-1-0

Last starts

  1. 1Narromine1300m17 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT5-3.47
  2. 9Dubbo1300m2 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY89.54L
  3. 12Wellington1100m15 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT614.9L
  4. 10Dubbo1000m7 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45.8L
  5. 5Narromine800m23 Aug 2026 · MDN HCP · HEAVY82L
  6. 2Coonabarabran900m25 July 2026 · MDN · SOFT52.6L
  7. 4Warren1000m21 July 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.6L
  8. 2Cowra950m11 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)0.6L

Insights

  • Current SR

    Negative

    Rider’s recent POT is returning 18% lower than Career Avg.

  • Jockey Booking

    Negative

    Less suitable jockey engaged

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Rider Poor SR

    Negative

    Jockey underperforming market expectations by 38% in L100 rides

  • Margin LS

    Positive

    Won by a big margin last start

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

All honours in the small field at Narromine. Speedy although expecting more pressure now. First try at 1600m. Hard fit, can make her presence felt again.

ILB

Controlled the pace to win by almost 3 1/2L last time at Narromine. Has good tactical speed and will be nicely positioned. The large claim from Anna Weatherlake should help. Tough race will need luck.

RP

Has shown some recent improvement; snapped losing run 14 days ago when an easy winner at Narromine in a maiden; has to prove this longer trip is what she wants and looks risky.

RSIS

Controlled the pace to win by just short of 3 1/2L last time at Narromine. Has shown early pace in races to date. Anna Weatherlake provides some weight relief.

10AphelionJ: Sairyn Fawke·T: Brett Thompson356.5kg2 6 3 4 412: 0-2-1$15.00$4.00

Career

12: 0-2-1

Rating · IRD

86

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-2-0

  • Second-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Muswellbrook

    2: 0-1-0

  • Track Orange

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Gilgandra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    4: 0-0-1

  • Distance 2100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-1-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-1

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 4Dubbo1600m2 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY83.72L
  2. 4Narromine1600m21 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD32.75L
  3. 3Narromine1600m23 Aug 2026 · CL1-SW · HEAVY80.9L
  4. 6Gilgandra1200m1 Aug 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.7L
  5. 2Carinda1000m18 July 2026 · MDN0.4L
  6. 7Orange2100m9 Feb 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY1017.7L
  7. 8Parkes1600m24 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · GOOD45.9L
  8. 8Orange1400m15 Dec 2025 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT66.9L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 426%

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 48%

  • Tricky Map

    Negative

    Runners with this map, underperform market by 9%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Wet To Dry

    Negative

    Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult

Comments

AAP

4 weeks since last run. Warming into it late this track over this trip. Looks up against it.

ILB

Started $17.00 and picked up some ground to run 4th last run at the track on a heavy track. Not at all out of this race.

RP

Has largely been consistent of late; winless with run of consecutive defeats standing at 12; not disgraced when fourth four weeks ago; a lot on his plate here and others have more pressing claims.

RSIS

Odds of 16/1 and crept into 4th last run here on a heavy rated track. Watch the betting.

11What A GentScratched6––––

Rating · IRD

20

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed80%

Insights

  • Early Splits

    Positive

    Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Prominent, showed plenty of ticker in rain affected going to just go under at Taree. Well placed to make an impact here.

ILB

Did well to place 2nd last start at Taree. Running with confidence since coming back from a break.

RSIS

Hit the line well when 2nd beaten by 1/2L last start at Taree. Displaying good ability since returning from a break.

12Grey BeliefJ: Jacob Stiff·T: Connie Greig1055kg4 3 10 3 518: 0-1-3$9.00$3.00

Career

18: 0-1-3

Rating · IRD

87

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    3: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-1

  • Track Coonamble

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Narromine

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Ballina

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1150m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    12: 0-1-3

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    4: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Orange1600m19 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD43.04L
  2. 3Coonamble1600m11 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD30.85L
  3. 10Dubbo1400m27 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD45.46L
  4. 3Narromine1600m21 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD31.61L
  5. 4Wellington1600m15 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT60.99L
  6. 8Dubbo1600m7 Sept 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD417L
  7. 3Forbes1600m2 Aug 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD40.9L
  8. 8Grafton1700m15 July 2026 · Maiden · GOOD43L

Insights

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 127%

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Battled home into 5th in the small field at Orange following market easing. Fit from racing, not far from the action last couple. Worth thought for exotics.

ILB

At $7.00 faded away to finish 5th last start at Orange. Has the speed to overcome the wide alley. Not without a chance.

RP

Didn't run too badly when out of the frame at Orange (beaten 3l) in a handicap 12 days ago; yet to open her account after 18 starts and has lacked consistency of late; this is competitive and looks risky.

RSIS

Started 6/1 and gave away some ground when 5th last run at Orange. Should be rolling forward early from the wide stall. Betting is the best guide.

13MeldirerJ: Jake Pracey-Holmes·T: Brett Robb155kg3 7 3 12 34: 0-0-2$21.00$4.60

Career

4: 0-0-2

Rating · IRD

100

Speed map

Leader

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey20%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating100%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Forbes

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Dubbo

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track CurrentTrack

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    2: 0-0-2

  • Going Heavy

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Forbes1400m10 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD41.09L
  2. 12Dubbo1300m2 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · HEAVY818.6L
  3. 3Narromine1300m21 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD31.3L
  4. 7Narromine1100m23 Aug 2026 · CTRY MDN · HEAVY83.2L
  5. 3Dubbo1020m10 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · HEAVY(9)1.4L
  6. 3Coonabarabran900m25 July 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)9.2L

Insights

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -50% POT in their L100 Races

  • Drawn In

    Positive

    Suited drawn down low

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Found enough to place in small field at Forbes. Drawn to effect. Sound claims.

ILB

Even though being out sprinted still grabbed 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Forbes and will try to take advantage of the barrier. Displays good tactical speed. Will be competitive.

RP

Far from disgraced (beaten 1l) at Forbes 21 days ago in a handicap; this just her fifth race; stamina to prove at this trip so she can be taken on.

RSIS

Grabbed towards the finish when 3rd last start at Forbes and drawn nicely. Displays good tactical pace. Will be fighting out the finish.

14WoollenJ: Gabrielle Johnston·T: G D Lunn1255kg4 8 7 5 37: 0-0-1$5.00$2.00

Career

7: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

88

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer20%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo100%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating60%
  • Closing Speed100%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Kyneton

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Coonamble

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Kilmore

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 2000m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1300m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    5: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 3Orange1600m19 Oct 2026 · MDN · GOOD40.86L
  2. 5Coonamble1300m11 Oct 2026 · Maiden · GOOD36.95L
  3. 7Dubbo1400m27 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD42.99L
  4. 8Kilmore2000m18 Apr 2026 · 3yo+ · GOOD47.6L
  5. 4Pakenham2000m26 Mar 2026 · 3yo+ · HEAVY95.3L
  6. 4Kyneton1862m13 Mar 2026 · BM56 · GOOD40.67L
  7. 6Kyneton1479m27 Feb 2026 · 3Y MDN SW · SOFT66.8L
  8. 11Caulfield900m13 Aug 2025 · Barrier Trial13.5L

Insights

  • Rider SR

    Positive

    Jockey recent POT is 13% better than Career Avg.

  • Trainer SR

    Negative

    Garry Lunn striking at just 6%

  • Hot J/T Combo

    Positive

    Combo are out performing market expectations by 181%

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 41%

  • Ran On Hard LS

    Positive

    Ran on well last start

  • Ready To Fire

    Positive

    Shown something in last few runs

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Kept on for the minor spoils in skinny line-up at Orange over this distance. Draw makes the job harder. Shapes as a rough place prospect.

ILB

Finished well when 3rd beaten by 1L last run at Orange. Has the early speed to burn across from the wide draw. Respect the betting.

RP

Signs of improvement on last two runs; not beaten far in a handicap (Orange) 12 days ago upped to this trip.

RSIS

Ran on when 3rd last time at Orange. The wide stall shouldn't be a problem with plenty of early pace. Could be in the mix.

15Carisbrooke QueenJ: Jack Baker·T: Derek Piper1455kg4 6 7 9 75: 0-0-0$34.00$6.50

Career

5: 0-0-0

Rating · IRD

75

Speed map

Onpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey100%
  • Trainer60%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed100%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed20%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Coonamble

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Mudgee

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Goulburn

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1100m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1600m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    2: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 7Coonamble1600m11 Oct 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD34.73L
  2. 9Dubbo1400m27 Sept 2026 · Maiden · GOOD45.45L
  3. 7Bathurst1400m13 Sept 2026 · CTRY MDN-SW · SOFT52.8L
  4. 6Mudgee1100m30 Aug 2026 · Maiden · SOFT78.4L
  5. 4Randwick1200m16 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)1.3L
  6. 7Randwick1050m5 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · SOFT(5)10.2L
  7. 8Goulburn1600m7 Oct 2025 · MDN · GOOD317.4L
  8. 5Randwick1200m16 Sept 2025 · Barrier Trial5.4L

Insights

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Camp struggling with S/R just 7%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer A2E

    Negative

    Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 29%

  • Fast Early

    Positive

    Sectionals suggest goes hard early

  • Well Placed

    Positive

    Drops back to a suitable class

Comments

AAP

Form to date modest at best. In touch but couldn't find anything when pressured at Coonamble over this trip. Goes into wider exotics.

ILB

At $101.00 came in 7th last run at Coonamble. Should be rolling forward early from the wide barrier. Hard to have.

RP

Not beaten too far when seventh of 13 at Coonamble splitting Grey Belief and Cobocco 20 days ago.

RSIS

At 100/1 finished 7th last start at Coonamble. Has the necessary pace to mitistall the wide draw.

16PatheliaJ: Serg Lisnyy·T: Kody Nestor955kg5 6 5 7 527: 0-2-3$91.00$15.00

Career

27: 0-2-3

Rating · IRD

79

Speed map

Midfield

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer80%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo60%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed40%

Record

  • First-up

    4: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Third-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Inverell

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Narromine

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Quirindi

    2: 0-1-0

  • Distance 1300m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1500m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Good

    10: 0-0-1

  • Going Heavy

    4: 0-1-0

  • Going Soft

    13: 0-1-2

Last starts

  1. 5Narromine1300m17 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · SOFT58.44L
  2. 7Muswellbrook1750m20 Apr 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD47.7L
  3. 5Mudgee2000m5 Apr 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD38.8L
  4. 6Scone1400m20 Mar 2026 · CTRY MDN · SOFT57.6L
  5. 5Gunnedah1600m7 Mar 2026 · CL1-SW · GOOD31.9L
  6. 6Port Macquarie1509m8 Feb 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD44.6L
  7. 5Armidale1300m5 Jan 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD49.2L
  8. 8Tamworth1600m8 Sept 2025 · MDN-SW · SOFT53.3L

Insights

  • Gave ground LS

    Negative

    Faded towards the finish last time out

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Up In Dist

    Positive

    Racing at a more suitable distance

  • Track Exp

    Positive

    Knows this track well

  • Class Rise

    Negative

    Racing in stronger company

Comments

AAP

Handy but couldn't deliver at Narromine for new stable. Looking elsewhere.

ILB

Was $5.00 and didn't attack the line when 5th last time at Narromine. Cannot have.

RP

Behind Tucklan at Narromine in a maiden back down to 6½f two weeks ago when beaten 8l (fifth of six) on debut for this trainer.

RSIS

At 4/1 folded up in the straight when 5th last start at Narromine.

17VoskampScratched4––––

Career

6: 0-0-1

Rating · IRD

73

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey40%
  • Trainer100%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating40%
  • Closing Speed50%

Record

  • First-up

    2: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    1: 0-0-1

  • Third-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Fourth-up

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Geurie

    1: 0-0-1

  • Track Mendooran

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Bathurst

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1000m

    2: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1200m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1400m

    2: 0-0-0

  • Going Soft

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Unknown

    2: 0-0-1

  • Going Good

    3: 0-0-0

Last starts

  1. 5Mudgee1400m24 Oct 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD43.77L
  2. 8Bathurst1200m16 Oct 2026 · CTRY MDN · GOOD410.33L
  3. 10Wellington1400m15 Sept 2026 · CL1 · SOFT611.13L
  4. 3Geurie1000m12 Sept 2026 · 3yo+6.4L
  5. 4Mendooran1200m5 Sept 2026 · MDN-SW7.9L
  6. 7Muswellbrook800m19 Aug 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)8L
  7. 8Orange1000m22 Mar 2026 · MDN-SW · GOOD415.9L
  8. 4Dubbo860m6 Mar 2026 · Barrier Trial · GOOD(4)10.7L

Insights

  • Blinkers On

    Positive

    Trainer has opted for the Blinkers on, take note

Comments

AAP

Backing up quickly. Modest performance at Mudgee. Unexposed at trip. Lacks appeal here.

ILB

Backing up quickly for this race. At $12.00 underwhelming when 5th last time at Mudgee.

RP

Fair effort when beaten just under 4l, finishing fifth of six in a maiden (Mudgee) last Saturday; six-race maiden though does have a third place to her name.

RSIS

Backing up quickly. Started 11/1 and not up to standard when 5th last run at Mudgee.

18EncyclopediaScratched1––––

Career

53: 1-3-7

Rating · IRD

70

Speed map

Offpace

BackLead

Figures

  • Jockey50%
  • Trainer40%
  • Jockey/Trainer Combo20%
  • Early Speed20%
  • Rating20%
  • Closing Speed60%

Record

  • First-up

    5: 0-0-0

  • Second-up

    4: 0-0-2

  • Third-up

    4: 0-1-0

  • Fourth-up

    4: 0-0-1

  • Track Nowra

    1: 0-0-0

  • Track Leeton

    2: 0-0-0

  • Track Sapphire Coast

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1175m

    1: 0-0-1

  • Distance 1250m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Distance 1375m

    1: 0-0-0

  • Going Heavy

    9: 1-0-1

  • Going Soft

    16: 0-1-3

  • Going Unknown

    9: 0-0-3

Last starts

  1. 7Orange1400m19 Oct 2026 · CL1 · GOOD44.49L
  2. 4Young1600m10 Oct 2026 · 3yo+ · FIRM24.49L
  3. 8Leeton1150m22 Sept 2026 · CL2 · GOOD49.86L
  4. 5Coonabarabran1600m25 July 2026 · CL1-SW · SOFT56.5L
  5. 6Carinda1400m18 July 2026 · CL17.2L
  6. 6Cowra1375m11 July 2026 · BM50 · SOFT53.1L
  7. 9Warren1400m14 June 2026 · CG&E CL1 · SOFT66L
  8. 7Gulgong1200m7 June 2026 · CL212L

Insights

  • Trainer Career

    Negative

    Trainer Career S/R is 4%

  • Cold J/T Combo

    Negative

    Combo are losing -39% POT in their L100 Races

  • Trainer Recent

    Negative

    Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 31%

  • Maps Well

    Positive

    Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 16%

  • Nice Barrier

    Positive

    Well drawn from gate 1

  • Dist S/R

    Negative

    Poor performer at the distance

  • Win Drought

    Negative

    Not won for a while

  • Up In Weight

    Negative

    Goes up 4kg weight here

Comments

AAP

Hasn't done much since breaking his maiden. Well back and never a factor at Orange. New to Dubbo. Others more persuasive.

ILB

Not competitive when 7th last time at Orange but gets a favourable alley. Shows good early pace. Carrying more weight than last time.

RP

Fair effort when beaten 4½l, finishing seventh of eight at Orange 12 days ago behind Argyle Laird, in a handicap.

RSIS

Looked flat when 7th last start at Orange but drawn by the rails. Will be pushing for a forward position early. Rises in weight.

Odds correct as at . Odds can change.

Past meetings

  • Fri 2 Oct, 10:00 am AEST · 8 races
  • Sun 27 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 10 races
  • Mon 7 Sept, 10:00 am AEST · 7 races