Shortest win price
Beyond Perfection (1)
2.20
Welcome to Dubbo for the Callaway Roofing and Construction Mdn Hcp over 1000m on a good four track with fine weather overhead. The local punters are lining up to dissect a tricky maiden, and the win market order sees Beyond Perfection sitting right at the head of affairs. Following closely behind in the early betting discussions are Above Board, Simply Sonnet, and Silent Uprising, setting up an intriguing puzzle for anyone chasing an early profit on the card.
Taking a closer look at the form behind those shorter prices, Beyond Perfection lines up for a second campaign after transferring from the Gai Waterhouse and Bott stable. Clayton Gallagher takes the steer from barrier eleven, and while the first-up runner was a long way off them at Newcastle on debut, a forward trial appearance suggests improvement could be on the cards. Meanwhile, Simply Sonnet arrives with recent placings under the belt, having battled home into second at Muswellbrook over 900m, making that form line hard to ignore in this class. Silent Uprising also joins new quarters with Connie Greig after a spell and warrants a close betting watch on stable debut from barrier three.
Looking further down the speed maps and tracking the runners, Above Board looks to inject pace from barrier seven as the designated leader, backed by the fastest overall finishing sectionals from the previous start and a solid recent barrier trial at Muswellbrook. Speed groups indicate plenty of early pressure with runners like Beyond Perfection, Simply Sonnet, Ona Bivvy, and Skivvy all mapping on pace. With debutants like My Smurf also attracting attention for stable combinations that outperform expectations, punters will need to weigh up the fresh talent against race-day experience as the field jumps at 12:55 pm AEDT.
Shortest win price
Beyond Perfection (1)
2.20
Back left · leaders right
Backmarker
Offmidfield
Offpace
Onpace
Firststart
Leader
Beyond Perfection · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Pale Blue · Negative
Jockey Booking
Less suitable jockey engaged
Skivvy · Negative
Trainer Recent
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Broadway Sal · Positive
Rider SR
Jockey recent POT is 43% better than Career Avg.
Career
1: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
100
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 9%
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -22% POT in their L100 Races
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 24%
Needs To Imp
Negative
Finished towards the tail last start
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Raceday Experience
Positive
Wiser for debut run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (20-weeks). Ex G Waterhouse & A Bott in NSW. A long way off them at Newcastle on debut when in the market. Looked forward enough in latest trial.
ILB
Racing fresh today after a break. Started at $2.70 and struggled with the pace when 4th last start at Newcastle. Should improve here and was on debut last time. Well respected contender.
RP
Tailed off on debut (Newcastle, 6½f) at 7-4 five months ago; returns from a layoff; first start for new stable; couldn't rule out improvement although wouldn't get too carried away.
RSIS
Racing fresh after a break. Odds of 7/4 and weakened to finish 4th last time at Newcastle. Can show a better performance this time and having second race start. Should put in a decent effort.
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Firststart
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Hot Trainer
Positive
Kathryn Cahill in good form, out performing market 32%
Profitable Trainer
Positive
Stable runners going at 18% POT in L100 Runners
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (2:0-0-0). Two modest trials ahead of race day. Market watch advised.
ILB
First time at the races 5yo by Bel Esprit for trainer Kathryn Cahill. Unplaced in all barrier trials. Betting as a guide.
RP
This daughter of Bel Esprit makes debut under rules; should prove competitive as some good aspects to her profile.
RSIS
5yo debutant by Bel Esprit for Kathryn Cahill. Finished 6th in a trial at Orange on Oct 8th.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Narromine
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Trainer Recent
Negative
Camp struggling with S/R just 4%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 426%
Trainer A2E
Negative
Stable currently underperforming market expectation by 48%
Trainer Form
Negative
Stable out of form, losing 47% Profit on Turnover
Winkers Off
Positive
Winkers coming off this start
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Battled home into last in the small field at Narromine as an outsider. Drops back a notch in trip. Others with greater appeal.
ILB
Was $61.00 and looked outclassed when 6th last run at Narromine. Interesting gear change of winkers off first time. Hard to take.
RP
Last of six two weeks ago (Narromine) in a maiden; others more persuasive.
RSIS
Started 60/1 and folded up in the straight when 6th last time at Narromine. Cheekpieces go off for the first time.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
70
Speed map
Offmidfield
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Pakenham
1: 0-0-0
Track Seymour
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1400m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Rider SR
Positive
Jockey recent POT is 43% better than Career Avg.
Jockey Booking
Positive
Serg Lisnyy 42% above market expected in L100 Rides
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Key Jockey
Positive
Serg Lisnyy winning at 32% POT in last 100 rides
Maps Well
Positive
Map Position suited at this track, out performing market expectations by 7%
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (36-weeks). Ex P G Moody & Katherine Coleman. Trained here now. Can play a role fresh in this company.
ILB
Resuming after a 36 week spell. Odds of $61.00 and gave away some ground when 8th last run at Seymour and will be down in distance. Needs significant improvement.
RP
Held in eighth over 1m at Seymour (maiden) in February; starts out for new trainer; returns from a layoff; others appeal more.
RSIS
Back from a 36 week break. Odds of 60/1 and faded to finish 8th last time at Seymour and dropping back to a shorter trip. Change in trainer.
Rating · IRD
79
Speed map
Firststart
Watch Betting
Negative
If supported, follow in
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). Down the track in only official trial 17 Oct. Look to market for a further guide.
ILB
3yo first starter by Singing for trainer Kody Nestor. Finished 5th in a barrier trial at Narromine on Oct 17th. Watch for a sign in the market.
RP
First start under rules for this three-year-old; respected as some good aspects to his profile.
RSIS
Singing 3yo trained by Kody Nestor on debut. Ran 5th in a trial at Narromine on Oct 17th.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Backmarker
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Gilgandra
1: 0-0-0
Track Ballarat
1: 0-0-0
Track Cowra
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1375m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Jockey ROI
Positive
Rider outperforming Career Avg POT by 13% in Last 100 Rides
Trainer SR
Negative
Garry Lunn striking at just 6%
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 181%
Trainer Recent
Negative
Stable runners are currently underperforming market by 41%
Back in Dist
Negative
Dropping back to a less suitable distance range
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Fronting up for second campaign (40-weeks). Big watch under new trainer after long spell.
ILB
Fresh after a 40 week spell. Fairly underwhelming when 7th last run at Cowra and down in trip. First appearance for a new trainer. Very tidy performer.
RP
Attempting to open his account at the fourth time of asking; was seventh of ten, beaten 9l, in a maiden in January at Cowra upped to 7f; layoff to overcome; starts out for new trainer; others more likely.
RSIS
First run back from a 40 week break. Not up to scratch when 7th last run at Cowra and down in trip. Racing for a new trainer. Solid claims.
Career
2: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
87
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Forbes
1: 0-0-0
Track Moe
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1208m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Current SR
Negative
Rider’s recent POT is returning 39% lower than Career Avg.
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -40% POT in their L100 Races
Rider Poor SR
Negative
Jockey underperforming market expectations by 47% in L100 rides
Early Splits
Positive
Has early speed. An advantage on this circuit
Gave ground LS
Negative
Faded towards the finish last time out
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Class Rise
Negative
Racing in stronger company
AAP
Relinquished after showing pace at Forbes for new trainer. Drops to shorter trip. Smoky place prospect at best.
ILB
At $6.00 folded up in the straight when 7th last run at Forbes but has drawn the rails. Should jump out and bowl along. Watch betting.
RP
Last of seven on first run for his current trainer (Forbes) three weeks ago in a maiden; is passed over.
RSIS
Odds of 5/1 and gave away some ground when 7th last start at Forbes but drawn the rails. Won't be far away during the run. Not at all out of this race.
Career
4: 0-0-1
Rating · IRD
88
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Track Hawkesbury
1: 0-0-1
Track Kembla Grange
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1106m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1200m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-1
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kept fresh. Ex Ms K Buchanan. Trained here now. Sent out $101 when never got into the race at Kembla Grange off long spell. Betting watch advised on stable debut.
ILB
Ordinary performance when 7th last start at Kembla Grange. First start for a new trainer. Solid prospects.
RP
Without a win in four attempts although has finished third; beaten 7l (seventh) at Kembla Grange 35 days ago in a maiden; first run for trainer; she can be taken on.
RSIS
Performed below standard when 7th last run at Kembla Grange. Change in trainer. Commands respect.
Career
3: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Leader
First-up
1: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Narromine
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
2: 0-0-0
Fast Finisher
Positive
Fastest Overall Finishing Sectionals Last Start
Rider
Negative
Negative rider change today
1st Up
Negative
May need this run
Well Placed
Positive
Drops back to a suitable class
AAP
Kicks off second campaign (21-weeks). Latest trial work was solid. Warrants attention fresh in this line-up.
ILB
First up after a break. Started $31.00 and was well beaten when 10th last run here on a heavy track and back in trip. Keep safe.
RP
Finished tenth of 12 over 6½f here (maiden) five months ago; attempting to open his account at the fourth time of asking; returns from a break today; not hard to turn elsewhere.
RSIS
First run back today. Started 30/1 and couldn't stay in touch when 10th last start at the track on a heavy track and will be down in distance. Keep safe.
Rating · IRD
83
Speed map
Firststart
Drawn In
Positive
Suited drawn down low
Still Learning
Negative
No race experience
AAP
Trials (1:0-1-0). Trial form uninspiring but obviously better for the experience. Nice gate. Follow betting leads.
ILB
Brett Robb trained 3yo by Stratum Star having first race appearance and drawn nicely. Placed 2nd in a trial at the track on Mar 15th. Market as guide.
RP
First rules outing for this three-year-old daughter of Stratum Star; must be respected with signs of encouragement in profile - form of her trainer is an obvious plus.
RSIS
First start at the races 3yo by Stratum Star for trainer Brett Robb and has a good draw. Placed 2nd in a trial around here on Mar 15th. Market as guide.
Rating · IRD
81
Speed map
Firststart
Hot J/T Combo
Positive
Combo are out performing market expectations by 137%
Market Watch
Negative
Keep eye on betting moves
AAP
Trials (1:0-0-0). Trial performance leaves plenty to find. Odds may prove best guide here.
ILB
First race appearance 3yo by Prague for Paul Clisby. Added confidence with Jacob Stiff doing the steering. Ran 4th in a barrier trial at Scone on Oct 7th. Betting is the best guide.
RP
Sibling of Thinking Game (1m winner); having her first start in public; cannot be ignored with signs of encouragement in profile.
RSIS
Paul Clisby trained 3yo runner on debut by Prague. Jacob Stiff is a key booking. Ran 4th in a trial at Scone on Oct 7th.
Career
6: 0-1-1
Rating · IRD
89
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
1: 0-1-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Grafton
1: 0-0-1
Track Newcastle
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
3: 0-1-0
Distance 1000m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1006m
1: 0-0-1
Going Soft
2: 0-0-1
Going Good
4: 0-1-0
Jockey Booking
Negative
Less suitable jockey engaged
Cold J/T Combo
Negative
Combo are losing -100% POT in their L100 Races
Fast Early
Positive
Sectionals suggest goes hard early
Improved L/S
Positive
Improved again last start
AAP
Placed last two. Better signs last couple. Fair way from the winner but battled home into second at Muswellbrook. Worth a look.
ILB
Came in 2nd last time at Muswellbrook and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Serious contender.
RP
Finished second of seven over 4½f at Muswellbrook (handicap) two weeks ago; improved form the last twice.
RSIS
Competitive effort when 2nd last run at Muswellbrook and on an upward trajectory in recent races. Expecting a strong showing.
Career
15: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
85
Speed map
Leader
First-up
4: 0-0-0
Second-up
3: 0-0-0
Third-up
2: 0-0-1
Fourth-up
2: 0-0-0
Track Port Macquarie
1: 0-0-0
Track Armidale
1: 0-0-0
Track Muswellbrook
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1308m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-1
Distance 1000m
5: 0-0-0
Going Good
9: 0-0-1
Going Soft
6: 0-0-1
Dist S/R
Negative
Poor performer at the distance
AAP
Backing up quickly. First run for new trainer set tempo, no match but slogged away at Coonabarabran. Tougher alley. Well into preparation now, sound claims.
ILB
On a short turnaround. Although getting tired late still grabbed 3rd beaten by more than 4L last run at Coonabarabran.
RP
Not beaten too far when third on Sunday at Coonabarabran on her debut for this trainer in a maiden; has taken a step forward the last twice.
RSIS
Racing on a quick back up. Was quite a handful for the competition when 3rd last time at Coonabarabran. Should be rolling forward early from the wide draw.
Career
13: 0-0-2
Rating · IRD
82
Speed map
Offpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Fourth-up
1: 0-0-1
Track Wellington
1: 0-0-1
Track Dubbo
4: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
4: 0-0-0
Distance 1300m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1600m
3: 0-0-0
Distance 1750m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
12: 0-0-2
Going Soft
1: 0-0-0
Track Stats
Negative
Tends to struggle at this track
AAP
Resuming (25-weeks). Good draw. Capable of making an impact fresh in this affair.
ILB
First up from a break of 25 weeks. Started at $10.00 and ran 6th last time at this track and dropping in distance.
RP
Not beaten too far when sixth here (dropped to 7f) in May; returning from a layoff here.
RSIS
First run back after a break of 25 weeks. Odds of 9/1 and came in 6th last run here and back to a shorter distance.
Career
7: 0-0-0
Rating · IRD
76
Speed map
Onpace
First-up
2: 0-0-0
Second-up
1: 0-0-0
Third-up
1: 0-0-0
Track Dubbo
1: 0-0-0
Track CurrentTrack
1: 0-0-0
Track Bathurst
1: 0-0-0
Distance 900m
1: 0-0-0
Distance 1000m
2: 0-0-0
Distance 1100m
1: 0-0-0
Going Good
3: 0-0-0
Going Heavy
2: 0-0-0
Going Soft
2: 0-0-0
Wet To Dry
Negative
Coming from a wet to dry (Heavy 8 to Good 4) track may prove difficult
AAP
Fresh. Shown glimpses of ability without looking dangerous. Warming into it late this track over this trip. Others more persuasive.
ILB
Advanced late into 4th last time at this venue on a heavy track. Should be rolling forward early from the wide barrier.
RP
Not beaten too far when fourth of ten 29 days ago.
RSIS
Pushed past some when 4th last run at this venue on a heavy rated track. Has the early pace to burn across from the wide draw.